Projected AFC Standings

[Warriorspikes51]

I went through each team's schedule.

Gave the AFC wins vs NFC in most matchups.

1. BUF  13-4   (0-3 in Division after L at NE, rebound to be 3-3 in Division)
2. KC    13-4   (Losses to LAC and CIN/SEA)
3. BAL  12-5
4. TEN  9-8

 

5. LAC  12-5
6. MIA  11-6

7. CIN  10-7  (Head to head W vs NE to get in)

8. NE  10-7

9. NYJ 9-8


WILD CARD  

CIN at KC   
MIA at BAL

LAC at TEN 

DIVSIONAL
MIA at BUF
LAC at KC

CONFERENCE
KC at BUF  🙃

 

Edited November 16, 2022 by Warriorspikes51

[Draconator]

Just now, Warriorspikes51 said:

I went through each team's schedule.

Gave the AFC wins vs NFC in most matchups.

1. BUF  13-4   (0-3 in Division after L at NE, rebound to be 3-3 in Division)
2. KC    13-4
3. BAL  12-5
4. TEN  9-8

 

5. LAC  12-5
6. MIA  11-6

7. CIN  10-7  (Head to head W vs NE to get in)

8. NE  10-7

9. NYJ 9-8


WILD CARD  

CIN at KC   
MIA at BAL

LAC at TEN 

DIVSIONAL
MIA at BUF
LAC at KC

CONFERENCE
KC at BUF  🙃

 

I like and buy into your optimism. 

[Big Turk]

I don't see NE winning either game. Belichick hasn't even forced a punt in 2 games.

[Warriorspikes51]

Just now, Big Turk said:

I don't see NE winning either game. Belichick hasn't even forced a punt in 2 games.

I hope you're right, but the NE Defense looks a bit nastier this season whenever I watch them

[julian]

I feel completely comfortable with Bills playing at KC again even after losing there the last 2 years in the playoffs… that game I expect to come down to the wire regardless of where it’s played.

 

 I feel the home field against Miami would be much more meaningful IMO

[Greg S]

Just now, julian said:

I feel completely comfortable with Bills playing at KC again even after losing there the last 2 years in the playoffs… that game I expect to come down to the wire regardless of where it’s played.

 

 I feel the home field against Miami would be much more meaningful IMO

 

I don't think Miami would have a home field advantage over Buffalo in Jan. It won't be 100 degrees and humid. By that time the Bills should be a lot healthier than they were when they played in Sept. Miami barely beat Buffalo then. I think the Bills would beat them no matter where the game is played. Also, the Dolphins have a weak fanbase. Bills fans would invade their stadium.

[FilthyBeast]

At this point I really don't know what to expect but going with the following:

 

1) KC 14-3

2) MIA 13-4

3) BAL 12-5

4) TEN 11-6

5) CIN 11-6

6) BUF 11-6

7) NE 10-7

 

Chargers and Jets also finish 10-7 but miss out due to tie breakers. Also think it will be MIA/KC in AFFCG with KC likely advancing and winning it all again against whoever makes it in the NFC.

[Charles Romes]

9 minutes ago, julian said:

I feel completely comfortable with Bills playing at KC again even after losing there the last 2 years in the playoffs… that game I expect to come down to the wire regardless of where it’s played.

 

 I feel the home field against Miami would be much more meaningful IMO

This is true.  Also, the one positive of the loss to Minnesota is that it proves that the team is perfectly capable of frittering away a sure win in an important game at home. Thus, proving that home field is not all that important.  We can play better down the stretch on the road than at home as we did in Baltimore and KC. 

[MarkyMannn]

9 minutes ago, FilthyBeast said:

At this point I really don't know what to expect but going with the following:

 

1) KC 14-3

2) MIA 13-4

3) BAL 12-5

4) TEN 11-6

5) CIN 11-6

6) BUF 11-6

7) NE 10-7

 

Chargers and Jets also finish 10-7 but miss out due to tie breakers. Also think it will be MIA/KC in AFFCG with KC likely advancing and winning it all again against whoever makes it in the NFC.

I think this is more reasonable but you'll be flamed for it. Bills finish 7-1 while Dolphins go 4-3, I don't see it

[corta765]

Higher probability they lose to CIN or MIA at home then NE imo. Dolphins schedule is not light late, but people need to brace for 12-5 with them and if Buffalo doesn't go 4-2 division and tie MIA they can very easily lose division.

[julian]

19 minutes ago, Greg S said:

 

I don't think Miami would have a home field advantage over Buffalo in Jan. It won't be 100 degrees and humid. By that time the Bills should be a lot healthier than they were when they played in Sept. Miami barely beat Buffalo then. I think the Bills would beat them no matter where the game is played. Also, the Dolphins have a weak fanbase. Bills fans would invade their stadium.

All very valid points, I was more comparing the impact of playing at home against KC being less meaningful than playing Tua in Orchard Park in blustery conditions… obviously I’d prefer they Miami in Miami vs playing KC in Buffalo 

[FilthyBeast]

Just now, MarkyMannn said:

I think this is more reasonable but you'll be flamed for it. Bills finish 7-1 while Dolphins go 4-3, I don't see it

 

Anything is possible but yes I don't agree with the OP based on the way the 2 teams are playing right now because it would defy logic and there's nothing in McD/Allen's history that says they are going to near run the table with so many tough games on paper left.

 

Therefore my reasoning for the Bills finishing 11-6 is I see them losing once against the Pats (likely TNF in NE), again at home to the dolphins for the sweep, and then likely the MNF game at CIN.

 

At this point though would anybody be shocked to see a really bad loss to one of CLE/DET/CHI since all those teams are capable of the upset? That could really be a fatal blow to this teams playoff chances given how tough the AFC is going to be until the final week of the season.

[Greg S]

Just now, julian said:

All very valid points, I was more comparing the impact of playing at home against KC being less meaningful than playing Tua in Orchard Park in blustery conditions… obviously I’d prefer they Miami in Miami vs playing KC in Buffalo 

 

If we do have to play KC, then I hope it's in OP. I don't think I could take watching another playoff loss in Arrowhead. 

[julian]

Just now, Greg S said:

 

If we do have to play KC, then I hope it's in OP. I don't think I could take watching another playoff loss in Arrowhead. 

Yeah lol, there’s also that painful angle to think about 

[Greg S]

1 minute ago, FilthyBeast said:

 

Anything is possible but yes I don't agree with the OP based on the way the 2 teams are playing right now because it would defy logic and there's nothing in McD/Allen's history that says they are going to near run the table with so many tough games on paper left.

 

Therefore my reasoning for the Bills finishing 11-6 is I see them losing once against the Pats (likely TNF in NE), again at home to the dolphins for the sweep, and then likely the MNF game at CIN.

 

At this point though would anybody be shocked to see a really bad loss to one of CLE/DET/CHI since all those teams are capable of the upset? That could really be a fatal blow to this teams playoff chances given how tough the AFC is going to be until the final week of the season.

 

I don't think the Bills are losing to the fish at home. They are good but they barely beat an injured Bills team in 100 degree heat. A healthy Bills team in OP. I like the Bills chances to win.

[dorquemada]

4 minutes ago, Greg S said:

 

I don't think the Bills are losing to the fish at home. They are good but they barely beat an injured Bills team in 100 degree heat. A healthy Bills team in OP. I like the Bills chances to win.

 

They're snakebit this year in terms of health.  When is the last game they fielded the 22 from opening night, never mind Tre.  I mean, never mind Tre in that we're not going to see him this year in any case

[Greg S]

3 minutes ago, dorquemada said:

 

They're snakebit this year in terms of health.  When is the last game they fielded the 22 from opening night, never mind Tre.  I mean, never mind Tre in that we're not going to see him this year in any case

 

Getting healthy is must. I hope they can get healthier if not completely healthy minus Hyde of course.

[Pine Barrens Mafia]

13 minutes ago, Greg S said:

 

I don't think the Bills are losing to the fish at home. They are good but they barely beat an injured Bills team in 100 degree heat. A healthy Bills team in OP. I like the Bills chances to win.

healthy?

 

when's this sorcery happening

 

[Greg S]

Just now, Pine Barrens Mafia said:

healthy?

 

when's this sorcery happening

 

 

Healthier then. At some point they have to get some of their players back. At least I hope so.

[Pine Barrens Mafia]

Just now, Greg S said:

 

Healthier then. At some point they have to get some of their players back. At least I hope so.

Norman Bates's Mom had a good quote on this idea:

 

"Get down there and run the hotel! What do you expect us to live on? HOPE?!?!"