For Consideration The Next 3 Days…

[Success]

39 minutes ago, Einstein said:

 

Yet their draft success record is no better than amateurs.

 

 

If “solid” means “meh to average” then yes. And Josh Allen is the only reason it’s not “bad”.

 

How are you measuring the "draft success" of amateurs?

 

[Einstein]

10 minutes ago, Success said:

 

How are you measuring the "draft success" of amateurs?

 

 

For example, here are Mel Kipers Bills pick for the past 10 years, and who the Bills actually took (in parenthesis).

 

2013: Jonathon Cooper (EJ Manuel)

2014: Taylor Lewan (Sammy Watkins)

2015: No pick

2016: Emmanuel Ogbah (Shaq Lawson)

2017: Haason Reddick (Tre White)

2018: Tremaine Edmunds, Lamar Jackson (Tremaine Edmunds, Josh Allen)

2019: Jonah Williams (Ed Oliver)

2020: No pick (Diggs)

2021: Tyson Campbell (Groot)

2022: Kaiir Elam (Elam)

 

Outside of Lamar Jackson over Josh Allen, is there any real difference here between an amateur mock drafter and a professional GM?

 

Tre White is probably the best non-Josh-Allen pick in the last 10 years and he had us taking Reddick, who was an all-pro last year, and the pick we traded to drop down to #27 was the pick KC used on Mahomes. So.. yeah.. not ideal.

 

Summary: Bills have drafted no better than amateur mock drafters for the past 10 years (and longer, but I didn't feel like spending time going back any further).