Bills sign Dawson Knox to 4-year $53.6 mill extension ($31 mill gtd) through 2026

[The Wiz]

16 minutes ago, Royale with Cheese said:

 

It's like people don't understand inflation.

[Royale with Cheese]

1 minute ago, The Wiz said:

Debbie?

[Warcodered]

23 minutes ago, YoloinOhio said:

 

That could be an incredible steal by the end of the season.

 

People always talk about TEs as redzone threats, so you'd think leading the position in TDs would be a bigger deal to people.

[purple haze]

3 minutes ago, gobills404 said:

- 12th in yards per game

- 1st in TDs per game

- 7th in yards per target

- 1st in passer rating when targeted

- Is a very good blocker

 

They’re probably about to give him the targets he deserves and wanted to extend him before his market price shoots through the roof.

Don’t count on his targets going up significantly.  Diggs and Davis will be open a lot and Allen will find them.  A lot.  McKenzie too.  

[John from Riverside]

1 hour ago, Back2Buff said:

Not a player I would have committed to.  I still think its him or Gabe.  Looks like Buffalo valued Knox more.

 

We shall see, but my guess, he never lives up to contract.

I mean do you have to work at putting crappy posts up every day

[Logic]

These three things have already been said, but all three of them bear repeating:

1.) You pay a player for future production, not past production. 

2.) However expensive a contract extension may look, just wait a few months, and it'll seem like a bargain. 

3.) It's useless to evaluate a contract until all of the details are known. The first reports to hit the media always come from the player's agent, and are phrased in such a way as to paint the contract in the most favorable light possible. Key facts like "guaranteed money" and "void years" and "bonus incentives" enter the picture later, and almost always drastically change the perception of the contract in question.
 

[Ethan in Cleveland]

1 hour ago, Back2Buff said:

Not a player I would have committed to.  I still think its him or Gabe.  Looks like Buffalo valued Knox more.

 

We shall see, but my guess, he never lives up to contract.

I disagree with you but kudos to posting a contrarian viewpoint. Nothing wrong with that and Bills history for TE development certainly is awful.  I think Knox is the most physically gifted TE Bills have ever had and I've been a proponent of him since his mid rookie year.

I think your logic is a bit flawed in terms of it being a decision between Knox and Davis.  If you are thinking about money spent on offense the next decision might be Singletary or Davis. And if Davis has a breakout year that is a no brainer.

 

[RyanC883]

1 hour ago, LabattBlue said:

1st step towards Poyer and Edmunds becoming UFA’s next season.  
 

Next step…Ed Oliver extension. 

 

keep Oliver and Knox.  Edmunds is expendable (not impact player, solid, not impact) and Poyer is getting up there in age with backups who may be able to take over, and if not, rookies generally can step in, esp. with Hyde to assist.  

[Ethan in Cleveland]

12 minutes ago, Alphadawg7 said:

Welp, now we know why Beane freed up some cap space, and love this move!  I said earlier in the offseason that I hoped they signed his extension before the season happens to avoid driving his price too high out of range if he had a big season.  

 

Personally, I think Knox statistically may not see a huge bump in production this year, but that won't devalue who he is to the team or his talents.  And I only say that because this roster is loaded with players who will be, and should be, touching the football and has a QB who spreads the ball around.  Davis IMO might even lead the team in yards and TD's this year over Diggs, I think he will be that involved. 

 

Then we got a renewed running game, a solid pass catcher RB in Devin/Moss with a pass catching specialist in Cook, to go along with likely more rush attempts too.  Then we have 3 slot guys who all should see snaps in McKenzie, Shakir, and Crowder.  

 

There is just one football, so I think 500-600 yards and 6-10 TD's is a reasonable expectation again this year.  He absolutely has the capability of exceeding that, just think much more than that will be tough with how many weapons we have.  

 

The freed up cap space for this season has nothing to do with this. It is a four year extension from 2023 to 2026. 

[Rampage]

Sign your young, productive players at impact positions. Tight end is one of them. Safety and linebacker aren’t. Goodbye Poyer and Edmunds.

Edited September 7, 2022 by Rampage

[Royale with Cheese]

14 minutes ago, teef said:

unless he has a massive regression that i can't imagine happening, it was only going to cost a lot more next year.  i love the move.  keep this together.  at the end of the day, the posters i guessed who would have a problem with it are the exact ones how have a problem with it.  

 

i remember the criticism this pick received after the draft.  how could the bills possibly draft a te who had never had a td in college?   the staff knows far more than we do.

Are you sure the staff knows more than you?  I mean you see them about 4 hours a week for 17-22 games or so.  That’s about the same as the staff too right?  Do they even know his birthday?

[muppy]

33 minutes ago, YoloinOhio said:

 

after hearing what Dawson had to say about Buffalo after his brothers death I doubt the Bills needed to twist his arm very much. Dawson is signed.  Box checked for 4 more years. I hope his production blows up even more. the offense does not lack star players  but what each player will not know is how many touches they will get.  A lot of very capable players Josh has to feed. I expect this offense to Feast.   And Shakir is also a potential Star from what he showed in camp. Dude has hands of Glue. Like everyone else Im Excited hermanos GO BILLS!~!~!!!

 

 

PS: Dawson Knox...he is sooo fine.  🙂 hot damn !~! lol-m

Edited September 7, 2022 by muppy

[YattaOkasan]

3 minutes ago, purple haze said:

Don’t count on his targets going up significantly.  Diggs and Davis will be open a lot and Allen will find them.  A lot.  McKenzie too.  

With Beasley and Sanders leaving there are a lot of targets available.  I dont expect diggs to get too many (suspect hes on a count again this year).  Davis will def get more but if he doubles his amount theres still plenty for Knox.  I think he would be a priority to target over McKenzie honestly.  Bills have one of the lowest share of targets to TE in the league.  I think Knox will see at least 30 more targets this year.

[RyanC883]

2 minutes ago, Ethan in Portland said:

I disagree with you but kudos to posting a contrarian viewpoint. Nothing wrong with that and Bills history for TE development certainly is awful.  I think Knox is the most physically gifted TE Bills have ever had and I've been a proponent of him since his mid rookie year.

I think your logic is a bit flawed in terms of it being a decision between Knox and Davis.  If you are thinking about money spent on offense the next decision might be Singletary or Davis. And if Davis has a breakout year that is a no brainer.

 

 

agree with this.  This won't likely impact Davis.  I think Singletary is gone after this year.  He likely has a good year, would like to keep him, but if Davis also has a good year likely easier to replace Singletary (unless he goes really insane on a top 3 RB level).  

[gobills404]

1 minute ago, purple haze said:

Don’t count on his targets going up significantly.  Diggs and Davis will be open a lot and Allen will find them.  A lot.  McKenzie too.  

Beasley being gone frees up a ton of targets and Knox is more of a possession type of player than McKenzie. I’m counting on it.

[Buffalo Boy]

8 minutes ago, The Wiz said:

[YoloinOhio]

 

[Warcodered]

 

[sullim4]

My opinion on this one is completely dependent on the opportunity cost.

 

Edmunds, Poyer, or Oliver not being signed?  I'm fine with it.  Poyer is too old to commit to a long term, expensive deal.  Edmunds simply is not worthy of a truckload of money.  I think Oliver will ultimately be too expensive for us to sign.  I'd rather have Knox on the offense than any of those guys on the defense.

 

If this signing means there isn't money left for Gabe Davis - I'm against it.  I think Gabe has the higher ceiling and I'd rather see him on the team long term as opposed to Knox.

[John from Riverside]

1 hour ago, DrDawkinstein said:

 

Technically true, but when we win the SB this year and Gabe has a breakout year, he will want a new contract this offseason. And he isnt wrong to do so. Better to plan on it and be ready. (But I dont have the same amount of worry about any of it that the poster you were responding to does. Beane will get if done)

So we’re going to base things on what we think people are going to do and Call it fact