Backintheday544 Posted September 17 Share Posted September 17 Right wing poll with Harris +3!!! Last poll was Trump +2 They had Biden +4 last election. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Backintheday544 Posted September 17 Share Posted September 17 Another big national poll drops! +5 harris Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Man Posted September 17 Author Share Posted September 17 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Backintheday544 Posted September 17 Share Posted September 17 12 minutes ago, B-Man said: Probably want to quit on McCormick. No way he’s winning. Right leaning poll that has Trump +2 in PA has McCormick down 4/5. https://insideradvantage.com/pennsylvania-survey-trump-leads-50-48-casey-ahead-of-mccormick-by-four-points/ If he needs a Trump +2 to still be losing by 4/5 points, he would need a huge change to have any chance. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tommy Callahan Posted September 17 Share Posted September 17 14 minutes ago, B-Man said: But abortion and orange man bad 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Frankish Reich Posted September 17 Share Posted September 17 And with the round of good pollsters showing Harris roughly +4, wait for Nate Silver's model to show her with at least even odds of winning. Followed by all our Trumpies turning on their best buddy Nate again. I spoke too soon. Silver's latest update. tl;dr = basically a toss-up in the electoral college, Harris with a significant uptick in national polling post-debate. https://www.natesilver.net/p/harris-is-gaining-in-post-debate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Backintheday544 Posted September 17 Share Posted September 17 (edited) 538 has Harris with net positive favorability for the first time: Kamala Harris at +0.1 (first time entering the positive since July 2021) Donald Trump at -9.9 Tim Walz at +3.8 JD Vance at -10.8 Thats a huge difference to 2016 where Hilary polled well but was a net unfavorable around 10. Edited September 17 by Backintheday544 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Man Posted September 18 Author Share Posted September 18 My relatives in Las Vegas report the same thing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gregg Posted September 18 Share Posted September 18 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tommy Callahan Posted Thursday at 12:06 PM Share Posted Thursday at 12:06 PM Do they have the authority Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Backintheday544 Posted Thursday at 04:46 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:46 PM Sources with direct knowledge have spoken with Carolina Journal on the condition of anonymity and said that Robinson is under pressure from staff and members of the Trump campaign to withdraw from the governor’s race due to the nature of the story, which they say involves activity on adult websites in 2000s https://www.carolinajournal.com/robinson-under-pressure-to-withdraw-from-gubernatorial-race/ It’s like Republicans just want Dems to win. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Backintheday544 Posted Thursday at 09:19 PM Share Posted Thursday at 09:19 PM Cruz losing!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Backintheday544 Posted Friday at 11:45 AM Share Posted Friday at 11:45 AM (edited) Bad news for Republicans. Last special election before Nov and we got a +7 shift to Dem from last election https://www.cbsnews.com/newyork/news/donald-payne-jr-seat-in-congress-lamonica-mciver/ Edited Friday at 11:45 AM by Backintheday544 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coffeesforclosers Posted Friday at 02:00 PM Share Posted Friday at 02:00 PM Ted Cruz is a scumbag and a coward and the Senate is better off without him. Maybe he can petition King Charles III and have his Canadian citizenship restored? Or would he have to ask Justin Trudeau? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SCBills Posted Friday at 02:11 PM Share Posted Friday at 02:11 PM This time a few years ago, polling came out in South Carolina that had Jaime Harrison tied with Lindsey Graham. Lindsey Graham won in a landslide. Cruz/Allred feels similar. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coffeesforclosers Posted Friday at 02:26 PM Share Posted Friday at 02:26 PM 14 minutes ago, SCBills said: This time a few years ago, polling came out in South Carolina that had Jaime Harrison tied with Lindsey Graham. Lindsey Graham won in a landslide. Cruz/Allred feels similar. Ah well. I can still hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Backintheday544 Posted Friday at 02:56 PM Share Posted Friday at 02:56 PM 41 minutes ago, SCBills said: This time a few years ago, polling came out in South Carolina that had Jaime Harrison tied with Lindsey Graham. Lindsey Graham won in a landslide. Cruz/Allred feels similar. Main difference here is Cruz is unliked by everyone. Graham I don’t believe ever had a really negative approval rating from the right. Dont forget in 2018 when Crux had to run, Cruz beat Beto by only 200,000 votes. He hasn’t gotten more popular. Graham went from +16 before the Harrison election in 2014. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SCBills Posted Friday at 03:02 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:02 PM 1 minute ago, Backintheday544 said: Main difference here is Cruz is unliked by everyone. Graham I don’t believe ever had a really negative approval rating from the right. Dont forget in 2018 when Crux had to run, Cruz beat Beto by only 200,000 votes. He hasn’t gotten more popular. Graham went from +16 before the Harrison election in 2014. I spend half my week in South Carolina. Graham had very similar negatives to Cruz. He’s far less popular in the state than Tim Scott and this was around the time of the Lincoln Project ascending, where they came into the state and ran ads nonstop posing as Republicans against Graham. Also, Harrison was far better funded & backed than Allred, who has been begging the DNC to help him .. indicating they, themselves, don’t view it as a winnable race. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Man Posted yesterday at 05:10 PM Author Share Posted yesterday at 05:10 PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RiotAct Posted yesterday at 06:52 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:52 PM On 9/19/2024 at 8:06 AM, Tommy Callahan said: Do they have the authority oh noes! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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