If Allen stays healthy, will Bills win 11 in a row?

[Giuseppe Tognarelli]

This team does not seem likely to lay an egg. Not with the "Don't Blink" mentality and new killer instinct.

 

The Miami game is going to be seen more and more for the fluke that it was -- crazy events converging.

 

After KC, the Bills will be heavy favorites in every game. If Allen stays healthy, when do they lose? Are we about to watch an 11-game winning streak (13 if we beat KC)?

 

15-2 or 16-1 is just sitting there for this team.

 

vs. Packers (SNF after the bye)

@ Jets

vs. Vikings

vs. Browns

@ Lions (Thanksgiving)

@ Patriots (TNF)

vs. Jets

vs. Dolphins

@ Bears

@ Bengals (MNF) -- maybe the toughest game, but I think it's a great matchup and we have primetime Josh

vs. Patriots -- Josh could rest if #1 seed locked up

 

If ANY of these games were this week, everyone would be picking the Bills. That's not likely to change as long as Allen stays healthy.

[bmur66]

I vote to delete this thread

[Billsatlastin2018]

I’ve thought about this before the Season began. The real goal of the first 7 games is to be 5-2. Having lost that heat stroke Dolphins game, still probable, Of course, ideally winning next week is a bit more important.

 

If so, it is possible to run the table, barring you know what. Packers and Vikings at Home will be the biggest priorities. After those, it’s AFC-E & NFC-N trash and Cinci.

 

Roll! 

[Giuseppe Tognarelli]

9 minutes ago, bmur66 said:

I vote to delete this thread

Jinxes aren't real

[SageAgainstTheMachine]

This roster is capable of winning every remaining game by double digits.  Will they?  Who knows?  Next week will be difficult.  We have five division games where we know the opponent will be extra motivated to take us down.  It’s also the NFL where there’s usually a few “How did ______ beat ______?” games.  I’m just going to enjoy the ride.

[strive_for_five_guy]

1 hour ago, Giuseppe Tognarelli said:

This team does not seem likely to lay an egg. Not with the "Don't Blink" mentality and new killer instinct.

 

The Miami game is going to be seen more and more for the fluke that it was -- crazy events converging.

 

After KC, the Bills will be heavy favorites in every game. If Allen stays healthy, when do they lose? Are we about to watch an 11-game winning streak (13 if we beat KC)?

 

15-2 or 16-1 is just sitting there for this team.

 

vs. Packers (SNF after the bye)

@ Jets

vs. Vikings

vs. Browns

@ Lions (Thanksgiving)

@ Patriots (TNF)

vs. Jets

vs. Dolphins

@ Bears

@ Bengals (MNF) -- maybe the toughest game, but I think it's a great matchup and we have primetime Josh

vs. Patriots -- Josh could rest if #1 seed locked up

 

If ANY of these games were this week, everyone would be picking the Bills. That's not likely to change as long as Allen stays healthy.

Even if you give them a 90% chance to win each of those games (which is likely aggressive), then there’s only a 31% chance that they don’t lose any of them.  Drop the 90% to 85%, then the chance of winning 11 in a row is 17%.

 

After the Bills trounced the Titans, would you have thought they’d go into Miami and lay an egg?  They almost lost the next week again at the Ravens!  Yes, they can be dominant, but there’s many games on the remaining schedule that they can also lose.

[Brennan Huff]

[Big Turk]

It's possible. They will be big favorites for pretty much all those games

[Chaos]

25 minutes ago, strive_for_five_guy said:

Even if you give them a 90% chance to win each of those games (which is likely aggressive), then there’s only a 31% chance that they don’t lose any of them.  Drop the 90% to 85%, then the chance of winning 11 in a row is 17%.

 

After the Bills trounced the Titans, would you have thought they’d go into Miami and lay an egg?  They almost lost the next week again at the Ravens!  Yes, they can be dominant, but there’s many games on the remaining schedule that they can also lose.

This is the correct way to look at it. On the other hand 17% is not the craziest thing to happen. 

[BearNorth]

I follow Ken Massey, his ratings are starting to be accurate by this time of the season. 

 

He gives us a 58% win chance at KC although that could move after tonight. 

 

He has the GB [79%] @ Patsies [74%] @Bungles [71%] games below 80% win chance. 

 

All others are above 80%.

 

We have three of his top 10 in the next 4 games, @KC [3] GB [9] & Minny [6]. 

 

Fwiw

[Big Turk]

Honestly, there is nothing this team cannot do. If someone told me they would not lose again this season including the playoffs, I would shrug my shoulders and say OK. I mean it's believable. Is there a single game on the schedule you would say the Bills shouldn't win? Maybe KC? Maybe if the D is still compromised in the secondary? 

 

If we have Poyer and Edmunds back I think they will be fine tho...

[HOUSE]

I just hope we win another game 

[Rigotz]

Maybe it’s just me, but all I want to think about is winning this week vs KC.

 

Its the biggest game of the regular season.

 

Trap games happen, injuries happen, bad teams beat good teams. Think about the Jags last year… or the Colts beating KC this year. One game at a time.

Edited October 10, 2022 by Rigotz

[Giuseppe Tognarelli]

39 minutes ago, strive_for_five_guy said:

Even if you give them a 90% chance to win each of those games (which is likely aggressive), then there’s only a 31% chance that they don’t lose any of them.  Drop the 90% to 85%, then the chance of winning 11 in a row is 17%.

 

After the Bills trounced the Titans, would you have thought they’d go into Miami and lay an egg?  They almost lost the next week again at the Ravens!  Yes, they can be dominant, but there’s many games on the remaining schedule that they can also lose.

Yes, I picked them to lose at Miami

[Matt_In_NH]

14 if we beat KC, get it right.  I assume the OP is an NFL virgin.

[Freddie's Dead]

[strive_for_five_guy]

1 hour ago, Giuseppe Tognarelli said:

Yes, I picked them to lose at Miami

Okay, and did you pick them to almost lose to Baltimore?  Or to lose to Jacksonville last year?  Yes, they could win every game that remains on their schedule.  Even with as good as they can be, the odds show it is more unlikely than likely, though.

 

With that said, let’s win this weekend and it should be a fun ride!

[damj]

No. The team on the other side of the field also gets paid.

 

On any given week, you can get beat.

[RiotAct]

vs Packers is easily the toughest game on our sked after the bye.  The Bengals are subpar.  

 

14-3 all the way.

[Yobogoya!]

3 minutes ago, RiotAct said:

vs Packers is easily the toughest game on our sked after the bye.  The Bengals are subpar.  

 

14-3 all the way.

 

Vikings might actually be tougher than Packers this year. JJ is an X factor weapon that the Pack doesn't seem to have right now, regardless of how good Rodgers is. 

 

Might end up being a tougher out than the Bengals, too.