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Posted

I would first like to see us get to LOS z with more than 8 seconds on play clock.  Gives little time to read and call a different play.  Josh needs to be faster in his progression peak at primary and quickly at secondary take the secondary if available if not look back at primary.   He seems to be locking on and the pressure he is getting prevents his slow progression reads.

Posted
10 hours ago, PBF81 said:

 

That's a little alarming.  Brady would take over.  His track record in the two years that he was the OC in Carolina is low-end.  

 

 

I'm not anxious to see what a Joe Brady called offense would look like. I'm terrified of what a Mike Shula called offense would look like. Neither are inspiring.

  • Agree 2
Posted
8 hours ago, BADOLBILZ said:

Yeah.

 

As I've said...........this offseason Beane addressed some specific areas where they were inefficient offensively in 2022 with role players designed to fix those situational weaknesses.........for example, Harris and Murray are both incredibly efficient at scoring from inside the 3 and the Bills struggled running near the goal line so the Bills wanted those specific players.

 

And they also drafted a TE in round 1 and have gone from very rarely using 12 personnel in 2022 to using it frequently.  

 

What this means?   They are substituting a lot.

 

Which allows the defense time to substitute and matchup to the Bills personnel and execute the game plan they drew up..........and then it also takes plays much deeper into the play clock and makes them a much more deliberate, time consuming offense.

 

It has had the seemingly unforeseen effect of leading to the Bills having longer drives but less of them.   Therefore less scoring chances.........which benefits lesser opponents like the Giants and Patriots.

 

The simplest solution for the Bills was to build an offense that had 11 players they could keep on the field for 8-10 straight plays if need be.........play uptempo and limit defensive substitutions and keep opponents on their heels.   

 

 

Great Post! I've not heard this anywhere else and it makes so much sense.

  • Thank you (+1) 1
Posted (edited)
12 hours ago, Hebert19 said:

He went on about hurry up and what that does.  But it's the detail he goes into that's telling.  

 

He said hurry up allows josh to see what's there and adjust.  Recognize and change.   Eluding to we are operating too slow.  Or play is getting in too slow.  

 

We have been working down to single digits way more than in Josh's career on play clock.   

 

This gives the defense time to adjust to personnel but not us to adjust at the line.  May explain josh missing easy reads.  

 

Could dorsey be in his ear until 15 seconds like mcvay?   

 

Listen to interview.  This is what it sounds like diggs was getting at.  He needs more time at the line and less in huddle. 

 

 

Politeness requires a link.

 

Diggs has done a million interviews over the years, and google doesn't know them apart. Nor do we if we haven't heard the interview.

 

And many times over the years people have said, "Player X said Y," and when you read the interview, he didn't say Y at all, he said A or B or C. Many many many times. If we get the link we can see what he said and his own words.

 

 

Edited by Thurman#1
Posted
10 hours ago, BADOLBILZ said:

Yeah.

 

As I've said...........this offseason Beane addressed some specific areas where they were inefficient offensively in 2022 with role players designed to fix those situational weaknesses.........for example, Harris and Murray are both incredibly efficient at scoring from inside the 3 and the Bills struggled running near the goal line so the Bills wanted those specific players.

 

And they also drafted a TE in round 1 and have gone from very rarely using 12 personnel in 2022 to using it frequently.  

 

What this means?   They are substituting a lot.

 

Which allows the defense time to substitute and matchup to the Bills personnel and execute the game plan they drew up..........and then it also takes plays much deeper into the play clock and makes them a much more deliberate, time consuming offense.

 

It has had the seemingly unforeseen effect of leading to the Bills having longer drives but less of them.   Therefore less scoring chances.........which benefits lesser opponents like the Giants and Patriots.

 

The simplest solution for the Bills was to build an offense that had 11 players they could keep on the field for 8-10 straight plays if need be.........play uptempo and limit defensive substitutions and keep opponents on their heels.   

 

 

You can still do that even with multiple personnel packages - just do it per drive.  I.e. start a drive in 11 and stay there the whole drive, then start a drive in 12 and stay there the whole drive.  Have a Latavius Murray drive and a James Cook drive.  Substitute as little as possible within a drive.  Especially in the first half.  Second half might want to mix and match more since the opposing D worked out their adjustments to what we did in the first half, so in the second half don't do the same thing.

 

Posted
12 hours ago, Hebert19 said:

He went on about hurry up and what that does.  But it's the detail he goes into that's telling.  

 

He said hurry up allows josh to see what's there and adjust.  Recognize and change.   Eluding to we are operating too slow.  Or play is getting in too slow.  

 

We have been working down to single digits way more than in Josh's career on play clock.   

 

This gives the defense time to adjust to personnel but not us to adjust at the line.  May explain josh missing easy reads.  

 

Could dorsey be in his ear until 15 seconds like mcvay?   

 

Listen to interview.  This is what it sounds like diggs was getting at.  He needs more time at the line and less in huddle. 

 

Also doesn't leave time to set protections, motion players around, deal with crowd noise, etc. 

12 hours ago, Hebert19 said:

He went on about hurry up and what that does.  But it's the detail he goes into that's telling.  

 

He said hurry up allows josh to see what's there and adjust.  Recognize and change.   Eluding to we are operating too slow.  Or play is getting in too slow.  

 

We have been working down to single digits way more than in Josh's career on play clock.   

 

This gives the defense time to adjust to personnel but not us to adjust at the line.  May explain josh missing easy reads.  

 

Could dorsey be in his ear until 15 seconds like mcvay?   

 

Listen to interview.  This is what it sounds like diggs was getting at.  He needs more time at the line and less in huddle. 

 

Also doesn't leave time to set protections, motion players around, deal with crowd noise, etc. 

Posted
10 hours ago, Simon said:

 

They can still do this with just about any set they want, and I agree they probably should be.

 

 

 

 

Yeah they can but I think they are liking their individual play success.    Their EPA per play is very high........the situational plays are working in part because of the players they've brought in........when players aren't making mistakes, that is.   But even when things like James Cooks converting 4 straight second down runs into 1st downs works as planned it's really shortening games which is counterproductive for them as the more explosive offense.

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Posted
12 hours ago, BillsfaninCT said:

JA17 quoting my therapist, I'm sure many others who carry burdens, are extremely successful at something even if it's not being a bagillionaire qb but also super low of low, have heard this as well.  this could take a minute for him to figure out, I had therapy for 3 months after breaking and it's not freaking easy.  I'm no JA17 and a peon in comparison but in the little world i exist in it looks very similar and he's acting the same way...

 

he will be better for it overall and i'm glad regardless if it matters that i care at all, that he got some help and i hope everyone here is glad he is getting help but i'm not sure it's understandable unless you know somebody personally or been through it.

 

he has to figure this out for himself, it's good to have great people around you but ultimately it's his head, and only he can overcome it.

been through what?  i feel like i missed something

  • Like (+1) 1
Posted
32 minutes ago, BCAS Baritone said:

You can still do that even with multiple personnel packages - just do it per drive.  I.e. start a drive in 11 and stay there the whole drive, then start a drive in 12 and stay there the whole drive.  Have a Latavius Murray drive and a James Cook drive.  Substitute as little as possible within a drive.  Especially in the first half.  Second half might want to mix and match more since the opposing D worked out their adjustments to what we did in the first half, so in the second half don't do the same thing.

 

 

 

Sounds good in theory but they are basically Diggs and The Pipps in the passing game so if the defense can just roll the extra attention to Diggs they will take their chances with nickel personnel stuck on the field and wait for a mistake.    Kincaid was the hope.........but he isn't going to change that getting just 8 yards per reception.    They need a threat opposite Diggs that gets open fast and catches the ball for first down+ yardage.   That's literally why they had to move on from Beasley if nothing else.......his ypc fell sub 10 and started looking more like a RB's production in the pass game.   

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Posted
26 minutes ago, BADOLBILZ said:

 

 

Sounds good in theory but they are basically Diggs and The Pipps in the passing game so if the defense can just roll the extra attention to Diggs they will take their chances with nickel personnel stuck on the field and wait for a mistake.    Kincaid was the hope.........but he isn't going to change that getting just 8 yards per reception.    They need a threat opposite Diggs that gets open fast and catches the ball for first down+ yardage.   That's literally why they had to move on from Beasley if nothing else.......his ypc fell sub 10 and started looking more like a RB's production in the pass game.   

 

 

 

His name is Kincaid.

 

And yes he is going to change that getting just 8 yards per reception. Most third downs are for less than 8, and those that aren't aren't can be made by slightly longer catches. This might seem amazing, but just about half his catches are for more than his average.

 

Mind blown, right?

 

And no, that's not why they had to move on from Beasley. Beasley stopped being able to beat man-to-man. 

 

Posted
1 minute ago, Thurman#1 said:

 

 

 

His name is Kincaid.

 

And yes he is going to change that getting just 8 yards per reception. Most third downs are for less than 8, and those that aren't aren't can be made by slightly longer catches. This might seem amazing, but just about half his catches are for more than his average.

 

Mind blown, right?

 

And no, that's not why they had to move on from Beasley. Beasley stopped being able to beat man-to-man. 

 

 

 

Nobody gets 7.7 yards on an individual catch the way the NFL computes it..........so yeah, no sh!t that his average consists of greater and lesser amounts than that. 🙄

 

7.7 yards per reception would be bad for a RB,   let alone someone who actually starts almost every route at the LOS like a WR or TE.

 

So like I said, that's not getting teams off of Diggs and it's not going to be a lot of "1 play first down pass" sequences that alleviate the issue of needing long drives to score.

 

And yes.........the reason Beasley stopped being productive was because he stopped getting those 2-3 extra yards per reception that he got at his peak in 2020.    He was still getting open and catching the ball even last year.   But he stopped the getting yards after the catch in 2021.   YAC yards have been a focus of the team thereafter.

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Posted
14 hours ago, VaMilBill said:

Hopefully this pats game was our 2021 bucs game. Perhaps and awakening? I hope so. 
 

I know not all seasons run linear 

I haven't gone back to check, but I don't remember that we'd lost half our defense to injuries when we played that game. Nor did that game follow two stinkers including another game we should never have lost.    But yes I hope we turn it around and at least get into the playoffs this year.  

Posted
31 minutes ago, BADOLBILZ said:

And yes.........the reason Beasley stopped being productive was because he stopped getting those 2-3 extra yards per reception that he got at his peak in 2020.    He was still getting open and catching the ball even last year.   But he stopped the getting yards after the catch in 2021.   YAC yards have been a focus of the team thereafter.

 

Good catch!  

 

NPI   :D  

 

 

Posted (edited)
40 minutes ago, BADOLBILZ said:

 

 

Nobody gets 7.7 yards on an individual catch the way the NFL computes it..........so yeah, no sh!t that his average consists of greater and lesser amounts than that. 🙄

 

7.7 yards per reception would be bad for a RB,   let alone someone who actually starts almost every route at the LOS like a WR or TE.

 

So like I said, that's not getting teams off of Diggs and it's not going to be a lot of "1 play first down pass" sequences that alleviate the issue of needing long drives to score.

 

And yes.........the reason Beasley stopped being productive was because he stopped getting those 2-3 extra yards per reception that he got at his peak in 2020.    He was still getting open and catching the ball even last year.   But he stopped the getting yards after the catch in 2021.   YAC yards have been a focus of the team thereafter.

 

 

Um, yeah, the fact that you didn't seem to understand that an average is just an average is what I was pointing out. Sorry I didn't put it in a way you would understand.

 

Oh, and you're right that nobody gets 7.7 per catch in the stats. Completely irrelevant, but definitely correct.

 

But no, a lack of YAC is absolutely NOT the reason Beasley stopped being so productive. The idea's dumb, because it's basically untrue. Just check Pro Football Reference. His YAC/Reception was 4.9 in his 2019, 4.3 in 2020 and 3.7 in 2021. That means about a yard per reception difference between his best years here and the year he dropped off so much.

 

The problem was YBC/R (Yards Before Catch Per Reception). That was 6.7 in 2019, 7.5 in 2020 and 4.7 in 2021. 

 

That was where the dropoff was for Beasley. To get him open Josh had to throw sooner and mostly on zone downs, and he became much easier for defenses to predict and defense.

 

Kincaid has had seven games as a pro. He has gotten open against man and zone. He shows every sign of being an excellent possession receiver. In his last two games he averaged 9.5 and 9.4 YPC (and a catch rate of 100%). He's improving weekly. He's getting open. There's no reason to think he won't be that guy.

 

 

 

 

Edited by Thurman#1
Posted
14 hours ago, dma0034 said:

I'm at a point where I believe the Bills live and die by Allen so they might as well let him start calling plays. I think the Bills only hope to salvage the season is to go up tempo and just try and outscore every team.

I have known that we need to outscore teams to win this whole team. 

Posted

I’ve been big in Diggs emotions and twitter but this one feels like a total nothing burger. 
 

I think he’s just wanting to move past this game. 

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