Bills 7.5 pt favorite over Vikings

[1onemangang7]

5 hours ago, DrDare said:

You use a lot of buzz words but do you know what you are talking about?

 

you say "Public underdogs are not a wise investment" then you cite Seattle who was an underdog vs Arizona and won the game outright

 

you have no proof the books took a bath. Ive said this again and again they do not bet on the games and do not like to expose themselves willingly. you would have to come with proof to say otherwise.

 

the favorite to win a championship in any sport is generally a bad 

No man. I don't know what I'm talking about. Not sure what you're talking about? They don't bet on games? Well they take bets. They set numbers. They consider public perception heavily cause they'll have the numbers and the teasers and parlays. Anyone who knows where the line should be was comfortable with the unsexy Geno and Seattle. You hear them in here all the time. I've been laughed at a ton. Most don't know a team like the Jets is pretty good til they see it first....so yes, they are betting.

[1onemangang7]

6 hours ago, BillsShredder83 said:

Agreed. I hate that I can't find old splits, but I remember seeing the splits look appetizing on sea/arz.

 

I wanna say on the spread sea had like 30% of tickets and 45% of the money. I'm def not a savvy vet but I've done a lot of homework the last year, enough to know I really liked that pick. Seemed like the sharps $$ was there, and def was on the same side as Vegas as it was under 50% whatever the number was

Way off

1 hour ago, MasterStrategist said:

To be clear, it didn't come off "all the boards".  In fact, DK might have been one of the few (or only major sportsbook) that took it down for a little while. 

 

Many others kept it up (Fanduel, betmgm, Caesars, to name a few majors).  And the line has gradually dropped as $$$ continues to come in on Minny. 

 

McDermott presser is scheduled for noon tomorrow, will find out then if Josh is possibly going to play this week.  But the line movement to date is not indicative of him sitting, more bettors "guessing"/hedging (as you did).

The move to 7.5 could only be sharp money either real or steam.  Now under the key number of 7 though ithink it's indicative of Allen. Or you'll see a whole lot of buyback .. 

[1onemangang7]

Halftime numbers at draftkings are off by sometimes several points. Go beat those and they'll limit you in a hurry. So yes they bet. Taking bets is betting. 

[1onemangang7]

31 minutes ago, gridirongold said:

Way off

The move to 7.5 could only be sharp money either real or steam.  Now under the key number of 7 though ithink it's indicative of Allen. Or you'll see a whole lot of buyback .. 

I haven't ran mine yet but as of the Jets game I had buffalo a 9.8 vs minny a .3 so that'd be 9.5 on a neutral field. I'll gladly lay it at home if the kid thinks he's fine

[billsintaiwan]

5.5 on my site. Does not bode well for Allen starting.

[mannc]

41 minutes ago, billsintaiwan said:

5.5 on my site. Does not bode well for Allen starting.

Seems like they’re factoring in about a 50 percent chance that Allen starts.  -7.5 with him starting…probably -3 or -2.5 if he sits. I’m kinda surprised it’s not off the board entirely.

Edited November 9, 2022 by mannc

[Dablitzkrieg]

Down to 5

[Dablitzkrieg]

Down to 4

[YoloinOhio]

Hopefully we are the underdogs by game time 🤞

[Gugny]

Fan Duel down to -3.5

 

https://sportsbook.fanduel.com/navigation/nfl

 

[Warriorspikes51]

the line is going down because everyone is hammering the Vikings

[Alphadawg7]

On 11/7/2022 at 10:11 AM, RoyBatty is alive said:

I am a but surprised it is that much.   The Jets Loss might be good for them, cant take anyone lightly anymore and certainly not the Vikings.

 

Saying we can't take anyone lightly anymore (implying they took the Jets lightly) after a loss is a pet peeve of mine.  Just because we lost a game doesn't mean McD, Frazier, and the team came in taking anyone lightly.  

 

Jets are 6-3 on the back of great defense and good ground game and a good coaching staff with a stout defensive background.  Not like we lost to a bottom feeder team like Colts or Houston.  

 

This was a tough divisional rival, I have no doubt they took this game very seriously even though it didn't go our way.  

[BillsShredder83]

1 hour ago, YoloinOhio said:

Hopefully we are the underdogs by game time 🤞

Hopefully not because that'll signal josh is out

[BuffaloRebound]

Unfortunately the smart money is to bet the Vikings.  Even if Josh plays, the defense has too many guys injured/sitting out.  Without Poyer, Milano, and White, we might have the most inexperienced and worst back 7 in football.  

[Bruffalo]

8 minutes ago, BuffaloRebound said:

Unfortunately the smart money is to bet the Vikings.  Even if Josh plays, the defense has too many guys injured/sitting out.  Without Poyer, Milano, and White, we might have the most inexperienced and worst back 7 in football.  

You must not be watching a lot of other games then.  It's also very possible we have Poyer, Milano, and White in the starting line up. I'm not sure I'm liking your "smart money". 

[BuffaloRebound]

 

13 minutes ago, Bruffalo said:

You must not be watching a lot of other games then.  It's also very possible we have Poyer, Milano, and White in the starting line up. I'm not sure I'm liking your "smart money". 

 

You think we stand a chance with Hamlin, #4 Johnson, Bernard, and whatever rookie we start opposite Jackson against Jefferson, Thielen, Hockenson, Dalvin Cook and Cousins? 

And now Edmunds is on the injury report.  Here’s a question many people won’t like… why should Edmunds in a contract year play hurt when guys who already got paid like Milano and White are sitting out? 

Edited November 9, 2022 by BuffaloRebound

[NewEra]

19 minutes ago, BuffaloRebound said:

Unfortunately the smart money is to bet the Vikings.  Even if Josh plays, the defense has too many guys injured/sitting out.  Without Poyer, Milano, and White, we might have the most inexperienced and worst back 7 in football.  

Are they out?

[Royale with Cheese]

1 minute ago, BuffaloRebound said:

 

 

You think we stand a chance with Hamlin, #4 Jefferson, Bernard, and whatever rookie we start opposite Jackson against Jefferson, Thielen, Hockenson, Dalvin Cook and Cousins? 

And now Edmunds is on the injury report.  Here’s a question many people won’t like… why should Edmunds in a contract year play hurt when guys who already got paid like Milano and White are sitting out? 

 

Yes because we've been injured all year and are 6-2.  

[Bruffalo]

3 minutes ago, BuffaloRebound said:

 

 

You think we stand a chance with Hamlin, #4 Jefferson, Bernard, and whatever rookie we start opposite Jackson against Jefferson, Thielen, Hockenson, Dalvin Cook and Cousins? 

And now Edmunds is on the injury report.  Here’s a question many people won’t like… why should Edmunds in a contract year play hurt when guys who already got paid like Milano and White are sitting out? 

None of those players are officially rule out for Sunday, and most of them were day to day last week, so that kind of dulls the edge you're spitting out there frankly.

 

To address your first question: Yes.  I think they stand a chance because the Bills are a well coached team with a scheme that is exceptionally friendly to DBs. We also have one of the top edge rushers in the game in Von Miller and a solid interior line.  We'll be going against one of the least mobile QBs in football, so pressure will be important, but to say the Bills are the worst defense in the league because they're missing pieces is laughable. 

[BuffaloRebound]

3 minutes ago, Bruffalo said:

None of those players are officially rule out for Sunday, and most of them were day to day last week, so that kind of dulls the edge you're spitting out there frankly.

 

To address your first question: Yes.  I think they stand a chance because the Bills are a well coached team with a scheme that is exceptionally friendly to DBs. We also have one of the top edge rushers in the game in Von Miller and a solid interior line.  We'll be going against one of the least mobile QBs in football, so pressure will be important, but to say the Bills are the worst defense in the league because they're missing pieces is laughable. 

I said worst back 7 not defense.  We still have a good front 4 but the Jets weak offense attacked our backups in the back 7, especially #4 Johnson and Bernard.  The Vikings offense is much better than the Jets.