**2024 degenerative gamblers thread **

[eball]

1-2 with my picks yesterday…Utah St. had the ball down 7 and threw a pick in the red zone to lose that one, and UL Lafayette let UB get within 7 after being up 24.  Bad beats galore.  At least Utah covered.

[eball]

Pro picks can go here too, right?

 

Here’s who I like today:

 

Bills -5.5

Jets +2.5

Broncos +6 (yes, you read that correctly)

Lions -3

 

[aristocrat]

Any upsets today? Atlanta?

[Buffalo716]

4 hours ago, eball said:

Pro picks can go here too, right?

 

Here’s who I like today:

 

Bills -5.5

Jets +2.5

Broncos +6 (yes, you read that correctly)

Lions -3

 

Yes they can

[eball]

Meh. 2-2 today, obviously way off on the Broncos. They are terrible. 
 

I did grab the under on the Bills so at least I won the day. 
 

[JerseyBills]

How'd yall do? 

Had a good day

 

Had Buf (should have taken the points) Det and NE MLs in a parlay and used Fanduel boost to make it +437

 

Had Steelers ML at +134 

 

571 profit

On 9/24/2023 at 6:54 AM, eball said:

1-2 with my picks yesterday…Utah St. had the ball down 7 and threw a pick in the red zone to lose that one, and UL Lafayette let UB get within 7 after being up 24.  Bad beats galore.  At least Utah covered.

Ya I tend to stay away from CFB because I don't follow it passionately and can't really do my own research.  So many bad beats in cfb weekly

[BillsShredder83]

^^^Noice hit!

Sunday I hit on my only NFL bet -- Bills ML + Josh over RushYds + Josh TD

 

Starting to look ahead to College for the week!

 

Also will be betting Canelo v Charlo this weekend:

I absolutely LOVE Charlo to get knocked down at +198

And secondly but more boring:  Canelo to win by decision @ -120

 

My longshot of the night:

To be 2+ knockdowns total @ +700

 

Canelo is a master counter puncher, nasty body puncher, Charlo has been inactive for 18mos (plenty of questions around his training).  I think Charlo gets knocked down with (prob body shot), but don't think Canelo has the juice in him to win on KO/TKO... he shouldve put Ryder down in the 6th rd, the guy was a chump, and Canelo seemed more than happy to let it go to judges decision. I see very similar happening Saturday, Canelo cranks it up in the first half of fight, scores his knockdown, then plays conservative chess until the last bell.

 

Dont like my pick? Fight me about it LOL!

[Buffalo716]

15 minutes ago, BillsShredder83 said:

^^^Noice hit!

Sunday I hit on my only NFL bet -- Bills ML + Josh over RushYds + Josh TD

 

Starting to look ahead to College for the week!

 

Also will be betting Canelo v Charlo this weekend:

I absolutely LOVE Charlo to get knocked down at +198

And secondly but more boring:  Canelo to win by decision @ -120

 

My longshot of the night:

To be 2+ knockdowns total @ +700

 

Canelo is a master counter puncher, nasty body puncher, Charlo has been inactive for 18mos (plenty of questions around his training).  I think Charlo gets knocked down with (prob body shot), but don't think Canelo has the juice in him to win on KO/TKO... he shouldve put Ryder down in the 6th rd, the guy was a chump, and Canelo seemed more than happy to let it go to judges decision. I see very similar happening Saturday, Canelo cranks it up in the first half of fight, scores his knockdown, then plays conservative chess until the last bell.

 

Dont like my pick? Fight me about it LOL!

Canelo is a murderer... absolutely see a knockdown 

[JerseyBills]

45 minutes ago, Buffalo716 said:

Canelo is a murderer... absolutely see a knockdown 

Agreed on Canelo. He's an animal. Charlo is no joke though. He'll be Canelos toughest fight since Floyd imo.. I really can't call that fight yet. I'm just happy It's happening..

I always wait til the day of the fight to bet, I like seeing how they look cutting weight and the body language.  I'm actually slightly leaning towards Charlo 

 

I'm a huge UFC fan too. Their next ppv is awesome.  

1 hour ago, BillsShredder83 said:

^^^Noice hit!

Sunday I hit on my only NFL bet -- Bills ML + Josh over RushYds + Josh TD

 

Starting to look ahead to College for the week!

 

Also will be betting Canelo v Charlo this weekend:

I absolutely LOVE Charlo to get knocked down at +198

And secondly but more boring:  Canelo to win by decision @ -120

 

My longshot of the night:

To be 2+ knockdowns total @ +700

 

Canelo is a master counter puncher, nasty body puncher, Charlo has been inactive for 18mos (plenty of questions around his training).  I think Charlo gets knocked down with (prob body shot), but don't think Canelo has the juice in him to win on KO/TKO... he shouldve put Ryder down in the 6th rd, the guy was a chump, and Canelo seemed more than happy to let it go to judges decision. I see very similar happening Saturday, Canelo cranks it up in the first half of fight, scores his knockdown, then plays conservative chess until the last bell.

 

Dont like my pick? Fight me about it LOL!

Ya i had a good Sunday.  I laid off the Mon games, almost bet Philly but wasn't confident enough. 

 

That's a great review of the Canelo fight. Is that 2 KOs total? Or just for Canelo? I like that bet..GL brother 

Edited September 27, 2023 by JerseyBills

[BillsShredder83]

1 hour ago, JerseyBills said:

Agreed on Canelo. He's an animal. Charlo is no joke though. He'll be Canelos toughest fight since Floyd imo.. I really can't call that fight yet. I'm just happy It's happening..

I always wait til the day of the fight to bet, I like seeing how they look cutting weight and the body language.  I'm actually slightly leaning towards Charlo 

 

I'm a huge UFC fan too. Their next ppv is awesome.  

Ya i had a good Sunday.  I laid off the Mon games, almost bet Philly but wasn't confident enough. 

 

That's a great review of the Canelo fight. Is that 2 KOs total? Or just for Canelo? I like that bet..GL brother 

Yeah 2 total at +700 is nice.  Realistically Charlo going down twice is the angle here. Canelo is an absolute beast, but looks like age has started to effect him heavily in the fights since Bivol... i cant really lay much blame on not KO'ing GGG, that just doesnt happen, but he didnt look his usual self that fight. But 2years ago theres no way Ryder makes it outta the 5th or 6th, looks like he hit a wall.

 

His last KO victory was against Caleb Plant late 2021. Hes kind of at the Jerry Rice on the Raiders point of his career. Huge name, tons of respect from opponents, but his body starting to betray him a bit... muscle memory and being a technician are carrying him, with that top notch explosion having left. 

 

On the UFC side should be a fun october.  293 is in Saudia Arabia: Oliviera vs islam makachev (sp?) Re-match!  Then a polarizing fight between 2 absolute menaces lol Paulo Costa vs Chimaev haha both those guys have huge mouths, should be fun week for soundbites leading in lol

[aristocrat]

I like the lions tonight. Love hasn’t really impressed me so far. Obviously getting jones and watson back tonight will help but won’t be enough. 

[mannc]

16 minutes ago, aristocrat said:

I like the lions tonight. Love hasn’t really impressed me so far. Obviously getting jones and watson back tonight will help but won’t be enough. 

I actually love the Packers getting 2 at home tonight.  They have an underrated defense and, as you say, getting Jones and Watson back is huge.  I kinda like what I've seen from Love.  In my mind, the Lions are still the Lions until proven otherwise and they've had very little success at Lambeau. 

[Pine Barrens Mafia]

@Buffalo716who/what you like tonight 

[Buffalo716]

1 minute ago, Pine Barrens Mafia said:

@Buffalo716who/what you like tonight 

I have Jacksonville st -6.5 locked in

[Pine Barrens Mafia]

20 minutes ago, Buffalo716 said:

I have Jacksonville st -6.5 locked in

Meant TNF

[Buffalo716]

5 minutes ago, Pine Barrens Mafia said:

Meant TNF

I'm 16 and 3 against the spread in college football

 

And 4-2 in NFL

 

I'm about making money.. I'm not touching most NFL games this year

 

Cuz I'm so locked in college

 

When I like an NFL spread I will post it.. but I'm trying to post my locks of the week 

Edited September 28, 2023 by Buffalo716

[MasterStrategist]

23 minutes ago, Pine Barrens Mafia said:

Meant TNF

I like the Lions -2 tonight.   They're better team in the trenches, both sides of the ball.  And I like Detroits OC, and their style of play.

 

GB has been a bit inconsistent, battling injuries too contributes to that.  I've liked them ATS each week, they're 3-0 ATS (Detroit 2-1).  But think this is the week that streak finishes.

 

 

[GustheDog33]

I like the under tonight. Feel like both teams are a little beat up and obviously a short week.

 

23-20 anyone?

Edited September 28, 2023 by GustheDog33

[aristocrat]

1 hour ago, MasterStrategist said:

I like the Lions -2 tonight.   They're better team in the trenches, both sides of the ball.  And I like Detroits OC, and their style of play.

 

GB has been a bit inconsistent, battling injuries too contributes to that.  I've liked them ATS each week, they're 3-0 ATS (Detroit 2-1).  But think this is the week that streak finishes.

 

 

Green Bay one of the worst teams against play action and lions use it the most. I think that’s the edge tonight 

[Buffalo716]

Back door mother ***** king!!

.-6.5 Jacksonville st ✅