AFC Standings, schedules, & Rooting Interests FINAL 1/7/24 BILLS 2 Seed!

[mannc]

9 hours ago, Process said:

We are now -400 to make playoffs and +180 to win the division. Seems to suggest that Vegas thinks we have a good chance to get in even with 10 wins. 

Where are you seeing those odds?  I’m not seeing the -400 line anywhere…

[Process]

9 minutes ago, mannc said:

Where are you seeing those odds?  I’m not seeing the -400 line anywhere…

FanDuel 

[stevestojan]

Ok, so who am I rooting for today? 
 

i assume (but am often wrong) we want: 

 

Falcons over Colts

Texans over browns? (Not sure on this one) 

Bucs over Jags 

Cowboys over the fish of course

Pats over Broncos. 
 

And tomorrow Raiders over Chiefs. 
 

i think that’s right; just need help confirming Texans/Browns. A Houston win puts them both at 9-6, but a Browns win drops the Texans pretty much out of the picture. 

[bills6969]

I think we want the Browns to win.  Pretty much eliminates the Texans

[Ecmic82]

12 minutes ago, stevestojan said:

Ok, so who am I rooting for today? 
 

i assume (but am often wrong) we want: 

 

Falcons over Colts

Texans over browns? (Not sure on this one) 

Bucs over Jags 

Cowboys over the fish of course

Pats over Broncos. 
 

And tomorrow Raiders over Chiefs. 
 

i think that’s right; just need help confirming Texans/Browns. A Houston win puts them both at 9-6, but a Browns win drops the Texans pretty much out of the picture. 

it’s convoluted but a Browns win gets the Bills a lot closer to the playoffs as a 10-7 team than would a Texans win.

 

You basically want at least 4 wild card contenders (including the Broncos and Steelers) to get to 8 losses. For the Browns, that’s not likely. It’s a definite possibility for the Texans.

 

Edited December 24, 2023 by Ecmic82

[co_springs_billsfan]

2 hours ago, dollars 2 donuts said:

Guys, I know about the division currently. I’ve laid it out like others have.

 

I’m also in the category of “This team will never lose again.”  I think even one of us made a great thread about this.

 

That said, what are the most likely scenarios that get us in at 10-7? Likely scenarios would be who is likely or could lose to who.

 

Go Bills.

Without even getting into tie breakers, if the Bills finish with 7 losses we would need the following: Steelers, Broncos, and Bengals all lose 1 game to get to 8 losses.  And one of the AFC South teams (Jags, Texans, Colts) lose 2 games to get to 8 losses.  Some of these teams play each other so some of these losses are guaranteed.

 

I'm sure there are other paths (Browns go 0-3, more AFC South losses allows for non-afc South teams to win out, tie breakers), but this to me is most likely and easy to understand.  I'll worry about tie breakers in final week (if necessary).

[WhitewalkerInPhilly]

Annnnnd instacart plus is cancelled 

[mannc]

44 minutes ago, Process said:

FanDuel 

Thanks.  When I checked FanDuel, they did not list any Bills playoff odds

[stevestojan]

22 minutes ago, Ecmic82 said:

it’s convoluted but a Browns win gets the Bills a lot closer to the playoffs as a 10-7 team than would a Texans win.

 

You basically want at least 4 wild card contenders (including the Broncos and Steelers) to get to 8 losses. For the Browns, that’s not likely. It’s a definite possibility for the Texans.

 

Thanks - you knew exactly what I was getting at; what is best scenario in case we lose another one. 
 

So go browns. 

Edited December 24, 2023 by stevestojan

[WhitewalkerInPhilly]

11 hours ago, frostbitmic said:

Rooting for the Cowboys and Raiders to win ...

 

Rooting for the AFC South to lose.

Someone correct me of I'm wrong but if the Jags lose and Colts or Texans win the Jags lose their division spot and would be a game behind us in the wild card. 

[Buffalo03]

Go Browns

Go Falcons

Go Cowboys

[WhitewalkerInPhilly]

2 hours ago, Process said:

FanDuel 

I took an even money parley in preseason for the Bills, Chiefs and Eagles to all make the postseason. I thought it was dead money for a bit but now...

 

 

[Playoffs?]

Weird thought… but if Miami beats Dallas and Baltimore, they take the division, and the Bills/Fins game won’t matter for that purpose. 
 

Wonder if Miami would sit their starters?  If the Bills beat the Pats, and Miami plays backups, it almost ensures that we get in as an 11-6 wildcard… and it keeps Miami healthy for playoffs.  But suppose it could matter for overall playoff seeding for Miami too.. 

[strive_for_five_guy]

5 hours ago, bills6969 said:

I think we want the Browns to win.  Pretty much eliminates the Texans

With Texans and Colts both looking like their going to lose, that’s one less team we’d have to contend with for a WC at 10-7.  Unless they tie, one of them will end up 9-8 or worse after they play (or both 9-7-1 if they tie).  Would be nice if Steelers, Bengals and Broncos each find a way to lose another before Week 18, as a win next week on our end would then guarantee at least a WC spot heading into Week 18.

[Einstein]

5 hours ago, Ecmic82 said:

it’s convoluted but a Browns win gets the Bills a lot closer to the playoffs as a 10-7 team than would a Texans win.

 

 

According to NYT, a Browns win gives us an 8% boost. Which is large.

 

Browns are winning and Falcons are winning. Everything looking goood.

[HappyDays]

After inputting the Colts and Texans losses today, NYT playoff calculator has us at 83% likely to be in as a wildcard if we end the season 10-7.

[TrentEdwardsCheckDownOn4th]

Yeah a lot went the bills way today. They will be able to clinch a playoff spot next week if they win and a couple games go their way. 

[Big Turk]

NYT playoff simulator now giving Bills an 86% chance after the early games went our way...mainly Colts and Texans losing

[JimmyNoodles]

Been a great couple of days for Bills so far. Rooting is Dallas is tough to take.

[Donuts and Doritos]

Bills remain #6 seed after the 12/24 1:00 games.

 

Let's Go:

Cowboys

Buccaneers 

 

If Pats beat the Broncos tonight & next week we win & Bengals & Steelers loose, we clinch a playoff spot.

 

Edited December 24, 2023 by Donuts and Doritos