Road to the Playoffs

[Drew21PA]

Idk I feel pitta loses they are done for sure.  
 

indy I see losing in atl but I could be optimistic - atl defense is coming along strong and playing for a playoff spot too

 

cincy idk if it’s luck or what but sheesh it’s so weird with them

 

browns the same way - I can’t get a read on anyone 

Denver and the colts for me are the ones I’m hoping choke 

 

 

[Scott7975]

8 minutes ago, Drew21PA said:

Idk I feel pitta loses they are done for sure.  
 

indy I see losing in atl but I could be optimistic - atl defense is coming along strong and playing for a playoff spot too

 

cincy idk if it’s luck or what but sheesh it’s so weird with them

 

browns the same way - I can’t get a read on anyone 

 

Changing it to ATL over Colts doesnt change anything in the scenario.

 

Cinci is a mix of good skill positions and a QB playing well that teams didn't have film on probably. I don't see them losing to the Vikings or Pitts.  I have them losing to KC.  I have them beating the Browns but even if the Browns win, it doesn't change anything for the Bills.

 

Browns are winning on defense and good run game.  Flacco also played well.  I don't see them losing to the Bears or the Jets.  However, there are a couple I feel they could lose but I coin flipped em because I felt they could go either way.  Strike that ... I coin flipped and had them beating Texans while them losing Cinci.

Edited December 14, 2023 by Scott7975

[Sammy Watkins' Rib]

3 minutes ago, Scott7975 said:

 

Lets see if any of this looks unrealistic to anyone and if so what games they would change...

 

Week 15

Cinci over Vikings

Colts over Pitts

Detroit over Denver

Browns over Bears

Ravens over Jags

Texans over Titans

Week 16

Cinci over Pitts

Jags over Tampa

Browns over Texans

Denver over Pats

Colts over Atlanta

49ers over Ravens

Week 17

Browns over Jets

Seattle over Pitts

Colts over Raiders

KC over Cinci

Jags over Panthers

Denver over Chargers

Titans over Texans

Week 18

Denver over Raiders

Ravens over Pitts

Cinci over Browns

Colts over Texans

Jags over Titans

 

 

It all looks realistic to me but I bolded games that I think could go the other way. Well over half the games as you can see.

 

One thing that is looking interesting to me, is don't sleep on the Broncos winning out and the Chiefs losing 2 of 4. Such a scenario could have the Chiefs missing the playoffs. I really like what I am seeing from Browning and the Bengals. That game could be a loss for KC. Then they just have to find one more loss out of the Patriots, Raiders and Chargers. Seems unlikely but with the way the Chiefs are playing i wouldn't be totally shocked if they drop one out of three. Curious how motived the Pats will be this week playing at home after all the reports about Bill leaving after the year. 

 

Broncos have one of the easiest schedules remaining and could win out if they can get past Detroit this weekend. 

 

[Drew21PA]

2 minutes ago, Scott7975 said:

 

Changing it to ATL over Colts doesnt change anything in the scenario.

 

Cinci is a mix of good skill positions and a QB playing well that teams didn't have film on probably. I don't see them losing to the Vikings or Pitts.  I have them losing to KC.  I have them beating the Browns but even if the Browns win, it doesn't change anything for the Bills.

 

Browns are winning on defense and good run game.  Flacco also played well.  I don't see them losing to the Bears or the Jets.  However, there are a couple I feel they could lose but I coin flipped em because I felt they could go either way.  

I gotta disagree on the jets

 

rhat could be a defensive slug fest - and I don’t see Flacco beating the jets.  Jets get short fields I see the winning there.  
 

I also given the Vikings more credit - and with Jefferson returning ?  They won’t be losing to the bengals 

I also feel we could be seeing the Jets beat the dolphins with Wilson back

 

they should have won the first time around imo but selah hates Wilson lol

I also wonder after this weeks 3-0 embarrassment If the raiders play with more pride?

 

knock odd Denver perhaps?  I’m still not sold on their “run”

[Scott7975]

4 minutes ago, Sammy Watkins' Rib said:

 

It all looks realistic to me but I bolded games that I think could go the other way. Well over half the games as you can see.

 

One thing that is looking interesting to me, is don't sleep on the Broncos winning out and the Chiefs losing 2 of 4. Such a scenario could have the Chiefs missing the playoffs. I really like what I am seeing from Browning and the Bengals. That game could be a loss for KC. Then they just have to find one more loss out of the Patriots, Raiders and Chargers. Seems unlikely but with the way the Chiefs are playing i wouldn't be totally shocked if they drop one out of three. Curious how motived the Pats will be this week playing at home after all the reports about Bill leaving after the year. 

 

Broncos have one of the easiest schedules remaining and could win out if they can get past Detroit this weekend. 

 

 

Ok I gotta say I think you made some bold upset picks on some of them.  I plugged them in though and the Bills still dont get in that way.

[Sammy Watkins' Rib]

1 minute ago, Scott7975 said:

 

Ok I gotta say I think you made some bold upset picks on some of them.  I plugged them in though and the Bills still dont get in that way.

 

Well only half of them will likely hit. Many of the games you picked are toss up games as well. As are mine. So realistically I would say a split down the middle is accurate. But then you have to choose the correct ones. Impossible. 

[Scott7975]

13 minutes ago, Drew21PA said:

I gotta disagree on the jets

 

rhat could be a defensive slug fest - and I don’t see Flacco beating the jets.  Jets get short fields I see the winning there.  
 

I also given the Vikings more credit - and with Jefferson returning ?  They won’t be losing to the bengals 

I also feel we could be seeing the Jets beat the dolphins with Wilson back

 

they should have won the first time around imo but selah hates Wilson lol

 

I think its unlikely Jets beat the Browns but I'll play it and see what happens.  It could happen but lets see if it helps.

I totally disagree on Vikings beating Cinci. They just played a boring ass 3-0 game against the Raiders.  Vikings are not good without Cousins. But ill plug it in.

 

Jets/Dolphins doesn't matter for the exercise like I said.  This is all about IF the Bills don't win the division then how tough would it be to get a wildcard.

 

I did plug those in and Bills still dont get in.

8 minutes ago, Sammy Watkins' Rib said:

 

Well only half of them will likely hit. Many of the games you picked are toss up games as well. As are mine. So realistically I would say a split down the middle is accurate. But then you have to choose the correct ones. Impossible. 

 

Of course.  I'm not knocking your picks.  I just thought a few were pretty bold.  I plugged them in anyhow just like you had em.

Edited December 14, 2023 by Scott7975

[boyst]

47 minutes ago, Scott7975 said:

There is still a very good chance we don't make the playoffs if we dont win the division though.

I would be more concerned that we win the division but don't make the playoffs.

[Scott7975]

6 minutes ago, boyst said:

I would be more concerned that we win the division but don't make the playoffs.

 

Um, if that happened I would never watch football again because that would be rigging the impossible ha.

[Scott7975]

https://www.nfl.com/news/nfl-playoff-picture-postseason-probabilities-entering-week-15-of-2023-season

[boyst]

17 minutes ago, Scott7975 said:

 

Um, if that happened I would never watch football again because that would be rigging the impossible ha.

I think any division winner who does not have a winning record (though harder now with 17 games) should forfeit their spot in the playoffs and it should go to the team with the overall best record. And even wildcard teams must have a winning record.

 

In practice that could mean this year as of now only 5 NFC teams make it:

San Fran

Dallas

Phili

Detroit

Minnesota

 

My format for NFC wildcard:

Texans (7-6)

Bengals (7-6)

 

AFC Division winners:

Miami

Chiefs

Ravens

Jags

 

Wildcard (Traditional):

Cleveland (8-5)

Pittsburgh (7-6)

Indianapolis (7-6)

 

Yep, that's right. The teams who fail to make it as a wildcard in their own conference can go to the other conference to qualify. Who really wants to see the Packers play the Cowboys? Or the Eagles play the Bucs?

15 minutes ago, Scott7975 said:

https://www.nfl.com/news/nfl-playoff-picture-postseason-probabilities-entering-week-15-of-2023-season

that's great. Bills are barely mentioned. The team can focus on winning and not headlines. If we win a bunch and go far maybe it shows we were wrong about McDermott.

 

If we choke, falter, or stumble we do the right thing and get rid of McChump.

[Scott7975]

3 minutes ago, boyst said:

I think any division winner who does not have a winning record (though harder now with 17 games) should forfeit their spot in the playoffs and it should go to the team with the overall best record. And even wildcard teams must have a winning record.

 

In practice that could mean this year as of now only 5 NFC teams make it:

San Fran

Dallas

Phili

Detroit

Minnesota

 

My format for NFC wildcard:

Texans (7-6)

Bengals (7-6)

 

AFC Division winners:

Miami

Chiefs

Ravens

Jags

 

Wildcard (Traditional):

Cleveland (8-5)

Pittsburgh (7-6)

Indianapolis (7-6)

 

Yep, that's right. The teams who fail to make it as a wildcard in their own conference can go to the other conference to qualify. Who really wants to see the Packers play the Cowboys? Or the Eagles play the Bucs?

 

I mean I get that noone wants to see some loser teams in the playoffs, I don't either but they aren't going to change that.  Division winners are always going to make it. You didn't like Seattle hosting the Saints at 7-9 and winning lol.

[boyst]

19 minutes ago, Scott7975 said:

 

I mean I get that noone wants to see some loser teams in the playoffs, I don't either but they aren't going to change that.  Division winners are always going to make it. You didn't like Seattle hosting the Saints at 7-9 and winning lol.

i just think it'd be awesome to watch Houston go into the NFC and get to the NFCC and play San Fran. Houston could beat Phili and Dallas

[Bills fan since 87]

14 minutes ago, boyst said:

i just think it'd be awesome to watch Houston go into the NFC and get to the NFCC and play San Fran. Houston could beat Phili and Dallas

What?  Philly or Dallas would handle Houston.  Especially if Stroud is injured (I think their receivers are hurt too?)

[boyst]

2 hours ago, Bills fan since 87 said:

What?  Philly or Dallas would handle Houston.  Especially if Stroud is injured (I think their receivers are hurt too?)

I think Houston has talent and as a hard effort team can beat anyone. 

[HappyDays]

Texans are probably going to lose at least 2 more games so that takes them out of the wildcard race.

 

Steelers are done.

 

Bengals unfortunately are very much in it. I think they will beat Vikings and Steelers, so they would need to lose the last two against Chiefs and Browns to get them to 9-8.

 

Browns are not losing 3 out of their last 4 so might as well root for them to win out.

 

Colts have a very easy finish - Falcons, Steelers, Raiders, Texans. I think they'll go 3-1 and make a wildcard spot. I wouldn't be shocked to see them steal the division and push Jags to a wildcard spot.

 

Unfortunately the Broncos have a very easy finish too. Lions, Pats, Chargers, Raiders. 3-1 is my guess so they're in.

 

Our 10-7 wildcard chances depend on 2 of the Broncos, Bengals, or Colts losing a game they should win. Taking the division is our best bet, even at 10-7 because I think the Dolphins losing 2 of their next 3 is more likely than one of the presumed wildcard teams slipping up.

 

Most realistic path IMO is we lose to Cowboys but win out the rest of the way, and Dolphins lose 2 of Jets/Cowboys/Ravens.

[The Red King]

Yeah, I'm more focused on the division now.  We just need to gain one more game.

 

The real irony is...Miami could lose their next three games and still win the East if they beat us Week 18.

[Boatdrinks]

20 minutes ago, The Red King said:

Yeah, I'm more focused on the division now.  We just need to gain one more game.

 

The real irony is...Miami could lose their next three games and still win the East if they beat us Week 18.

Nothing ironic about it. The Bills put themselves in this spot by losing games to teams they shouldn’t - Pats, Denver , Jets. The Dolphins, up until their meltdown vs TEN had handled the lesser teams consistently. The Bills have a shot at the division now, but very little margin for error. The Fish have a tough schedule , but can afford a couple losses. Should be interesting down the stretch. 

[Gregg]

[Jrb1979]

3 hours ago, HappyDays said:

Texans are probably going to lose at least 2 more games so that takes them out of the wildcard race.

 

Steelers are done.

 

Bengals unfortunately are very much in it. I think they will beat Vikings and Steelers, so they would need to lose the last two against Chiefs and Browns to get them to 9-8.

 

Browns are not losing 3 out of their last 4 so might as well root for them to win out.

 

Colts have a very easy finish - Falcons, Steelers, Raiders, Texans. I think they'll go 3-1 and make a wildcard spot. I wouldn't be shocked to see them steal the division and push Jags to a wildcard spot.

 

Unfortunately the Broncos have a very easy finish too. Lions, Pats, Chargers, Raiders. 3-1 is my guess so they're in.

 

Our 10-7 wildcard chances depend on 2 of the Broncos, Bengals, or Colts losing a game they should win. Taking the division is our best bet, even at 10-7 because I think the Dolphins losing 2 of their next 3 is more likely than one of the presumed wildcard teams slipping up.

 

Most realistic path IMO is we lose to Cowboys but win out the rest of the way, and Dolphins lose 2 of Jets/Cowboys/Ravens.

I've been saying that for awhile. 10-7 will not get the Bills in the playoffs unless it's the division.