dave mcbride Posted January 26, 2023 Posted January 26, 2023 2 hours ago, MrEpsYtown said: I'm out on tiny wide receivers who really aren't that fast to begin with, ie McKenzie, Marquez Stevenson. No thanks. This Tank dude looks like Calvin Austin to me. Got hurt did nothing. Dude's legs look like twigs. Find guys with elite ball skills, George Pickens guys, Drake London guys. Guys who are going to catch the football and make contested catches in traffic. That's what Josh needs. Guys who can win vertically down the field and go and get the thing. I know it's easier said than done, but enough with the ridiculous water bugs. Unless we are talking Tyreek Hill type build, strength and speed, these little guys don't get it done when it matters. Mostly agree, but Devonta Smith is fricking good. And he only ran a 4.48. 24 minutes ago, IronMaidenBills said: AT Perry and Iosivas interest me the most. I really hope we double dip because there is good receiving option in the draft that we need. Hyatt needs to be a bill yesterday. Perfect for what Allen likes to do. I’m fairly certain after the combine Hyatt and Rice will prove the justifications. Everything I’ve watched from them screams NFL ready WR even with the limitations. Hyatt torches NFL ready DBs in the best conference. Everyone was saying the same exact thing about Metcalf and look what happened. Guards are deep this year, a lot of good options to pick up in rounds 2-3. Avila should be there and is one of the best pass blockers. Agreed. At 27, you're not going to get a fully clean player, so I'd bet on a guy with the highest upside. 1 1 Quote
MrEpsYtown Posted January 26, 2023 Posted January 26, 2023 1 minute ago, dave mcbride said: Mostly agree, but Devonta Smith is fricking good. And he only ran a 4.48. Agreed. He has elite ball skills, route running etc, that's why he was a first round pick. So guys like him are definitely the exception for me. 1 1 Quote
Matt_In_NH Posted January 26, 2023 Posted January 26, 2023 Getting WR in the draft is going to be key....we need guys on rookie deals at positions of high value. The way the WR salaries exploded last year along with the high volumes of talented WR's being output from College makes WR a high value position to draft IMO. 1 Quote
LEBills Posted January 26, 2023 Posted January 26, 2023 13 minutes ago, IronMaidenBills said: No way, Thornton wasn’t making the kind of plays Hyatt was against top CBs S in the nation. This guy eats cushions like nobody’s business. Watch this and tell me he is limited. He does exactly what we need. Outside receiver that reliably gets open against top tier talent. Yea I just don’t see it. Most of his plays he is getting a free release and then outrunning people. You need more to be a big time receiver in the NFL, like Metcalf is someone you mentioned who is mostly slants and 9s but he is physical enough to punish players that get hands on him trying to disrupt his route. Maybe Hyatt can develop into it but it’s mostly projection at this point. I still think there can be a valuable role for him in an offense but I don’t see a lot that projects to superstar. Quote
Milanos Milano Posted January 26, 2023 Author Posted January 26, 2023 (edited) When going back to 2010 college stats. The best NFL predictor for WR seems to be a WR that produces 1,000 yards+ and 10+ TDs that come from a power conference (SEC, Big12, Pac10, Big10, ACC) had the best careers. In particular the SEC and Big12. A SEC WR that puts up great numbers almost always was a good pro. Hyatt checks that Box. Go look at all the past numbers and it makes sense. I will upload later. An outlier seems to be the SMU program. A few WRs came from there and if they had great numbers they generally are a good pro. Edited January 26, 2023 by IronMaidenBills 1 Quote
Billz4ever Posted January 26, 2023 Posted January 26, 2023 (edited) 11 hours ago, IronMaidenBills said: Seeming how this is our biggest needs, give me your list of prospects you would like the Bills to draft. Here are some of my picks that I like. Jordan Addison 6’ 0” 174lbs 4.51 Zay Flowers 5’ 10” 172lbs 4.37 Jalin Hyatt 6’ 0” 185lbs 4.31 Rashee Rice 6’ 2” 203lbs 4.36 Nathaniel Dell 5’ 10” 165lbs 4.43 My 3 personal favorites are Flowers, Hyatt and Rice. I hope we can double dip at WR this year. A lot of speed is available and Dell is the greatest separator I’ve seen in years, but sadly I don’t know how his size will hold up. Steve Avila 6’ 4” 330lbs Andrew Vorhees 6’ 6” 325lbs Atonio Mafi 6’ 4” 339lbs I went with day 2-3 IOL because I would like to see us go back to back WR/WR seeming how the draft is very top heavy for wideouts this year. If we came out of the draft with Flowers, Hyatt, Avila, and Vorhees I would be very very happy. I like Rice a lot. That size combined with that kind of speed are often rare finds. The knock on him is drops and with what we say from Davis this season, I don't want to replace our WR2 just to replace him with another guy that can't hang onto it. Edited January 26, 2023 by Billz4ever Quote
Florida Bills Fanatic Posted January 26, 2023 Posted January 26, 2023 I won't be surprised to see Bills go DE, o-line, and safety somewhere in the first four rounds. I also expect them to pick a WR but not one of the well known guys from a big name school (maybe in the 4th or 5th rounds). I understand that everyone wants the next Justin Jefferson but I don't think Beane values WR with that kind of selection unless some crazy talented guy drops to pick 27. A late round pick or UDFA could be a big running back to complement Cook and put some punch in the running game. Beane's retention of the team's free agents and signings of new free agents will give us a pretty good road map for the draft (as it has in the past). Quote
Milanos Milano Posted January 26, 2023 Author Posted January 26, 2023 2 hours ago, Billz4ever said: I like Rice a lot. That size combined with that kind of speed are often rare finds. The knock on him is drops and with what we say from Davis this season, I don't want to replace our WR2 just to replace him with another guy that can't hang onto it. Here are a list of WRs that came out of SMU that had greater than 1,000 yards. Rashee Rice James Proche Trey Quinn Courtland Sutton Jeremy Johnson Keenan Holman Darius Johnson Cole Beasley Aldrich Robinson Emmanuel Sanders The best from that program is Rashee Rice Rashee Rice 1,355 yards Emmanuel Sanders 1,339 yards Courtland Sutton 1,246 yards Rashee Rice is also the fastest of those 3. Rice projects at a 40 time of 4.36 , Sutton’s was a 4.54 and Emmanuel Sanders was a 4.41 Would we be ok with a young Emmanuel Sanders? Because his comps seeming comparable. 1 Quote
Billz4ever Posted January 26, 2023 Posted January 26, 2023 (edited) 8 minutes ago, IronMaidenBills said: Here are a list of WRs that came out of SMU that had greater than 1,000 yards. Rashee Rice James Proche Trey Quinn Courtland Sutton Jeremy Johnson Keenan Holman Darius Johnson Cole Beasley Aldrich Robinson Emmanuel Sanders The best from that program is Rashee Rice Rashee Rice 1,355 yards Emmanuel Sanders 1,339 yards Courtland Sutton 1,246 yards Rashee Rice is also the fastest of those 3. Rice projects at a 40 time of 4.36 , Sutton’s was a 4.54 and Emmanuel Sanders was a 4.41 Would we be ok with a young Emmanuel Sanders? Because his comps seeming comparable. Sanders had 3 straight at least 1K with Denver and had 101 catches in 2014. Besides being faster than Sanders, he's also got 3 inches in height on him too. I like guys that can go up and get the ball. For Gabe Davis' height (who's also 6' 2"), he never seems to go up for the ball. He always waits for the ball to come to him, which allows smaller DBs to get a hand in there and break it up. Receivers are taught to catch balls at the highest point they are able, but Gabe never does it. Edited January 26, 2023 by Billz4ever Quote
Milanos Milano Posted January 26, 2023 Author Posted January 26, 2023 33 minutes ago, Billz4ever said: Sanders had 3 straight at least 1K with Denver and had 101 catches in 2014. Besides being faster than Sanders, he's also got 3 inches in height on him too. I like guys that can go up and get the ball. For Gabe Davis' height (who's also 6' 2"), he never seems to go up for the ball. He always waits for the ball to come to him, which allows smaller DBs to get a hand in there and break it up. Receivers are taught to catch balls at the highest point they are able, but Gabe never does it. Sanders went in the 3rd round that year. So based on size and speed advantages, it’s possible Rice goes in the 2nd round. Quote
OldTimer1960 Posted January 26, 2023 Posted January 26, 2023 3 hours ago, Billz4ever said: I like Rice a lot. That size combined with that kind of speed are often rare finds. The knock on him is drops and with what we say from Davis this season, I don't want to replace our WR2 just to replace him with another guy that can't hang onto it. From the limited videos I have seen, he doesn’t play like a guy who runs away from corners and that is against mostly modest competition. Rice has very good size and seems to have good hands and contested catch ability. Is he better than Davis? Further, again limited videos review, he seems to have a lot of his success from the slot. Quote
Milanos Milano Posted January 26, 2023 Author Posted January 26, 2023 (edited) Here are a list of WRs that ran a sub 4.40 and had over 1,000 yards of production that played in the SEC going back to 2010. Jalin Hyatt 1,267 yards 18.9 yard/rec Projected low 4.3s 6’0” 185lbs ? Jameson Williams 1,572 yards 19.9 yards/rec 4.25 6’2” 189lbs 1st round #12 Elijah Moore 1,193 yards 13.9 yard/rec 4.35 5’10” 179lbs 2nd round #34 Ja’Marr Chase 1,780 yards 21.2 yard/rec 4.38 6’0” 201lbs 1st round #5 Odell Beckham Jr. 1,152 yards 19.5 yard/rec 4.31 5’11” 198lbs 1st round #12 Julio Jones 1,133 yards 14.5 yard/rec 4.39 6’3” 220lbs 1st round #6 If we get Jalin Hyatt at #27 I would consider that a steal all things considering. Edited January 26, 2023 by IronMaidenBills 1 Quote
The Jokeman Posted January 26, 2023 Posted January 26, 2023 If there's one thing I've learned in watching Josh Allen is quickness and separation our important for WRs. Deep speed is important but not the most vital thing as Beasley was hardly a speed demon and Diggs excelled finding softness in coverage etc. I'm not sure how you can measure a WR this without scouting them and seeing it for yourself but am welcome finding a WR that can do but also give us some size (see over 6'4") would be welcome as he'd also be great for the red zone. Quote
whorlnut Posted January 26, 2023 Posted January 26, 2023 11 minutes ago, H2o said: Zay Flowers IS that dude Flowers reminds me a lot of Kadarius Toney. He has some swagger to him too. Quote
H2o Posted January 26, 2023 Posted January 26, 2023 3 minutes ago, whorlnut said: Flowers reminds me a lot of Kadarius Toney. He has some swagger to him too. Flowers reminds me A LOT of Stef. Quote
Milanos Milano Posted January 26, 2023 Author Posted January 26, 2023 (edited) 7 minutes ago, whorlnut said: Flowers reminds me a lot of Kadarius Toney. He has some swagger to him too. I’m very hesitant to draft or even sign UDFA WRs outside of the power conferences, there are just wayyyy to many busts. Zay Jones Calvin Austin Andy Isabella Antonio Gandy-Golden Tutu Atwell Anthony Miller Anthony Johnson Roger Lewis Taywan Taylor Justin Hardy Stedman Bailey Tavon Austin Greg Salas About the only really good WR to come out of a non power conference that put up good numbers in college was Davante Adams. Toney at least came from Florida which is obviously SEC. WanDale (yet to be determined) came from Kentucky which is obviously SEC. Edited January 26, 2023 by IronMaidenBills Quote
Milanos Milano Posted January 26, 2023 Author Posted January 26, 2023 (edited) If you are a wide receiver, and if you aren’t coming from the SEC, Pac 10, Big 12, ACC, or Big 10 I’m 9/10 going to overlook you unless you are coming from either SMU, CMU, or BSU. That’s just a general rule I have, and it tends to yield very good predictor for NFL success, especially if it is combined with sub 4.45 speed and 1,000 yard+ production. If you can check the box of 2/3 of those things, you get a glance. Edited January 26, 2023 by IronMaidenBills 1 Quote
H2o Posted January 26, 2023 Posted January 26, 2023 (edited) 10 minutes ago, IronMaidenBills said: I’m very hesitant to draft or even sign UDFA WRs outside of the power conferences, there are just wayyyy to many busts. Zay Jones Calvin Austin Andy Isabella Antonio Gandy-Golden Tutu Atwell Anthony Miller Anthony Johnson Roger Lewis Taywan Taylor Justin Hardy Stedman Bailey Tavon Austin Greg Salas About the only really good WR to come out of a non power conference that put up good numbers in college was Davante Adams. Toney at least came from Florida which is obviously SEC. WanDale (yet to be determined) came from Kentucky which is obviously SEC. Flowers plays in the ACC, Boston College And Tutu Atwell was the size of a middle school kid. Common sense should have told anyone to stay away from him. Edited January 26, 2023 by H2o Quote
Milanos Milano Posted January 26, 2023 Author Posted January 26, 2023 (edited) 7 minutes ago, H2o said: Flowers plays in the ACC, Boston College And Tutu Atwell was the size of a middle school kid. Common sense should have told anyone to stay away from him. There area handful of teams within the power conferences that I stay away from generally as well for WRs. BC is on that list. Nothing good comes from teams like NC State, Duke, NC, BC, Vandy, ILL, NW, Indiana, Purdue, Louisville, WV, Kansas, Kstate, Baylor, Stanford, Nebraska, Colorado, etc. I have yet to see WRs pan out from these locations Edited January 26, 2023 by IronMaidenBills Quote
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