The Firebaugh Kid Posted June 14, 2023 Posted June 14, 2023 Id say The Cooler nabs 54 balls, 5 tds. Year two will be when he really takes over and becomes an even bigger name than Wade Garrett. 1 Quote
DCofNC Posted June 14, 2023 Posted June 14, 2023 (edited) I’m going to side w history, 32 catches, 297 yards and 3tds. I’m hoping it’s more like 55 catches, 600 yards, 10 tds. Edited June 14, 2023 by DCofNC 1 Quote
NewEra Posted June 15, 2023 Posted June 15, 2023 8 hours ago, hondo in seattle said: Josh has proven he can effectively dink-and-dunk when that's available. But I get the feeling that both Josh and Dorsey would rather air it out. I'd like to see the Bills use more underneath stuff with outlet receivers this year. And I'd like to see both Cook and Hines in that role. In fact, I'd like to see a more diversified passing attack utilizing the strengths of all the guys we have, Kincaid too. I get the feeling that Josh and Dorsey didn’t have anyone they trusted to run the short/underneath. I also get the feeling that Allens injury was more of an issue with the short/underneath passes i think we’ll see a more balanced attack this year as opposed to all the deep balls 1 Quote
Buffalo Barbarian Posted June 15, 2023 Posted June 15, 2023 150 catches, 3000 yards and 55 touchdowns !!! 1 Quote
hondo in seattle Posted June 15, 2023 Posted June 15, 2023 1 hour ago, NewEra said: I get the feeling that Josh and Dorsey didn’t have anyone they trusted to run the short/underneath. I also get the feeling that Allens injury was more of an issue with the short/underneath passes i think we’ll see a more balanced attack this year as opposed to all the deep balls I think you're right. I heard a MD explain that a UCL issue may indeed interfere with short passes more than long. Beane said that Crowder's injury hurt a lot because he was supposed to be the undeneath guy. 1 Quote
HappyDays Posted June 15, 2023 Posted June 15, 2023 (edited) 4 hours ago, DCofNC said: I’m going to side w history, 32 catches, 297 yards and 3tds. What history is that? It's a big slot drafted in the 1st round going to a pass heavy offense led by a top 3 QB and featuring just one top tier pass catcher to share targets with. There's no history to lean on. The context of his specific situation means much more. Edited June 15, 2023 by HappyDays Quote
BADOLBILZ Posted June 15, 2023 Posted June 15, 2023 1 hour ago, hondo in seattle said: I think you're right. I heard a MD explain that a UCL issue may indeed interfere with short passes more than long. Beane said that Crowder's injury hurt a lot because he was supposed to be the undeneath guy. Which is like Beane saying that a David Edwards injury would hurt a lot because he was supposed to be a starting guard. They've invested very little in Edwards just like they invested almost nothing in Crowder and they knew he was damaged goods. The reality is that McBeane decided to swap out Darryl Williams for Rodger Saffold and Beasley and Sanders for Crowder and it backfired. I believe they figured that the offense had finished the season so hot that any drop-off in offense at any point of the season because of accepting lesser talents wouldn't matter because the defense was going to be outrageously good. But the defensive side of the ball is too hard to predict from year to year and come playoff time they weren't a very good defense.........and of course, because of their decision to cut corners on offense, they then didn't have the offensive talent available to pick up the slack. Quote
BADOLBILZ Posted June 15, 2023 Posted June 15, 2023 (edited) 11 hours ago, hondo in seattle said: Josh has proven he can effectively dink-and-dunk when that's available. But I get the feeling that both Josh and Dorsey would rather air it out. I'd like to see the Bills use more underneath stuff with outlet receivers this year. And I'd like to see both Cook and Hines in that role. In fact, I'd like to see a more diversified passing attack utilizing the strengths of all the guys we have, Kincaid too. The opener of last season might have been the most impressive "quick game" performance of Josh Allen's career. And Dorsey was the play caller. They just didn't have the personnel to execute the style all season. McKenzie had clearly outplayed Crowder in the preseason and then McKenzie was a roller coaster with all of those opporunities in the first month of the season and the beaten-out Crowder got injured. So they played much of the year without the talent to consistently execute the quick game. I think Dorsey has to be given a pass on whether or not he can coordinate a short game because you can't expect your QB to keep feeding a block-headed slot receiver with a 9% drop rate. Edited June 15, 2023 by BADOLBILZ 1 Quote
DCofNC Posted June 15, 2023 Posted June 15, 2023 10 hours ago, HappyDays said: What history is that? It's a big slot drafted in the 1st round going to a pass heavy offense led by a top 3 QB and featuring just one top tier pass catcher to share targets with. There's no history to lean on. The context of his specific situation means much more. He’s an TE, no matter how you try to twist it, he’s not a WR. He’s still going to line up as a TE and run routes. History says rookie TEs rarely contribute much of anything. A Slot WR is an even more nuanced position than TE, so whatever take you want to claim to have, it’s still not likely a guy as inexperienced as he is, is going to make a huge first year contribution. Quote
gobills404 Posted June 15, 2023 Posted June 15, 2023 24 minutes ago, DCofNC said: He’s an TE, no matter how you try to twist it, he’s not a WR. He’s still going to line up as a TE and run routes. History says rookie TEs rarely contribute much of anything. A Slot WR is an even more nuanced position than TE, so whatever take you want to claim to have, it’s still not likely a guy as inexperienced as he is, is going to make a huge first year contribution. He literally lined up as a WR on the majority of passing downs at Utah Quote
HappyDays Posted June 15, 2023 Posted June 15, 2023 32 minutes ago, DCofNC said: He’s an TE, no matter how you try to twist it, he’s not a WR. He’s still going to line up as a TE and run routes. History says rookie TEs rarely contribute much of anything. A Slot WR is an even more nuanced position than TE, so whatever take you want to claim to have, it’s still not likely a guy as inexperienced as he is, is going to make a huge first year contribution. Kyle Pitts was a TE too. He had over 1,000 yards as a rookie. Beane has already said they envision Kincaid as the big slot. That's basically how he was used at Utah. None of your "history" means anything about this specific player in this specific situation. Quote
gobills404 Posted June 15, 2023 Posted June 15, 2023 (edited) 16 hours ago, DCofNC said: I’m going to side w history, 32 catches, 297 yards and 3tds. I’m hoping it’s more like 55 catches, 600 yards, 10 tds. Rookie first round right ends over the last decade have averaged 32.4 yards per game, which would work out to 550 yards if Kincaid plays every game. You may just get what you’re hoping for when it comes to catches and yards 👍. Edited June 15, 2023 by gobills404 1 Quote
jethro_tull Posted June 15, 2023 Posted June 15, 2023 better than expected- look for big jump in production after game 7 or 8 and be a star by the end of the season. Quote
DCofNC Posted June 15, 2023 Posted June 15, 2023 1 hour ago, HappyDays said: Kyle Pitts was a TE too. He had over 1,000 yards as a rookie. Beane has already said they envision Kincaid as the big slot. That's basically how he was used at Utah. None of your "history" means anything about this specific player in this specific situation. Oh congratulations you found ONE guy who was the focus of the offense, now go look at all the others. He’s not going to be option 1 on this team, he might MIGHT fight his way to option 2, but a guy with 5 years of football experience is not going to jump out on the NFL field and drop 1k on you as a secondary, likely 3rd or 4th target. He may get more looks in the red zone because he’s got size and creates matchup issues, so his TD number might be higher. That said, if he does that early in the year and teams slide coverage to him, it will open up other options and most likely a lot of opportunities for Knox. I’m happy we have the guy, I think he COULD be great, but he’s not likely to be a huge contributor early. He’s got a ton to learn. I know people are all hyped up, but remember this, if Utah’s starting TE doesn’t get hurt, he may never have seen the field. This whole conversation would be about some undrafted guy they brought to camp who has measurables but never got on the field. I expect a developmental year this season and you will see more from him in the future. He has the tools, he has great hands and should see some red zone targets. I think people are setting themselves up for the typical “bust” thoughts as he struggles to get meaningful reps. I tried to warn people to temper their enthusiasm on Cook last year too, he was never worth a crap as a blocker in college and that meant he wasn’t going to see the field until he figured it out. People pouted about his lack of use for half a season. Fans need to come to grips with the fact you aren’t getting top 10 players anymore, most late first round guys are drafted for physical potential, they are going to need some time. It gets worse the further into the draft you go. Elam has tools, as does Cook, but they both got limited reps because they had to put it all together to play in the NFL. Expect more of that this year as well. The only guy we reasonably should expect to seize a starting job out of camp is Torrence. He should be a day 1 starter, assuming the real reason he dropped was the feeling he’s a pure guard and nothing more, I’m a lot gun shy on falling linemen after the Ford situation. Quote
HappyDays Posted June 15, 2023 Posted June 15, 2023 1 hour ago, DCofNC said: Oh congratulations you found ONE guy who was the focus of the offense, now go look at all the others. He’s not going to be option 1 on this team, he might MIGHT fight his way to option 2, but a guy with 5 years of football experience is not going to jump out on the NFL field and drop 1k on you as a secondary, likely 3rd or 4th target. I don't think Kincaid will get 1,000 yards as a rookie. You predicted less than 18 yards per game and less than 2 catches per game. You still haven't told me what history you are basing that on? Quote
Buffalo Boy Posted June 15, 2023 Posted June 15, 2023 18 hours ago, DCofNC said: I’m going to side w history, 32 catches, 297 yards and 3tds. I’m hoping it’s more like 55 catches, 600 yards, 10 tds. I totally see the kid being SLOWLY worked in by our conservative coaching staff and ending up in the mid 300s with 27 catches ( one or two crazy stat padding catches) Quote
Dan in Owego Posted June 18, 2023 Author Posted June 18, 2023 On 6/15/2023 at 12:28 AM, BADOLBILZ said: The opener of last season might have been the most impressive "quick game" performance of Josh Allen's career. And Dorsey was the play caller. They just didn't have the personnel to execute the style all season. McKenzie had clearly outplayed Crowder in the preseason and then McKenzie was a roller coaster with all of those opporunities in the first month of the season and the beaten-out Crowder got injured. So they played much of the year without the talent to consistently execute the quick game. I think Dorsey has to be given a pass on whether or not he can coordinate a short game because you can't expect your QB to keep feeding a block-headed slot receiver with a 9% drop rate. And here we have the answer to why i have high expectations for Dalton, i know full well he is a rookie. But by Jesus the man has some great hands he cannot possibly be a downgrade, and if all goes well he could be a hell of a weapon by the later season🙏 1 Quote
Chaos Posted June 19, 2023 Posted June 19, 2023 (edited) I expect Kincaid to be the offensive rookie of the year Edited June 19, 2023 by Chaos 4 Quote
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