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Posted (edited)

The first half the Pats really took advantage of the communication issues in the secondary. They ran a lot of switch combination routes that in zone defense you have to communicate well and pass off and the Bills were struggling. A number of those wide open plays were because you had two defenders having taken the same guy. Some of that is them now being down to their 6th safety pairing of the year. The Bills made an adjustment 2nd half and simplified it went to a bit more man. It limited the wide open receivers. Yes Devante Parker had a big touchdown catch but Elam had really good coverage there he just didn't get his head around in time. The issue will be how well they think Tre can stand up to that. 

 

For all the tedious hand wringing about the scheme and Leslie Frazier in this thread.... that was only the 3rd time all season that the Bills had allowed a team to score above their seasonal average. They finished 6th in ypg and 2nd in ppg giving up fewer than 18 points per game in the NFL in 2022. Theu were the 2nd best redzone defense in the league and (despite struggling for periods) 7th best on 3rd down. This despite losing Micah Hyde and Von Miller for the year. Not having Tre White at all for over half the season and then having a shadow of his former self. Oh and throw in injuries to Edmunds, Milano, Groot, Poyer and Oliver that have cost them time. Honestly to do anything other than tip your cap to the defensive staff for putting that season together in the circumstances is utterly ridiculous.

 

Will the Bills have to score in the playoffs to win given the state of the secondary at the moment? Chances are they will. But people need to take a moment to really consider where things stand. I think the D will have to be opportunistic and take its chances to make big plays and generate turnovers. 

 

  On 1/9/2023 at 7:25 AM, timekills17 said:

But if you understand that is how the defense is designed, it is a bit less stressful.

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100%. There are people on this board who have watched the Bills the past 6 seasons and still don't understand what the Bills are trying to do. 

Edited by GunnerBill
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Posted
  On 1/9/2023 at 2:59 AM, Solomon Grundy said:

His bend but don't break approach is what pisses me off. 49ers put out a blueprint on how to shut the Dolphins offense down and he refuses to use it

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The Chargers followed the plan with many of it's back up players. It worked very well. 

  On 1/9/2023 at 5:06 AM, Nextmanup said:

Disagree that Von's absence has some sort of major impact on the pass rush

 

He almost always lines up way outside on the D left side, and goes one-on-one against the right tackle...who man handles him nicely out of the way at which point Von quits on the play.  He does this many times per game...for the limited plays that he is actually on the field (he misses LOTS of plays).  Then he'll get a pressure or maybe a sack once and everyone says "Wow, Von Miller!  What an impact on the game!"

 

He then goes back to obscurity.

 

He's not like Bruce Smith routinely drawing double teams and making all the other D-llnemen better because of him.

 

 

 

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Partly I agree. He is no Bruce Smith. He does go too wide often. However, he demands attention, often was double teamed, and absolutely opened up things for others to be successful. Not to mention he does come up with huge plays when the game is on the line. His loss is pretty big.  

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Posted
  On 1/9/2023 at 9:37 AM, newcam2012 said:

The Chargers followed the plan with many of it's back up players. It worked very well. 

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The Chargers and the 49ers did not play the same defense against the Dolphins. This incorrect narrative needs to die. The Chargers played a very specific style of D in a one off gameplan - and give then crdit it confused Miami. 

 

The 49ers schematically didn't do a lot different to what the Bills did. They just still have their elite edge rusher and secondary players and they executed better. It was a lot of cover 2 and quarters on the backened, they dropped Fred Warner a lot in Tampa 2 type looks and he dominated the middle of the field and it was,

almost entirely 4 man rush. They just executed better. 

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Posted
  On 1/9/2023 at 9:06 AM, GunnerBill said:

The first half the Pats really took advantage of the communication issues in the secondary. They ran a lot of switch combination routes that in zone defense you have to communicate well and pass off and the Bills were struggling. A number of those wide open plays were because you had two defenders having taken the same guy. Some of that is them now being down to their 6th safety pairing of the year. The Bills made an adjustment 2nd half and simplified it went to a bit more man. It limited the wide open receivers. Yes Devante Parker had a big touchdown catch but Elam had really good coverage there he just didn't get his head around in time. The issue will be how well they think Tre can stand up to that. 

 

For all the tedious hand wringing about the scheme and Leslie Frazier in this thread.... that was only the 3rd time all season that the Bills had allowed a team to score above their seasonal average. They finished 6th in ypg and 2nd in ppg giving up fewer than 18 points per game in the NFL in 2022. Theu were the 2nd best redzone defense in the league and (despite struggling for periods) 7th best on 3rd down. This despite losing Micah Hyde and Von Miller for the year. Not having Tre White at all for over half the season and then having a shadow of his former self. Oh and throw in injuries to Edmunds, Milano, Groot, Poyer and Oliver that have cost them time. Honestly to do anything other than tip your cap to the defensive staff for putting that season together in the circumstances is utterly ridiculous.

 

Will the Bills have to score in the playoffs to win given the state of the secondary at the moment? Chances are they will. But people need to take a moment to really consider where things stand. I think the D will have to be opportunistic and take its chances to make big plays and generate turnovers. 

 

 

100%. There are people on this board who have watched the Bills the past 6 seasons and still don't understand what the Bills are trying to do. 

Expand  

I agree with your take. However, it sounds as like you are validating the point that the Bills secondary is vulnerable and very beatable due to injuries and a half speeded Tre. With that said, I believe you are validating the scheme of the the Fraizer defense. Which I absolutely agree with. Frazier is really the fall guy here. However, look at what he is working with. Elam is still learning, Hyde out, Tre playing on one leg, Poyer banged up, Hamlin out, etc...The secondary is a shell of its self. I don't see a reasonable path on how this secondary stops the likes of a Burrow, Mahomes, or perhaps Herbert.

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Posted
  On 1/9/2023 at 9:59 AM, newcam2012 said:

I agree with your take. However, it sounds as like you are validating the point that the Bills secondary is vulnerable and very beatable due to injuries and a half speeded Tre. With that said, I believe you are validating the scheme of the the Fraizer defense. Which I absolutely agree with. Frazier is really the fall guy here. However, look at what he is working with. Elam is still learning, Hyde out, Tre playing on one leg, Poyer banged up, Hamlin out, etc...The secondary is a shell of its self. I don't see a reasonable path on how this secondary stops the likes of a Burrow, Mahomes, or perhaps Herbert.

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Nor do I. That is what I said. The Bills will have to score and on defense they will have to be opportunistic, get their hands on footballs and take the ball away. They are not going to keep Mahomes, Burrow, Herbert... probably even Miami if Tua is healthy to 20 points. The Bills will need to score 30 plus in each game I think. 

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Posted (edited)
  On 1/9/2023 at 9:56 AM, GunnerBill said:

 

The Chargers and the 49ers did not play the same defense against the Dolphins. This incorrect narrative needs to die. The Chargers played a very specific style of D in a one off gameplan - and give then crdit it confused Miami. 

 

The 49ers schematically didn't do a lot different to what the Bills did. They just still have their elite edge rusher and secondary players and they executed better. It was a lot of cover 2 and quarters on the backened, they dropped Fred Warner a lot in Tampa 2 type looks and he dominated the middle of the field and it was,

almost entirely 4 man rush. They just executed better. 

Expand  

I stand corrected. However, the Bills D was pretty ineffective a few weeks ago vs the Dolphins. The Dolphins clearly controlled the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball. Running almost at will without their best RB. The Bills D hasn't been exactly stellar since then. They are down Hamlin who I believe is the Bills leading tackler. Imho, this D is VERY beatable as evidenced by a pretty effective poor QB Jones yesterday. The Pats are arguably one of the worst offenses in the league. Truthfully, their offense didn't lose them the game. Their special teams play did.

 

We saw a small sample of this D on Monday night vs the Bengals. A legit offense with a bona fide QB. The Bills were getting shredded at will. I'm not confident the current state of the Bills can stop them. Imho, the Bills will have to win with Allen leading the way. Josh is more than capable of doing it. 

Edited by newcam2012
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Posted

 

  On 1/9/2023 at 12:42 PM, Billsfan1972 said:

Compare that to how Josh needs to work to make completions.  

 

How many easy completions that weren't check downs did Josh have?

 

 

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Which begs the question how do the Bills opponents DB's glue themselves to our receivers consistently?  Is it scheme or coaching or skill? 

Posted
  On 1/9/2023 at 1:19 PM, All_Pro_Bills said:

 

Which begs the question how do the Bills opponents DB's glue themselves to our receivers consistently?  Is it scheme or coaching or skill? 

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Wish someone could answer.  BTW I will commend Brown on making a nice catch.  Wasn't ridiculously hard, but one of the few the Bills have made this year.

Posted

The Bills pass defense is indeed frustrating to watch but I’ve come to learn that it’s based on the bet that the other team’s QB isn’t going to be perfect the entire drive, and definitely not the entire game. We saw that yesterday in real time. Mac was hitting everything early on but as the game wore on the passes got less and less accurate and the final two INTs were perfect examples of that. What’ll be interesting to watch for is how well that strategy holds up against Joe Burrow.

Posted

I find the whole strategy in the secondary to be odd to start. Soft zone with a five yard cushion hoping that they sack the QB so there is no pass? Without our best edge rusher?  Whats even odder is the frequency of times that the receivers are wide open, the db doesnt turn around to locate the ball, the db doesnt try to break up the pass or separate the receiver from the ball or the db arrives and doesnt make the tackle.  Much of this is on the players themselves but Frazier isnt adjusting to the injuries or the realities of this defense at the moment and its really hurting us. Many of these games have been uncomfortably close only because of huge flaw.  Frazier should be mixing things up with man defense here and there to throw the offenses off at the very least. Right now its way too easy to go against this defense with all the injuries and 2nd and 3rd string talent starting.

Posted
  On 1/9/2023 at 1:51 PM, Livinginthepast said:

I find the whole strategy in the secondary to be odd to start. Soft zone with a five yard cushion hoping that they sack the QB so there is no pass? Without our best edge rusher?  Whats even odder is the frequency of times that the receivers are wide open, the db doesnt turn around to locate the ball, the db doesnt try to break up the pass or separate the receiver from the ball or the db arrives and doesnt make the tackle.  Much of this is on the players themselves but Frazier isnt adjusting to the injuries or the realities of this defense at the moment and its really hurting us. Many of these games have been uncomfortably close only because of huge flaw.  Frazier should be mixing things up with man defense here and there to throw the offenses off at the very least. Right now its way too easy to go against this defense with all the injuries and 2nd and 3rd string talent starting.

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See my post right above yours. I don’t think it’s about hoping the pass rush gets there. I think the Bills are simply betting on the inherent inaccuracy of the opponent’s QBs….and to this point, they’ve been right.

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Posted (edited)
  On 1/9/2023 at 3:04 AM, Putin said:

We made Mac Jones look like a franchise QB today what else is there to say ? 

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On the opposing end.

 

Less than 300 yds passing and 3 ints is not franchise. People are freaking out overall and I do somewhat understand. Adjustments are being made on the D side of the ball only giving up 9pts in the 2nd half to our 21.

 

Edited by Real McNasty
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Posted

I'll cut the bills alot of slack this past week, especially the secondary. However, like people have said, the secondary needs to be better. That defense we saw yesterday isn't gonna get us to a superbowl, especially if we have to go against the bengals and kc in rounds 2 and 3 

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