**2024 degenerative gamblers thread **

[Buffalo716]

It's this time of year ladies and gents

 

Open for NFL lines and college football... 

 

This is not for longshot parlays or asinine bets ... Let's try and make TBD patrons some money this season... Well thought out plays 

 

I will only be posting my locks throughout the season ..  games that I'm only betting myself that I'm confident 

 

I had bills +5.5 today....

 

College football week 1... I am betting the house Oklahoma vs Arkansas state ... OKL -33.5.... yes I know it's a large spread

 

But I'm predicting 55-10 OKL

 

Nebraska vs Minnesota under 46.5

 

I'm very confident on the 2 college picks 

 

And I will look at the NFL spreads over the next 2 days 

 

Edited September 15 by Buffalo716

[Sammy Watkins' Rib]

I don’t see a line avail blue for the next game against the Steelers . But anything more than a TD in a preseason game seems ridiculous.

 

I am contemplating a large wager on the Jets to win the division. Nothing would piss me off more this year. 
 

also contemplating a parlay of Bills, Cheifs, Bengals and Jags to win division. 

[Buffalo716]

24 minutes ago, Sammy Watkins' Rib said:

I don’t see a line avail blue for the next game against the Steelers . But anything more than a TD in a preseason game seems ridiculous.

 

I am contemplating a large wager on the Jets to win the division. Nothing would piss me off more this year. 
 

also contemplating a parlay of Bills, Cheifs, Bengals and Jags to win division. 

The opening line I saw was - 14.5 buffalo... Unless it's a glitch from last seasons game for some reason ... It says August of 23... It seems so high it has to be a glitch 

 

I will scratch that for now 

Edited August 13, 2023 by Buffalo716

[eball]

I’m 2-2 this weekend…lost Pats* and Ravens, won Bills and Steelers.

 

I’ll participate in this thread during the season.  I like to have action going on Saturdays and Sundays.

 

[Pine Barrens Mafia]

4 minutes ago, eball said:

I’m 2-2 this weekend…lost Pats* and Ravens, won Bills and Steelers.

 

I’ll participate in this thread during the season.  I like to have action going on Saturdays and Sundays.

 

You bet on preseason? Yikes 

[eball]

36 minutes ago, Pine Barrens Mafia said:

You bet on preseason? Yikes 

 

You betcha.  There are definite trends and angles to take advantage of.

 

[Chaos]

10 hours ago, Buffalo716 said:

I had bills +5.5 today.

Shall we be reporting more bets in hindsight. I am super good at those. 

[BillsShredder83]

6 hours ago, eball said:

 

You betcha.  There are definite trends and angles to take advantage of.

 

I hit on Moneyline upsets 2 weeks in a row. Browns in the HOF game, and then Cards Friday night.

 

MY CURRENT INTRIGUING LONGSHOT'ish PICKS:

I was going to put in a small wager for Tua CBPOTY at +2000, still might. Those odds are so high, and I could see a small but decent chance that theres some Hamlin fatigue by the time votes come, especially if Tua has a good year. I think Hamlin wins, but its not unraesonable to think Tua is the much more valuable CBPOTY.  If Tua stays healthy and has a good year, I think he should win based on his on the field play, but thats not really how its been voted on as of late

 

Also, McDermott at +4000, has the 3rd longest odds.  If we were to win it all, McD is also the D Coordinator. I dunno, $20 to win $800 has enough intrigue to look over the flaws of the idea for me

Edited August 13, 2023 by BillsShredder83

[JerseyBills]

11 hours ago, Buffalo716 said:

It's this time of year ladies and gents

 

Open for NFL lines and college football... 

 

This is not for longshot parlays or asinine bets ... Let's try and make TBD patrons some money this season... Well thought out plays 

 

I will only be posting my locks throughout the season ..  games that I'm only betting myself

 

I had bills +5.5 today....

 

College football week 1... I am betting the house Oklahoma vs Arkansas state ... OKL -33.5.... yes I know it's a large spread

 

But I'm predicting 55-10 OKL

 

Nebraska vs Minnesota under 46.5

 

I'm very confident on the 2 college picks 

 

And I will look at the NFL spreads over the next 2 days 

 

Good luck. Should keep this thread up , so we can share what picks everyone likes

[Bangarang]

6 hours ago, Pine Barrens Mafia said:

You bet on preseason? Yikes 

Bills were +3.5 yesterday. It was the easiest money you’ll ever make. My only regret was not betting more. 

[Sammy Watkins' Rib]

40 minutes ago, BillsShredder83 said:

 

 

MY CURRENT INTRIGUING LONGSHOT'ish PICKS:

I was going to put in a small wager for Tua CBPOTY at +2000, still might. Those odds are so high, and I could see a small but decent chance that theres some Hamlin fatigue by the time votes come, especially if Tua has a good year. I think Hamlin wins, but its not unraesonable to think Tua is the much more valuable CBPOTY.  If Tua stays healthy and has a good year, I think he should win based on his on the field play, but thats not really how its been voted on as of late

 

 

interesting. I just don’t think Tua qualifies though IMO. He missed a few games but not that many. 
 

Of course on the flip side Hamlin missed even fewer games than Tua. But drastically different degrees of injuries of course. 
 

My guess would be Odell would win before Tua. Then you have Kyler Murray, Stafford, Von Miller. 

[NewEra]

8 hours ago, Pine Barrens Mafia said:

You bet on preseason? Yikes 

I’ve been betting on preseason games for 10+ years.  
 

I usually bet on the backup QBs.  Chase Daniels has won me a good chunk of change

[Buffalo716]

8 hours ago, Pine Barrens Mafia said:

You bet on preseason? Yikes 

Lines are a little often preseason and sharps make good money 

2 hours ago, Chaos said:

Shall we be reporting more bets in hindsight. I am super good at those. 

I actually posted in the bills thread that I was betting the bills plus 5.5 days before the game

[MasterStrategist]

Betting most preseason underdogs is usually a good way to go.  Spreads are a random number generator in the preseason.

 

I typically look at OL, DL, and Qb depth.  

 

I think Bills will be a dog heading to Steelers, plan to go moneyline again.

[GoBills808]

definitely fading this thread

[Buffalo716]

2 hours ago, GoBills808 said:

definitely fading this thread

 

I hit 75% of my bets last season on the money line 

 

Obviously not spread ... But I didn't do bad on the spread either

Edited August 13, 2023 by Buffalo716

[GoBills808]

1 minute ago, Buffalo716 said:

 

I hit 75% of my bets last season 

No you didn't lol

 

the pros are lucky to hit 60%

 

Nobody wins 3/4 of their bets, it's impossible 

 

 

[Buffalo716]

12 minutes ago, GoBills808 said:

No you didn't lol

 

the pros are lucky to hit 60%

 

Nobody wins 3/4 of their bets, it's impossible 

 

 

Not if you play money line also

 

There are 50 college football games every week .  You can bet teams that are -350 moneline...  Massive favorites 

 

Hawaii vs Stanford ... Stanford -350... I'll just put $2,000 on that money line.   Thats an easy 450 bucks

 

And yeah 70% of those bets hit 

 

Friend has been an Oklahoma booster for 25 years and he makes $50,000 a year gambling college football

 

I was 13 and 3 on the bills money line last year lol I took them to win every game

 

Now if I just strictly play the spread I'm not hitting at a 70% clip... But you can pick money line games that are almost guaranteed to hit you just won't get a good return

Edited August 13, 2023 by Buffalo716

[GoBills808]

1 minute ago, Buffalo716 said:

Not if you play money line also

 

There are 50 college football games every week .  You can bet teams that are -350 moneline...  Massive chance to win

 

Hawaii vs Stanford ... Stanford -350... I'll just put $2,000 on that money line

 

And yeah 70% of those bets hit yearly

 

Friend has been in Oklahoma booster for 25 years and he makes $50,000 a year gambling college football

Look I was mostly just joking originally but if there are people looking for advice on wagers you might as well tell them the truth

 

Moneyline favorites do not win enough to be profitable 

[Buffalo716]

11 minutes ago, GoBills808 said:

Look I was mostly just joking originally but if there are people looking for advice on wagers you might as well tell them the truth

 

Moneyline favorites do not win enough to be profitable 

Absolutely..   and I was going to add that you're not going to make a lot of money on the money line... I usually parlay my money lines

 

Unless you're betting underdogs, then there is some money

 

But if you pay attention there's always a groove you can ride during the season

 

@GoBills808who do you like week 1 CFB (spread)

 

 

 

Edited August 13, 2023 by Buffalo716