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Posted

 

This story seems to be spreading quickly. Just this tweet alone with 2.4 million views.

 

You'd think the GOP would try to distance themselves from Nazi's, but that does cut out a chunk of their base.

Posted

Noticed something interesting in NYS lately.

 

DEMs have Harris Waltz signs in their yards, And separate Senate/House/Local Signs next to them.

 

But on the right, the senate/house/local Signs all start with Trump/Vance then have the others listed below them. on the same sign.

 

 

 

 

Posted

 

 

NY Times: Yup, Republicans Are Going to Win the Senate

John Sexton 

 

This isn't exactly news at this point but the NY Times has a new poll out today which pretty much confirms what we already knew. The Senate is about to turn red and there doesn't seem to be any real hope for the Democrats to change that at this point.

 

https://hotair.com/john-s-2/2024/10/10/ny-times-yup-republicans-are-going-to-win-the-senate-n3795659

 

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/10/us/politics/senate-polls-montana-florida-texas.html

 

 

 

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  • Vomit 1
Posted (edited)
  On 10/11/2024 at 2:44 PM, B-Man said:

 

 

NY Times: Yup, Republicans Are Going to Win the Senate

John Sexton 

 

This isn't exactly news at this point but the NY Times has a new poll out today which pretty much confirms what we already knew. The Senate is about to turn red and there doesn't seem to be any real hope for the Democrats to change that at this point.

 

https://hotair.com/john-s-2/2024/10/10/ny-times-yup-republicans-are-going-to-win-the-senate-n3795659

 

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/10/us/politics/senate-polls-montana-florida-texas.html

 

 

 

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this ignored Nebraska

 

A third potentially competitive Republican-held seat has emerged in recent weeks, though the re-election bid of Senator Deb Fischer, Republican of Nebraska, was not included in the polls. Ms. Fischer is running against an independent, Dan Osborn, and Republicans have recently come to her campaign’s aid with advertising

 

 

most polls have Fischer losing.

 

 

Edited by Backintheday544
  • Haha (+1) 1
Posted
  On 10/15/2024 at 1:39 PM, Backintheday544 said:

Internal Republican polls have Casey up 2. Pretty good for a biased Republican poll.

 

https://static.politico.com/79/e9/eaf701084e77be9afaa85356e3b8/slf-october-memo.pdf

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Is it your “thought” that an internal poll would purposely be biased in favor of the ones commissioning the poll? I guess to you they are best served by pulling the wool over their own eyes. Brilliant. 

  • Thank you (+1) 1
Posted
  On 10/15/2024 at 1:46 PM, Biden is Mentally Fit said:

Is it your “thought” that an internal poll would purposely be biased in favor of the ones commissioning the poll? I guess to you they are best served by pulling the wool over their own eyes. Brilliant. 

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Id wager they’re more likely to over estimate support when doing their weights than a no -biased public poll.

 

Still the good guy is up 2.

 

Theyre projecting Dems need to be up 390,000 VBM votes in PA to have an easy win.

 

So PA is looking good.

 

plus McCormick thought the Eagles were the Steelers

  On 10/15/2024 at 1:46 PM, Biden is Mentally Fit said:

Is it your “thought” that an internal poll would purposely be biased in favor of the ones commissioning the poll? I guess to you they are best served by pulling the wool over their own eyes. Brilliant. 

Expand  


We can also look at the thoughts of your favorite Nate Silver

 

“So you’re selecting for people who are high on partisan motivated reasoning, who have organizational incentives to sugarcoat the data, and who won’t necessarily even harm their campaigns by having biased polling because campaigns aren’t really trying to make accurate predictions in the first place. There’s a host of literature on how it’s often better to have an unbiased “outside view” like the one public polls provide rather than an “inside view” colored by bias.

These aren’t just theoretical concerns. In 2012, a reporter for the New Republic got access to the Mitt Romney campaign internals after the campaign was over. The polls were biased toward Romney by an average of almost 5 points.”


https://www.natesilver.net/p/why-you-should-mostly-ignore-internal

Posted
  On 10/15/2024 at 2:55 PM, Biden is Mentally Fit said:

So the internal pollsters are lying to themselves. Got it. 

Expand  


 

We can also look at the thoughts of your favorite Nate Silver

 

“So you’re selecting for people who are high on partisan motivated reasoning, who have organizational incentives to sugarcoat the data, and who won’t necessarily even harm their campaigns by having biased polling because campaigns aren’t really trying to make accurate predictions in the first place. There’s a host of literature on how it’s often better to have an unbiased “outside view” like the one public polls provide rather than an “inside view” colored by bias.

These aren’t just theoretical concerns. In 2012, a reporter for the New Republic got access to the Mitt Romney campaign internals after the campaign was over. The polls were biased toward Romney by an average of almost 5 points.”


https://www.natesilver.net/p/why-you-should-mostly-ignore-internal

  • Like (+1) 1
Posted
  On 10/16/2024 at 5:10 PM, B-Man said:

 

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Ted is my hero !
 

I like the girls that do drugs (Drugs)
Girls with cigarettes in the back of the club (Club)
Girls that hate cops and buy guns (Guns)
Girls with no buns, girls that's mean just for fun
I like girls who make love, but I love girls who like to *****
That's what's up


I like tall girls, small girls
Girls with *****
Call girls
Girls who get naked on the 'Gram
They say I'm too *****in' horny
Wanna put me in a cage
I'd probably ***** the hole in the wall
The guy before made
I like girls who pregnant
Girls who give it up for lent
Girls who so *****in' kinky that they're bent

 

 

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