AFC Standings, schedules, & Rooting Interests FINAL 1/7/24 BILLS 2 Seed!

[DCofNC]

10 hours ago, BuffaloBillyG said:

They have the Steelers, Chiefs and Browns left.  I can't see them losing to Pittsburgh. I can't see them beating Kansas City. And Cleveland I think could go either way. 

 

Of course the wacky way this season has gone they could go 0-3 or 3-0 these last 3 weeks. 1-2 over the last 3 seems most plausible to me.

TJ Watt may end the fun of Browning, who knows.

[Donuts and Doritos]

Moved up to 9th. 

 

Need to keep winning & get some help next week.

[Aussie Joe]

Am I right in saying that if Chiefs beat bengals in Week 17, then the Bills win all three games they are in ?

 

Colts and Texans still play each other 

[gonzo1105]

If the Jags lose tonight, they are now in real danger of falling out as well. They have to be careful as both Houston and Indy are right there with them.

 

Still the favorites for sure but they have Baltimore tonight, @ TB who is playing for their division, Carolina(easy W) and @ Tennessee at the end of the season. You would think 3-1 there but I could easily see 2-2 

2 minutes ago, Aussie Joe said:

Am I right in saying that if Chiefs beat bengals in Week 17, then the Bills win all three games they are in ?

 

Colts and Texans still play each other 

 

If the Bills win out they wont need any help, they will be in for sure whether as a divisional winner or a WC. If they lose 1 to go 10-7 lets say to Miami, then we need a bunch of different scenarios to play out.

[Punch]

According to the NY Times NFL Playoff simulator, the probability our Bills make the playoffs is at 60%. A Ravens win over Jacksonville increases those odds slightly.

 

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2023/upshot/nfl-playoff-picture.html#buf-dal-15=win

 

[Process]

Bengals Texans and Browns all were down multiple scores. All won. Absolute insane levels of bad luck. 

 

Just keep winning. 

[peterpan]

Browns bungles and Texans all with late, improbably comebacks this week.  F me!!! We are finally hitting our stride and can’t catch a break 

[Aussie Joe]

7 minutes ago, gonzo1105 said:

 

 

If the Bills win out they wont need any help, they will be in for sure whether as a divisional winner or a WC. If they lose 1 to go 10-7 lets say to Miami, then we need a bunch of different scenarios to play out.

Ok… so from a WC scenario ( let’s assume Miami win the next two and win division) and the Colts, Bengals win out and the Browns win 2 of 3… there will be 4 teams at 11-6 for three wildcards if the Bills win out … 

[pigpen65]

Its outrageous that this team may miss the playoffs this year because of waiting too long to fire Ken Dorsey......he shouldn't have even made it into this season

[gonzo1105]

2 minutes ago, Aussie Joe said:

Ok… so from a WC scenario ( let’s assume Miami win the next two and win division) and the Colts, Bengals win out and the Browns win 2 of 3… there will be 4 teams at 11-6 for three wildcards if the Bills win out … 

 

I mean in that scenario I suppose its possible the Bills are left out but I'm not sure how the 4 way tiebreakers would work and the likelihood of that all happening is basically slim to none. Cincinnati would have to go into Arrowhead with a backup QB and win. Cincinnati would have to beat Cleveland and have that be Cleveland's only loss. Its just as likely that Cleveland losses their last 3 as anyone. Their @ Houston next week and Cj Stroud will be back, then they play the Jets who most people are chalking up as a win but what if Rodgers gets cleared and actually plays in that game, then they have to play @ Cincinnati to end the season. 

[Charles Romes]

11 hours ago, DCofNC said:

I believe Cincy will fall off, WRs bailed them out on 2 should be picks today, that won’t keep happening.

 
 Hopefully the party will be over soon for Browning.  Seems he’s on the verge of a dobbsian fall. 

[dollars 2 donuts]

We need the chiefs so badly, just in case Miami doesn’t lose until we play them.

 

we need them against the Bengals.

 

the colts could run the table, and the Bengals could, too, if they upend a chiefs’ team they are pretty good at upending.

 

crazy…I don’t want it to be the case, but for the first time I am considering that 11-6 may not get us in.

[Aussie Joe]

2 minutes ago, gonzo1105 said:

 

I mean in that scenario I suppose its possible the Bills are left out but I'm not sure how the 4 way tiebreakers would work and the likelihood of that all happening is basically slim to none. Cincinnati would have to go into Arrowhead with a backup QB and win. Cincinnati would have to beat Cleveland and have that be Cleveland's only loss. Its just as likely that Cleveland losses their last 3 as anyone. Their @ Houston next week and Cj Stroud will be back, then they play the Jets who most people are chalking up as a win but what if Rodgers gets cleared and actually plays in that game, then they have to play @ Cincinnati to end the season. 

Ok,,, fair enough … the 4 way tie break would be interesting…

 

I agree it’s unlikely … but still possible … was all I was trying to say,.,hence why I want the Chiefs to beat the Bengals in Week 17 so it won’t matter …. Although admittedly the Dolphins winning the next two probably won’t happen either 

 

 

Edited December 18, 2023 by Aussie Joe

[Sammy Watkins' Rib]

33 minutes ago, Aussie Joe said:

Am I right in saying that if Chiefs beat bengals in Week 17, then the Bills win all three games they are in ?

 

Colts and Texans still play each other 

 

We will win the division if we win out. No way Miami wins both against Dallas and Baltimore. 

 

The way I look at this game, is that it was huge in the sense that it basically guarantees that the week 18 game is for the division as long as we handle our business against the Chagers and Patriots. Without today's win we would have needed the Dolphins to lose both their upcoming games. Still likely but not near the guarantee of splitting. 

[VW82]

I think Bungles will drop out and Indy and Houston still have to play each other, so that should leave us 7th. But it's so crazy we could go 11-6 and miss. 

[Punch]

If the Bills, Colts and Bengals all win out and the Browns go 2-1 (with the loss coming to Cincy) then the Bills are in.

 

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2023/upshot/buffalo-bills-nfl-playoff-picture.html#lar-wsh-15=win&ari-sf-15=loss&buf-dal-15=win&jax-bal-15=loss&sea-phi-15=loss&lar-no-16=win&pit-cin-16=loss&lac-buf-16=loss&atl-ind-16=loss&ten-sea-16=loss&min-det-16=loss&nyj-wsh-16=loss&car-gb-16=loss&hou-cle-16=loss&tb-jax-16=win&chi-ari-16=win&mia-dal-16=win&den-ne-16=win&kc-lv-16=win&phi-nyg-16=win&sf-bal-16=loss&cle-nyj-17=win&dal-det-17=win&buf-ne-17=win&chi-atl-17=win&ind-lv-17=win&nyg-lar-17=loss&phi-ari-17=win&tb-no-17=win&wsh-sf-17=loss&jax-car-17=win&bal-mia-17=loss&hou-ten-17=win&sea-pit-17=win&den-lac-17=win&kc-cin-17=loss&min-gb-17=loss&cin-cle-18=win&det-min-18=win&gb-chi-18=win&ten-jax-18=loss&ind-hou-18=win&lv-den-18=loss&mia-buf-18=loss&ne-nyj-18=win&no-atl-18=win&nyg-phi-18=loss&ari-sea-18=loss&lac-kc-18=loss&sf-lar-18=win&wsh-dal-18=loss&car-tb-18=loss&bal-pit-18=win

[VaMilBill]

35 minutes ago, gonzo1105 said:

If the Jags lose tonight, they are now in real danger of falling out as well. They have to be careful as both Houston and Indy are right there with them.

 

Still the favorites for sure but they have Baltimore tonight, @ TB who is playing for their division, Carolina(easy W) and @ Tennessee at the end of the season. You would think 3-1 there but I could easily see 2-2 

 

If the Bills win out they wont need any help, they will be in for sure whether as a divisional winner or a WC. If they lose 1 to go 10-7 lets say to Miami, then we need a bunch of different scenarios to play out.

Are you sure. I thought talking heads are saying we need help to get in

[DrBob806]

12 minutes ago, Aussie Joe said:

Ok,,, fair enough … the 4 way tie break would be interesting…

 

I agree it’s unlikely … but still possible … was all I was trying to say,.,hence why I want the Chiefs to beat the Bengals in Week 17 so it won’t matter …. Although admittedly the Dolphins winning the next two probably won’t happen either 

 

 

I suppose there's a slim chance that Miami could lose out & miss the playoffs entirely. Not likely, but possible with their schedule.

[Aussie Joe]

6 minutes ago, Sammy Watkins' Rib said:

 

We will win the division if we win out. No way Miami wins both against Dallas and Baltimore. 

 

The way I look at this game, is that it was huge in the sense that it basically guarantees that the week 18 game is for the division as long as we handle our business against the Chagers and Patriots. Without today's win we would have needed the Dolphins to lose both their upcoming games. Still likely but not near the guarantee of splitting. 

Unlikly Miami wins both …. But it certainly is possible…. Dallas can’t beat good teams away and the Ravens aren’t exactly some type of juggernaut…

 

And yes,, this game and last week were huge for the Bills and it’s pretty likely they will make it if they win out 

2 minutes ago, DrBob806 said:

I suppose there's a slim chance that Miami could lose out & miss the playoffs entirely. Not likely, but possible with their schedule.

Yeah… it’s unlikely … agree with that 

 

 

Edited December 18, 2023 by Aussie Joe

[Mikie2times]

Just now, Aussie Joe said:

Unlike Miami wins both …. But it certainly is possible…. Dallas can’t beat good teams away and the Ravens aren’t exactly some type of juggernaut…

 

And yes,, this game and last week were huge for the Bills and it’s pretty likely they will make it if they win out 

Yeah… it’s unlikely … agree with that 

The one thing I do like is that Miami / Baltimore game is shaping up for homefield. So Baltimore should be pretty motivated.  Another note, they played one of the better regular season games of 2022 last year. Miami won 42-38 after outscoring Baltimore 28-3 in the 4th quarter.