Buffalo Bill receivers now lead the league in dropped passes

[Airseven]

Are drop stats at all mitigated by QB inaccuracy?

[Billsfan1972]

1 minute ago, GunnerBill said:

 

Pro Football Reference credited us with 5 yesterday. Those are the 5. Different analytics sites view drops differently. I agree not ever site would include those two. But the thread is tracking as per PFR

Good they were drops in my book as in both cases the receiver had both hands securely on the football prior to any contact.   Will see Fantasy Pros tomorrow.

[GunnerBill]

Just now, Airseven said:

Are drop stats at all mitigated by QB inaccuracy?

 

Again depends on the site. It isn't a stat with a single agreed definition.

[BuffaloRebound]

7 minutes ago, gobills404 said:

Because contrary to popular belief, not every single catchable pass that ends up incomplete is a drop

I think the catchable balls seem like drops when we repeatedly see our opponents make those catches against our secondary.  To be honest, watch any other NFL game and you see NFL skill players routinely make catches that our guys don’t.  

In today’s NFL, how many Bills’ skill players would be considered to have good hands?  Diggs and that’s it.  And he seems to be having more and more whiny fits where he doesn’t go for a ball if it’s not put right on him.  

Edited December 12, 2022 by BuffaloRebound

[Gunsgoodtime]

54 minutes ago, Freak-O said:

Feels like Isaiah drops about as many as he catches, but that’s probably wrong. 

Every time I see the ball thrown to him, it feels the same as when you have a bad punt returner waiting for the fumble.  Wait, its the same guy.  Last year in the league imo.

[HOUSE]

2 hours ago, TheBeaneBandit said:

Crap weather people....there's your answer.

Where do the Crap Weather People sit ?

[Epstein's Mother]

1 hour ago, Billz4ever said:

The Defense saved the Offense this week.

 

I don't see a column for that in the AFC standings.

[Billz4ever]

1 minute ago, Epstein's Mother said:

 

I don't see a column for that in the AFC standings.

Oh, so we're back to the burying our heads in the sand approach and pretending everything's fine.

 

 

[Epstein's Mother]

6 minutes ago, Billz4ever said:

Oh, so we're back to the burying our heads in the sand approach and pretending everything's fine.

 

 

 

Not what I'm saying at all.  Just saying that Minnesota, Tennessee, Seattle and Miami all would have been very happy with an ugly win yesterday.

[Billz4ever]

1 minute ago, Epstein's Mother said:

 

Not what I'm saying at all.  Just saying that Minnesota, Tennessee, Seattle and Miami all would have been very happy with an ugly win yesterday.

Very true, but we better kick it into another gear come playoff time because I don't think we're going to win playoff football if our offense is struggling like this.

 

We can't really afford any more losses in the regular season either if we want to keep the #1 seed.  There's a chance KC could lose another game, but I don't see it happening.

[Gunsgoodtime]

24 minutes ago, HOUSE said:

Where do the Crap Weather People sit ?

On the Bills sideline.  It only applies to the Bills not the other team throwing accurately and catching passes

[Buddo]

To an extent, I think there’s some mitigation for a small percentage of our drops, and that is simply the velocity that Allen can impart to the football.

 

Doesn't mean our receivers shouldn’t do better, but on day like yesterday, the extra on the football, likely makes it proportionately more difficult to reel in.

[Epstein's Mother]

12 minutes ago, Billz4ever said:

Very true, but we better kick it into another gear come playoff time because I don't think we're going to win playoff football if our offense is struggling like this.

 

We can't really afford any more losses in the regular season either if we want to keep the #1 seed.  There's a chance KC could lose another game, but I don't see it happening.

 

I could not agree more.

[folz]

26 minutes ago, BuffaloRebound said:

I think the catchable balls seem like drops when we repeatedly see our opponents make those catches against our secondary.  To be honest, watch any other NFL game and you see NFL skill players routinely make catches that our guys don’t.  

In today’s NFL, how many Bills’ skill players would be considered to have good hands?  Diggs and that’s it.  And he seems to be having more and more whiny fits where he doesn’t go for a ball if it’s not put right on him.  

 

I think you may just be watching highlights only. Sure if you watch other complete games, you will see some amazing catches across the league, but you know what else you will see if you watch complete games from other teams? Bad throws by QBs, drops by WRs, sacks allowed by the offensive lines, etc. It isn't just the Bills. You also have to take into account opponents, weather, circumstances (like snow storms, travel, amount of practice time, etc.). Of course a receiver in good weather against a mediocre team will look a hell of a lot better than a receiver in a bad weather game against a top 5 defense. It feels like a lot of people have lost some perspective and just expect that the Bills should score 40 every week regardless of opponent, conditions, circumstances.

 

You would think this team is on a 4-game losing streak, not a 4-game winning streak with the way posters are reacting today. I agree that the drops were frustrating yesterday, but the idea that the only quality players on offense are Allen and Diggs (as I have seen a number of posters say) and everyone else needs to go, is ridiculous. These are pretty much the same guys that had a near perfect playoff run last year (sans Beasley). As long as we keep winning, then some patience seems warranted to me.

[Beck Water]

2 hours ago, Donuts and Doritos said:

 

Davis is 38 of 71 = 54% catch rate. 3rd lowest in the league. According to below Davis & Diggs lead the league in dropped passes.

 

3rd link has us 2nd to GB in dropped passes. Interesting Phins are 3rd & KC is 5th.

 

Who Has The Lowest Catch Percentage Among Wide Receivers | StatMuse

https://www.statmuse.com/nfl/ask/who-has-the-lowest-catch-percentage-among-wide-receivers

 

https://scores.nbcsports.com/fb/leaders.asp?type=Receiving&range=NFL&rank=232

 

http://hosted.stats.com/fb/tmleaders.asp?type=Receiving&range=NFL&rank=232

 

 

 

I think that 2nd link doesn't include yesterdays game.  At least, it shows Diggs and Davis both with 6, which, I'm pretty sure, was the case before Sunday.

Pro-football-reference has now updated and shows them both with 7

 

Point made earlier (sorry don't remember by whom) that # drops doesn't tell a complete story, since (for example) Diggs has more than twice as many targets as Davis. 

 

1 hour ago, Billsfan1972 said:

Here's the one up to last week.

 

https://www.fantasypros.com/nfl/advanced-stats-qb.php

 

looks as though they just updated it to include Week 14.

 

3 hours ago, 78thealltimegreat said:

After yesterday they passed the Green Bay Packers for most dropped passes by unit. 

 

You Sure About That?

This site says "through week 14"

https://www.fantasypros.com/nfl/advanced-stats-qb.php

Looks like Tampa and GB 1st

 

This site looks like it just updated to include week 14 and calculates drop %, which I think is fair.

 

https://www.pro-football-reference.com/years/2022/advanced.htm

 

Bills seem to be #6, right after....the Dolphins

Straight numbers has Bills #3, again tied with Dolphins, Green Bay #1

 

Edited December 12, 2022 by Beck Water

[Gunsgoodtime]

9 minutes ago, folz said:

 

I think you may just be watching highlights only. Sure if you watch other complete games, you will see some amazing catches across the league, but you know what else you will see if you watch complete games from other teams? Bad throws by QBs, drops by WRs, sacks allowed by the offensive lines, etc. It isn't just the Bills. You also have to take into account opponents, weather, circumstances (like snow storms, travel, amount of practice time, etc.). Of course a receiver in good weather against a mediocre team will look a hell of a lot better than a receiver in a bad weather game against a top 5 defense. It feels like a lot of people have lost some perspective and just expect that the Bills should score 40 every week regardless of opponent, conditions, circumstances.

 

You would think this team is on a 4-game losing streak, not a 4-game winning streak with the way posters are reacting today. I agree that the drops were frustrating yesterday, but the idea that the only quality players on offense are Allen and Diggs (as I have seen a number of posters say) and everyone else needs to go, is ridiculous. These are pretty much the same guys that had a near perfect playoff run last year (sans Beasley). As long as we keep winning, then some patience seems warranted to me.

I made a post in another thread, not going rehash it but outside of Diggs, Allen. Morse, and Dawkins everyone else is average or below average.  Very replaceable.  We started the season worse than last year with the loss of Beasley and Sanders.  We signed a downgrade at Wr to replace Beasley, did not replace Sanders and bumped up Mckenzie in the depth chart because we had no upgrades.  We downgraded our Wrs.  Did nothing for our oline which needed upgraded as well. We just signed a massive contract to add to the already league leading Dline contract and used more draft capital on defense instead of improving our needed improving skill positions.  Its not a over reaction, but an observation that many fans see.  I saw the offense as a downgrade from last year before the 1st game was played on paper

[peterpan]

Half of those drops have to be Davis.  Dudes catch rate is below 50% it seems 

[Gunsgoodtime]

They count Bills players outside of Diggs as WRs?  Suprised they qualify 

[BuffaloRebound]

25 minutes ago, folz said:

 

I think you may just be watching highlights only. Sure if you watch other complete games, you will see some amazing catches across the league, but you know what else you will see if you watch complete games from other teams? Bad throws by QBs, drops by WRs, sacks allowed by the offensive lines, etc. It isn't just the Bills. You also have to take into account opponents, weather, circumstances (like snow storms, travel, amount of practice time, etc.). Of course a receiver in good weather against a mediocre team will look a hell of a lot better than a receiver in a bad weather game against a top 5 defense. It feels like a lot of people have lost some perspective and just expect that the Bills should score 40 every week regardless of opponent, conditions, circumstances.

 

You would think this team is on a 4-game losing streak, not a 4-game winning streak with the way posters are reacting today. I agree that the drops were frustrating yesterday, but the idea that the only quality players on offense are Allen and Diggs (as I have seen a number of posters say) and everyone else needs to go, is ridiculous. These are pretty much the same guys that had a near perfect playoff run last year (sans Beasley). As long as we keep winning, then some patience seems warranted to me.

Yes, there are plenty of bad teams in NFL mostly due to their QB play, but you’re not watching any games besides the Bills if you don’t see the rising quality of offensive skill position players across the NFL especially when it comes to winning 50/50 balls.  Even if you only watched Bills games it’s hard not to notice how good other teams skill players are at catching contested throws.  

[Bookie Man]

I want to see 2 OL, 1 WR first three picks in draft. 

 

Or be aggressive in those groups in FA.