**2024 degenerative gamblers thread **

[WotAGuy]

On 11/21/2023 at 8:13 AM, Nineforty said:

 

 

+74997 .. i plan to place large hedge on seahawks. 

 

My hero!  Fantastic!

[Nineforty]

1 hour ago, WotAGuy said:

My hero!  Fantastic!

I placed a couple hedges on Seahawks (sign up bonus on a site I hadnt used :)) and then realized, &#$@, what if it ends in a tie?!

 

so I placed a bet on "yes, there will be overtime" at +1480 lol, so I think I'm covered regardless of outcome. I will double dip of course if it goes to OT and there is a winner. 

[QCity]

31 minutes ago, Nineforty said:

I placed a couple hedges on Seahawks (sign up bonus on a site I hadnt used :)) and then realized, &#$@, what if it ends in a tie?!

 

so I placed a bet on "yes, there will be overtime" at +1480 lol, so I think I'm covered regardless of outcome. I will double dip of course if it goes to OT and there is a winner. 

 

For a tie on Fanduel they simply void that leg and would recalculate the odds without that -295 leg so you would still hit a massive payout. You're getting good value too as SF is now -330 😉

[Nineforty]

10 minutes ago, QCity said:

 

For a tie on Fanduel they simply void that leg and would recalculate the odds without that -295 leg so you would still hit a massive payout. You're getting good value too as SF is now -330 😉

hahah oh snap, thanks! obviously did not think about that. guess that extra hedge wasn't necessary but now I'll really be rooting for OT.

 

I was watching the odds go from +245 all the way up to +290 on the Seahawks and was happy I held out on making my hedges until then. But then I saw a couple of the books bump it down so I placed my hedges. I was worried if news that Geno is playing (although i doubt they will announce it until tomorrow) dropped that I would be getting much worse value.. 

[WotAGuy]

@Nineforty Congrats!

[Nineforty]

2 hours ago, WotAGuy said:

@Nineforty Congrats!

Thanks!! 

[LeviF]

Alright guys early bets are due for CFP like yesterday. 
 

Texas -4 🔨🔨🔨

Texas TT OVER

Ewers props OVER

 

idk and idc what they are Husky defense is ASS

Edited December 4, 2023 by LeviF

[1onemangang7]

Bowl season is upon us. It's the most wonderful time of the year. If any linterest I'll post most every game and hit 57 to 65 percent traditionally. I'd put it in here directly after my bet is down. Some games might be an hour or days before kick depending on what I believe would be the best line I could get. We've got plenty of singled out weeknight bowl games on the horizon. Let the rigatoni begin.

[1onemangang7]

nearly 10 mins to tip.  pepperdine is a play -4 bet rivers

[1onemangang7]

I'm playing iupu +5.5 and the Lakers -2 this guy isn't betting every NFL game but predicting every single game 

He's at 58 percent which would put him right in the mix in the circa contest.

 

 

 

It's really pretty amazing...every game? Publications get crushed trying to predict every game.

 

22 hours ago, 1onemangang7 said:

 

 

Just now, 1onemangang7 said:

I'm playing iupu +5.5 and the Lakers -2 this guy isn't betting every NFL game but predicting every single game 

He's at 58 percent which would put him right in the mix in the circa contest.

 

 

 

It's really pretty amazing...every game? Publications get crushed trying to predict every game.

 

 

Oops..tonight  

 

 

[1onemangang7]

And I get that this guy gets that Pittsburgh ml is square af. But thinks a Lil too hard? I appreciate a lot of his ideals but sustained is always elementary. Let's get this double NBA championship home on LeBron 

[1onemangang7]

Let LeBron win by 40. 🤣 guess we know he won't be in the mix for trophy in the spring. I'll ride him in winter though.

[1onemangang7]

Normally a line is gonna move publicly too far as in the case of Ohio St vs Mizzou, but this is big money at the windows and at the university.  You don't wanna knee jerk into traditional handicapping principals without pause. Portals and NFL acting classes who really can make an accurate line?

[section122]

2 hours ago, 1onemangang7 said:

Let LeBron win by 40. 🤣 guess we know he won't be in the mix for trophy in the spring. I'll ride him in winter though.

 

I felt thus way too I think he wants to win it as it's the first one.  I put down on lakers ml and reaves over 13.5 points.  Should have given the 2 lol

[Bill from NYC]

On 12/4/2023 at 11:20 AM, LeviF said:

Alright guys early bets are due for CFP like yesterday. 
 

Texas -4 🔨🔨🔨

Texas TT OVER

Ewers props OVER

 

idk and idc what they are Husky defense is ASS

As much as I like Alabama - 1.5 (giving points to Nick Saban is insane), I LOVE Texas-4. From the little I know about Washington, their defense would appear to be less than spectacular. Coach Sarkisian is a GREAT offensive mind, imo one of the best in the entire sport. He will hit them with formations that they have never seen. If only he was on the Bills, but it would mean a drastic pay cut.

 

The money line I saw with The Tide was an even bet. Imo the 1.5 makes more sense. Btw, they were plus 175 vs. UGA.  

 

Disclaimer: If I could pick all games accurately I would never have worked. That said, this year has been relatively easy. 

[Nineforty]

tough one last night

 

[Process]

Big game tomorrow

 

Biggest Bills ML bet of the year

 

Kincaid over 37.5. he's done that in 6 straight games. This line is a huge overreaction to Knox being back. A gift. 

 

Love Davis most receiving yards in the game at +950 for a gamble 

 

Go bills.

[BillMafia716ix]

Big game like this Josh Allen rushing yards is money. Over 33.5

 

Go Bills

[section122]

Add me to the homer bet list lol

 

Allen over 1.5 tds -163

Allen attd -110

Allen alt pass yards 275+ +100

Bass 2.5+ extra points +104

 

Had a bonus on a parlay too so i put them together +965

 

If any 3 of the 4 hit I make $ good luck today everyone!

[1onemangang7]

2023 Bowls. for grading purposes all games counted to win 100

 

Saturday 0-0

 

Miami Ohio +6.5 -105

 

Edited December 16, 2023 by 1onemangang7
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