Road to the Playoffs

[Governor]

5 minutes ago, Generic_Bills_Fan said:

Jags blowing 2 down the stretch is pretty unlikely but it would be a huge boost to our wildcard odds too…losing to the bucs would really make them sweat out those last two games.  Jags losing two would get us from coin flip at best with 10 wins to very likely in with 10 wins 

 

They look uncharacteristically shaky all of a sudden. Could happen.

Edited December 18, 2023 by Governor

[steven50]

all that needs to happen now is the dolphins lose a game to either the ravens or the cowboys (very likely) and we take care of business against chargers, patriots and them.

[Nelius]

James Cook - 221 all purpose yards and 2 TDs, one on the ground and one through the air

 

I feel like people are downplaying this. This is not just some smiley head nod running back performance. There is no other back in the AFC doing this. This feels like a Priest Holmes / Jamal Lewis level splash. Let James Cook indeed

[Kgun5]

Here’s a more sober look at us at 10-7:

 

Go to the ESPN playoff machine.

Set the criteria to winning %, (resolve ties however you’d like). This gives the Bills a 10-7 record with our loss being to Miami.

Try to find a realistic game to flip, (other than ours), that gets us in. Your only chance is Denver losing to one of the weaklings they play.

 

Edited December 18, 2023 by Kgun5
Clarity

[Einstein]

7 hours ago, Generic_Bills_Fan said:

Jags blowing 2 down the stretch is pretty unlikely but it would be a huge boost to our wildcard odds too…losing to the bucs would really make them sweat out those last two games.  Jags losing two would get us from coin flip at best with 10 wins to very likely in with 10 wins 

 

 

Jags only need to lose 1 of their next 3 (TB, CAR, TEN). Not 2.

 

[Process]

If Vikings and Titans don't blow two score leads Bills are in a playoff spot right now and probably a lock 🤦‍♂️

[Sammy Watkins' Rib]

2 hours ago, Kgun5 said:

Here’s a more sober look at us at 10-7:

 

Go to the ESPN playoff machine.

Set the criteria to winning %, (resolve ties however you’d like). This gives the Bills a 10-7 record with our loss being to Miami.

Try to find a realistic game to flip, (other than ours), that gets us in. Your only chance is Denver losing to one of the weaklings they play.

 

 

Honestly, i thought the Broncos were quite a bit better than they appear to be now. That was a bad loss on Saturday. Certainly seems likely the Broncos will finish the season 2-1 here on out. Just don't know which team it will be that they lose to. 

[zow2]

6 minutes ago, Sammy Watkins' Rib said:

 

Honestly, i thought the Broncos were quite a bit better than they appear to be now. That was a bad loss on Saturday. Certainly seems likely the Broncos will finish the season 2-1 here on out. Just don't know which team it will be that they lose to. 

 

I think the Raiders have a good chance to beat Indy and Denver at the end of this season.  LV has found something.  The O'Connell kid is playing well,  they have confidence and the D has been really good.  Antonio Pierce wants the gig full time. 

[Drew21PA]

Bills gotta win out…have to

 

i don’t trust these other teams to “help”

[Billsatlastin2018]

11 hours ago, Big Blitz said:

Where am I wrong.

Win out and have the Fish lose one of the next 2 weeks. 
 

The 🦬 MUST win the Division!

 

All the rest is coin tossing gibberish.

[TrentEdwardsCheckDownOn4th]

In case it hasn't already been mentioned,  the bills are Officially out of the running for the #1 seed. Even If the bills and ravens finish tied at 11-6 , they will have the same conference record but the ravens will have a better record vs. Common opponents. 

[Brianmoorman4jesus]

Just hope somehow that Dolphin game is winner Div, loser WC. I don’t care how we get in or what the seed is or where we have to play. Just find a way to sneak in. But if that Dolphin game is loose and we are out, I don’t like that. That’s a very nervous energy in a league where anything can happen on a track that team is super comfortable on. Maybe the Falcons can catch a lucky one this weekend. At some point the colts have to fall on the wrong end of one of these

[SCBills]

10 minutes ago, Brianmoorman4jesus said:

Just hope somehow that Dolphin game is winner Div, loser WC. I don’t care how we get in or what the seed is or where we have to play. Just find a way to sneak in. But if that Dolphin game is loose and we are out, I don’t like that. That’s a very nervous energy in a league where anything can happen on a track that team is super comfortable on. Maybe the Falcons can catch a lucky one this weekend. At some point the colts have to fall on the wrong end of one of these

 

The way this plays out, it seems like there's two scenarios:

 

The game is for the division, and potentially (maybe likely) the loser is out.

 

OR

 

Dolphins win the next two and have nothing to play for against us. 

 

 

Edited December 18, 2023 by SCBills

[Generic_Bills_Fan]

2 minutes ago, SCBills said:

 

The way this plays out, it seems like there's two scenarios:

 

The game is for the division, and potentially (maybe likely) the loser is out.

 

OR

 

Dolphins win the next two and have nothing to play for against us. 

 

 

I think the chiefs are gonna be the problem on that final point…they’d have to drop one also because they have the h2h against the dolphins and should win out

 

Baltimore probably will lose to SF and if they lose to Miami too they wouldn’t be an issue 

[Success]

4 hours ago, Kgun5 said:

Here’s a more sober look at us at 10-7:

 

Go to the ESPN playoff machine.

Set the criteria to winning %, (resolve ties however you’d like). This gives the Bills a 10-7 record with our loss being to Miami.

Try to find a realistic game to flip, (other than ours), that gets us in. Your only chance is Denver losing to one of the weaklings they play.

 

 

I mean, Denver could lose out.  They're on the same level as the teams they're playing (Pats, Chargers, Raiders).

 

[Generic_Bills_Fan]

6 minutes ago, Success said:

 

I mean, Denver could lose out.  They're on the same level as the teams they're playing (Pats, Chargers, Raiders).

 

This seems like the part people haven’t wrapped their heads around lol. These wildcard competitor teams could literally lose to anyone.  Its why the Steelers went from 6-3 to 7-7 

[TheWei44]

My best guess re the Miami game is that it will in fact be for the division (b/c I see Miami losing at least 1 of next 2), and if the Bills lose in Miami, we'll have a chance to get in as WC in one of those if A + B happens or if C + D + E happens, etc.  

[Gregg]

I think Dallas beats Miami. They are pissed off and still have a very good team. When they lost to SF, they then went on a 5-game winning streak. 

[zow2]

I feel like more than a few OT games have worked against the Bills (in addition to their own losses).  Not as many as i thought but here's the list of OT games involving AFC playoff hopefuls.  I think OT results are bit of random luck to be honest (or being unlucky).  

 

Week 1  Jets defeat Bills 22-16

Week 2  Titans defeat Chargers 27-24

Week 3  Colts defeat Ravens 22-19

Week 4  Rams defeat Colts 29-23

Week 12  Eagles defeat Bills 37-34

Week 13  Colts defeat Titans 31-28

Week 13  Bengals defeat Jags 34-31

Week 14  Ravens defeat Rams 37-31

Week 15  Bengals defeat Vikings 27-24

Week 15  Texans defeat Titans 19-16

[mannc]

For the first time in a while, the Bills’ betting odds to make the playoffs are significantly better than their chance of missing out, by about 2 to 1, on FanDuel.