NFL Playoff Simulator

[Lost]

https://www.espn.com/nfl/playoffs/machine

 

This will update seeding based on your picks for remaining games.  

 

Based on my picks the Bills could lose to both to Eagles and KC and still squeak in as 6th or 7th seed and play at Jacksonville or Baltimore.   If they win all their games from here out they would most likely grab the 3rd or 4th seed and host either Miami or Houston.

 

 

 

Edited November 22, 2023 by Lost

[Dick_Cheney]

Big if true.

[TampaBillsJunkie]

We have to beat either Philly or KC and win out to get in. Just picking favorites for the other teams leaves us on the outside looking in. 
This is losing both games to Phi and KC and winning out. We don't get in.

 

[uticaclub]

 

 

Heres two scenarios where the Bills win out and still miss

Edited November 22, 2023 by uticaclub

[Cheektowaga Chad]

The bills best opportunity will be to win the division, need the dolphins to lose 1 of the next 4 then they run into the cowboys ravens and bills

 

With the amount of wins other wild card teams already have coupled with the ease of their schedules and kind of chaos with with QB injuries the bills are too far behind for a wild card unless they win 2 of the next 3 then win out 

 

[Buffalo03]

1 hour ago, Lost said:

https://www.espn.com/nfl/playoffs/machine

 

This will updated seeding based on your picks for remaining games.  

 

Based on my picks the Bills could lose to both to Eagles and KC and still squeak in as 6th or 7th seed and play at Jacksonville or Baltimore.   If they win all there games from here out they would most likely grab the 3rd or 4th seed and host either Miami or Houston.

 

We are better than any of the 3 or 4 teams ahead of us for a Wild Card. I would take us over Pittsburgh, Cleveland or Houston especially. The dream scenario would be to somehow win the division. A home playoff matchup against the Texans would be a dream matchup in my opinion 

[jkeerie]

It seems we really have to root against Pittsburgh especially if we don't win the division.

[Bills!Win!]

Let’s go Tim Boyle on friday! (That is his name, right?)

[boyst]

I'm not against a top 15 pick, though.

[transplantbillsfan]

58 minutes ago, TampaBillsJunkie said:

We have to beat either Philly or KC and win out to get in. Just picking favorites for the other teams leaves us on the outside looking in. 
This is losing both games to Phi and KC and winning out. We don't get in.

 

 

I think that "picking favorites" strategy is massively flawed for the AFC North.

 

Your scenario only sees Cincinnati winning one more game and Cleveland only losing one more game. I think both scenarios are pretty far fetched.

 

By the way, if we're rooting for any team on a weekly basis to win in the AFC, it's Baltimore. They're the only other AFC team (that matters) with a bye remaining. That means 1 less game for them and smaller chance to match them.

[strive_for_five_guy]

Just win, baby!  If we can’t beat Philly or KC, we’re just pretenders anyway.

[Big Blitz]

Yea the more I look at their schedules there is almost no way the WC aren’t going to be

 

Cleveland 

Houston

Pittsburgh 

 

If we get to 10-7 I’m not sure how we have a tiebreaker with any of those 3.  None of them are going to be worse than 10-7.   

The path in is win the division.  
 

I'm not convinced the Dolphins don’t find a way to lose 3 more - 1 of them being to us.  

We can’t afford to lose more then 1 more game.  10-7 won’t get in.    

 

We could realistically be 10-6 or 9-7 going into the last game with Miami.  
 

I can see Miami losing to the Jets once, Dallas, Baltimore.   

Edited November 22, 2023 by Big Blitz

[Lost]

6 minutes ago, Big Blitz said:

Yea the more I look at their schedules there is almost no way the WC aren’t going to be

 

Cleveland 

Houston

Pittsburgh 

 

If we get to 10-7 I’m not sure how we have a tiebreaker with any of those 3.  None of them are going to be worse than 10-7.   

The path in is win the division.  
 

I'm not convinced the Dolphins don’t find a way to lose 3 more - 1 of them being to us.  

We can’t afford to lose more then 1 more game.  10-7 won’t get in.    

 

We could realistically be 10-6 going into the last game with Miami.  
 

I can see Miami losing to the Jets once, Dallas, Baltimore.   

 

I have the Steelers losing 3 of thier last 4 to drop out of the playoffs in which case the Bills get in.  

[SCBills]

8 minutes ago, Big Blitz said:

Yea the more I look at their schedules there is almost no way the WC aren’t going to be

 

Cleveland 

Houston

Pittsburgh 

 

If we get to 10-7 I’m not sure how we have a tiebreaker with any of those 3.  None of them are going to be worse than 10-7.   

The path in is win the division.  
 

I'm not convinced the Dolphins don’t find a way to lose 3 more - 1 of them being to us.  

We can’t afford to lose more then 1 more game.  10-7 won’t get in.    

 

We could realistically be 10-6 or 9-7 going into the last game with Miami.  
 

I can see Miami losing to the Jets once, Dallas, Baltimore.   

Steelers have 4 losses and I could easily see them losing to Arizona, splitting with Cinci and then dropping Seattle and Bal to end the season. 
 

Texans, also 4 losses.  It’s trickier to find 4 more losses, but they are a young team that could hit the skids and no one would be surprised. 
 

Browns have 3 losses, but when their QB is a rookie backup, who knows. 
 

On the flip side… I’d throw the Broncos in the mix too … which gets tricky because they play some of the above teams…and the way Russ looks, they could make a run.  Obviously they are yet another team we’d lose tie-breakers to. 

[Big Blitz]

Texans play the Jags, Broncos, Jets, Browns, Titans (twice), and at Indy to end the season.   

I see 3 losses there max.  
 

I don’t see the Browns losing more than 3 games.  They freaking won at Baltimore.  
 

The Steelers are a joke.  
 

I don’t see a WC path at 10-7.  The Steelers have 3 conference losses.  They play the Bengals twice, New England, Indy, and at Baltimore.  Where are 3 losses here?  

[MJS]

36 minutes ago, transplantbillsfan said:

 

I think that "picking favorites" strategy is massively flawed for the AFC North.

 

Your scenario only sees Cincinnati winning one more game and Cleveland only losing one more game. I think both scenarios are pretty far fetched.

 

By the way, if we're rooting for any team on a weekly basis to win in the AFC, it's Baltimore. They're the only other AFC team (that matters) with a bye remaining. That means 1 less game for them and smaller chance to match them.

Cincy lost Burrow, though. How many more games are they realistically going to win, do you think?

[zow2]

1 hour ago, Cheektowaga Chad said:

The bills best opportunity will be to win the division, need the dolphins to lose 1 of the next 4 then they run into the cowboys ravens and bills

 

With the amount of wins other wild card teams already have coupled with the ease of their schedules and kind of chaos with with QB injuries the bills are too far behind for a wild card unless they win 2 of the next 3 then win out 

 

 

Miami won’t win every game they are supposed to win. I could see a surprise loss to Jets, Wash or Tenn.  Heck, Buffalo has 3 such losses already. 

 

Jets defense will be in a salty mood too, the way they played last week and with their offense failing them.  They might break Tua in half if they can get a hold of him.

Edited November 22, 2023 by zow2

[Doc Brown]

31 minutes ago, Big Blitz said:

I don’t see a WC path at 10-7.  The Steelers have 3 conference losses.  They play the Bengals twice, New England, Indy, and at Baltimore.  Where are 3 losses here?  

When your starter is Kenny Pickett none of those games are gimmes.  I can easily see them going 2-5 or 3-4.

[SCBills]

36 minutes ago, Big Blitz said:

Texans play the Jags, Broncos, Jets, Browns, Titans (twice), and at Indy to end the season.   

I see 3 losses there max.  
 

I don’t see the Browns losing more than 3 games.  They freaking won at Baltimore.  
 

The Steelers are a joke.  
 

I don’t see a WC path at 10-7.  The Steelers have 3 conference losses.  They play the Bengals twice, New England, Indy, and at Baltimore.  Where are 3 losses here?  

I think the Bills need to go 6-1 to get in, but there are paths (hypothetically) at 5-2.  
 

I just posted who the Steelers could take 4 L’s from .. and when you have one of the worst offenses in football, no game is guaranteed. 
 

Texans, if they play like they have all season, will make the playoffs.   If Stroud hits a rookie wall and/or starts getting figured out, they could fall off… fast. 
 

Browns are looking good, but have a rookie backup… 

 

If Cleveland loses to Denver this week, they could be a candidate to start dropping some games … and then we can root for that, while also being worried about a 6-5 Denver that we might want to get to 7-5 over the Texans before facing the Chargers and Lions. 

[transplantbillsfan]

1 hour ago, MJS said:

Cincy lost Burrow, though. How many more games are they realistically going to win, do you think?

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