#1 Seed Will Be HUGE This Year

[Southern_Bills]

Thankfully for the Bills it's simple math to get the #1 seed. Win 3, take a week off and let opponents come to you.

 

Simple, but not easy. MNF against the Bengals will be huge, and honestly good for them, they get alot of bad games on Monday night.

 

Also the Patriots would love to kill our #1 seed on the final game, they will not go quietly, and I can't blame them.

5 minutes ago, Buffalo_Stampede said:

Top 2 teams should get a bye. Add another team to the playoffs. 

 

I hope not, I'd rather subtract a team. Bad teams are getting in as it is.

[Billsfan1972]

And last year Tenn had the bye & lost to Cincy & GB to SF.  

 

That bye week sometimes creates issues.

[Warriorspikes51]

IF the Bills are the 1 seed,  it's almost certain KC and CIN are #2 and #3.   

Assuming both of those teams win their wildcard games, the Bills would play the winner of the AFC South or the Ravens/Chargers/Dolphins/Patriots

CIN and KC playing each other in the Divisional round is ideal.
 

If the Bills are not the 1 seed, we will have to beat the Ravens/Chargers/Dolphins/Patriots and then play KC or CIN in the Divisional Round.

 

Edited December 19, 2022 by Warriorspikes51

[zow2]

I think the Chiefs will lose to either Seattle or  Vegas and Cinci will lose at NE or Balt. 

[Warriorspikes51]

Just now, zow2 said:

I think the Chiefs will lose to either Seattle or  Vegas and Cinci will lose at NE or Balt. 

 

Seattle does have their playoff hopes on the line....but I'd like their chances a lot more if the game was in Seattle.

hopefully Vegas is still mathematically alive for that game.  Last year, it looked like they were dead and a bunch of things went their way to sneak in.
 

Cincy I could see losing at NE this week.  After Patriots were humiliated and playing for a wildcard spot 

[zow2]

I think the Bills know they need to win 11 straight games by any means necessary. 

 

I mean it’s obvious but that’s fact.  even losing one of these final regular season games probably sinks them.

[Warriorspikes51]

9 minutes ago, Billsfan1972 said:

And last year Tenn had the bye & lost to Cincy & GB to SF.  

 

That bye week sometimes creates issues.

 

The Titans last season had to be the worst 1 seed in the last decade. Their schedule was a joke and they were unworthy of that spot. 

[Buffalo_Stampede]

20 minutes ago, Southern_Bills said:

Thankfully for the Bills it's simple math to get the #1 seed. Win 3, take a week off and let opponents come to you.

 

Simple, but not easy. MNF against the Bengals will be huge, and honestly good for them, they get alot of bad games on Monday night.

 

Also the Patriots would love to kill our #1 seed on the final game, they will not go quietly, and I can't blame them.

 

I hope not, I'd rather subtract a team. Bad teams are getting in as it is.

Why? I hate when a 10-11 win team misses the playoffs. Let 8 teams make it. 8 is perfect.

[mjt328]

1 hour ago, strive_for_five_guy said:

You’re assuming the Phins or Chargers don’t upset the Chiefs or Bengals.  If we’re the 1 seed, we will play the lowest seed left after the 1st round.  Lots of different scenarios, but there’s no debating that it would be clutch to get that first round bye.

 

Yes, I'm obviously making a lot of assumptions.

 

 

But the way things are playing out, the Wild Card teams are going to be tougher than usual and the #4 seed is going to be way softer than usual (especially if it's the Titans and Ryan Tannehill is out).

 

[Southern_Bills]

2 minutes ago, Buffalo_Stampede said:

Why? I hate when a 10-11 win team misses the playoffs. Let 8 teams make it. 8 is perfect.

 

Yeah, but when teams like the Steelers get in last year it diminishes the product of playoff football.

 

I'd rather have an outlier year where a 10 win team is left out than a year where a team under 500 gets on.

 

Just my opinion though.

[Jerome007]

1 hour ago, HOUSE said:

I just want to beat the Bears in Chicago 

 

Actually a sound take. But since the Bills are already in the playoffs, the staff has to balance between going hard for the #1 seed and resting starters. I'm with you though. Beat the Bears. Reevaluate.

 

Again after the Bengals. Depends on the Bills and if KC wins or loses.

[SCBills]

47 minutes ago, Matt_In_NH said:

Having the one seed is a great advantage because you get a free wildcard win, get to play the lowest remaining seed to get to the championship game and your playoff games are at home.   However, you will likely have to beat KC in the playoffs.  Home or away that will be a challenge. 

 

I'd agree that chances are likely KC is still going to be a game we have to win regardless of seeding... but if we can get the 1, I'm not sold that KC beats Chargers/Dolphins in the WC and then the Bengals.   Do I think they will, yes... but not if they keep playing like they've been playing.  

 

They are a lot like us right now, but with a worse defense.  Mahomes/Kelce and some decent guys.   Sounds similar to Allen/Diggs and some decent guys.  

 

Neither team has multiple gamebreakers like the Bengals, Dolphins, Chargers do. 

 

Edited December 19, 2022 by SCBills

[D. L. Hot-Flamethrower]

I want to have the bye week, force KC to play and then if they win then play them in BUF.

They're the team I fear most in the playoffs until we beat them. That offense has been unstoppable since going into SF 8 weeks ago and putting up 44 pts and 529 yards. In that time they've averaged 465 yards a game. We need every advantage we can get against them, and without turnovers, they're tough to even slow down.

[Bleeding Bills Blue]

46 minutes ago, Warriorspikes51 said:

IF the Bills are the 1 seed,  it's almost certain KC and CIN are #2 and #3.   

Assuming both of those teams win their wildcard games, the Bills would play the winner of the AFC South or the Ravens/Chargers/Dolphins/Patriots

CIN and KC playing each other in the Divisional round is ideal.
 

If the Bills are not the 1 seed, we will have to beat the Ravens/Chargers/Dolphins/Patriots and then play KC or CIN in the Divisional Round.

 

 

Cincy or baltimore wins the north, other is a WC.

 

I'd say based on schedule - only 1 of jets/phins/patriots makes it.  Jags are playing well but i just see them doing something dumb and losing to the texans or something.  

 

Raiders have a really tough schedule the rest of the way but they literally play everyone close.  And i would LOVE to see them beat KC week 18.  

[zow2]

46 minutes ago, Warriorspikes51 said:

 

Seattle does have their playoff hopes on the line....but I'd like their chances a lot more if the game was in Seattle.

hopefully Vegas is still mathematically alive for that game.  Last year, it looked like they were dead and a bunch of things went their way to sneak in.
 

Cincy I could see losing at NE this week.  After Patriots were humiliated and playing for a wildcard spot 

 

Even if Vegas is cooked i think their Super Bowl will be that KC game, therefore they will show up regardless.

 

[Sammy Watkins' Rib]

1 hour ago, mjt328 said:

 

The #1 seed gets the winner of the AFC South, which looks like a toss-up between the Titans and Jaguars.

 

I would not count on this being the case. The AFC  South winner is more likely to be upset by one of the wild cards. They’ll actually probably be a Home underdog so from the Vegas perspective, it wouldn’t even be an upset. So it’s more likely the one seed would be playing the five seed. Or the six or seven seed should the second or third seed get upset.

[Royale with Cheese]

The Chiefs are not winning out.  They're going to drop at least 1 in the last 3.

[Boatdrinks]

It’s an advantage to be sure, but not the be all end all. Plenty of teams have won SuperBowls without it. Only one team will get it , and I’m pretty sure the other teams won’t decide they may as well skip the playoffs this year. So much hand wringing over this topic around here. The fact is the Bills have it at the moment, but their remaining schedule doesn’t favor them being in that spot when week 18 concludes. Some fans seem to think they can’t win without it. Guess they’d rather skip the playoffs if the Bills aren’t the #1 seed. 

[Greg S]

8 minutes ago, Bleeding Bills Blue said:

 

Cincy or baltimore wins the north, other is a WC.

 

I'd say based on schedule - only 1 of jets/phins/patriots makes it.  Jags are playing well but i just see them doing something dumb and losing to the texans or something.  

 

Raiders have a really tough schedule the rest of the way but they literally play everyone close.  And i would LOVE to see them beat KC week 18.  

 

I think the Jets are toast. Yesterday's loss really hurt them. Mike White is still not cleared to play. They also have a short week as they play the Jags this Thursday. Wilson is getting killed here with the NY media and fanbase today. They most likely have to win out to have any shot and does anyone think they can do that with Wilson. I think the Jags beat them this week.

[SCBills]

1 minute ago, Sammy Watkins' Rib said:

I would not count on this being the case. The AFC  South winner is more likely to be upset by one of the wild cards. They’ll actually probably be a Home underdog so from the Vegas perspective, it wouldn’t even be an upset. So it’s more likely the one seed would be playing the five seed. Or the six or seven seed should the second or third seed get upset.

 

I just ran the playoff simulator with my best guesses and got Chargers at Jacksonville.  I'd give Jacksonville a shot there.  

 

Also got Ravens at Chiefs and Dolphins at Bengals.  Yea.. avoiding WC Weekend in the AFC is a big deal.  Those are some potentially fantastic games.