Week 17: Bills at Bengals on MNF

[Scott7975]

 

[John from Riverside]

6 minutes ago, Awwufelloff said:

Is it? They’re also on a 7 game winning streak. I fear them more than KC

Fear, no team, my friend
If the bills are meant to be in the Super Bowl, they will get there

2 hours ago, newcam2012 said:

The Bills know the implications of this game. I have no doubt they will be ready to play. This game likely comes down to execution and a good break or two. I'd be surprised if the Bills win by 10 or more points. 

 

There’s no way we win this game by double digits

 

This is either going to be a defensive battle that nobody expects or a game where the last team that has the bowl wins

[Big Turk]

29 minutes ago, John from Riverside said:

Fear, no team, my friend
If the bills are meant to be in the Super Bowl, they will get there

There’s no way we win this game by double digits

 

This is either going to be a defensive battle that nobody expects or a game where the last team that has the bowl wins

 

Of course there is a way we win by double digits. The Bills if they bring their A game is going to beat any team in the NFL by double digits.

[Billever76]

51 minutes ago, Awwufelloff said:

Is it? They’re also on a 7 game winning streak. I fear them more than KC

Bills are on a 6 game win streak 

[YattaOkasan]

3 hours ago, ColoradoBills said:

 

They have a lot to lose with a loss.  Puts the Division into play and they could drop all the way down to the 6th seed.

This. Bengals are still playing for division. I don’t understand why everyone keeps talking about their outside shot for the 1 seed. If I’m them I’m focused on winning division. Maybe the 1 seed enters my mind if Denver pulls off the upset. Coming up short on the 1 seed isn’t the end of the world. Coming up short on the division would be a disaster for them. 

Edited December 30, 2022 by YattaOkasan

[Billever76]

3 hours ago, ColoradoBills said:

 

They have a lot to lose with a loss.  Puts the Division into play and they could drop all the way down to the 6th seed.

Bills have allot to lose also....1 seed and our entire season goals come down to this game...we have been in a rat race for the 1 seed this entire season....our players and coaches know full well what homefield advantage means to increasing our chances of getting to the superbowl...Both teams are ready to play..May the best team win..Allen with a healthy ucl would win this game comfortably his injured arm will make this game very close

[BufBills83]

If KC wins Sunday, it is very unlikely that the Cinci can get the 1 seed.  However, even if Baltimore wins Sunday, Cinci can still win the division by beating Baltimore in week 18.  So really, there is more on the line for Buffalo with losing the 1 seed than there is for Cinci in that regardless of outcomes this week, the winner of the AFC North will come down to that week 18 game.

[YoloinOhio]

 

[stevewin]

8 hours ago, Greg S said:

 

LOL. 37-9. I would love that but let's be realistic here.

I for one welcome our simulation overlords

[stevewin]

8 hours ago, YoloinOhio said:

 

I've said before with previous clips of that guy that when he touches that thing he should wear white gloves like the Stanley cup curator dude

[Straight Hucklebuck]

Thad Brown is freaking weird man.

[RiotAct]

1 hour ago, John from Riverside said:

 

There’s no way we win this game by double digits

 

This is either going to be a defensive battle that nobody expects or a game where the last team that has the bowl wins

it’s not unfathomable at all that we win by a margin of 10-14 points or so.

[The Wiz]

I still love this.

 

 

[Beck Water]

1 hour ago, Awwufelloff said:

Is it? They’re also on a 7 game winning streak. I fear them more than KC

 

It’s entirely reasonable to point to the Bengals accomplishments this year, especially recent accomplishments, and say they look dangerous and it’s going to be a tough game

 

It’s entirely not reasonable to look at the Bengals last season and say “they’re a better team until proven otherwise”.  Last season was last season.

 

This season the Bengals are 11-4 and the Bills are 12-3.  The Bengals are an excellent football team, but so are the Bills.

[ColoradoBills]

53 minutes ago, Billever76 said:

Bills have allot to lose also....1 seed and our entire season goals come down to this game...we have been in a rat race for the 1 seed this entire season....our players and coaches know full well what homefield advantage means to increasing our chances of getting to the superbowl...Both teams are ready to play..May the best team win..Allen with a healthy ucl would win this game comfortably his injured arm will make this game very close

 

Of course they do.  That has been discussed ad nauseum this last week.  My point was to bring up looking at the game

from the Bengal's view.

[Boatdrinks]

1 hour ago, Billever76 said:

Bills are on a 6 game win streak 

And a bad Center/ QB exchange from 7. 

[The Wiz]

1 minute ago, Boatdrinks said:

And a bad Center/ QB exchange from 7. 

That play could have gone a lot of different ways.

 

It looked like it was blown up at the start regardless and we would have been punting because of the safety and who knows what would have happened with how bad the secondary was that day.

 

Could have just as easily ended in regulation with them winning.

[Richard Noggin]

17 hours ago, newcam2012 said:

To be clear and I understand your point let me ask you this. If I have a 200 yard race against a cheetah it is a 50/50 result because there are only 2 possible outcomes mathmatically. Am I correct? 

 

Unfortunately, yes. There are two possible outcomes. I'm already super annoyed by this line of argument. I respectfully withdraw the angle. 

[WyoAZBillfan]

6 hours ago, No_Matter_What said:

I'd say not "almost halves", but "more than halves". It's really massive.

 

If we lose, it will most likely go (numbers are obviously just my random guesses):

 

WC at home vs Chargers/Dolphins - 70%

Div on road vs Bengals - 55% (I'd say we will be actually bigger favorites than now since it's hard to beat same team twice in a row)

AFCCG on road vs Chiefs - 50%

SB - 55%

 

If we win:

Bye

Div at home vs Titans/Jags/Ravens - 75%

AFCCG at home vs Chiefs - 55%

SB - 55%

 

So by my numbers we have less than 11% to win SB if we lose and almost 23% if we win. 538 has it even worse - 11% if we lose, 29% if we win - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-nfl-predictions/. That is brutal difference.

 

All of it is simplified, since loss doesn't automatically means we are 3 seed, both Chiefs and Bengals might still lose another game (and we can also lose to Pats if we win). But it applies in general. This is really a huge game.

 

That’s all mathematics! This is football, it’s why they play the game😬

[Big Turk]

6 hours ago, No_Matter_What said:

I'd say not "almost halves", but "more than halves". It's really massive.

 

If we lose, it will most likely go (numbers are obviously just my random guesses):

 

WC at home vs Chargers/Dolphins - 70%

Div on road vs Bengals - 55% (I'd say we will be actually bigger favorites than now since it's hard to beat same team twice in a row)

AFCCG on road vs Chiefs - 50%

SB - 55%

 

If we win:

Bye

Div at home vs Titans/Jags/Ravens - 75%

AFCCG at home vs Chiefs - 55%

SB - 55%

 

So by my numbers we have less than 11% to win SB if we lose and almost 23% if we win. 538 has it even worse - 11% if we lose, 29% if we win - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-nfl-predictions/. That is brutal difference.

 

All of it is simplified, since loss doesn't automatically means we are 3 seed, both Chiefs and Bengals might still lose another game (and we can also lose to Pats if we win). But it applies in general. This is really a huge game.

 

 

We won't lose.