The Bills are Going to Miss the Playoffs

[Drew21PA]

I’m not optimistic

 

i don’t see them losing other than KC and philly

 

philly May be a blow out 

 

they lose to the bucks this Thursday - pack it in it’s over this team is toasted 

[Bob Jones]

44 minutes ago, zow2 said:

I think you're seeing the cream rise to the top... and as predicted it's going to be KC, Philly, SF and maybe Balt, Cinci and Jax with a legit shot to be spoilers and go on a run.  The Jets are not going to have the O.  The Dolphins, Lions, Bills, Cowboys and Chargers look like world beaters some weeks but all have flaws and will fail.

Haven’t seen any of their games, but Cincy is nowhere as good as they have been the last couple of years, are they?

[Bangarang]

Never thought I’d consider the game against the Bucs a toss up. Their defense could give us fits all night.

[Bleeding Bills Blue]

18 minutes ago, RyanC883 said:

but, um, injuries ( as if other teams don’t have them.). 

 

Everyone does - we're just running into a bunch at once of the season ending variety again.  

 

Just now, Bob Jones said:

Haven’t seen any of their games, but Cincy is nowhere as good as they have been the last couple of years, are they?

 

They're 3-3 and won 3/4 but they currently have one of the worst offenses in football.  

[Pine Barrens Mafia]

Just now, Bangarang said:

Never thought I’d consider the game against the Bucs a toss up. Their defense could give us fits all night.

I'm picking a loss in that game, there's no way the bills should be favored.

 

[zow2]

29 minutes ago, Bob Jones said:

Haven’t seen any of their games, but Cincy is nowhere as good as they have been the last couple of years, are they?

 

They have won a couple games when they were outplayed for large chunks.  That's a good sign for the D.  If Burrow is feeling good they are going to get right I think.  I would not count them out yet.  After the bye they will get SF without Deebo and maybe without McCaffrey.  

[Boatdrinks]

33 minutes ago, Bleeding Bills Blue said:

 

Everyone does - we're just running into a bunch at once of the season ending variety again.  

 

 

They're 3-3 and won 3/4 but they currently have one of the worst offenses in football.  

The Bills have had a disturbing trend of making bad offenses look decent lately. Hopefully they figure it out. 

[Dr Divit]

To make matters worst.....Bills are in cap hell next year.....which means the only way to improve the team is via the draft.   Plus D Jones is a UFA next year.

 

[Radar]

7 minutes ago, Dr Divit said:

To make matters worst.....Bills are in cap hell next year.....which means the only way to improve the team is via the draft.   Plus D Jones is a UFA next year.

 

Yeah, and I got criticized for questioning Beane as a GM. I've said before he's not good managing the cap at all. Finally it's coming home to roost. This is not a quick off season fix. Several holes to fill.

Edited October 23, 2023 by Radar

[Success]

This Bills team is 100% making the playoffs - provided we can stay relatively healthy from here on out.

 

We're not getting blown out or anything.  Even w/ the injuries we have, we'll muster at least 10 wins. I'm still guessing 12.

 

Success in the playoffs depends on health.  I'm still holding out some hope for a return from Milano or Jones, or both.

 

[DapperCam]

Just now, Success said:

This Bills team is 100% making the playoffs - provided we can stay relatively healthy from here on out.

 

We're not getting blown out or anything.  Even w/ the injuries we have, we'll muster at least 10 wins. I'm still guessing 12.

 

Success in the playoffs depends on health.  I'm still holding out some hope for a return from Milano or Jones, or both.

 

What makes you think we can go 8-2 the rest of the season when we lose to the Pats and Jets, and should have lost to the Giants? It doesn’t seem realistic.

[Homey D. Clown]

17 hours ago, DapperCam said:

The more I look at it, the more I'm pretty sure we are going to miss the playoffs.

 

10-7 might make the wild card (also could miss on a tie breaker). So we have 4 losses left we can take. Here is our remaining schedule:

 

Tampa - Thursday Night Football is weird and sloppy. Tampa is better than the Pats and the Giants.
@ Cinci - Bengals had our number last year, they haven't played great so far
Denver - *Should* be a comfortable win
Jets - Already beat us once. Jets D has Allen's number.
@ Philly - 5-1 and Super Bowl team
@ KC - 5-1 and Super Bowl winners
Dallas - 4-2 team, very tough defense
@ Chargers - West coast road trips are rough, team has similar talent to Bills
Pats - Well, we just lost to them, so we can probably lose to them again
@ Miami - 5-1 team, we were able to beat them once (with a fully healthy defense though)

 

Games we should definitely win:
- Tampa

- Denver

Games that are toss ups:
- Cinci

- Chargers

- Jets

- Pats

- Miami

Games where the other team should be favored:

- Philly

- KC

- Dallas

Not a lot of room for error here! 😬😬😬😬😬

 

Careful, the rose colored glasses are thick around here...

[Success]

1 minute ago, DapperCam said:

What makes you think we can go 8-2 the rest of the season when we lose to the Pats and Jets, and should have lost to the Giants? It doesn’t seem realistic.

 

Because we have before.

 

[Sammy Watkins' Rib]

I can’t go there yet. In fact, the bills could still win the division. I don’t have much reason to believe the Dolphins will beat any any of the good teams on their schedule. It’s likely coming down to week 17.

 

bills will likely have more divisional losses than the dolphins, and will be in a situation, where they need to sweep the Dolphins to beat them on a tiebreaker with the same overall record.

[RyanC883]

22 minutes ago, Dr Divit said:

To make matters worst.....Bills are in cap hell next year.....which means the only way to improve the team is via the draft.   Plus D Jones is a UFA next year.

 

 

curious from people who know the cap well.  How does this change if we can trade Knox and Miller prior to the deadline?

[Roundybout]

The AFC is a disaster so I think we get at least a wild card spot. 

[Gunsgoodtime]

28 minutes ago, RyanC883 said:

 

curious from people who know the cap well.  How does this change if we can trade Knox and Miller prior to the deadline?

The two worst contracts currently on this team

[Gregg]

On the plus side the Bengals will probably lose to the 49ers this week. Unfortunately, the Fins will beat the Pats and the Jets will beat the Giants. The Bills better win on Thursday otherwise it will be a long 10 days until the Bengals game.

[LabattBlue]

48 minutes ago, Success said:

This Bills team is 100% making the playoffs - provided we can stay relatively healthy from here on out.

 

We're not getting blown out or anything.  Even w/ the injuries we have, we'll muster at least 10 wins. I'm still guessing 12.

 

Success in the playoffs depends on health.  I'm still holding out some hope for a return from Milano or Jones, or both.

 

12 wins?  Let’s see your list of the 8 remaining games that the Bills are going to win?

[BrooklynBills]

Our 4 wins are against teams with the following ranks defensively(using DVOA): Raiders (23rd), Commanders (22nd), Dolphins (27th), Giants (28th - and the offense looked terrible in this game).

3 losses are against teams with these rankings defensively: Jets (12th), Jaguars (8th), Patriots (14th).

 

We're almost halfway through the season. At this point, objectively, I don't think you can make a realistic argument for them beating a team with a top 15 defense the rest of the season (unless something drastic changes on the offensive side).

 

So that would look like this with the remaining schedule (with D rankings):

Tampa (10th) - L

@Cincy (20th) - W

Denver (32nd) - W

NYJ (12th) - L

@Philly (13th) - L

@KC (9th) - L

Dallas (4th) - L

@Chargers (26th) - W

NE (14th) - L

@Miami (27th) - W

 

Thats 4 Ws for the rest of the year and 1 of the games is at Cincy (which I'm not confident they'd win), at the Chargers (who have a top 10 offense which will be a challenge for our D), and at Miami (again - our D is a shell of what it was to start the year).

 

The next 4 games are basically gonna determine our season and are all "winnable" IMO. They "should" win 3/4 based on the talent level and Cincy is playing better but not the team they were last year. But this can go south in a hurry if the offense doesn't find itself fast.