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Posted
1 hour ago, BillsShredder83 said:

I just don't think there's anyway to know that without us seeing practice.

 

The record on this staff of giving a position to a young guy because of the benefit of the doubt is non existent. 

 

Maybe it did here, but track record says it didn't, and a 3rd rder in year 2 is a weird place to start. Only way I see it is if staff has made a fundamental change to that approach, which is welcomed by many.

 

IF we did do that, we can't complain the young guys never see the field, and complain that a young guy got the nod to start. Again, that's a big if

When did he practice?  Not much, and when he did he was only splitting reps with the 1s.  The reality is that Dodson had the chance to run away with the job and he blew it.  Spector and Klein, too, could have been in the mix, but they apparently were worse than Dodson.  
 

I hope Bernard seizes the job and plays great.  Based on the samples with him—he didn’t deserve to make the team coming out of camp last year—I have my doubts.  So I have a hard time seeing how he affirmatively won that job—in camp, throughout the offseason as a whole, or otherwise. 

Posted
7 hours ago, Warriorspikes51 said:

https://x.com/chrisbrownbills/status/1699453423643418862?s=46&t=tTOAq-q5QQ5yQ1o1mKnDgA
 

McDermott: Terrel Bernard is our starting MLB. We’re excited about what he brings to the position and he’ll take it one play at a time. #Bills
 

so..:..play 2 Kirksey?!

 

Well, you handled it better than I expected 😆

 

Bernard is the starter and will be the starter until if/when he proves he can't handle the job. The plan was always to see if he could handle the job after spending a 3rd on him last season. 

 

Kirksey is going to be brought along slowly and eased in. He's not going to start unless Bernard flames out. And honestly, we shouldn't be hoping for that. 

Posted
11 minutes ago, BillsFan130 said:

He may be good, who knows.

 

But to this point from what we have seen and heard (I know little sample size) , what makes you optimistic about him at this point?

 

I'm not. But I'm not a pessimist about him either.

 

I do trust Beane, McD & the rest of the staff, though - and I think they have earned that to this point.  If they think he can start, I'm all in.

 

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Posted
9 hours ago, Virgil said:

In all due respect to Bernard, I hope he's not on the field a lot and we run with three safeties.  

He's not much bigger than some of the strong safeties in the league.  

Posted
3 hours ago, NewEra said:

Sorry, when I say “we” I mean each individual person can only discuss what they have seen to date. Whether it be play on the field, in scouting reports, analysis from others etc.  


I’m not saying anyone’s opinion is incorrect.  Where did I say that?  If you disagree, please point out where I’ve said that.  I’m just giving my opinion and stating that the only thing we can discuss is what we’ve seen to date….  The guy I quoted is dismissing everyone that disagrees with him as “amusing”……  I’m telling him that they are just expressing what they’ve seen to date…..and are entitled to that opinion.  
 

either your misunderstanding my point or you’ve gone off the deep end 🤷🏻‍♂️ I think you’re simply misunderstanding.   While we

may disagree about the player, we are actually on the same side of this.  Neither of us think others opinions should be dismissed.  

 

I repeat-  Bernard could be adequate.  I’m not saying he ISN’T.  I’m saying from what I’ve seen…..I don’t think he’ll be adequate.  And I’m saying that YOU (and everyone else) SHOULD BE DISCUSSING WHAT YOU’VE SEEN TO DATE too.  I’m dismissing NOTHING.  If the what you’ve seen to date leads you to believe he’s the answer, you SHOULD DISCUSS IT.   
 

Not sure how else to explain this but I’m done with it.  If you don’t understand my point yet, 🤷🏻‍♂️ 

 

For the record, if anyone is reading this other than you and I, I've apologized to NewEra for my outburst.  It was out of line.  There's stuff to talk, and yelling about it doesn't help. 

 

But I'll try again.  Why is it that I should be discussing what I've seen to date?  Or put another way, why can't you see that I AM discussing what I've seen to date.  I've seen Beane and McDermott operate for five years, and at this stage of the team's development, one thing I've seen is that Beane always acquires someone to try to fill a hole.   I've seen that, over and over.  And the fact that he didn't do much of anything to get a middle linebacker to replace Edmunds tells me that he didn't think he had a hole there.  That, in turn tells me that he thinks Bernard or Dodson is good enough to give them what they need at the position.  That's what I conclude from what I've seen them do.

 

So, when you asked me (I think it was you) what it was that I've seen that makes me think Bernard might be the answer at middle linebacker, I told you exactly that.  What I've seen is how McDermott and Beane have reacted to what you and I thought was a hole in the lineup, and that suggests to me that they believe the guy they need.  

 

You seem to be saying that the only discussion you're willing to accept is a discussion based on observations of his play, data about his size or weight, and statistics.   That says you're not willing to discuss the possibility that Beane and McDermott know some things that you don't.  In fact, I'm interested in that possibility, and I think it's worth discussing.  Why do I have to be limited to discussing only the facts that you want to discuss. 

 

Now, as I've said over and over, I don't have any idea whether Bernard can do it.  And I'm not saying that we should have undying faith in Beane and McDermott or that they can do no wrong.  But I do know that Beane and McDermott are smart guys dedicated to winning a Super Bowl, so their response to the "hole" is meaningful to me.  Bernard looked lost to me on the field last season, so I understand exactly what you're saying, but Beane and McDermott saw what we saw, and they watched a lot more film of those plays (and his play in practice) than you and I, so I think there's a real possibility that the conclusion that you and I reach having watched Bernard play is simply wrong.  

 

Once again, I apologize for being so rude. 

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Posted
8 hours ago, Herb Nightly said:

Babich said early this summer that he was ted the MLB to be a "match up" player i.e. coverage LB

 

Made me think of Ted the Lorax. Wonder what he's up to these days.

 

7 hours ago, Dillenger4 said:

My only worry is that with Benford starting the Jets (and every team) will pick on Tre and burn him as per usual.

 

 

The Tre White who was an All-American and 1st Team All-SEC in college? The first round draft pick who is a 2-time All Pro and 2-time Pro Bowler?

 

That Tre White?

 

7 hours ago, Ethan in Cleveland said:

Hmmm...Why not just cut Dodson and bring back Klein?

 

Though both played on special teams I thought Dodson was a "core four" special teamer whereas Klein was not. If I'm right this would probably explain why Dodson is still with us and Klein is not.

 

7 hours ago, Mat68 said:

Curious how Benard looks at the mike.  Imo he looks too narrow but modern day bakers are around 220 so might be ok.

 

Alex Van Pelt went about 220 so things haven't changed too much in that regard.

 

 

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Posted
3 hours ago, newcam2012 said:

So your answer to the question is basically trust McD and Beane? 

 

3 hours ago, newcam2012 said:

 

Certainly, your opinion could be correct but there are also differing viable explanations. 

 

Firstly, Beane and McD chose to prioritize the offense and something had to give. 

 

Secondly, I think Beane and McD were surprised that Edmunds was offered such a big contract. I think they planned on signing him all along. The Bears overpaid so it forced their hands. 

 

Thirdly, I think Beane and McD felt l one of the MLB guys on the roster would step up. Whether it was Klein, Dodson, Bernard, or Spector. I believe they optimistically thought the competition would bring out the best in one of them. By all accounts that just didn't happen.

 

Fourthly, the Kirksey signing is a good one considering the roster. It can't hurt whatsoever. His experience despite his short comings probably makes him the starter soon. I believe both Kirksey and the Bills organization thinks Kirksey can be an effective stop gap. 

 

For now, it's Bernard starting on Monday night. The spot light is certainly on him. 

 

Thanks.  I've said it all before, but I'll respond to each point, for the record. 

 

It's not a question of "trust."  The Pegulas have to decide whether they trust them, but we're just observers.  But my observation is that they do a pretty good job figuring out who should play and who shouldn't, so there's some reason to believe that they have the guy they want in the middle.  Maybe not, but some reason. 

 

First, something had to give.  That isn't responsive to one my premises, which is that McBeane always address holes in the lineup.  They aren't always right, but they always take swings at it.  In the past three or four seasons, there hasn't been a time when Beane has said he just didn't have any money left or any draft picks left.  He's always taken a swing.   It would be uncharacteristic of Beane to just not do anything.  (And I don't consider drafting Williams as "something," because you simply can't expect to a third round pick to be the guy in 2023. 

 

Second, I don't think their surprise had anything to do with not signing Edmunds.  Edmunds may have gotten a bigger contract than they expected, but I think they fully expected SOME team to pay more than they wanted to pay.  But even if it was only the Bears who outbid them, then they would have used the money they didn't spend on him to get another middle linebacker.  But see First, above.  They had the resources and they didn't buy another guy.  And they then decided just to spend the money on Oliver, that means that they didn't think they had a problem at middle linebacker.  

 

Third, I now think you're right.  They thought one of the guys they had would step up.  That's exactly right.  See First, again.  They thought they had the guy.   The important question is how do any of us know now that they were wrong?   We've hardly seen Bernard play this summer, so how do we know that he's going to fail?  

 

Fourth, Kirksey was of course a good move.  One of the things I now realize, however, is that signing Kirksey didn't necessarily mean that they were panicked about who's starting at middle linebacker.  It could just as easily mean that they realized that they aren't comfortable having Dodson back up Bernard, and Kirksey was an opportunity get a backup better than Klein.  

 

Bottom line, of course, is that I don't know, and I've said that over and over.  There are all sorts of things that may be going on here.  It seems to me that some people are jumping to the conclusion that the position is a dumpster fire, and I'm saying that I'm not at all sure that's true.  I'm not reaching any conclusions until I see the games.  In fact, I'm not reaching any conclusions until November and December.  The way seasons go for good teams, is they win enough games in the first half of the season to be in the playoff hunt, and along the way they figure out how to play.   So, for me, the question isn't so much how Bernard is playing in September.  It's how he (or Kirksey) is playing in November and December that matters.   I think Beane and McDermott have planned for that.  I'm sure they've planned for that.   Their plan may fail, for sure, and in retrospect they may wish they'd paid Edmunds or signed someone else, but it seems foolish to me to decide today that their plan won't work.  

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Posted
8 hours ago, BillsShredder83 said:

You have a press- man coverage specialist and a gauntlet of Tyreek, Waddle, Chase, Higgins,  Kelce, Garrett Wilson. Our fastest player on defense.

 

At worst hes great depth and a situational chess piece FOR THIS SEASON.... without accounting for the upside of a talented/smart #1 pick down the road.  Insanely short sighted take if we were a 9-8 team, made even more ridiculous in a SB expectation season.  What does a 2024 2nd rd'er do for our SB push? 

 

The only tape we've seen on the guy is as a rookie, and he played well down the stretch. Absolutely asinine to concede a loss after an above average rookie season. i really dont understand this board sometimes

 

if he is burried on the depth chart as a CB 4, it makes sense to trade him for a 2nd rounder.  This years 2nd rounder is our starting OG, much more important than a CB4 to our window of success.  Next year it could be a starting safety (ours are getting old/injured), or a OL, WR, etc.  

 

I agree he played well down the stretch, very well actually.  But what the heck is going on this season that makes him our CB 4??!!  

Posted

There's one other point I've made before, and that's that I believe McBeane that MLB is the least important position on defense.  If that's right, they don't think they need talent there that's as great as the talent they need at other positions. 

 

Why would that be?   Well, for one reason, it's the one position that is surrounded by teammates.   The middle linebacker is the only player who's not on an island.  Every defensive lineman has to win his one-on-one battles.   Milano and Johnson are more often one-on-one, as are the corners and safeties.  The middle linebacker is the one guy who can get help from all his teammates around him.  

 

Edmunds covered a lot of ground.  His replacement will cover less, more like a conventional middle linebacker.   So, the defensive assignments of everyone around him will change but not very much.  McBeane understood that six months ago, and they decided that they could make those adjustments without hurting the defense.  

 

I don't know any of that is correct, but it makes sense to me.  McDermott and Beane certainly thought about all of this stuff in deciding how they were going to build the roster.  We will see whether their judgments were correct.  

Posted

I am a Benford believer.  Seems to have the "it" factor and he hits like a truck.

 

Glad to see they think they hit on the pick with OT.  We certainly needed a little more ballast up the middle.


Bernard to me is the question mark, but why don't we just get behind the young man?  I am the biggest Bernard fan there is unless he proves unworthy of it.  But for now, I am glad the young man has his shot.  Seems like a good guy and a hard worker.  So let's go Bernard!  (don't screw up your shot)

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Posted

As Socrates said, 'I know that I know nothing.'

 

I don't know what to expect from Bernard.  Or, more importantly, if the Bills will win.  That's why they play the game.

 

So I'm just waiting for Monday.  

 

 

 

Posted
1 hour ago, Shaw66 said:

For the record, if anyone is reading this other than you and I, I've apologized to NewEra for my outburst.  It was out of line.  There's stuff to talk, and yelling about it doesn't help. 

 

But I'll try again.  Why is it that I should be discussing what I've seen to date?  Or put another way, why can't you see that I AM discussing what I've seen to date.  I've seen Beane and McDermott operate for five years, and at this stage of the team's development, one thing I've seen is that Beane always acquires someone to try to fill a hole.   I've seen that, over and over.  And the fact that he didn't do much of anything to get a middle linebacker to replace Edmunds tells me that he didn't think he had a hole there.  That, in turn tells me that he thinks Bernard or Dodson is good enough to give them what they need at the position.  That's what I conclude from what I've seen them do.

 

So, when you asked me (I think it was you) what it was that I've seen that makes me think Bernard might be the answer at middle linebacker, I told you exactly that.  What I've seen is how McDermott and Beane have reacted to what you and I thought was a hole in the lineup, and that suggests to me that they believe the guy they need.  

 

You seem to be saying that the only discussion you're willing to accept is a discussion based on observations of his play, data about his size or weight, and statistics.   That says you're not willing to discuss the possibility that Beane and McDermott know some things that you don't.  In fact, I'm interested in that possibility, and I think it's worth discussing.  Why do I have to be limited to discussing only the facts that you want to discuss. 

 

Now, as I've said over and over, I don't have any idea whether Bernard can do it.  And I'm not saying that we should have undying faith in Beane and McDermott or that they can do no wrong.  But I do know that Beane and McDermott are smart guys dedicated to winning a Super Bowl, so their response to the "hole" is meaningful to me.  Bernard looked lost to me on the field last season, so I understand exactly what you're saying, but Beane and McDermott saw what we saw, and they watched a lot more film of those plays (and his play in practice) than you and I, so I think there's a real possibility that the conclusion that you and I reach having watched Bernard play is simply wrong.  

 

Once again, I apologize for being so rude. 

 

Very good post.

 

This is the kind of thing I'm constantly talking about that gets me into hot water with some posters.

 

On one hand, this is a place to talk about our opinions and views on players and what should or shouldn't be done. On the other, if it doesn't line up with Beane and McDermott's motus operandi, which is pretty clear entering their 7th season here, it doesn't really matter.

 

Ultimately, it's more about how they view players, their investments and plans in them, and their track record of how they handle situations. I tend to weigh that over a personal opinion, my own or someone else's.

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Posted
53 minutes ago, Shaw66 said:

There's one other point I've made before, and that's that I believe McBeane that MLB is the least important position on defense.  If that's right, they don't think they need talent there that's as great as the talent they need at other positions. 

 

Why would that be?   Well, for one reason, it's the one position that is surrounded by teammates.   The middle linebacker is the only player who's not on an island.  Every defensive lineman has to win his one-on-one battles.   Milano and Johnson are more often one-on-one, as are the corners and safeties.  The middle linebacker is the one guy who can get help from all his teammates around him.  

 

Edmunds covered a lot of ground.  His replacement will cover less, more like a conventional middle linebacker.   So, the defensive assignments of everyone around him will change but not very much.  McBeane understood that six months ago, and they decided that they could make those adjustments without hurting the defense.  

 

I don't know any of that is correct, but it makes sense to me.  McDermott and Beane certainly thought about all of this stuff in deciding how they were going to build the roster.  We will see whether their judgments were correct.  

TEAMS WHO THINK THE MLB IS THE LEAST IMPORTANT DEFENSIVE POSITION DO NOT TRADE UP IN THE FIRST ROUND TO TAKE AN MLB AT PICK #16.  THEY DO NOT DRAFT AN MLB #9 OVERALL.

 

This flies in the face of a decade of decisions that McD/Beane have been involved in.  This is total and absolute appeal to authority combined with revisionist history.

 

This is like saying "Shanahan doesn't believe in investing heavily in the QB position because he's starting Mr. Irrelevant. Just pretend that he didn't make a blockbuster trade for Trey Lance or another blockbuster trade for Jimmy G.  He must not believe you need to invest a lot in the QB position."

 

I have read a lot of your posts Shaw, and they are pretty consistently, "McBeane must believe this is the best thing to do and who am I to argue" combined with a shoulder shrug. And that's fine that you believe that. But the history of how these guys operate is out there.

 

If McDermott didn't think MLB was important, why did he trade up for Edmunds in the first?  Why was he the DC on the team who took Kuechly at #9?  Are you seriously arguing that they decided MLB wasn't that important coincidentally when they trotted out the worst MLB group they ever have in the NFL? They must be the luckiest GM/HC's in history that their decisions to not invest in positions comes at the perfect time when those positions suck.

 

What's next?

 

McBeane must believe that Tyrod Taylor is good enough to be the QB for the Buffalo Bills because they started him in 2017 and passed on drafting a QB.

 

McBeane must believe that the WR group doesn't need much help because they only brought in Jamison Crowder and the corpses of John Brown/Cole Beasley in 2022.

 

You in particular need to grapple with the fact that just because the people in charge make a decision, it doesn't mean their decision was correct and it doesn't mean they are content with their decision.  There is ACTUAL evidence that McBeane weren't happy with the WR group last year. There is ACTUAL evidence that they believe that MLB is an important position.

 

I could easily say "I believe that McBeane are nervous as hell that they misjudged the MLB position since last offseason, and while they made the tough decision to let Edmunds walk, they now wish they probably made other moves to address the position."  But because they will NEVER say that in a press conference, you will never believe that's possible.

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Posted
36 minutes ago, FireChans said:

TEAMS WHO THINK THE MLB IS THE LEAST IMPORTANT DEFENSIVE POSITION DO NOT TRADE UP IN THE FIRST ROUND TO TAKE AN MLB AT PICK #16.  THEY DO NOT DRAFT AN MLB #9 OVERALL.

 

This flies in the face of a decade of decisions that McD/Beane have been involved in.  This is total and absolute appeal to authority combined with revisionist history.

 

This is like saying "Shanahan doesn't believe in investing heavily in the QB position because he's starting Mr. Irrelevant. Just pretend that he didn't make a blockbuster trade for Trey Lance or another blockbuster trade for Jimmy G.  He must not believe you need to invest a lot in the QB position."

 

I have read a lot of your posts Shaw, and they are pretty consistently, "McBeane must believe this is the best thing to do and who am I to argue" combined with a shoulder shrug. And that's fine that you believe that. But the history of how these guys operate is out there.

 

If McDermott didn't think MLB was important, why did he trade up for Edmunds in the first?  Why was he the DC on the team who took Kuechly at #9?  Are you seriously arguing that they decided MLB wasn't that important coincidentally when they trotted out the worst MLB group they ever have in the NFL? They must be the luckiest GM/HC's in history that their decisions to not invest in positions comes at the perfect time when those positions suck.

 

What's next?

 

McBeane must believe that Tyrod Taylor is good enough to be the QB for the Buffalo Bills because they started him in 2017 and passed on drafting a QB.

 

McBeane must believe that the WR group doesn't need much help because they only brought in Jamison Crowder and the corpses of John Brown/Cole Beasley in 2022.

 

You in particular need to grapple with the fact that just because the people in charge make a decision, it doesn't mean their decision was correct and it doesn't mean they are content with their decision.  There is ACTUAL evidence that McBeane weren't happy with the WR group last year. There is ACTUAL evidence that they believe that MLB is an important position.

 

I could easily say "I believe that McBeane are nervous as hell that they misjudged the MLB position since last offseason, and while they made the tough decision to let Edmunds walk, they now wish they probably made other moves to address the position."  But because they will NEVER say that in a press conference, you will never believe that's possible.

I mean this is just a home run

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Posted
11 hours ago, appoo said:

This was Bernard's participation by week last season

 

image.thumb.png.92b380335568f971e081eb56b1f5ed0b.png

 

He was exclusively Matt Milano's backup and played the Will. his only PT came when Milano was injured in the Steelers game and the Jets loss in week 9. 

 

So if you're saying he sucked at MLB because of what you saw last season, you should realize you never saw him play MLB last season

But @newcam2012 was on such a roll. 😂

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Posted
23 minutes ago, FireChans said:

TBD is the best because we can vehemently disagree in one thread and be perfectly aligned in another lmao

It's such a massive leap of logic

 

Like equivalent of 'Pete Carroll let Wilson walk and didn't do anything to replace him except Geno Smith, he must think QB is one of the least important positions on offense'

Posted (edited)
9 minutes ago, GoBills808 said:

It's such a massive leap of logic

 

Like equivalent of 'Pete Carroll let Wilson walk and didn't do anything to replace him except Geno Smith, he must think QB is one of the least important positions on offense'

It’s a total specious argument. And while I have nothing personal against @Shaw66, he makes the same specious arguments year after year. 
 

“Beane isn’t concerned about IOL because he didn’t address it.”

 

”McD isn’t concerned about safety play without Hyde because he has Hamlin and Cam Lewis”

 

”Beane isn’t concerned about our WR after Diggs and Davis or else he would have done something else.”

 

Etc etc etc. every year it’s “I’m not worried about this position group because McBeane didn’t do much so they must not be worried either.” 
 

Someone had to tell this man that just because something is ostensibly plausible does not make it true or even likely, shout out @birdog1960 and @Jauronimo.

 

As a side note, these arguments always come out after the fact. Prior to Edmunds leaving in FA, we would have NEVER heard that the brain trust at OBD thinks the MLB position is the next fullback. 

Edited by FireChans
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