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Posted
  On 3/21/2023 at 7:14 PM, ngbills said:

Have you watched other teams? We played teams down multiple starting OL that did not miss a beat. Whenever we were down a gut the line crumbled. Is it a crime to want to try some new blood? 

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yes read my last reply. It just looks like other backups are good because our D was terrible at getting pressure. 

Posted
  On 3/21/2023 at 6:42 PM, Logic said:

Fair.

I'll say this: I don't have a ton of complaints about Brandon Beane, but of the few that I do have, a key one is that he can remain committed to players he drafted or "believes in" for too long, past the point at which all available evidence has suggested that he's wrong. He seems to fall prey to "sunk cost fallacy" and to remain too willing to stick it out with players that don't deserve it.

I'm not saying Spencer Brown is one of those guys, for sure. I think it's too early to say.

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Yeah, there are what you might call "type I" and "type II" errors in draft-and-develop; "type I would be reaching a false positive conclusion that a guy's "best football is ahead of him" and he can still develop into the player he was drafted to be.  "Type II" would be reaching a false negative conclusion, and giving up on a player as "not gonna cut it" too early.

Beane stuck with Cody Ford through 3 seasons before trading him, and looks likely to stick with Spencer Brown through 3 seasons.  So the Spencer Brown "type II" error (if so it proves) may take place on the same time frame.

 

  On 3/21/2023 at 6:42 PM, Logic said:

Ironically, the one time Beane DID give up pretty quickly and trade a drafted player away, said player immediately became an All-Pro elsewhere. Unfortunately, that incident only seems to have increased Beane's willingness to stick it out with other, lesser players.

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I assume you're speaking of Wyatt Teller, and actually, I don't think either of those errors were committed with Teller.  For one thing, Teller's development with the Browns (again, assuming that's who you're talking about) did not take place on the timeframe you speak of.  Teller started 9 games for the Browns the year we traded him, 11 games (where he was starting to look good) in his 3rd year, and became a Pro Bowler (not an All-Pro) in his 4th season - a much more gradual development than "immediately became an All-Pro elsewhere" implies.

 

I think the error with Wyatt Teller was in how the team fundamentally values OL traits.  Beane demands positional flexibility from backup OLmen or guys who might be backup OLmen that season - they have to be able to play both sides as G and ideally perhaps C as well.  So keeping a guy to develop at LG or RG is assigned a lower priority than keeping a guy who can switch to either side and maybe play C.  That's why the Bills kept Ryan Bates, Ike Boettger, and Spencer Long over Teller.

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Posted

The Bills have apparently decided the position to save money is offensive tackle. Just keep the same guys that failed last year and hope Josh Allen doesn't notice. How is your elbow feeling Josh?

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Posted
  On 3/21/2023 at 6:03 PM, Process said:

I really hope this isn't a sign of faith in Brown as a starter. Ideally he would be the one to fill the role of primary back/swing tackle and we would find a starter that isn't a complete turnstile. 

 

But if Q comes cheap then it wouldn't be bad to have both him and Brown as backups and this would be a nice signing/depth.

 

Hopefully they still bring in someone that can at least compete and push for the starting job.

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 Beane is filling holes and building depth in the roster.. so he doesn't have to 'reach" in the draft . Have to get to 90 for camp. 

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Posted
  On 3/21/2023 at 7:35 PM, Billsguy said:

The Bills have apparently decided the position to save money is offensive tackle. Just keep the same guys that failed last year and hope Josh Allen doesn't notice. How is your elbow feeling Josh?

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It’s a tough spot similar to WR. They have a player they really like there on a rookie contract. They aren’t willing to draft their replacement yet. 

Posted
  On 3/21/2023 at 7:41 PM, DrDawkinstein said:

It baffles me that every March people completely forget that we need to go into camp with 90 players!

 

Need able bodies, folks!

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He’s not just a body. He’s their swing OT.  Only thing that changes it is if the draft falls perfectly for them and an OT they love is there in the 1st or 2nd.

Posted
  On 3/21/2023 at 7:43 PM, Buffalo_Stampede said:

He’s not just a body. He’s their swing OT.  Only thing that changes it is if the draft falls perfectly for them and an OT they love is there in the 1st or 2nd.

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Sure, but the last part is kinda my point. It's just a single backup signing. Doesnt stop them from bringing in others.

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Posted
  On 3/21/2023 at 6:34 PM, Buffalo_Stampede said:

Roster is basically set minus Edmunds replacement and some DL depth.

 

Veteran pass rusher will be the next signing. I fully believe they’ll sign Jordan Phillips after the draft. Maybe they also sign another vet DT.

 

Then that leaves MLB for the draft. 

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excuse me gotta go projectile vomit

 

Posted
  On 3/21/2023 at 7:43 PM, Buffalo_Stampede said:

He’s not just a body. He’s their swing OT.  Only thing that changes it is if the draft falls perfectly for them and an OT they love is there in the 1st or 2nd.

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Him and Tommy Doyle who'll probably go into the season on the PUP list/IR from his injury last season.

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