PBF81 Posted February 7, 2023 Share Posted February 7, 2023 3 hours ago, BADOLBILZ said: I have some ideas why. Because they value Dawkins, Bates and Brown long term.......and Mitch Morse is their most consistent OL. And at center Bates figures to inherit that role from Morse in 2024 and is as good of an athlete as any C in the draft and only 2 years older than John Michael Schmitz despite going into year 5 in the NFL. If you are drafting OL early they need to be immediate starters..........if only because they need the reps to develop...........and you need to anticipate that they are likely to suck and get your QB hit a lot........like early first rounder and super guard prospect Kenyon Green did last year allowing 8 sacks as a rookie. So 3 of them? Nah. I expect a combined effort in UFA and the draft.........and I'm not expecting miracles from who they draft. The guys that need to step up are Brown and Doyle........year 3 is when you expect OL to really start paying dividends. Well, OK, IMO that's putting quite a bit of faith in the unproven, but I see your point. Morse, what, 6 concussions now and old for a C. OK, so he slides to G then? Morse didn't seem to have had a great year, at least not from what I saw. Bates, I hear a lot of talk but again, I'm not seeing even an average G here. Maybe he'll become that above-average G then. Brown, he's gonna have to take a huge step up in his third season this year to impress people. Our OL was not good this year, and those three were the core of the OL and started alongside Dawkins who seems to have played pretty well, but he's only signed for two more seasons. We'll see. If I were GM though, two of my picks in rounds 1-3, including the 1st round, would be OT and C/G. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trust The Process Posted February 7, 2023 Share Posted February 7, 2023 (edited) My Free Agency wish list based on Pay Cuts, Released Players, and Contract Restructures, which frees up enough cap space to sign free agents, and re-sign some of our own. Currently, we’re 20.5M over the cap, and we need around 10M needs to be saved for our 2023 Draft Class. RELEASED Taron Johnson: Cap Hit of 9.2 million in 2023 with a Dead Cap Hit of 5M and a Cap Savings of 4.2M if released. You simply don’t pay that kind of money to a Slot CB. Siran Neal: Cap Hit of 3.3M with a Dead Cap Hit of 1.1M and a Cap Savings of 2.2M. Neal is a quality special teamer, but just another guy in the secondary. Having said that, he’s not worth the money, and not worth a roster spot Tim Settle: Cap Hit of 5M with a Dead Cap Hit of 2.7M and a Cap Savings of 2.3M. Going into 2022, we had high expectations of Tim Settle, but never materialized. Settle ended up with only 1 sack this season which is unacceptable and not a good return on our investment. Isaiah McKenzie: Cap Hit of 2.9M with a Dead Cap Hit of 300K and a Cap Savings of 2.6M if released. It’s time to move on from McKenzie. I can replace him with someone who gets paid similar type of money who’s younger with more upside. Mitch Morse: Cap Hit of 11.2M with a Dead Cap Hit of 5M and a Cap Savings of 6.2M if released. There’s several big problems with Morse. The man suffered 6 concussions in his career that we know of, and he’s not a good run blocker. It’s time to move on, clear his big contract off the books, and find an upgrade. *RELEASED CAP SAVINGS: 17.5M PAY CUT Nyheim Hines: Cap Hit of 4.8M with a Dead Cap of 0 and a Cap Savings of 4.8M if released. I would love to retain Hines as a valuable asset for Special Teams and depth at RB but not at 4.8M. No team will pay Hines 4.8M, especially since this years Free Agent and Draft class at RB is strong. I’d offer Hines 3M. *PAY CUT CAP SAVINGS: 1.8M RESTRUCTURED CONTRACTS Josh Allen: This restructure was essentially bound to happen after Allen signed his well-deserved, monster extension in the summer of 2021. The simple restructuring will create 21.5M in Cap Space. Dion Dawkins: Current Cap Hit of 8.9M with a Potential Cap Savings of 6.3M Tre White: Current Cap Hit of 8.6M with a Potential Cap Savings of 6.1M *RESTRUCTURED CAP SAVINGS: 33M SALARY CAP SUMMARY: Freed up 52.3M in Cap Space between Releases, Pay Cuts, and Contract Restructures, minus 20.5M Over The Cap, minus 10M for 2023 Draft Class equals approximately 21.8M in Cap Space. FREE AGENCY S Andrew Wingard: 3M (Jordan Poyer’s replacement) Andrew Wingard was a full time safety in Jacksonville in 2021 and emerged as a solid all-around player. In 2022, he was relegated to a reserve/backup role, seeing only 223 snaps. A truly versatile playmaker. Wingard is big and aggressive enough to make plays near the line but was a ballhawk in college as a free safety, when he was teammates with Allen at Wyoming. He feels like the type of lower-priced free agent with upside the Bills would love to develop in a starter role. DE Justin Houston: 5.3M (Spotrac) (Shaq Lawson’s replacement) Justin Houston was forced to sign a modest one-year deal with Baltimore and completely outplayed his contract from day one even as a rotational pass-rush specialist with just 400 snaps on the season. Houston’s 18.4% pass-rush win rate and 14.6% pressure percentage were both top-25 marks among edge defenders, and he managed to add 9.5 sacks to his total, which brings him to 111.5 for his career, a top-40 mark all time. For a team looking for a menace on passing downs, Houston is still that guy entering his age-34 season. RB D’Onta Foreman: 3.4M (Spotrac) (Devin Singletary’s replacement) D’Onta Foreman is the featured power RB we so desperately need who will not only upgrade the running game but will make life a lot easier on Allen’s health in short yardage situations to convert first downs, and TD’s in the red zone. Foreman is 6ft and 235 lbs, and runs the 40 yard dash in 4.45 seconds, and is also a perfect compliment to James Cook. WR Odell Beckham: 5M BASE SALARY PLUS INCENTIVES (Gabe Davis and Odell Beckham split playing time) Odell Beckham signed a one-year $4.25 million contract with the Rams in 2021. I’d give Odell Beckham an incentive to make more money and re-build his market value playing in Buffalo with Josh Allen. RG Will Hernandez: 4M (Spotrac) Hernandez earned a career-high 79.1 pass-blocking grade in 2022, which ranked tied for eighth among guards. His 3.0% pressure rate allowed ranked 13th at the position, and he held up on true pass sets, as well, ranking top 15 in both metrics. He’s a bit more limited as a run blocker, failing to reach a season-long grade of at least 65.0 over his five-year career, but his above-average pass protection should make him an intriguing target for a handful of clubs. RESTRICTED FREE AGENTS Dane Jackson: 2.6M Original Round Tender RE-SIGNED Jordan Phillips: 3M Ike Boettger: 1.2M David Quissenberry: 1.5M Taiwan Jones: 1.1M Sam Martin: 2M DID NOT RE-SIGN Tremaine Edmunds Shaq Lawson Jordan Poyer Joquan Johnson Devin Singletary Roger Saffold Bobby Hart Greg Van Roten DRAFT We currently have 21 UFA’s and 3 RFA’s which is a subtotal of 24 players, which means we have a lot of holes to fill with limited cap space. I’d like to trade down at least once, preferably our 1st Round pick for near the top of the 2nd round and an additional pick. 2A: LG O’Cyrus Torrence to replace Rodger Saffold 2B. WR Tank Dell to replace Isaiah McKenzie 3. LB to replace Tremaine Edmunds 4. CENTER to backup Ryan Bates 5. SLOT CB to replace Taron Johnson 6. SAFETY for depth * Extra Pick in Trade Down: DL for depth PLAN FOR THE OFFENSE LT: Dion Dawkins is the starting LT LG: O’Cyrus Torrence is the starting LG, and Ike Boettger is his backup. CENTER: Release Mitch Morse, and replace him with Ryan Bates. Draft a Center who can backup Bates. RG: Will Hernandez is the starting RG RT: Spencer, Johnson, and David Quissenberry compete for starting RT. RB: D’Onta Foreman is the starting running back, and his primary back up is James Cook, with Nyheim Hines as the third back. WR1: Stefon Diggs and his backup is Odell Beckham WR2: Gabriel Davis and Odell Beckham SLOT RECEIVER: Khalil Shakir and Tank Dell PLAN FOR THE DEFENSE DE: Justin, Houston replaces Shaq Lawson ILB: Drafted Rookie replaces Tremaine Edmunds SLOT CB: Christian Benford and Drafted Rookie to replace Taron Johnson FREE SAFETY: Andrew Wingard and Christian Benford Edited February 7, 2023 by Trust The Process 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROCBillsBeliever Posted February 7, 2023 Share Posted February 7, 2023 3 hours ago, TheyCallMeAndy said: Can you imagine Brown in the eligible OL blocking TE role this year? (Assuming we sign a vet RT and let Brown take a step back). I feel like with his athletic profile, sheer height advantage, and being a former TE, he would be a beast! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nosejob Posted February 7, 2023 Share Posted February 7, 2023 4 hours ago, Airseven said: The problem with not wanting to invest more resources into the DL is that they need to invest more resources into the DL. Miller will miss at least half the season. That leaves Rousseau. We know Epenesa and Basham are useless and Lawson is UFA. Oliver and Jones are a good enough starting combo, but Phillips is UFA and Settle struggled despite his supposed untapped upside (I do like Bryant). I get tired of hearing this. AJ is fast and plays limited snaps. He hits when he gets there and took Tua out. Basham can still get better and if we had a decent D.C.that could run some stunts and stick him inside once in a while, we'd probably get more out of him. Same with Shaq. Lorax's last year here we put him inside and he made a play every time. D. Ryans was/is a master of that. Look at some Niners Dline breakdowns. Lawson had the best year of his career, IMO. Kyle Williams didn't become Kyle Williams until like yr. 5 and played next to Dareus. J. Phillips is our best DT if he could stay healthy and pairs best with Ed. Settle was less than I had hoped. Jones is ok. All that being said, I'd sign Oliver to a team friendly contract then get Payne or the guy from Philly and draft a monster somewhere, somehow. Let things shake out and thin the herd after. I think we could get/or could of got a lot more out of these guys with better scheming. Being stubborn and rushing four straight away against 5 linemen , a TE and a back is straight up stupidity. Do they not assess teams game plans/strengths and weaknesses on a weekly basis? That Cincy games proves not. Ok, I think I'm bleeding into another thread. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakeFrommStateFarm Posted February 7, 2023 Share Posted February 7, 2023 This is what I believe Beane will do not what I want EDGE - pass rush is terrible without Miller, he's aging and wont be healthy the whole season_ Safety - Poyer will leave LB - Edmunds will leave as we wont be able to match Guard Guard/Tackle - Need a nice swing tackle/guard WR Traded away 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Success Posted February 7, 2023 Share Posted February 7, 2023 53 minutes ago, Trust The Process said: My Free Agency wish list based on Pay Cuts, Released Players, and Contract Restructures, which frees up enough cap space to sign free agents, and re-sign some of our own. Currently, we’re 20.5M over the cap, and we need around 10M needs to be saved for our 2023 Draft Class. RELEASED Taron Johnson: Cap Hit of 9.2 million in 2023 with a Dead Cap Hit of 5M and a Cap Savings of 4.2M if released. You simply don’t pay that kind of money to a Slot CB. Siran Neal: Cap Hit of 3.3M with a Dead Cap Hit of 1.1M and a Cap Savings of 2.2M. Neal is a quality special teamer, but just another guy in the secondary. Having said that, he’s not worth the money, and not worth a roster spot Tim Settle: Cap Hit of 5M with a Dead Cap Hit of 2.7M and a Cap Savings of 2.3M. Going into 2022, we had high expectations of Tim Settle, but never materialized. Settle ended up with only 1 sack this season which is unacceptable and not a good return on our investment. Isaiah McKenzie: Cap Hit of 2.9M with a Dead Cap Hit of 300K and a Cap Savings of 2.6M if released. It’s time to move on from McKenzie. I can replace him with someone who gets paid similar type of money who’s younger with more upside. Mitch Morse: Cap Hit of 11.2M with a Dead Cap Hit of 5M and a Cap Savings of 6.2M if released. There’s several big problems with Morse. The man suffered 6 concussions in his career that we know of, and he’s not a good run blocker. It’s time to move on, clear his big contract off the books, and find an upgrade. *RELEASED CAP SAVINGS: 17.5M PAY CUT Nyheim Hines: Cap Hit of 4.8M with a Dead Cap of 0 and a Cap Savings of 4.8M if released. I would love to retain Hines as a valuable asset for Special Teams and depth at RB but not at 4.8M. No team will pay Hines 4.8M, especially since this years Free Agent and Draft class at RB is strong. I’d offer Hines 3M. *PAY CUT CAP SAVINGS: 1.8M RESTRUCTURED CONTRACTS Josh Allen: This restructure was essentially bound to happen after Allen signed his well-deserved, monster extension in the summer of 2021. The simple restructuring will create 21.5M in Cap Space. Dion Dawkins: Current Cap Hit of 8.9M with a Potential Cap Savings of 6.3M Tre White: Current Cap Hit of 8.6M with a Potential Cap Savings of 6.1M *RESTRUCTURED CAP SAVINGS: 33M SALARY CAP SUMMARY: Freed up 52.3M in Cap Space between Releases, Pay Cuts, and Contract Restructures, minus 20.5M Over The Cap, minus 10M for 2023 Draft Class equals approximately 21.8M in Cap Space. FREE AGENCY S Andrew Wingard: 3M (Jordan Poyer’s replacement) Wingard was a full time safety in Jacksonville in 2021 and emerged as a solid all-around player. In 2022, he was relegated to a reserve/backup role, seeing only 223 snaps. A truly versatile playmaker. Wingard is big and aggressive enough to make plays near the line but was a ballhawk in college as a free safety, when he was teammates with Allen at Wyoming. He feels like the type of lower-priced free agent with upside the Bills would love to develop in a starter role. DE Justin Houston: 5.3M (Spotrac) (Shaq Lawson’s replacement) Justin Houston was forced to sign a modest one-year deal with Baltimore and completely outplayed his contract from day one even as a rotational pass-rush specialist with just 400 snaps on the season. Houston’s 18.4% pass-rush win rate and 14.6% pressure percentage were both top-25 marks among edge defenders, and he managed to add 9.5 sacks to his total, which brings him to 111.5 for his career, a top-40 mark all time. For a team looking for a menace on passing downs, Houston is still that guy entering his age-34 season. RB D’Onta Foreman: 3.4M (Spotrac) Devin Singletary’s replacement D’Onta Foreman is the featured power RB we so desperately need who will not only upgrade the running game but will make life a lot easier on Allen’s health in short yardage situations to convert first downs, and TD’s in the red zone. Foreman is 6ft and 235 lbs, and runs the 40 yard dash in 4.45 seconds, and is also a perfect compliment to James Cook. WR Parris Campbell: 2.5M (Spotrac) Paris Campbell is young, has upside, and a perfect compliment to Khalil Shakir’s as a Slot Receiver. Paris is also 6ft and 208lbs with 4.31 forty yard dash wheels. He played more games in 2022 (17) than he did in his first three seasons combined (15). Campbell set career highs in all the major categories despite playing with a merry-go-round of quarterbacks in Indianapolis. Campbell has upside. Nyheim Hines, who played with Campbell the past four years before arriving in Buffalo this year in a trade, could also help recruit him. RG Will Hernandez: 4M (Spotrac) Hernandez earned a career-high 79.1 pass-blocking grade in 2022, which ranked tied for eighth among guards. His 3.0% pressure rate allowed ranked 13th at the position, and he held up on true pass sets, as well, ranking top 15 in both metrics. He’s a bit more limited as a run blocker, failing to reach a season-long grade of at least 65.0 over his five-year career, but his above-average pass protection should make him an intriguing target for a handful of clubs. RESTRICTED FREE AGENTS Dane Jackson: 2.6M Original Round Tender RE-SIGNED Jordan Phillips: 3M Ike Boettger: 1.2M David Quissenberry: 1.5M Taiwan Jones: 1.1M Sam Martin: 2M DRAFT LG CENTER WR SAFETY LB DL This is fantastic. As with anything like this (mostly, mock drafts), it probably won't play out this way specifically - but it shows where & how the team can create a lot of cap space, and how they might prioritize. It's hard to see losing Johnson, though you make a good point on compensation against his position. I could see the other releases happening. The draft priorities you listed are spot on; I wouldn't be surprised if their 1st pick was a WR, but I'd expect center & guard right after that. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ControllerOfPlanetX Posted February 7, 2023 Share Posted February 7, 2023 I am trying to figure out how we can be over the cap…and still have so many needs.. OL, WR, RB, S, and LB if Edmunds walks… 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
<bills4life> Posted February 7, 2023 Share Posted February 7, 2023 1 hour ago, Trust The Process said: My Free Agency wish list based on Pay Cuts, Released Players, and Contract Restructures, which frees up enough cap space to sign free agents, and re-sign some of our own. Currently, we’re 20.5M over the cap, and we need around 10M needs to be saved for our 2023 Draft Class. RELEASED Taron Johnson: Cap Hit of 9.2 million in 2023 with a Dead Cap Hit of 5M and a Cap Savings of 4.2M if released. You simply don’t pay that kind of money to a Slot CB. Siran Neal: Cap Hit of 3.3M with a Dead Cap Hit of 1.1M and a Cap Savings of 2.2M. Neal is a quality special teamer, but just another guy in the secondary. Having said that, he’s not worth the money, and not worth a roster spot Tim Settle: Cap Hit of 5M with a Dead Cap Hit of 2.7M and a Cap Savings of 2.3M. Going into 2022, we had high expectations of Tim Settle, but never materialized. Settle ended up with only 1 sack this season which is unacceptable and not a good return on our investment. Isaiah McKenzie: Cap Hit of 2.9M with a Dead Cap Hit of 300K and a Cap Savings of 2.6M if released. It’s time to move on from McKenzie. I can replace him with someone who gets paid similar type of money who’s younger with more upside. Mitch Morse: Cap Hit of 11.2M with a Dead Cap Hit of 5M and a Cap Savings of 6.2M if released. There’s several big problems with Morse. The man suffered 6 concussions in his career that we know of, and he’s not a good run blocker. It’s time to move on, clear his big contract off the books, and find an upgrade. *RELEASED CAP SAVINGS: 17.5M PAY CUT Nyheim Hines: Cap Hit of 4.8M with a Dead Cap of 0 and a Cap Savings of 4.8M if released. I would love to retain Hines as a valuable asset for Special Teams and depth at RB but not at 4.8M. No team will pay Hines 4.8M, especially since this years Free Agent and Draft class at RB is strong. I’d offer Hines 3M. *PAY CUT CAP SAVINGS: 1.8M RESTRUCTURED CONTRACTS Josh Allen: This restructure was essentially bound to happen after Allen signed his well-deserved, monster extension in the summer of 2021. The simple restructuring will create 21.5M in Cap Space. Dion Dawkins: Current Cap Hit of 8.9M with a Potential Cap Savings of 6.3M Tre White: Current Cap Hit of 8.6M with a Potential Cap Savings of 6.1M *RESTRUCTURED CAP SAVINGS: 33M SALARY CAP SUMMARY: Freed up 52.3M in Cap Space between Releases, Pay Cuts, and Contract Restructures, minus 20.5M Over The Cap, minus 10M for 2023 Draft Class equals approximately 21.8M in Cap Space. FREE AGENCY S Andrew Wingard: 3M (Jordan Poyer’s replacement) Wingard was a full time safety in Jacksonville in 2021 and emerged as a solid all-around player. In 2022, he was relegated to a reserve/backup role, seeing only 223 snaps. A truly versatile playmaker. Wingard is big and aggressive enough to make plays near the line but was a ballhawk in college as a free safety, when he was teammates with Allen at Wyoming. He feels like the type of lower-priced free agent with upside the Bills would love to develop in a starter role. DE Justin Houston: 5.3M (Spotrac) (Shaq Lawson’s replacement) Justin Houston was forced to sign a modest one-year deal with Baltimore and completely outplayed his contract from day one even as a rotational pass-rush specialist with just 400 snaps on the season. Houston’s 18.4% pass-rush win rate and 14.6% pressure percentage were both top-25 marks among edge defenders, and he managed to add 9.5 sacks to his total, which brings him to 111.5 for his career, a top-40 mark all time. For a team looking for a menace on passing downs, Houston is still that guy entering his age-34 season. RB D’Onta Foreman: 3.4M (Spotrac) Devin Singletary’s replacement D’Onta Foreman is the featured power RB we so desperately need who will not only upgrade the running game but will make life a lot easier on Allen’s health in short yardage situations to convert first downs, and TD’s in the red zone. Foreman is 6ft and 235 lbs, and runs the 40 yard dash in 4.45 seconds, and is also a perfect compliment to James Cook. WR Parris Campbell: 2.5M (Spotrac) Paris Campbell is young, has upside, and a perfect compliment to Khalil Shakir’s as a Slot Receiver. Paris is also 6ft and 208lbs with 4.31 forty yard dash wheels. He played more games in 2022 (17) than he did in his first three seasons combined (15). Campbell set career highs in all the major categories despite playing with a merry-go-round of quarterbacks in Indianapolis. Campbell has upside. Nyheim Hines, who played with Campbell the past four years before arriving in Buffalo this year in a trade, could also help recruit him. RG Will Hernandez: 4M (Spotrac) Hernandez earned a career-high 79.1 pass-blocking grade in 2022, which ranked tied for eighth among guards. His 3.0% pressure rate allowed ranked 13th at the position, and he held up on true pass sets, as well, ranking top 15 in both metrics. He’s a bit more limited as a run blocker, failing to reach a season-long grade of at least 65.0 over his five-year career, but his above-average pass protection should make him an intriguing target for a handful of clubs. RESTRICTED FREE AGENTS Dane Jackson: 2.6M Original Round Tender RE-SIGNED Jordan Phillips: 3M Ike Boettger: 1.2M David Quissenberry: 1.5M Taiwan Jones: 1.1M Sam Martin: 2M DRAFT LG CENTER WR SAFETY LB DL What did we do with edmunds? 😂. I’m curious. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
newcam2012 Posted February 7, 2023 Share Posted February 7, 2023 1 hour ago, Trust The Process said: My Free Agency wish list based on Pay Cuts, Released Players, and Contract Restructures, which frees up enough cap space to sign free agents, and re-sign some of our own. Currently, we’re 20.5M over the cap, and we need around 10M needs to be saved for our 2023 Draft Class. RELEASED Taron Johnson: Cap Hit of 9.2 million in 2023 with a Dead Cap Hit of 5M and a Cap Savings of 4.2M if released. You simply don’t pay that kind of money to a Slot CB. Siran Neal: Cap Hit of 3.3M with a Dead Cap Hit of 1.1M and a Cap Savings of 2.2M. Neal is a quality special teamer, but just another guy in the secondary. Having said that, he’s not worth the money, and not worth a roster spot Tim Settle: Cap Hit of 5M with a Dead Cap Hit of 2.7M and a Cap Savings of 2.3M. Going into 2022, we had high expectations of Tim Settle, but never materialized. Settle ended up with only 1 sack this season which is unacceptable and not a good return on our investment. Isaiah McKenzie: Cap Hit of 2.9M with a Dead Cap Hit of 300K and a Cap Savings of 2.6M if released. It’s time to move on from McKenzie. I can replace him with someone who gets paid similar type of money who’s younger with more upside. Mitch Morse: Cap Hit of 11.2M with a Dead Cap Hit of 5M and a Cap Savings of 6.2M if released. There’s several big problems with Morse. The man suffered 6 concussions in his career that we know of, and he’s not a good run blocker. It’s time to move on, clear his big contract off the books, and find an upgrade. *RELEASED CAP SAVINGS: 17.5M PAY CUT Nyheim Hines: Cap Hit of 4.8M with a Dead Cap of 0 and a Cap Savings of 4.8M if released. I would love to retain Hines as a valuable asset for Special Teams and depth at RB but not at 4.8M. No team will pay Hines 4.8M, especially since this years Free Agent and Draft class at RB is strong. I’d offer Hines 3M. *PAY CUT CAP SAVINGS: 1.8M RESTRUCTURED CONTRACTS Josh Allen: This restructure was essentially bound to happen after Allen signed his well-deserved, monster extension in the summer of 2021. The simple restructuring will create 21.5M in Cap Space. Dion Dawkins: Current Cap Hit of 8.9M with a Potential Cap Savings of 6.3M Tre White: Current Cap Hit of 8.6M with a Potential Cap Savings of 6.1M *RESTRUCTURED CAP SAVINGS: 33M SALARY CAP SUMMARY: Freed up 52.3M in Cap Space between Releases, Pay Cuts, and Contract Restructures, minus 20.5M Over The Cap, minus 10M for 2023 Draft Class equals approximately 21.8M in Cap Space. FREE AGENCY S Andrew Wingard: 3M (Jordan Poyer’s replacement) Wingard was a full time safety in Jacksonville in 2021 and emerged as a solid all-around player. In 2022, he was relegated to a reserve/backup role, seeing only 223 snaps. A truly versatile playmaker. Wingard is big and aggressive enough to make plays near the line but was a ballhawk in college as a free safety, when he was teammates with Allen at Wyoming. He feels like the type of lower-priced free agent with upside the Bills would love to develop in a starter role. DE Justin Houston: 5.3M (Spotrac) (Shaq Lawson’s replacement) Justin Houston was forced to sign a modest one-year deal with Baltimore and completely outplayed his contract from day one even as a rotational pass-rush specialist with just 400 snaps on the season. Houston’s 18.4% pass-rush win rate and 14.6% pressure percentage were both top-25 marks among edge defenders, and he managed to add 9.5 sacks to his total, which brings him to 111.5 for his career, a top-40 mark all time. For a team looking for a menace on passing downs, Houston is still that guy entering his age-34 season. RB D’Onta Foreman: 3.4M (Spotrac) Devin Singletary’s replacement D’Onta Foreman is the featured power RB we so desperately need who will not only upgrade the running game but will make life a lot easier on Allen’s health in short yardage situations to convert first downs, and TD’s in the red zone. Foreman is 6ft and 235 lbs, and runs the 40 yard dash in 4.45 seconds, and is also a perfect compliment to James Cook. WR Parris Campbell: 2.5M (Spotrac) Paris Campbell is young, has upside, and a perfect compliment to Khalil Shakir’s as a Slot Receiver. Paris is also 6ft and 208lbs with 4.31 forty yard dash wheels. He played more games in 2022 (17) than he did in his first three seasons combined (15). Campbell set career highs in all the major categories despite playing with a merry-go-round of quarterbacks in Indianapolis. Campbell has upside. Nyheim Hines, who played with Campbell the past four years before arriving in Buffalo this year in a trade, could also help recruit him. RG Will Hernandez: 4M (Spotrac) Hernandez earned a career-high 79.1 pass-blocking grade in 2022, which ranked tied for eighth among guards. His 3.0% pressure rate allowed ranked 13th at the position, and he held up on true pass sets, as well, ranking top 15 in both metrics. He’s a bit more limited as a run blocker, failing to reach a season-long grade of at least 65.0 over his five-year career, but his above-average pass protection should make him an intriguing target for a handful of clubs. RESTRICTED FREE AGENTS Dane Jackson: 2.6M Original Round Tender RE-SIGNED Jordan Phillips: 3M Ike Boettger: 1.2M David Quissenberry: 1.5M Taiwan Jones: 1.1M Sam Martin: 2M DRAFT LG CENTER WR SAFETY LB DL Very impressive post. In depth, integrated, conclusive, and analytic. Really appreciate such knowledgeable posts like this. 👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logic Posted February 7, 2023 Share Posted February 7, 2023 WR Bryant Johnson DT Darwin Walker TE Zach Ertz Get 'er done, Beane. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloRebound Posted February 7, 2023 Share Posted February 7, 2023 (edited) 15 minutes ago, ControllerOfPlanetX said: I am trying to figure out how we can be over the cap…and still have so many needs.. OL, WR, RB, S, and LB if Edmunds walks… Because we give a lot of good, not great players rich contracts. Look at the Chiefs. They pay Mahomes, Kelsay, a few elite OLinemen, Jones, and Clark. Everybody else is on rookie contracts or bargain free agents. They tie up their money in elite players. When you dig into our current situation, the spending on defense is out of control. And on top of that, we still use most of our premier draft picks on the defensive side of the ball. With the exception of Dane Jackson and Lawson this year, you either make close to $10m+ per year or your a 1st or 2nd round pick on your rookie deal if you saw the field regularly on this defense. Edited February 7, 2023 by BuffaloRebound Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Airseven Posted February 7, 2023 Share Posted February 7, 2023 (edited) Re-structure Allen, possibly White. Release Morse for $6M savings. Edmunds receives transition tag. Dodson, Jackson, and Lewis receive qualifying offers. All UFAs can walk or re-sign on the cheap - not worth discussing. Poyer and Singletary are gone. Free agency should target Edge, S, and RB during the second wave. Draft should prioritize offense (trade down in R2 would be ideal): R1 - IOL/WR R2 - WR/IOL R3 - OT/DT R4 - DT/OT R5 - IOL/TE R6 - TE/IOL Edited February 7, 2023 by Airseven Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pete Posted February 7, 2023 Share Posted February 7, 2023 10 hours ago, NastyNateSoldiers said: G - Ben Powers 4yrs 40 mil RB- Saquon Barkley 4yrs 50mil WR- Darius Slayton 2yrs 12mil SS - Chauncey Gardner Johnson 4yrs 40mil i know we have cap issues but we can open some space with turning cash to bonuses for Allen, Dawkins , Tre & Diggs . We can also sign these guys with little impact to the 2023 cap . The rest of the roster can be filled with the draft and dust settle free agents. You had me at Ben Powers and Saquon Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hondo in seattle Posted February 7, 2023 Share Posted February 7, 2023 (edited) Interior OL (2x), OT, WR, CB, Safety (if Poyer leaves), RB (if Motor leaves), LB (if Edmunds leaves), DE. There are too many holes to fill. Sadly, when I look into the Swami's crystal ball, I don't see a SB run this upcoming season. Still, I'm hoping Beane finds some forgotten treasures in the bargain bin. He'll stay quiet at the beginning of free agency when the market is hot. Then see who's still available when the market cools and there are good values to be found. Edited February 7, 2023 by hondo in seattle Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostbitmic Posted February 7, 2023 Share Posted February 7, 2023 1. OL - Best Offensive Lineman available C/G or T 2. WR - Rashee Rice or either of the Tennessee receivers 3. OL - Whatever we take in the 1st take the other in the 2nd 4. Safety - Even if Benford moves to Safety, still need more 5. LB - This position goes higher if they let Edmunds move on. If they bring Edmunds back, A bruising RB would fit nice here 6. QB - One more year of paying a backup 6+ million a year, get a young guy on a rookie contract and let him learn as the #3 Protect Josh ... Get Josh more weapons ... Burn the passive defense part of the playbook 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Straight Hucklebuck Posted February 7, 2023 Share Posted February 7, 2023 2 hours ago, ControllerOfPlanetX said: I am trying to figure out how we can be over the cap…and still have so many needs.. OL, WR, RB, S, and LB if Edmunds walks… Bad drafting Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pine Barrens Mafia Posted February 7, 2023 Share Posted February 7, 2023 18 hours ago, Mark Vader said: My wish list. Free Agency: OL Issac Seamolu OL Dalton Risner WR DJ Chark RB Samaje Perine I don't think signing these players is that difficult to do and will not hurt our salary cap. Draft: S Antonio Johnson or Jordan Battle OL John Michael Schmitz or Olusegun Oluwatimi & Steve Avila or Andrew Vorhees WR Rashee Rice or Cedric Tillman or Zay Flowers or Rakim Jarrett DL Mike Morris We will need a Safety, if that means using our first pick on one, so be it. Offensive Guard & Center is more of a dire need than Offensive Tackle. Those first two? Be still my heart 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderingsquid Posted February 8, 2023 Author Share Posted February 8, 2023 If Edmunds is gone 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pine Barrens Mafia Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 2 hours ago, JakeFrommStateFarm said: This is what I believe Beane will do not what I want EDGE - pass rush is terrible without Miller, he's aging and wont be healthy the whole season_ Safety - Poyer will leave LB - Edmunds will leave as we wont be able to match Guard Guard/Tackle - Need a nice swing tackle/guard WR Traded away That next day should be his last 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeverOutNick Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 19 hours ago, LABILLBACKER said: 1. RT, Brown needs to be a backup only. 2. RG, Bates will be replacing Saffold at LG so we'll need RG who can transition to C when Morse leaves. 3. WR2, not going to be Davis or Shakir. Josh deserves better with Diggs approaching 30. Other areas of need include power RB, S, DT, TE2. I like this. My offseason wish list with the above in mind because I feel like it’s better to invest draft capital in O line than it is WR and RB: - Trade for Deandre Hopkins if it only costs a 3rd or later and he doesn’t want to be paid more than Diggs. If it’s not possible let’s take a 1 year prove it deal on Michael Thomas. He’s been injury prone but I bet on a 1 year deal with Josh Allen he’s stay healthy and thrives. #2 WR locked in and ready for our SB run with Davis, Shakir, and Beasley filling in at 3-5. - Draft John Michael Schmitz first round. Stick him at RG and then he’s the eventual replacement for Morse and is going to be a stud. - Find a couple more O Linemen in the draft to compete (hopefully we have some new scouts who know what makes a good O lineman). Fill the rest of the draft with BPA - If we can’t bring Edmunds back for a reasonable pay day let him walk and sign the old vet Lavonte David for a 1 year deal. Dude is a stud even though he’s old and will thrive in our vanilla D on our way to a SB - when the dust settles sign one of the remaining RBs that can kill in short yardage left to a cheap deal (crazy free agency for awesome RBs no need to rush in early) - Lastly the one I know I’ll get most push back on. Sign hometown legend Gronk to a one year hometown discount deal. Doing all of this protects Josh for the long term and sets us up to win a SB in the upcoming season. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.