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To show how big of a seismic political earthquake (on social media and betting markets, at least) that Ann Setzer’s poll is… these battleground polls also just came out from the best pollster in 2020. 
 

Doesn’t matter - Ann’s poll dominates the narrative tonight. 
 

 

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38 minutes ago, SCBills said:

To show how big of a seismic political earthquake (on social media and betting markets, at least) that Ann Setzer’s poll is… these battleground polls also just came out from the best pollster in 2020. 
 

Doesn’t matter - Ann’s poll dominates the narrative tonight. 
 

 


Well yeah, Seltzer is the best in the business. She nailed the Trump momentum in 2016 when everyone else thought Clinton had it in the bag and she also showed Biden was weaker in 2020 than many people thought. 

 

It’s not just some random pollster, it’s the gold standard pollster. That’s why it drives the narrative. 

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10 minutes ago, ChiGoose said:


Well yeah, Seltzer is the best in the business. She nailed the Trump momentum in 2016 when everyone else thought Clinton had it in the bag and she also showed Biden was weaker in 2020 than many people thought. 

 

It’s not just some random pollster, it’s the gold standard pollster. That’s why it drives the narrative. 


I agree.  I’m not disputing any of that. 

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13 hours ago, SCBills said:


Absolutely shocking poll.  
 

Shes either way off (Emerson has Trump +10, which is more in line with others)

 

OR

 

Something she found hasn’t been picked up elsewhere and will result in a Harris landslide 

 

If she’s accurate, she’s a legend.

 

If she’s wrong, she’s destroyed her reputation… especially with how much weight her poll carries in terms of momentum narrative down the stretch.  (Betting market for PA just flipped to Harris off the heels of this news)

 


She had Trump +7 in 2016 when everyone else had written him off. 

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On 11/2/2024 at 9:22 PM, ChiGoose said:


Well yeah, Seltzer is the best in the business. She nailed the Trump momentum in 2016 when everyone else thought Clinton had it in the bag and she also showed Biden was weaker in 2020 than many people thought. 

 

It’s not just some random pollster, it’s the gold standard pollster. That’s why it drives the narrative. 

Nothing lasts forever. Probably skipped the silver standard and went directly to bronze. Oh well. 

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