Road to the Playoffs

[MikePJ76]

its going to be pretty tough for miami to lose to the titans and the raiders.

 

have to hope the jets, ravens, bills and pats beat them.  

[chongli]

Have some confidence people. In 2021 we were 6-4 and then 7-6.  We'll know more after the Jets game. I think the Bills return to their old selves and rally around McD and Brady.

Edited November 16, 2023 by chongli

[Success]

One thing I do like right now is that EVERYONE outside of Buffalo has written this team off.

 

Some here have also, but there isn't much that's more fun than seeing the hot take punditry get proven wrong. Though, they never admit it when it happens.

 

[Chaos]

32 minutes ago, Ridgewaycynic2013 said:

Can't they just scratch by sinking the cue ball? 🤔

*
And as mentioned the other day, Buffalo at least controlled some of their playoff chances until Monday's loss.  With the loss, the Bills chances are entirely in the hands of opponents.  Buffalo could go undefeated the rest of the season, and still miss the playoffs.

Are you sure this is true. 

[rusty shackleford]

I can see some crazy scenario that comes down to Burrow throwing a 4th and long TD pass to Boyd that knocks Cleveland out and get us in the last wild card spot.

[The Frankish Reich]

NYT playoff simulator (I preferred 538's model, but that site is basically gone): 19% chance of making the playoffs.

But, as they like to say in these parts, hear me out:

- we beat the Jets: 25%

- skipping ahead (because I dare not confront the fact of the next two games), let's say we win out in our division. That means Jets on Sunday, then Pats, then Dolphins in Game 17. Without predicting the outcome of any other games (ours or any other AFC teams), and with the NYT's model of every team's relative strength/likely outcomes of all games, we go all the way up to 50%. Yeah, we still gotta beat somebody (or somebodies) else, and that means the Cowboys, or the Chiefs, or the Eagles, or the Chargers. Right now I doubt we'd be favored in any of 'em. But it's the NFL and stuff happens, and we're not exactly a bad team, so ...

... yeah, I'm saying there's a chance, and it's not a wild/crazy chance like 2017, which did work out after all.

[transplantbillsfan]

It's that time for the playoff machine:

https://www.espn.com/nfl/playoffs/machine

 

FWIW I went through all the games for all the weeks and just picked the winners super quickly based on who I thought the favorite would be.  There will be upsets... there always are.

 

Picking the "favorites" for all the games (with the exception of Buffalo), Buffalo becomes the #7 seed going 5-2 with its only losses to Philly and KC.

 

[Steve Billieve]

On 11/14/2023 at 1:24 PM, YoloinOhio said:

Return of the prodigal son, just when we needed him, in our darkest hour

[transplantbillsfan]

On 11/14/2023 at 8:44 AM, Bills!Win! said:

The afc north is going to beat the crap out of each other. We will squeak in at 9-8. We will be fine (but not really)

 

I really, really don't think any AFC Wildcard team will be worse than 10-7

On 11/14/2023 at 8:47 AM, dorquemada said:

 

"Lurking on the internet"  yes I have never been on this site before but the cool kids said there was lots of sadness here today so i made an account and here i am

 

 

Was this a serious post or a joke?

 

With your posts, it's really hard to tell.

On 11/14/2023 at 8:49 AM, BuffaloBaumer said:

Just sold all my tickets to the Jets game and as soon as that one is over, we can start thinking about the draft. This team does not have one strength, and right now, that includes Allen. I have a bad feeling we will never see the type of play from him that we saw in 2021. We had our chance and now, it's time to build a stronger team around him. 17 can no longer carry a team like he did in the past and the sooner people realize that, the easier it will be on expectations for the future. 

 

The saddest part of this post is that someone actually thought it was appropriate to give a reaction of "awesome" to it 

[RiotAct]

1 hour ago, Ridgewaycynic2013 said:

Can't they just scratch by sinking the cue ball? 🤔

*
And as mentioned the other day, Buffalo at least controlled some of their playoff chances until Monday's loss.  With the loss, the Bills chances are entirely in the hands of opponents.  Buffalo could go undefeated the rest of the season, and still miss the playoffs.

I think at 12-5 we’d get in, a ton would have to go wrong not to.

 

We’re not winning out though, so it’s a moot point.

[transplantbillsfan]

57 minutes ago, Success said:

One thing I do like right now is that EVERYONE outside of Buffalo has written this team off.

 

Some here have also, but there isn't much that's more fun than seeing the hot take punditry get proven wrong. Though, they never admit it when it happens.

 

[Dick_Cheney]

It sucks that we're already at the "need to get some help" portion of the season.

 

It's pretty critical for the Ravens to win this one in regards to Bills playoff chances. Steelers/Browns/Colts have a good chance of losing several games each going forward, but if the Bengals steal this one from the Ravens, it really makes even the final wildcard spot that much more difficult to get into for us.

 

Here's hoping Baltimore runs away with it tonight.

[cassandratic]

1 hour ago, Chaos said:

Are you sure this is true. 

It is - Miami can win the division, BAL/CIN/CLE/IND/JAX can all get to 12-5 and win the tiebreakers to cover all wild card spots. 

[Ridgewaycynic2013]

1 hour ago, Chaos said:

Are you sure this is true. 

According to PlayoffStatus.com, Buffalo does not control its destiny as of Monday night.  I may be mistaken in the belief that future victories by Buffalo would not elevate the team back into a situation where they can make the playoffs regardless of other teams' performances.

http://playoffstatus.com/nfl/billswhatif.html

 

Edited November 17, 2023 by Ridgewaycynic2013

[damj]

[LABILLBACKER]

I'm all about optimism but there's 0% chance Miami is losing to the Titans or Raiders.  We better find another path.

[strive_for_five_guy]

48 minutes ago, LABILLBACKER said:

I'm all about optimism but there's 0% chance Miami is losing to the Titans or Raiders.  We better find another path.

Any given Sunday

[PBF81]

On 11/14/2023 at 1:40 PM, Success said:

So, they have ZERO chance of making the playoffs? None at all?

 

I get thinking it's slim.  I think it's slim.  But there are scenarios and possibilities - and we're not even at a point where the math starts getting insane and you need all kinds of outcomes & other teams to win or lose.

 

You do realize that we have the worst conference record of any other team that's in mathematical contention, right?  

 

IOW, a tiebreak isn't getting us in.  It would have to be a division win.  

 

If Miami didn't have a similar siht schedule that we've had to date, maybe we'd win the division even if only at 8-9, but they do.  If Miami can beat the Raiders, Jets, Washington, and Titans, four of the worst teams in the league. they'll likely have the division wrapped up. 

 

 

[Success]

3 minutes ago, PBF81 said:

 

You do realize that we have the worst conference record of any other team that's in mathematical contention, right?  

 

IOW, a tiebreak isn't getting us in.  It would have to be a division win.  

 

If Miami didn't have a similar siht schedule that we've had to date, maybe we'd win the division even if only at 8-9, but they do.  If Miami can beat the Raiders, Jets, Washington, and Titans, four of the worst teams in the league. they'll likely have the division wrapped up. 

 

 

 

What are you trying to convince me of?

 

Are you looking for me to give up?  To say that we have zero chance w/ 8 weeks left in the season?

 

[Boatdrinks]

On 11/14/2023 at 2:24 PM, YoloinOhio said:

Funny thing is when Mora made his famous statement,  it turned out the Colts would have made the playoffs … IF they had beat the Bills. As luck would have it, the Bills won the game and made the playoffs. Just sayin…