BeavercreekBillsFan Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 13 minutes ago, BeavercreekBillsFan said: When the rams March down and score to win the game later, you won’t be saying we want the ravens defense Just saying… 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRH Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 1 minute ago, Einstein said: If the Bills win, there will be 6 teams with a 7-6 record after today. For each of the 6 teams to end up at 9-8 or worse, they would need to win 2 out of their last 4 games via any combination: Win-Win-Loss-Loss Win-Loss-Win-Loss Win-Loss-Loss-Win Loss-Win-Win-Loss Loss-Win-Loss-Win Loss-Loss-Win-Win Each of these scenarios has a 1/2 * 1/2 * 1/2 * 1/2 = 1/16 chance of occurring. Since there are 6 teams, you would multiply this probability by 6 to account for all 6 teams having the same chance of ending up at 9-8 or worse: 6 * (1/16) = 6/16 (or 3/8). So, there is a 3/8 or 37.5% chance that at least one team out of the 6 will end up at 9-8 or worse, which would potentially open up a playoff spot for a 9-8 team. For simplicity sake. we can multiply them together to find the probability that all 6 teams end up at 9-8 or worse: (3/8) * (3/8) * (3/8) * (3/8) * (3/8) * (3/8) = (3/8)^6 ≈ 0.00390625 So, there is approximately a 0.39% chance that all 6 teams end up at 9-8 or worse, assuming they each have a 37.5% chance of winning 2 out of their last 4 games. But of course we only need 2 teams to get to 9-8 and the remaining teams to lose more than 8. So both of these scenarios would have to happen: Scenario 1) 4 teams lose 8 games, and 2 teams lose more than 8 games. Scenario 2: 5 teams lose 8 games, and 1 team loses more than 8 games. Scenario 1: 15 * (3/8)^2 * (5/8)^4 Scenario 2: 6 * (3/8) * (5/8)^5 Add the probabilities of both scenarios: (15 * (3/8)^2 * (5/8)^4) + (6 * (3/8) * (5/8)^5) ≈ 0.0949 So, there is approximately a 9.49% chance that 4 out of the 6 teams lose at least 8 games That doesn’t even take into consideration the rams who currently have 7 losses and could lose just 1 more. Or tiebreakers or common games. Just saying, the probability is low. We're in the middle of a football Sunday, I ain't reading all that 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralonzo Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 (edited) Now we're gonna see if these "QB Clutch Metrics" hold up. Edit: And add John McHarbaugh blowing a timeout trying to challenge a scoring play lol Edited December 10, 2023 by Ralonzo 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roundybout Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 Nice to see people waking up to Pickett 1 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FireChans Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 Harbaugh CHALLENGES a touchdown. Embarrassing. Imagine if McD did that lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mannc Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 Stafford might be having the best year of any QB… Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RiotAct Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 lol @ #99 for the Browns. Still begging for a flag even after the ball was snapped Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4merper4mer Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 If McD made the same challenge as Harbaugh just did,how many fire McD threads? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRH Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 How do you take a delay on a 2-point conversion? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FireChans Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 Just now, 4merper4mer said: If McD made the same challenge as Harbaugh just did,how many fire McD threads? 1 minute ago, FireChans said: Harbaugh CHALLENGES a touchdown. Embarrassing. Imagine if McD did that lol Beat u lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roundybout Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 1 minute ago, RiotAct said: lol @ #99 for the Browns. Still begging for a flag even after the ball was snapped Should be benched for that, he didn’t even try to move when it was a live play 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JESSEFEFFER Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 Harbaugh wasted a timeout challenging a TD ruling. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RiotAct Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 1 minute ago, FireChans said: Harbaugh CHALLENGES a touchdown. Embarrassing. Imagine if McD did that lol lol wut Did they even allow that? All scoring plays are automatically reviewed. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Freddie's Dead Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 1 minute ago, 4merper4mer said: If McD made the same challenge as Harbaugh just did,how many fire McD threads? To quote Rain Man, "Lots and lots of them." Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gomper Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 Rams game is fun 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warcodered Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 1 minute ago, BRH said: How do you take a delay on a 2-point conversion? .....when you disagree with the decision? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FireChans Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 1 minute ago, RiotAct said: lol wut Did they even allow that? All scoring plays are automatically reviewed. No, it’s a loss of TO and nothing happens lol 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Airseven Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 Bears still put up duds, but they can be fun to watch. Edmunds ices game with INT. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DapperCam Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 These Rams pass rushers diving at Jackson just look silly. Don't dive! Stay on your feet! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Freddie's Dead Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 3 minutes ago, RiotAct said: lol wut Did they even allow that? All scoring plays are automatically reviewed. The challenge was disallowed, and it cost him a timeout. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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