Chiefs at Bengals Game thread - 4:25 PM Kickoff

[Freddie's Dead]

Lovin' me some PEE-RINE!

[H2o]

Perrine running tough today. Run that clock Cincy!!!

[Beck Water]

23 minutes ago, GoBills808 said:

This is all results oriented thinking

it's a very common way of looking at outcomes but leads to inefficient decision making

 

I should probably stay out of this, but fools rush in where

 

What I think I’m hearing from you and @HappyDays seems to me like the somewhat different statistical conclusions reached by Bayesian and non-Bayesian statistics.  It’s analogous to the “Monty Hall Problem”. The classical statistics approach is to look at the set conditions and calculate a generally applicable probability.  The Bayesian statistical approach is to utilize additional information available to modify analysis.  In the case of the “4th Down Bot” the information would include how successful the specific IOL is at the play, how successful the DL is at stuffing it, any other available details applicable to that given situation with those specific teams.

 

JMO

 

But if you look at the link above, you’ll see that the Monty Hall Problem was hotly contested by very knowledgeable smart people, both ways

[ngbills]

Just now, Buffalo Boy said:

SAn Fran just scored

They made it interesting though.

[GoBills808]

Just now, Beck Water said:

 

I should probably stay out of this, but fools rush in where

 

What I think I’m hearing from you and @HappyDays seems to me like the somewhat different statistical conclusions reached by Bayesian and non-Bayesian statistics.  It’s analogous to the “Monty Hall Problem”. The classical statistics approach is to look at the set conditions and calculate a generally applicable probability.  The Bayesian statistical approach is to utilize additional information available to modify analysis.  In the case of the “4th Down Bot” the information would include how successful the specific IOL is at the play, how successful the DL is at stuffing it, any other available details applicable to that given situation with those specific teams.

 

JMO

 

But if you look at the link above, you’ll see that the Monty Hall Problem was hotly contested by very knowledgeable smart people, both ways

I will never claim to be a smart knowledgeable person😂😂😂

[YoloinOhio]

1 minute ago, ngbills said:

They made it interesting though.

They are playing Brock Purdy

[Best Williams Available]

SF and MINN win. Let’s go CIN.

[Beck Water]

Just now, GoBills808 said:

I will never claim to be a smart knowledgeable person😂😂😂

 

LOL me neither, especially where Baysian statistics are concerned.

[ngbills]

Just now, YoloinOhio said:

They are playing Brock Purdy

He almost handed the ball to Chubb...luckily held on. 

[YoloinOhio]

✌️out chefs 

[Success]

NIce, Chase!

 

[Buffalo Boy]

FIRST💪💪💪💪💪

[HappyDays]

Let's go!! Ice it.

[CoudyBills]

Run it down their throats

[ngbills]

One more first and it could be over. 

 

TD by 49ers...

[Billznut]

One more first down ends it 

[HurlyBurly51]

Tick tick tick

[muppy]

4 minutes ago, ngbills said:

They made it interesting though.

San Francisco took care of business without their starting QB Im impressed actually

[TheWeatherMan]

Bengals play calling reminds me of the Bills.  

[Billznut]

What the hell is Cincy doing? Dumb play. Hand it off