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NFL Playoff Simulator


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16 hours ago, Big Blitz said:

Yea the more I look at their schedules there is almost no way the WC aren’t going to be

 

Cleveland 

Houston

Pittsburgh 

 

If we get to 10-7 I’m not sure how we have a tiebreaker with any of those 3.  None of them are going to be worse than 10-7.   


The path in is win the division.  
 

I'm not convinced the Dolphins don’t find a way to lose 3 more - 1 of them being to us.  


We can’t afford to lose more then 1 more game.  10-7 won’t get in.    

 

We could realistically be 10-6 or 9-7 going into the last game with Miami.  
 

I can see Miami losing to the Jets once, Dallas, Baltimore.   

I got in at 10-7 with us losing to KC and PHI... its not far fetched, that's with a handful of PITT and HOU wins. 

2 hours ago, H2o said:

This is a fun way to pass a little time. I had the Bills lose one more game between either Philly or Dallas and I picked us to beat KC. The season came down to week 18 against the Dolphins. Picked us to beat Miami in Miami giving us the Division for the 4th year in a row and the #4 seed. It also knocks Miami out of the Playoffs entirely, having them lose the last 3 weeks of the year to Dallas, Baltimore, and then Buffalo in week 18. It would be a bitter pill to swallow for Dolphins fans. 

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no other fan base deserves that season end more than they do. 

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2 hours ago, BullBuchanan said:

I'd rather not make it this year. We aren't a threat to win the Super Bowl, so I'd rather have the draft capital to see if a new coach and a couple high profile rookies can be the difference.

We are, though?  Our defense is starting to solidify despite personnel losses and the Bills have a Top 5 offense at worst when we aren't shooting ourselves in the foot.  What team(s) do you feel like we don't have a reasonable chance of beating, and why?

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5 hours ago, Avisan said:

We are, though?  Our defense is starting to solidify despite personnel losses and the Bills have a Top 5 offense at worst when we aren't shooting ourselves in the foot.  What team(s) do you feel like we don't have a reasonable chance of beating, and why?

Our record says there are a lot of teams we won't beat. I have zero expectation that this team can beat KC, Baltimore or Jacksonville in the playoffs. I think we could definitely lose to the Texans and Dolphins. The Bengals with Burrow would have been a lock to beat us. If by some miracle we get through all of that, the Cowboys, Eagles, Lions and 49ers would completely dismantle us. I've watched dozens of games this year. Pretending we are Super Bowl contenders with all the strength in the league this year is completely delusional.

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45 minutes ago, BullBuchanan said:

Our record says there are a lot of teams we won't beat. I have zero expectation that this team can beat KC, Baltimore or Jacksonville in the playoffs. I think we could definitely lose to the Texans and Dolphins. The Bengals with Burrow would have been a lock to beat us. If by some miracle we get through all of that, the Cowboys, Eagles, Lions and 49ers would completely dismantle us. I've watched dozens of games this year. Pretending we are Super Bowl contenders with all the strength in the league this year is completely delusional.

Well I guess we will see this week if we get completely dismantled by the Eagles, and then next by the Chiefs. I came away from that Eagles Chiefs game completely unimpressed. Every team this year has its warts. There is no clear frontrunner. If anyone has the potential to pull their crap together and rise above the rest it's the Bills. We have our qb and the d is coming together again(I think). We are in a decent spot. 

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49 minutes ago, BullBuchanan said:

Our record says there are a lot of teams we won't beat. I have zero expectation that this team can beat KC, Baltimore or Jacksonville in the playoffs. I think we could definitely lose to the Texans and Dolphins. The Bengals with Burrow would have been a lock to beat us. If by some miracle we get through all of that, the Cowboys, Eagles, Lions and 49ers would completely dismantle us. I've watched dozens of games this year. Pretending we are Super Bowl contenders with all the strength in the league this year is completely delusional.

 

I don’t know.  Tom Brady says the league is full of mediocrity. He does not see excellence. and that remark includes the good teams as well. 

So i’ll trust Tom and think our mediocre team can get on a roll and beat other mediocre teams.

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I went through the simulator and got:
1. KC (14-3)

2. JAX (13-4)
3. BAL (12-5)
4. MIA (12-5)

5. CLE (11-6)
6. HOU (10-7)
7. PITT (10-7)

Outside looking in...BUF (10-7), DEN (9-8), IND (9-8)

I had Miami the last week of the season being win-and-in, and we lost (terribly Billsy of them).

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12 hours ago, Jauronimo said:

The Browns beat Baltimore with Watson at QB.  The Browns are playing their 3rd string QB.  I don't see a lot of wins in their future.

Yeah, they’re probably done but if Watson didn’t get hurt, they might’ve run the table. Pretty impressive team. They’d be lucky to win 2 more games now.

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11 hours ago, Governor said:

Yeah, they’re probably done but if Watson didn’t get hurt, they might’ve run the table. Pretty impressive team. They’d be lucky to win 2 more games now.

Browns are winning more bc of the D and running game than Watson. 

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53 minutes ago, TheyCallMeAndy said:

My goodness, there is a realistic path to Bills vs Dolphins being for the division win. 

There are multiple paths.  It's more likely that we win the division than get a wild card spot at this point 

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If and it’s a big IF, we get the Josh we saw last week and the D can keep playing decent, there’s nobody that this team can’t beat in the AFC.   I’m not optimistic that both of those will happen, but it could.   Philly is a big game and it’s a measuring stick for how good this team can be this year.  Their D line is going to absolutely abuse the interior of the line all game, if there’s not a plan to minimize it, Josh is going to have to run for his life and make some big plays on his own.

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On 11/22/2023 at 10:20 PM, Governor said:

Yeah, they’re probably done but if Watson didn’t get hurt, they might’ve run the table. Pretty impressive team. They’d be lucky to win 2 more games now.

The Browns have been winning all year with sub-par quarterbacking…there’s no reason that can’t continue, especially with their schedule.

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On 11/22/2023 at 1:11 PM, Avisan said:

We are, though?  Our defense is starting to solidify despite personnel losses and the Bills have a Top 5 offense at worst when we aren't shooting ourselves in the foot.  What team(s) do you feel like we don't have a reasonable chance of beating, and why?

I take it this is the first time you’ve noticed one of his posts.  They’re all relatively the same posts.  👎🏻 

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