NFL Playoff Simulator

[stlbills13]

There are reasonable paths to a wild card spot but my main focus the rest of the way is rooting against the Dolphins. I still think the division is the most likely path. Need them to drop a game to the Jets and then lose to Dallas and Baltimore. Plus I just hate the Dolphins so it's honestly pretty easy to root against them.

[Sammy Watkins' Rib]

9 hours ago, Big Blitz said:

Texans play the Jags, Broncos, Jets, Browns, Titans (twice), and at Indy to end the season.   

I see 3 losses there max.  
 

I don’t see the Browns losing more than 3 games.  They freaking won at Baltimore.  
 

The Steelers are a joke.  
 

I don’t see a WC path at 10-7.  The Steelers have 3 conference losses.  They play the Bengals twice, New England, Indy, and at Baltimore.  Where are 3 losses here?  

 

Steelers have been outgained in every game they have played this year. Technically, every game on their schedule could be a loss. 

 

Texans have won three straight one score games. Two of them coming down to heroic last second wins. And two of the games were against below average teams. 

 

What I see as a real problem is the Broncos are starting to come on. Had the Bills beaten the Broncos we would gladly take their help these next two games as the Broncos play the Browns and then the Texans. But if they win both they are suddenly sitting at 7-5 with a final stretch of Chargers x2, Lions, Patriots, Raiders. Could see them getting to 10-7 in that scenario. 

 

The year the Bills broke the playoff drought in 2017, they actually won a wild card tie breaker over the Chargers who actually beat the Bills soundly in the regular season that year. But because more than two teams were tied for the last spot, the head to head was not a factor. Bills either won on common games or conference record. Or Chargers may have been eliminated inside own division first, not sure. 

[Drew21PA]

Almost feel we do something stupid and bizarre like the season has been 

 

forecample

 

beat Philly and kc

 

then drop a stinker out west against the chargers 

[Ridgewaycynic2013]

1 minute ago, Drew21PA said:

Almost feel we do something stupid and bizarre like the season has been 

 

forecample

 

beat Philly and kc

 

then drop a stinker out west against the chargers 

Drew, would you use 'forecample' in a sentence, please?

[Drew21PA]

Just now, Ridgewaycynic2013 said:

Drew, would you use 'forecample' in a sentence, please?

Yeah sure

 

i have fat fingers leave me alone 

 

lol

[ngbills]

Division seems more likely. But that requires is winning out or losing 1 max. 
 

HOU looks like a lock with their remaining schedule. 
 

PIT and CLE have a head start on us and easier schedule. So we need either them to stumble. 

[Bob Jones]

The Bills screwed themselves over by losing to the Jets, Pats, and Broncos. Although honestly, they're really not that good, as they barely beat the Giants and the Bucs. I do agree that if JA17 and the offense plays well, and limits the turnovers, they can score on anybody.....but, with all the injuries on defense, I just don’t see them going too far in the post season, and that's if they even get there.

[GunnerBill]

12 hours ago, TampaBillsJunkie said:

We have to beat either Philly or KC and win out to get in. Just picking favorites for the other teams leaves us on the outside looking in. 
This is losing both games to Phi and KC and winning out. We don't get in.

 

 

The reason I am not sure that is true is I don't trust any of the 3 wildcards thar much. Particularly Steelers and Cleveland. They will both drop at least 1 they should win.

[Ridgewaycynic2013]

1 hour ago, Drew21PA said:

im not impressed with the chiefs at all - way too Kelce reliant and not scoring points 

Don't be surprised when Taylor writes a song about your saying this. 🤨

[Process]

12 hours ago, TampaBillsJunkie said:

We have to beat either Philly or KC and win out to get in. Just picking favorites for the other teams leaves us on the outside looking in. 
This is losing both games to Phi and KC and winning out. We don't get in.

 

This is not realistic at all. 

 

Also, Cleveland will be underdogs in 3+ games. Not sure how you determined "favorites."

[Sammy Watkins' Rib]

38 minutes ago, Drew21PA said:

Almost feel we do something stupid and bizarre like the season has been 

 

forecample

 

beat Philly and kc

 

then drop a stinker out west against the chargers 

i’ve had theChargers game penciled in as a loss for a while now. That game won’t be easy. Chargers are in pretty much every game they play. They just blow half of them at the end. 
 

I actually have the chargers as one of our five tough games remaining so really not a big deal in my opinion if we lose to them. As long as we still go three and two in those 5 tough games.

 

billsy would be getting swept by the Patriots this year.

[Sammy Watkins' Rib]

11 minutes ago, GunnerBill said:

 

The reason I am not sure that is true is I don't trust any of the 3 wildcards thar much. Particularly Steelers and Cleveland. They will both drop at least 1 they should win.

agreed.  realistically the Steelers don’t have any games they “should win”. Every game for them is a 50-50 toss up. and yes, that includes playing the Bengals back up quarterback twice.
 

We will see if their luck continues to be on their side.

 

I have a bad feeling our seasons, going to come down to the bills, needing to beat the Dolphins and the Raiders needing to beat the Broncos in the final week. That’s for the wild card scenario.
 

but if the dolphins can lose enough games, hopefully beating the dolphins in the final week means the bills win the division.

[Avisan]

Y'all need to remember that the Bills are still one of the best teams in the league despite our record and injuries.

 

Repeatedly punching ourselves in the 'nads on offense for a few weeks and a string of bad bounces led to an uphill playoff climb, but the Bills SHOULD beat every team remaining on our schedule.  They just haven't been getting it done so far this year.

 

Acting as though the Bills need a miracle to win against *insert team here* is plain bizarre, we have the horses to get it done against any of them.  Just gotta stop going all Plaxico Burress on ourselves on offense.

[PatsFanNH]

12 hours ago, jkeerie said:

It seems we really have to root against Pittsburgh especially if we don't win the division.

The Steelers are all D! Their O is almost as bad as NE and the Giants.. they ever get a QB they be scary scary good.. 

[Udubalum07]

7 hours ago, TheWeatherMan said:

We lost to the Jets, Patriots, Jags, Broncos and 3 feet away from losing to the Giants.  We are bonafide pretenders my guy.  

The difference is when the bills play well, they can be the best team in the league.  Look at the miami game.  That is the bills upside.  The problem has been injuries on defense and consistency on offense.  I think the defense has been able to backfill well with the Rasul trade and the 1t being filled.

 

If the offense can somehow get rolling, they are as dangerous as complete a team as anybody in the league. 

[Generic_Bills_Fan]

13 hours ago, TampaBillsJunkie said:

We have to beat either Philly or KC and win out to get in. Just picking favorites for the other teams leaves us on the outside looking in. 
This is losing both games to Phi and KC and winning out. We don't get in.

 

‘Favorites’ seems to be up for debate at this point though  as I’m pretty sure pit is terrible lol.  Houston at 13-4 making jax a wildcard team? No way 

 

only picking favorites really doesn’t work at all as even if you are a 60/40 favorite to win every game the odds of winning them all are astronomically small 

Edited November 22, 2023 by Generic_Bills_Fan

[JimBob2232]

We have to win 2 of the next 3.  I think its as simple as that.

[pennstate10]

11 hours ago, Big Blitz said:

Yea the more I look at their schedules there is almost no way the WC aren’t going to be

 

Cleveland 

Houston

Pittsburgh 

 

If we get to 10-7 I’m not sure how we have a tiebreaker with any of those 3.  None of them are going to be worse than 10-7.   

The path in is win the division.  
 

I'm not convinced the Dolphins don’t find a way to lose 3 more - 1 of them being to us.  

We can’t afford to lose more then 1 more game.  10-7 won’t get in.    

 

We could realistically be 10-6 or 9-7 going into the last game with Miami.  
 

I can see Miami losing to the Jets once, Dallas, Baltimore.   

I don’t see the Steelers finishing 10-7. 
All their wins have been by less than one score. Tomlinson is a good coach, but there is a bit of luck in there as well. 
 

I see the Steelers as an 8-9, 9-8 team. 

[Jauronimo]

11 hours ago, Big Blitz said:

Texans play the Jags, Broncos, Jets, Browns, Titans (twice), and at Indy to end the season.   

I see 3 losses there max.  
 

I don’t see the Browns losing more than 3 games.  They freaking won at Baltimore.  
 

The Steelers are a joke.  
 

I don’t see a WC path at 10-7.  The Steelers have 3 conference losses.  They play the Bengals twice, New England, Indy, and at Baltimore.  Where are 3 losses here?  

The Browns beat Baltimore with Watson at QB.  The Browns are playing their 3rd string QB.  I don't see a lot of wins in their future.

[Einstein's Dog]

Isn't anyone going to do the Optimistic scenarios?

 

A 6-0 run could should give us an excellent shot at the 2 seed.  The one seed is still in play, although difficult because of Jax needing 3 losses.