Chiefs at Bengals Game thread - 4:25 PM Kickoff

[Johnnycage46]

1 minute ago, Process said:

I know it wasnt a catch but Chase/Higgins combo is not fair. 

 

Bengals are blowing this

Could be down 31 to 20 soon.  Kicking FGs vs Chiefs TDs.  

[MasterStrategist]

Just now, UKBillFan said:

 

We're still waiting for a fumble to bounce our way and we've gone through week thirteen.

Ha kinda true...that Brisset fumble was critical a few weeks ago.

 

But get your point.  Kc seems to get a lot of fortuitous bounces, Cincy just needs 1 stop coming up

[Augie]

1 minute ago, UKBillFan said:

 

We're still waiting for a fumble to bounce our way and we've gone through week thirteen.

 

It sounds like we are due! Our plan is to save them up for the playoffs. It’s 4-D chess we are playing! 

[TheWeatherMan]

Do Chiefs play insanely clean football or are they getting ball washed by these officials? 

[Low Positive]

1 minute ago, Process said:

I know it wasnt a catch but Chase/Higgins combo is not fair. 

 

Bengals are blowing this

One of them will be gone soon enough. They're all on rookie contracts and Mike Brown is very much a "cash to the cap" kind of owner.

[HappyDays]

10 minutes ago, GoBills808 said:

This is all results oriented thinking

 

it's a very common way of looking at outcomes but leads to inefficient decision making

 

No, I've explained how even within the bot's own logic it is not a given that going for it is the right choice. What the bot actually tells us is the individual win percentage of 4 different outcomes - going for it and 1) converting or 2) failing, or kicking a FG and 3) converting or 4) failing. Everybody agrees that the FG there is basically a gimme. So using the bot's logic you're actually deciding on whether you want to accept a win probability of 65% for free, or risk ending up with a 59% win probability to try and get a 74% win probability. It is a totally valid belief that accepting the free points makes more sense than taking the risk. Whatever historical records show you don't actually know the likelihood of converting a 4th and 1 attempt in this specific moment against this specific defense. You do know that the FG try is almost 100% guaranteed.

 

Edited December 4, 2022 by HappyDays

[Fallser]

Stripped! Kelce fumbled!!!

[Nephilim17]

27 minutes ago, Nephilim17 said:

Really need a KC turnover...

 

What a prescient genius!!!

[Aussie Joe]

Kelce you flog!

[Buffalo Boy]

[MasterStrategist]

2 minutes ago, MasterStrategist said:

Ha kinda true...that Brisset fumble was critical a few weeks ago.

 

But get your point.  Kc seems to get a lot of fortuitous bounces, Cincy just needs 1 stop coming up

Whoop there it is...

[Process]

Let's go! Don't screw it up this time

[17islongenough]

LFG

[Beck Water]

Let’s GO Bengals!

[muppy]

ha Ha HA  fumblerooskie Kelce atta boy. They better not overturn this 

 

Yay!  he coughed it UP Yes he did!

[EffKCChiefs]

Let's go Cinci!!!

[H2o]

Romo is beginning to become insufferable. I think I'd rather listen to Collinsworth at this point 

[GoBills808]

2 minutes ago, HappyDays said:

 

No, I've explained how even within the bot's own logic it is not a given that going for it is the right choice. What the bot actually tells us is the individual win percentage of 4 different outcomes - going for it and 1) converting or 2) failing, or kicking a FG and 3) converting or 4) failing. Everybody agrees that the FG there is basically a gimme. So using the bot's logic you're actually deciding on whether you want to accept a win probability of 65% for free, or risk ending up with a 59% win probability to try and get a 74% win probability. It is a totally valid belief that accepting the free points is making more sense than taking the risk. Whatever historical records show you don't actually know the likelihood of converting a 4th and 1 attempt in this specific moment against this specific defense. You do know that the FG try is almost 100% guaranteed.

I'm not going to argue with you, you are free to believe what you wish

[The 9 Isles]

Hahaha FU Kelce 

[RocCityRoller]

TURNOVER!!! Let's see the refs....