Why Are We Not Winning Superbowls?

[cle23]

5 minutes ago, BuffaninSarasota said:

So are you suggesting the burden is on Allen to elevate those around him because of a lack of talent?

 

Yes and no.  Allen has to elevate those around him.  Mahomes lost Hill and won a SB. His leading tailback was a rookie 7th rounder. Yes, he has Kelce.  Allen has Diggs. 

 

With the huge QB contacts,  no team can be loaded offensively unless their QB is elite on a rookie deal.  Burrow will very soon have the same issues. He has 2 top tier WR, and another good WR in Boyd. No way the keep them all.  He'll have to start elevating those around him.  Help develop average WRs into capable NFL WRs. 

[PatsFanNH]

58 minutes ago, QLBillsFan said:

 

My bad, for some reason I thought it was 2018 he joined the Bills. But he probably made a difference in 2019 for NE, another option for Brady besides Edelman. 

[Over 29 years of fanhood]

28 minutes ago, Freddie's Dead said:

Marcia was the GCOAT. Greatest Cheater of All Time.  That's why.  Always knew where to throw the ball because the voice in the ear said who was open.  Fumbled multiple standard deviations less than any team EVER in the NFL due to under- inflated footballs.  Gifted two Super Bowls by Atlanta and Seattle.  So ***** off about the greatness of Brady.  A stain on the game that's finally been removed.

Sure add lack of cheating to the list of reasons. 

[PatsFanNH]

22 minutes ago, Freddie's Dead said:

Marcia was the GCOAT. Greatest Cheater of All Time.  That's why.  Always knew where to throw the ball because the voice in the ear said who was open.  Fumbled multiple standard deviations less than any team EVER in the NFL due to under- inflated footballs.  Gifted two Super Bowls by Atlanta and Seattle.  So ***** off about the greatness of Brady.  A stain on the game that's finally been removed.

Lol the voices in the ear has been disproven and stated by the NFL as false as the NFL HAS CONTROL OVER WHEN THEY GET SHUT OFF. The under inflated balls part also proven false because they fumbled LESS after Deflategate. (Look up the stats)  I love how you say “gifted” when they still had to execute and score the points to win/ or make the play on the ball and intercept it. 
 

I understand not liking the guy but such hatred is just not healthy.. let it go!  You have the new beast of the East in Allen enjoy it

[QLBillsFan]

8 minutes ago, PatsFanNH said:

My bad, for some reason I thought it was 2018 he joined the Bills. But he probably made a difference in 2019 for NE, another option for Brady besides Edelman. 

For sure you’re spot on. Brady and Beasley would have been great 👍 

[HappyCat]

10 hours ago, ScottLaw said:

I’ve stated many times Josh elevates the team around him more than any other QB in the league. He’s mostly had piss poor offensive lines and average talent around him…. Along with a defense that doesn’t have a clue against elite QBs in the playoffs.

Well said

[90sBills]

2 hours ago, cle23 said:

 

Yes and no.  Allen has to elevate those around him.  Mahomes lost Hill and won a SB. His leading tailback was a rookie 7th rounder. Yes, he has Kelce.  Allen has Diggs. 

 

With the huge QB contacts,  no team can be loaded offensively unless their QB is elite on a rookie deal.  Burrow will very soon have the same issues. He has 2 top tier WR, and another good WR in Boyd. No way the keep them all.  He'll have to start elevating those around him.  Help develop average WRs into capable NFL WRs. 

This is where I’m at with offensive talent around Allen. Diggs is a true #1. Allen has to make the others viable. How many KC receivers look like all pro with Mahomes then flopped when they go elsewhere? Hill is the only successful KC receiver after leaving for another team.

 

Allen is very much capable of making mediocre receivers better. Hopefully we’ll see more of it this season.  

[hondo in seattle]

We're not winning Super Bowls because only 1 in 32 teams gets to win.

 

Whatever Josh does or doesn't do, we went 14-4 last season, counting the playoffs.  Despite all the injuries to our defensive stars, and Josh's elbow, we still had one of the most successful seasons in the NFL.  Unfortunately, one of those few losses happened against a good team in the playoffs.  

 

Each year, there might be 8 or 10 more-or-less equally matched teams all with a more-or-less equal chance of winning a trophy.  It didn't work out last year because we had significant injuries and because that's just the nature of the game.  Of all the talented teams that get into the playoffs, all but one end the season on a loss.  

 

If you want to know if Josh is doing enough, you have to know how much he's doing.  We lack both specific Josh information and comparative data.  We don't know how much Josh watches film nor how that compares to other QBs.  We don't know how much Josh works out nor how that compares to other QBs.   I hope he's closer to the Tom Brady end of the spectrum than the Jamarcus Russell.  But, so far, what Josh has said is too vague to get too overly worried or judgmental about it.  

[Sammy Watkins' Rib]

To the OP:

 

How much film study do you think a guy like Big Ben did? I’m going to say not anymore that Allen. How about Brett Favre? Again, not anymore than Allen right? 
 

Even Mahomes strikes me as a guy that watches film but like Allen doesn’t get carried away with it. Logically this makes sense when you are a QB that goes off script as much as Allen and Mahomes do.

 

And the previous two examples in Big Ben and Favre were also guys that went off script at a higher than average rate. 
 

Those two combined for 3 rings and 5 Super Bowl appearances. 
 

I’ve said it before, right now Allen and the Bills are the Peyton Manning/ Tony Dungy colts. Peyton eventually won one and made two appearances. 
 

But Mahomes and the Chiefs are Brady and the Patriots and the Bengals and Burrow are the Steelers and Big Ben.

 

Just get into the playoffs every year and eventually the Bills and Allen will win one.
 

 

[Sammy Watkins' Rib]

12 hours ago, Araiza Curse said:

 

Phillip Rivers did not have the physical gifts needed to win a Super Bowl. Allen does and still isn’t doing it. 

Have you heard of this dude named Mahomes who basically has all the same physical gifts as Allen minus the the “linebacker QB ability” but plus the “point guard vision”?

 

he and Andy Reid along with Tyreek Hill and the GOAT TE are the main reason why Allen does bot have a ring and two Super Bowl appearances already. 
 

I don’t care how much film study a guy like Mahomes does or Allen for that matter. When they are at their best it is because of their secondary reaction plays.

 

Film study can’t make Mahomes see the guy coming open after he spun 360 degrees around and side juked a d-lineman. Those are natural gifts. Just like film study doesn’t allow Allen to stiff arm arm a linebacker and throw a laser for a TD while falling out of bounds. 

[Sammy Watkins' Rib]

12 hours ago, PatsFanNH said:

Umm maybe because he has to go through Mahomes and Burroes to even get to the SB. 
 

also comparing Allen to the GOAT just isn’t fair! Brady was one of the best ever reading Defenses in NFL history.   He also was not forced to carry the team when he first started, the Pats D  carried the team and let him develop. Allen been the man since day 1. 

Excellent post PatsFan.
 

Spot on. Especially with regards to Allen be asked to do it all from day one. While Brady, playing well on his own for which he was asked, to his credit, also had a lot of help. 
 

Thus far Allen has had a paper tiger of a defense that balls out in the regular season but has given up an average of like 35 points in each of the Bills last three post season elimination games. 

[Sammy Watkins' Rib]

12 hours ago, Araiza Curse said:

 

I mean this is a fair take, but don’t other Super Bowl champion QBs also have to play hard teams to get there? So what sets them apart. What seems the most odd is how an unathletic Brady can win 7. What is the secret sauce? It must be that he was just elite in the game film to diagnose defenses. 

Should we also consider the defensive performances Brady also got in the post season compared to what the Bills defense provided to Allen in the Bills last three postseason defeats? 
 

In the stats below for the Pats, I looked at just their first three Super Bowl seasons since that would be a pretty accurate comparison to this current Bills team that has really only been legitimate Super Bowl contenders since 2020.
 

you will see that I highlighted theSuper Bowl points given up by the Patriots. You will see they never gave up more than 17 points to get to the super until their third Super Bowl season when they gave up 27 to the Steelers. 
 

2001- Super  Bowl - Patriots give up 13, 17 and 17 points = 47 points=15.6ppg

 

Regular season average 17ppg vs. 15.6ppg= -1.4ppg

 

2003- Super Bowl- Patriots give up 14, 14 and 29= 57 points 19ppg

 

regular season average 14.8ppg vs 19ppg= + 4.2ppg
 

2004- Super Bowl- Patriots give up 3, 27, 21= 51 points 17ppg 

 

Regular season average 16.25ppg vs 17 = +.75 avg

 

Bills:

Below I highlighted the points given up in the elimination games for the Bills.

 

2020: 24, 3, 38= 65 points, 21.6 avg

regular season avg 23.4 vs. 21.6avg= -1.8 ppg

 

Here the Bills defense was good the first two weeks but obviously crapped the bed against the Chiefs giving up 38 points, about 15 points over their regular season average 

 

 

2021: 17, 42= 59 points, 29.5 avg

regular season avg 17ppg vs 29.5 = + 12.5ppg

Another season, same story. Defense was good in the first game, crapped the bed against the Chiefs by giving up 25points over average 

 

2022: 24,27= 51points, 25.5 avg

regular season avg 17.4 vs. 25.5 = +8.1ppg

 

In the above I took out the TD the Bills gave up to the Dolphins off of the Allen fumble to not negatively affect the defensive performance.

 

Conclusions, first even if we add say 2 or 3 ppg to account for the higher scoring offenses we see today vs the offenses of 20 years ago we see that the Patriots were far better at having a tighter range on the delta of regular season vs postseason ppg given up. 
 

Second, the Chiefs are really the main reason the Bills have not had two Super Bowl appearances since 2020. The defense giving up 38 and 42 respectively is a big reason why. And oddly enough in the regular season since 2020, in three games the Bills D is giving up 26, 20 and 20 points to the Chiefs with the two 20 points performances being Bills wins. 
 

So it is not like the Bills don’t have the personnel on D to shut down the Chiefs. They have done it three times in the regular season. But again, the theme is that the defense lays an egg in the postseason.

[Sammy Watkins' Rib]

13 hours ago, Araiza Curse said:

So McD is the issue and not Allen then right? 

Allen didn’t give up 38 and 42 points in back to back postseason elimination  games against the Chiefs. 
 

Part of the problem here is that arguably Allen and the offenses worst post season performance since Allen  has been QB, happens to be their most recent postseason game which was a loss.

 

Those things do happen. But I think some are going overboard with the negativity because it is the last thing they can vividly recall. 
 

Even the Patriots loss 33-14 to the Ravens at home and in the middle of Brady’s prime and dominance as a QB.

[GunnerBill]

I can't work it out. Draft a top 5 QB. Play some games. Win a Superbowl. 

 

It's well known it is as easy as that. Has anyone told the Bills? 

 

[Sammy Watkins' Rib]

13 hours ago, Araiza Curse said:

So then why don’t people want to change that instead of wasting Allens talents?

HAHAHAHAHAHAHA!

 

Have you missed the 1,000 posts calling for McD’s head? 
 

Even the majority that want to keep McD are doing so on a one year basis only. Waiting to see if the Bills do in fact make the playoffs this year or not.

[Sammy Watkins' Rib]

12 hours ago, Araiza Curse said:

So then why doesn’t Allen sit down with Beane and tell him that? Maybe we should prioritize a  1B WR. 

 

Oh goodness. You are really reaching now. Lol.

[Dr. Who]

33 minutes ago, Sammy Watkins' Rib said:

Oh goodness. You are really reaching now. Lol.

You know that phrase "iron sharpens iron"? Your iron is going to smash right through his little mush of whiny, dim complaint. He's still going to complain though.

All that lucid effort on your part, his answer will be, "But why?"

[PrimeTime101]

15 hours ago, BillzFreak said:

OK I'm for most discussions on this board but this is a bad attempt at trolling, you can say it isn't but we know this is what this is. I'm not a mod here but I'd shut this thread down.

you were not honest from paragraph 1 on

[Crunchem]

I think Brady was a great tactician. If it was 3rd and four he knew how to move the chains, He knew where to find the receiver that had the highest probability of being open in the short game. I have seen several times here we needed to move the chains and are throwing 35 yards downfield on a lower percentage pass. It's all about posession and mamnaging the game. That's part of what made Brady great.

[Lost]

3 hours ago, GunnerBill said:

I can't work it out. Draft a top 5 QB. Play some games. Win a Superbowl. 

 

It's well known it is as easy as that. Has anyone told the Bills? 

 

 

It's as easy as not kicking the football into the end zone with 13 seconds left.  Nobody told them that either.