Bills open as 1.5 point favorites against Bengals(O/U 49)

[Process]

Just now, DrBob806 said:

Allen & Mahomes are QBs who are better, significantly better

Fixed it 

[Big Turk]

10 minutes ago, SageAgainstTheMachine said:

I don’t know man.  They went to the SB last year and are on a 7 game win streak right now .  Trying to rank the Bills, Bengals and Chiefs is really hard.

 

Not really. DVOA is custom built to do just that.

[DrBob806]

23 minutes ago, Process said:

Fixed it 

You haven't watched Burrow very much.

[newcam2012]

5 hours ago, zow2 said:

This game will definitely decide the #1 seed.  It will be interesting to see if the Bills match up well with Cinci.  

 

As we’ve seen, Kansas City has all kinds of trouble with Cincinnati,  and the Bills (in the playoffs) have not fared well against KC.

But who knows… Buffalo might match up well with the Bengals?  We shall see.

This game should be a war. Bengals at home certainly helps them. I can definelty see this game going right down to the wire. 

 

The Bengals have some scary offensive weapons. Burrows usually shows up in big games. He's capable of going toe to toe with Allen. Chase and Higgins are a very good 1-2 punch. Nixon is capable of having a big game. 

 

The Bills offense with Allen will have to play well to win. 

 

This is going to be a really good measuring stick for both teams. 

Edited December 25, 2022 by newcam2012

[No_Matter_What]

What a brutal game.

 

We win - most likely 1 seed, bye, Ravens/Jags at home while Bengals/Chiefs fight each other and then we get beaten up winner at home in AFCCG.

 

We lose - no bye, most likely 3 seed, Chargers/Dolphins in WC, then road game in Cincy again, if we win AFCCG at Kansas again.

 

Hard to imagine any regular season game having more PO implications.

 

Good thing is that it is primetime, and we all know how primetime Josh usually looks like. And I think that everything what happened this season just made team mentally tough, we beat Bengals and get bye we deserve.

 

Edited December 25, 2022 by No_Matter_What

[Sammy Watkins' Rib]

2 hours ago, LondonBill said:

I'm still not 100% sure we've seen the full Bills yet. Someone else posted a few weeks ago about how we might be keeping our powder dry for the playoffs. I do wonder. And this might as well be a playoff game considering how important it is. Not using Diggs today makes me even more suspicious we've got a whole bunch of ideas we've not shown and have no desire to show yet. But i could just be dreaming. 

not sure about that. But look for Allen to go over 10 rushes and 70 yards rushing given the stakes for next weeks game.

2 hours ago, Big Turk said:

 

Mahomes threw 0 INTs today but his team scored 24 points.  Allen threw 2 and the Bills scored 35...28 even without the late TD. 

Mahomes had a QBR today lower than Allen’s too. He had around a 35QBR. Must have been a few easy dropped INTs. 

[Sammy Watkins' Rib]

2 hours ago, LondonBill said:

I honestly can't work out how good we are. It's really difficult - and I've watched every game except miami at home/ 

 

I look at the 49ers team and think 'we're not *that* good are we?' then i look at the records and, yeah, we must be better. I look at the fixture list and it confirms that we can't be faking it. 

 

I have absolutely no expectations of reaching let alone winning the SB. But in thinking that, I'm under-rating us. 

 

We are the strangest, most enigmatic side I've ever watched. 

Yeah. This team is good despite not playing to their potential. They haven’t played at that level since week 2.

 

but at the end of the day, they lead the league in point differential while playing one of the hardest schedules in the league. All three losses by 8 points total. 
 

our QB has been a turnover machine but he’s also tied for 2nd in the league in total TD’s. 
 

the team tends to bring their best game in primetime games so things look good for the near future.

 

that said, this game against the Bengals is a total toss up IMO. 

[Bookie Man]

teams favored 1.5 cover 68% of the time. 

[Sammy Watkins' Rib]

I’d like to see Beasley be a big part of this next game. Allen tried to go to the McKenzie well on passes 20+ yards down the field a couple times and came up bust both times.

20 minutes ago, No_Matter_What said:

What a brutal game.

 

We win - most likely 1 seed, bye, Ravens/Jags at home while Bengals/Chiefs fight each other and then we get beaten up winner at home in AFCCG.

 

We lose - no bye, most likely 3 seed, Chargers/Dolphins in WC, then road game in Cincy again, if we win AFCCG at Kansas again.

 

Hard to imagine any regular season game having more PO implications.

 

yep. Like I said. Put absolutely everything you can afford to lose on the Bengals! The pain of an L will be too much otherwise. 

[Iverwig]

Maybe it’s because despite the win streak by the Bengals outside of the Chiefs they really haven’t played or beaten anyone good this year. I was slightly concerned about the game next week initially, but after looking at their overall schedule I’m not anymore. It doesn’t mean the Bengals are not good or can’t win, but they’ve sure have had an easy schedule this season. 

Edited December 25, 2022 by Iverwig

[Straight Hucklebuck]

4 hours ago, jcamm1966 said:

Josh better not have any WTH Josh plays like today next week or its a blowout

I just don’t understand what game you guys are watching, really don’t. 

[78thealltimegreat]

It’s primetime I never bet against Josh Allen when some people think the other QB is better then him. 

[Big Turk]

Holy crap!! Bengals plane on flight home had a failing engine and had to make an emergency landing at JFK!

 

https://mobile.twitter.com/markvslaughter/status/1606831216166334465?s=46&t=Wlpv91L8QkM58iBwlSA7eg

Edited December 25, 2022 by Big Turk

[Billznut]

1 minute ago, Big Turk said:

Holy crap!!

 

https://mobile.twitter.com/markvslaughter/status/1606831216166334465?s=46&t=Wlpv91L8QkM58iBwlSA7eg

I’ve always wondered what if a team plane crashed. I believe Marshall’s is the last time that happened to a football team?  Can’t even imagine if an NFL team or any professional or college team plane crashed and lost everyone aboard. 

[EasternOHBillsFan]

1 hour ago, No_Matter_What said:

Good thing is that it is primetime, and we all know how primetime Josh usually looks like. And I think that everything what happened this season just made team mentally tough, we beat Bengals and get bye we deserve.

 

Do you have the numbers as to how he plays in primetime games to this date? I really would like to know.

[newcam2012]

2 hours ago, FrenchConnection said:

Remember, the Bengals only beat the Bucs because they turned the ball over on 4 straight possessions. They are not actually playing all that well right now, but just like in the playoffs last year they are getting extremely lucky. If Stevenson doesn’t fumble today they would have lost. The Bills have to get pressure with four and get some sacks on Burrow. Yes, Chase and Higgins will make plays but their secondary gives up plays and the weather should be good. I have watched at least part of every Bengals game this year and I really like the Bills chances.

 

I think the consensus of football fans and experts have the Bills, KC, and Cinci as their top 3 teams in the AFC. It's debatable as to what order you place each team.

 

I think you are looking at the Cinci team through your Bills goggles. Cinci is absolutely a very good team. Very dangerous weapons, experienced, and a big time QB. 

 

All 3 teams have flaws. I'm pretty sure Cinci fans like their chances at home. 

[BigAl2526]

6 hours ago, cd1 said:

Only if the Bills bring their A Game and they don't seem to remember where they put their "A Game" (for safe keeping?).

 

Sure glad we won the division but...

I will pick the Bills to win, but you're definitely right about needing their A-Game to come back to life.  I think it will help that they will be playing in much warmer temperatures in Cincinnati

[John from Riverside]

6 hours ago, oldmanfan said:

So they think Bengals win since as home team we get 3 points.

Don’t we play in Cincinnati?

[zow2]

Bills are a very good road team.  They seem to play more disciplined defense on the road too. Maybe because they are not overly amped up and too aggressive.  I dunno.  But i like their chances at Cincinnati. 

[SinatraSinger]

This is close to where I thought it would be.  After the Bills won and the Bengals basically got lucky, I thought that if the game was on a neutral field the Bills would be favored by 5, since it is in Cincinnati and usually home field is worth 3 points I figured the line would open at 2.  Ii guess 1.5 is close.

 

I see that Caesars has the game at Bills minus 1, draft kings has the Bills at minus 1.5, Fanduel has the Bills at minus 2.5 and Bet365 has the Bills at minus 1.5