Bills open as 9.5 favorites against Jets(10.5 some places)

[Buffalo Ballin]

We want our revenge. We're in our home. Time to kick NY Jets' teeth down their throats.

[GETTOTHE50]

now that mcdermott and dorsey have gotten their collective head out of their ass and are establishing a run game, im not worried about jack *****

[Putin]

7 hours ago, Doc said:

I’d rather they were the underdogs. 

No we had 2 decades of being underdogs I want to be favorite in every game !!! 
Go Bills baby !! 

[CSBill]

3 hours ago, DapperCam said:

That doesn’t sound right.

 

For example in the way you’ve set things up, a team with a 90% chance to win any given game would have a 100% chance of losing after 10 games (which obviously isn’t right).

 

I think you are looking for the chance the team loses at least one game, which is one minus the chance the team wins all of the games.

 

So 1 - 0.9^5 for 5 remaining games. Or about 40% chance you lose at least one game.

.

And this is why I failed my "Intro to Stats" class.

[PrimeTime101]

9 hours ago, Beast said:

The Bills have 3 good tests the rest of the way.

 

NYJ

Fish

Bengals

 

Those games will be good tune-ups for the playoffs.   Superbowl

there I fixed it for you

[Brianmoorman4jesus]

This game won’t be easy. The Jets defense is really tough and they are moving the ball a little now. They have really good WRs and obviously ran all over us. We need to just get healthy and find a way to bury this team. I live an hour from met life I can’t listen to another week of this Mike White *****. The guy is Trent Edwards 2.0

[harryS]

10 hours ago, Generic_Bills_Fan said:

 the most important question probability wise is how much more likely the chiefs are to win out than us though I’d say.  They’re more likely to do it but I don’t think it’s by an overwhelmingly huge margin 

 

The Bengals have a good shot at the 1 seed if they win out as well.  It's not just a two-team race

 

As for the spread being high, considering that it was 10.5 at the Jets and now the game is in Buffalo, the oddsmakers have already made a big adjustment.  I certainly wouldn't run to bet the Jets at 9.5 in Buffalo.

[Greg S]

The Jets have a good defense. Their offense has been better with White. They really should have won yesterday but thankfully they didn't. I would take the Jets and the points. The Bills should win but the Jets will give them a game. I am going to say it will be something like 23-20 Bills.

[GolfandBills]

This will be a barn burner for sure. 

[Greg S]

1 hour ago, Brianmoorman4jesus said:

This game won’t be easy. The Jets defense is really tough and they are moving the ball a little now. They have really good WRs and obviously ran all over us. We need to just get healthy and find a way to bury this team. I live an hour from met life I can’t listen to another week of this Mike White *****. The guy is Trent Edwards 2.0

 

I live 20 minutes from MetLife. Many of my family, friends, and co-workers are Jets fans. When the Bills lost to them, I had to listen to their crap. Hopefully that won't be the case this time.

[Eastport bills]

That spread is much too high. If you can get 10 1/2, jump on the Jets. My feeling is the final number will be closer to 71/2. Their receivers are pretty good, especially Wilson. Their defense gave us fits last time. White is also much better than Wilson.

[Brianmoorman4jesus]

51 minutes ago, Greg S said:

 

I live 20 minutes from MetLife. Many of my family, friends, and co-workers are Jets fans. When the Bills lost to them, I had to listen to their crap. Hopefully that won't be the case this time.

I’m so happy they lost that game yesterday. I can’t listen to this Mike White ***** again. All you can hope is the Bills just completely shut them down this week.

[Greg S]

Just now, Brianmoorman4jesus said:

I’m so happy they lost that game yesterday. I can’t listen to this Mike White ***** again. All you can hope is the Bills just completely shut them down this week.

 

I think this is going to be a tough game. Unfortunately, the Jets have a good team. I think the Bills win but it will probably be a one score game throughout. I don't get the Mike White hype either. He is the best they have but being better than Wilson/Flacco isn't saying much. Have to think Wilson is done in NY. Deactivated for a 2nd straight game isn't a good look.

[BritBill]

7 hours ago, Aussie Joe said:

Ok… thanks for the clarification on that …

 

Whilst my maths was wrong … I was trying to make the point that just because you are the favourite in every game… even a strong favourite… stringing 5 wins in a row together ain’t a walk in the park…

 

I doth my cap, sir. 

[Big Turk]

6 hours ago, Buffalo Ballin said:

We want our revenge. We're in our home. Time to kick NY Jets' teeth down their throats.

 

AFC East Revenge tour kicking off Buffalo style in a few days...

[Generic_Bills_Fan]

2 hours ago, harryS said:

 

The Bengals have a good shot at the 1 seed if they win out as well.  It's not just a two-team race

 

As for the spread being high, considering that it was 10.5 at the Jets and now the game is in Buffalo, the oddsmakers have already made a big adjustment.  I certainly wouldn't run to bet the Jets at 9.5 in Buffalo.

I really wouldn’t either…I think as a message board we’ve fallen into the same trap as the pats game lol. We are giving the opponents the appropriate credit but vastly underrating our own team.  I don’t think our defense is far behind the jets with edmunds,poyer, and tre white playing and we have a much better offense 

[CLTbills]

13 hours ago, Aussie Joe said:

Are they winning all three of those?

 

 

Depends which Bills team shows up. The weeks 1-2 Bills team? Yeah, we win easily. 

 

The first 4 weeks post-bye team? No way we win them all.

 

[hemma]

I think we were missing White, Poyer, Milano and Rousseau for 1/2, so they were definitely up against a much weaker D.

 

I think we step on their throats and cover that spread.  Rare for me as I am usually an arm flapper.

[BillyBilliams]

People need to stop worrying about the big points spread.  Vegas for the most part knows what they are doing.  They believe home field coupled with the fact that the Bills are the better team by a lot is why the spread is so wide.  Bills fans need to start embracing the fact people think we are the best team in the league.

[njbuff]

Tiki Barber said the Bills are still one dimensional and the Jets will beat them again.