Are the Jaguars a lock for the one seed?

[Rc2catch]

I view them similar to Buffalo. They have the talent to beat anyone, but they generally play down to lesser talented teams. They’ll totally lose a few games they should win 

[Ethan in Cleveland]

Not a lock of course, but the OP point is well taken. That said this whole strength of schedule stuff is so overblown. There are just too many things that can happen during a season. 

[Eastport bills]

Be careful with expectations based on a hot streak at the end of the season. First problem is that they should never have beaten the Chargers in the playoffs. Their defense gagged up 27 pts in a 1/4 and a half. Then the Chargers inexplicably went into a conservative shell in the second half that handed Jax the game. Secondly, why do we think a 9 win team, with a suspect defense will automatically be better than last season. Tenn is well coached and improved with a healthy Tannehill. Indy will be better because Mattie  Ice was shot last year and Minshew, Richardson and their supporting cast will be better. At first glance, they will be underdogs against KC,SF, Buff, NO(away)Tenn(away), Cinn, Balt, Pitt, Cleveland (away). If they win 5 of those 9 and lose 3 of the 8 games they will be favored or pickem, that’s 7 losses. That seems about right.

[Donuts and Doritos]

Yes definitely. Unless someone else gets it.

[JakeFrommStateFarm]

I think they win their division and get the 4 seed.

 

KC most likely gets the 1.  Bengals 2 and Bills 3

[Pokebball]

No

[PrimeTime101]

1 hour ago, Big Blitz said:

In the worst division in the NFL. 

 

They play the NFC South - it’s probably 2nd worse.   
 

Toughest games:

 

Week 2 vs Chiefs at home

Week 5 at Bills in London 

Week 10 vs 49ers at home 

Week 13 vs Bengals at home

Week 15 vs Ravens at home

Their toughest games are at home and then in London where they’ll already be waiting for us.  

 

I see 3-4 losses at worst on that schedule.  
 

Year 2 under Pederson.  Lawrence and the O should only be better.  Their defense is better.  
 

The other AFC Divisions will beat up on each other and each plays a tougher NFC Division.  
 

Last year mission 1 seed was clearly the objective.  
 

I think with how things will unfold this year it’s important the fans (and team) truly go one game at a time and prioritize health and getting hot at playoff time.  
 

Obviously want to win every game, but in no way should we be fretting over seeding.  
 

JUST GET IN. 

mmm Noo... Dolphins Game will be a hard team them... And i see  6 hard teams and they will likely lose 5 of them.  12-5 ... And then there is always that one game you should never lose but you do... Lock? Come on man.... 

 

The only reason no one is laughing or puking on your thread is because of the high respect we have for you... No team is ever a Lock.. Including KC. 

[GunnerBill]

Lot depends on two factors for me:

 

1. Calvin Ridley - I don't think they have that weapon that teams worry about. Christian Kirk is a nice slot receiver. Engram is a nice tight end. But they need a true "you gotta double him" weapon. If Ridley can come back and be that I am confident their offense takes another step. 

 

2. Pass rush - who knows what is happening with the other Josh Allen and I am not a big Travon Walker guy. They are going to have to find a way to get to the passer. 

 

But good team, ascending young QB and easy schedule. They should win their division and of 1 and 2 both work themselves out then the #1 seed is in play.

[Buffalo Boy]

1 hour ago, John from Riverside said:

I feel like they definitely have an up-and-coming team

 

And I think we would’ve beaten  the socks off them last year in the playoffs

   The Bills didn’t appear to be able to beat the socks off themselves, last year…… even if they were barefoot.

 

[John from Riverside]

1 minute ago, Buffalo Boy said:

   The Bills didn’t appear to be able to beat the socks off themselves, last year…… even if they were barefoot.

 

I’m assuming that you mean in the playoffs because we were 13 and three in the regular season?
 

The Bengals were/are a bad matchup for us

[Big Blitz]

8 minutes ago, PrimeTime101 said:

mmm Noo... Dolphins Game will be a hard team them... And i see  6 hard teams and they will likely lose 5 of them.  12-5 ... And then there is always that one game you should never lose but you do... Lock? Come on man.... 

 

The only reason no one is laughing or puking on your thread is because of the high respect we have for you... No team is ever a Lock.. Including KC. 

 

There is a question mark it’s just a discussion!

 

 

And they don’t play Miami unless you’re talking about the Bills. 
 

The beast of the East thread had me thinking about the 1 seed.  
 

Yes the Chiefs Bills and Bengals are the better teams - and barring no serious injury because obviously that changes things - but the Jaguars schedule combined with what should be a much better team then last year especially if Lawrence makes another leap, I just would find it hard to say they aren’t the favorites to get it.  

[Buffalo Boy]

2 minutes ago, John from Riverside said:

I’m assuming that you mean in the playoffs because we were 13 and three in the regular season?
 

The Bengals were/are a bad matchup for us

    After the first two games we looked great, after that 🤷‍♂️

    I remember the Pittsburg game being easy, then every game was a struggle , or seemed that way. 
    I’m happy we won all those games but nothing looked like an easy out before we even hit the halfway point last season.

[John from Riverside]

3 minutes ago, Buffalo Boy said:

    After the first two games we looked great, after that 🤷‍♂️

    I remember the Pittsburg game being easy, then every game was a struggle , or seemed that way. 
    I’m happy we won all those games but nothing looked like an easy out before we even hit the halfway point last season.

Yer we were top-five in offense and top-five in defense

 

Still, they had a roadblock whenever they got into the playoffs

[PrimeTime101]

41 minutes ago, Big Blitz said:

 

There is a question mark it’s just a discussion!

 

 

And they don’t play Miami unless you’re talking about the Bills. 
 

The beast of the East thread had me thinking about the 1 seed.  
 

Yes the Chiefs Bills and Bengals are the better teams - and barring no serious injury because obviously that changes things - but the Jaguars schedule combined with what should be a much better team then last year especially if Lawrence makes another leap, I just would find it hard to say they aren’t the favorites to get it.  

yea i was looking at week 3 preseason my bad.  One of those 3 teams are going to get 13 wins Bet on it. That does not make Jacksonville close to a lock. 

Edited June 9, 2023 by PrimeTime101

[PBF81]

1 hour ago, MJS said:

They are the Jaguars. They won 9 games last year. They are a relatively average team, maybe slightly above average, until they prove otherwise.

 

Some of these teams you just have to see it before you can believe in them. Like the Broncos. Everyone thought they would be awesome, and they stunk it up.

 

But they won 7 of their last 9 and Lawrence played incredibly well in the second half of the season.  One of his two stinker games was vs. the Jets and they held us to an average of 18.5 points/game.  

 

If his entire season had matched his second half output he'd have put up 29 passing TDs.  He'd have been much further along w/o Meyer.  

 

Etienne played exceptionally well also and was 14th in the league in Yards-from-Scrimmage, which was better than anyone we had.  

 

They had a ton of draft picks.  

 

 

[WotAGuy]

1 hour ago, julian said:

A lock ? Wtf is going on

Are people being paid to start threads or something?

[PBF81]

56 minutes ago, John from Riverside said:

The Bengals were/are a bad matchup for us

 

McD's history is that the Playoffs in general starting at the Divisional Round is a bad matchup for us.  

 

Just sayin' ... 

 

 

1 hour ago, Rc2catch said:

I view them similar to Buffalo. They have the talent to beat anyone, but they generally play down to lesser talented teams. They’ll totally lose a few games they should win 

 

They're a completely different team with Lawrence however, kind of like we became an entirely different team with Allen.  Many as do I anticipate Lawrence becoming a top-4 QB.  (Mahomes, Allen, Burrow, Lawrence)  

 

Their Defense ranked 12th in scoring.  Meyer ruined any development that they may have had in Lawrence's rookie season.  

 

It should be fun watching them play this season.  

 

 

[BBFL]

Is Tannehill not playing for Titans or what? I know they had a horrible season but they are only one year removed from the AFC #1 Seed and haven’t had that much roster turnover… AJ Brown trade is the only head scratcher or loss of top end talent. Burks and Okonkwu don’t look half bad and if they do end up landing Hopkins, they’re easily a credible shout for that division. 

Edited June 9, 2023 by BBFL

[LabattBlue]

Not only are they a lock for the #1 seed, I would just hand them the Lombardi trophy today and declare the season over.  See you all in the fall of 2024. 

[GETTOTHE50]

this is a colin cowherd take. you never go full cowherd.