Tommy Callahan Posted October 5 Share Posted October 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Backintheday544 Posted October 5 Share Posted October 5 This story seems to be spreading quickly. Just this tweet alone with 2.4 million views. You'd think the GOP would try to distance themselves from Nazi's, but that does cut out a chunk of their base. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tommy Callahan Posted October 5 Share Posted October 5 Priorities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Man Posted October 9 Author Share Posted October 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Backintheday544 Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 Great start to election season. Trump should be pooping his pants Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tommy Callahan Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 Noticed something interesting in NYS lately. DEMs have Harris Waltz signs in their yards, And separate Senate/House/Local Signs next to them. But on the right, the senate/house/local Signs all start with Trump/Vance then have the others listed below them. on the same sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillsFanNC Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillsFanNC Posted October 10 Share Posted October 10 Going with the Kamala like against it before he was for it strategy.. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Man Posted October 10 Author Share Posted October 10 With the Senate on the Line, It's All Over but the Crying for Jon Tester in Montana https://redstate.com/bonchie/2024/10/10/with-the-senate-on-the-line-its-all-over-but-the-crying-for-jon-tester-in-montana-n2180384 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Man Posted October 11 Author Share Posted October 11 NY Times: Yup, Republicans Are Going to Win the Senate John Sexton This isn't exactly news at this point but the NY Times has a new poll out today which pretty much confirms what we already knew. The Senate is about to turn red and there doesn't seem to be any real hope for the Democrats to change that at this point. https://hotair.com/john-s-2/2024/10/10/ny-times-yup-republicans-are-going-to-win-the-senate-n3795659 https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/10/us/politics/senate-polls-montana-florida-texas.html . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Backintheday544 Posted October 11 Share Posted October 11 (edited) 2 hours ago, B-Man said: NY Times: Yup, Republicans Are Going to Win the Senate John Sexton This isn't exactly news at this point but the NY Times has a new poll out today which pretty much confirms what we already knew. The Senate is about to turn red and there doesn't seem to be any real hope for the Democrats to change that at this point. https://hotair.com/john-s-2/2024/10/10/ny-times-yup-republicans-are-going-to-win-the-senate-n3795659 https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/10/us/politics/senate-polls-montana-florida-texas.html . this ignored Nebraska A third potentially competitive Republican-held seat has emerged in recent weeks, though the re-election bid of Senator Deb Fischer, Republican of Nebraska, was not included in the polls. Ms. Fischer is running against an independent, Dan Osborn, and Republicans have recently come to her campaign’s aid with advertising most polls have Fischer losing. Edited October 11 by Backintheday544 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Man Posted October 11 Author Share Posted October 11 2 hours ago, Backintheday544 said: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Man Posted Tuesday at 01:37 PM Author Share Posted Tuesday at 01:37 PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Backintheday544 Posted Tuesday at 01:39 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 01:39 PM Internal Republican polls have Casey up 2. Pretty good for a biased Republican poll. https://static.politico.com/79/e9/eaf701084e77be9afaa85356e3b8/slf-october-memo.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Biden is Mentally Fit Posted Tuesday at 01:46 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 01:46 PM 5 minutes ago, Backintheday544 said: Internal Republican polls have Casey up 2. Pretty good for a biased Republican poll. https://static.politico.com/79/e9/eaf701084e77be9afaa85356e3b8/slf-october-memo.pdf Is it your “thought” that an internal poll would purposely be biased in favor of the ones commissioning the poll? I guess to you they are best served by pulling the wool over their own eyes. Brilliant. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Backintheday544 Posted Tuesday at 02:49 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 02:49 PM 1 hour ago, Biden is Mentally Fit said: Is it your “thought” that an internal poll would purposely be biased in favor of the ones commissioning the poll? I guess to you they are best served by pulling the wool over their own eyes. Brilliant. Id wager they’re more likely to over estimate support when doing their weights than a no -biased public poll. Still the good guy is up 2. Theyre projecting Dems need to be up 390,000 VBM votes in PA to have an easy win. So PA is looking good. plus McCormick thought the Eagles were the Steelers 1 hour ago, Biden is Mentally Fit said: Is it your “thought” that an internal poll would purposely be biased in favor of the ones commissioning the poll? I guess to you they are best served by pulling the wool over their own eyes. Brilliant. We can also look at the thoughts of your favorite Nate Silver “So you’re selecting for people who are high on partisan motivated reasoning, who have organizational incentives to sugarcoat the data, and who won’t necessarily even harm their campaigns by having biased polling because campaigns aren’t really trying to make accurate predictions in the first place. There’s a host of literature on how it’s often better to have an unbiased “outside view” like the one public polls provide rather than an “inside view” colored by bias. These aren’t just theoretical concerns. In 2012, a reporter for the New Republic got access to the Mitt Romney campaign internals after the campaign was over. The polls were biased toward Romney by an average of almost 5 points.” https://www.natesilver.net/p/why-you-should-mostly-ignore-internal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Biden is Mentally Fit Posted Tuesday at 02:55 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 02:55 PM 5 minutes ago, Backintheday544 said: Id wager they’re more likely to over estimate support when doing their weights than a no -biased public poll. So the internal pollsters are lying to themselves. Got it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Backintheday544 Posted Tuesday at 03:04 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 03:04 PM 8 minutes ago, Biden is Mentally Fit said: So the internal pollsters are lying to themselves. Got it. We can also look at the thoughts of your favorite Nate Silver “So you’re selecting for people who are high on partisan motivated reasoning, who have organizational incentives to sugarcoat the data, and who won’t necessarily even harm their campaigns by having biased polling because campaigns aren’t really trying to make accurate predictions in the first place. There’s a host of literature on how it’s often better to have an unbiased “outside view” like the one public polls provide rather than an “inside view” colored by bias. These aren’t just theoretical concerns. In 2012, a reporter for the New Republic got access to the Mitt Romney campaign internals after the campaign was over. The polls were biased toward Romney by an average of almost 5 points.” https://www.natesilver.net/p/why-you-should-mostly-ignore-internal 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Man Posted Wednesday at 05:10 PM Author Share Posted Wednesday at 05:10 PM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GMB 8888 Posted Wednesday at 05:23 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 05:23 PM 10 minutes ago, B-Man said: Ted is my hero ! I like the girls that do drugs (Drugs) Girls with cigarettes in the back of the club (Club) Girls that hate cops and buy guns (Guns) Girls with no buns, girls that's mean just for fun I like girls who make love, but I love girls who like to ***** That's what's up I like tall girls, small girls Girls with ***** Call girls Girls who get naked on the 'Gram They say I'm too *****in' horny Wanna put me in a cage I'd probably ***** the hole in the wall The guy before made I like girls who pregnant Girls who give it up for lent Girls who so *****in' kinky that they're bent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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