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Posted
4 hours ago, folz said:

I'm envisioning an early 2000s Tampa Bay scenario, where Tony Dungy built that team into a Super Bowl contender and then they fired him "for not being able to win the big game...too soft...whatever" and they bring in Gruden. Sure, Gruden won them a Super Bowl (that first year with Dungy's team---and who's to say Dungy might not have done the same if he stayed in place, he did eventually win one with Indy)---but then the team fell apart. Gruden followed up the Super Bowl year with a 7-9 season and a 5-11 season. It was 18 years until they made the big game again, with only two early wild card exit playoff appearances in those years. I just want to see the sustained success that Beane and McDermott always preach.

 

I do not think Gruden's Bucs could have won without him previously being head coach of Raiders and knowing them so well.  The results post Superbowl year showed that Gruden's Bucs were mostly Dungy's Bucs and his ability to build winning teams was overrated.

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Posted
1 hour ago, Shaw66 said:

Still, it's too early to tell whether that works.

 

Well the Rams have been to 2 Super Bowls winning 1. I'll take that.

 

They trade potential in picks for known quantities in the NFL.

I'd rather have a known quantity 4 or less years than long term 'potential' with Edmunds/ Ford/ Oliver/ Epenesa

One of Beane's best 2 best moves in the first round was trading the pick for Diggs.

 

Even when losing 'rental players' like Von Miller or OBJ they back fill with Bobby Wagner and Allen Robinson, not seeing a fail point here.

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Posted (edited)
56 minutes ago, RocCityRoller said:

 

Well the Rams have been to 2 Super Bowls winning 1. I'll take that.

 

They trade potential in picks for known quantities in the NFL.

I'd rather have a known quantity 4 or less years than long term 'potential' with Edmunds/ Ford/ Oliver/ Epenesa

One of Beane's best 2 best moves in the first round was trading the pick for Diggs.

 

Even when losing 'rental players' like Von Miller or OBJ they back fill with Bobby Wagner and Allen Robinson, not seeing a fail point here.

I'll take the Patriots.   Go to the playoffs for 20 years running, get to the Super Bowl half the time.  Once you get to the Super Bowl, it's 50-50.   Patriots didn't chase talent.  Once in a while they signed or traded for a Randy Moss, but generally they built a winning culture with a great QB and good, but not great, role playing football players.  

 

The Rams are the flavor of the month.   See how they look a year or two from now. 

Edited by Shaw66
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Posted
6 hours ago, folz said:

 

Sorry if I came at you a bit hard on this...it was in reaction not just to your post, but to a number of off-season posts (since the 13 seconds) of not just questioning McDermott (which is obviously ok), but people thinking it might be time to move on from him, when imo we wouldn't be where we are without him and might not be able to sustain what we have without him. Kind of a "the grass is always greener" thing.

 

I took your post to mean, "look Jackson won a championship within a year of taking over, McDermott has had 5 years and still no championship...if he doesn't win a Super Bowl soon (this year), he should be gone." I obviously read into your specific post too much. From your response, you are talking about from "now" with McDermott (after the team has already been built), when I thought you were counting from when he started. And I read the "soon" kind of as an "or else"...i.e. "or else he should be fired."

 

Sorry if I misinterpreted your meaning. I'm just surprised by how many posters would be willing to move on from McDermott if say, he doesn't win the Super Bowl this year. Heck, some posters were ready to move on from him after the 13 seconds. I mean, yes, this team is built to win a Super Bowl now, but so many things can happen to derail a team: injuries, bad luck, weather, bad referees, etc., etc. Only one team a year wins it all...if the Bills don't win the Super Bowl this season, it will depend on the circumstances around it if McDermott should take a ton of heat for it. But yes, we all want that Super Bowl. And ultimately everything is on the head coach, but I would just hate to lose him and everything he's built.

 

I'm envisioning an early 2000s Tampa Bay scenario, where Tony Dungy built that team into a Super Bowl contender and then they fired him "for not being able to win the big game...too soft...whatever" and they bring in Gruden. Sure, Gruden won them a Super Bowl (that first year with Dungy's team---and who's to say Dungy might not have done the same if he stayed in place, he did eventually win one with Indy)---but then the team fell apart. Gruden followed up the Super Bowl year with a 7-9 season and a 5-11 season. It was 18 years until they made the big game again, with only two early wild card exit playoff appearances in those years. I just want to see the sustained success that Beane and McDermott always preach.

 

 

I didn't say they need to win the SB this season or McD is out (no need to keep repeating that).  But he has to get this stacked team to the SB this year (his 6th) or it can be legitimately questioned  whether he ever will.  "Teambuilding" is one thing.  Coaching in the big games is another matter altogether...

 

Paxton, Cartright and Horace Grant are not quite a stacked roster lol.  The Bills are.

 

Dungy (perhaps the most overrate NFL HC of all time) didn't build much of a team:  the Defense was consistently excellent.  The Offenses were mediocre or awful.  Gruden took that 9-7 and won a SB.  After that, the team "fell apart" because his QBs were Griese (not Bob), Simms (not Phil), Bruce Gradkowski, and Jeff Garcia.

 

McD has to bring them past KC and to the SB.   He has all the talent he's going to get, and it is sufficient for the task.

Posted
5 hours ago, Mr. WEO said:

 

 

I didn't say they need to win the SB this season or McD is out (no need to keep repeating that).  But he has to get this stacked team to the SB this year (his 6th) or it can be legitimately questioned  whether he ever will.  "Teambuilding" is one thing.  Coaching in the big games is another matter altogether...

 

Paxton, Cartright and Horace Grant are not quite a stacked roster lol.  The Bills are.

 

Dungy (perhaps the most overrate NFL HC of all time) didn't build much of a team:  the Defense was consistently excellent.  The Offenses were mediocre or awful.  Gruden took that 9-7 and won a SB.  After that, the team "fell apart" because his QBs were Griese (not Bob), Simms (not Phil), Bruce Gradkowski, and Jeff Garcia.

 

McD has to bring them past KC and to the SB.   He has all the talent he's going to get, and it is sufficient for the task.

Yeah, part of me fears them being like the Packers with Rodgers all these years consistently failing to make the SB.

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Posted
7 hours ago, Mr. WEO said:

 

 

I didn't say they need to win the SB this season or McD is out (no need to keep repeating that).  But he has to get this stacked team to the SB this year (his 6th) or it can be legitimately questioned  whether he ever will.  "Teambuilding" is one thing.  Coaching in the big games is another matter altogether...

 

Paxton, Cartright and Horace Grant are not quite a stacked roster lol.  The Bills are.

 

Dungy (perhaps the most overrate NFL HC of all time) didn't build much of a team:  the Defense was consistently excellent.  The Offenses were mediocre or awful.  Gruden took that 9-7 and won a SB.  After that, the team "fell apart" because his QBs were Griese (not Bob), Simms (not Phil), Bruce Gradkowski, and Jeff Garcia.

 

McD has to bring them past KC and to the SB.   He has all the talent he's going to get, and it is sufficient for the task.

 

I think Gruden is the most overrated coach in NFL history.

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Posted
1 hour ago, GunnerBill said:

 

I think Gruden is the most overrated coach in NFL history.

 

 

Nah...everyone dumps on Gruden.  Mostly rightly so.  Dungy wasted the primes of a lot of guys' careers--chief among them Manning's.

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Posted
On 5/19/2022 at 11:59 AM, Shaw66 said:

I'd be interested to see an article that pulls together quotes from McDermott about his team-building philosophy.   I think he's said a lot about it at one time or another, but I haven't seen someplace where it's put together in a coherent whole.  And McDermott hasn't written his book yet.  

 

In the meantime, I happen to be reading Phil Jackson's memoir, Eleven Rings, and when he talks about what it takes to build championship teams, I hear a lot of McDermott.  I'm finding that what Jackson says helps me understand what McDermott is doing. 

 

I think that it's easier to see principles and concepts at work in basketball than in football, because with only five players on the court, the strategies are simpler.  I think it's true with respect to coaching philosophies, as well. 

 

Jackson says that at the core of his philosophy is the notion that what wins is teamwork taken to the extreme.  Players without coaching just keep trying to score, to work to get the ball in their hands, to do what they want to do.  Coaches tend to tell players what to do and what not to do, and after a while, the players are fighting, emotionally, with the coaches.  He says, for example, that Doug Collins, who preceded Jackson as coach of the Bulls, had about 50 plays, and he called a play every time the Bulls were coming up the floor.   Jackson figured out that he had to let the players play, and let them decide more.   His job was to let the players control the game, but control it from a truly cooperative perspective. 

 

For teams to succeed, he says, coaches should control as little as possible.   So, for example, he loved the triangle offense, because it didn't have plays.  Instead, it was a framework for the players to follow on the court, a system that managed the spacing on the floor but left the players free to see the defense and make decisions on their own about where the ball should go to attack the defense.   And Jackson understood that allowing the players to control the flow of the offense would work best if the players knew each other, cared about each other, and understood what the other players were trying to do on the floor.   So, Jackson had his team meditate as a group, sit quietly with just the coaches and the players.  He encouraged relationships between the players.  He created social activities for the team to share in .  He wanted his players to know about the personal and family lives of the other players, because the more they knew and cared about each other, the more they would cooperate and support each other on the floor.   He wanted players to know where teammates wanted the ball, what role each player wanted to play on the team.  

 

Jackson's success with the Bulls began when he got Jordan's attention and told him the team would win more if he scored less and he helped his teammates have more success.  As Jordan moved into that role, he began to see that Jackson was right.  If you remember those teams, it was amazing how much ordinary players contributed to the success of the team - Paxson and Kerr, Cartright and Wennington, guys who had great success with the Bulls just being very good at what they do.   (Think about all of the Bills players who aren't great but who are great contributors to the team.)  Jordan could still be the star, but the team began winning more.   Jordan's burning desire to win, all the time, at everything, got Jordan to change how he played so he could win more.  

 

Jackson says he delegated as much as he could.  He gave responsibility to various coaches, and he asked the coaches to give as much responsibility as possible to the players.   He said he spent a lot of time during games just watching - he and the coaches spent their coaching time teaching players to make good decisions on the floor, and when the game started, he had relatively little to do.  Sure, he had in-game decisions to make, but it seems he spent a lot of in-game time just reminding players to do the things they'd learn to do to support their teammates. 

 

Jackson wanted guys who were fierce competitors and who were open to new ideas, so long as the new ideas were about winning more.   He said Dennis Rodman really was a unique guy, as we all know, but he was a fierce competitor.  When the Bulls got Rodman, Jackson talked to him told him he would let Rodman be who he was, but Rodman would have to mold his play to support what his teammates were doing, and they would support him.  He said Rodman fit in quickly, and because he got to know his teammates on a personal level, his teammates were able to put up with Rodman's peculiarities. 

 

Rodman joined the team the same time Steve Kerr did, just at the time Jordan was coming back from his two-year baseball experiment.  Jordan, of course, was a fierce competitor.  Pippin was.   Rodman was.  And Kerr was.  In training camp, Kerr wouldn't back down from Jordan, and Jordan got so pissed off that he punched Kerr in the face.   After they kissed and made up, Jordan came to realize that Kerr was just another competitor like himself, they became closer, and the team got better.  Jordan understood that by supporting Kerr's style of play, the team would win more, so that's what he did. 

 

What Jackson was able to achieve with his teams was a cooperative chemistry among the players, an environment where the players supported each other and helped each other become better.  The coaches created an environment for that to happen, but the players created the chemistry.  Jackson says, in different words but meaning the same thing, that he built an environment where the players became the best versions of themselves.  And the team became better than the sum of its parts, because the synergy of thinking and playing as a unit made the team better than just the individual talent of the players. He wanted his players and coaches to feel like a tribe, willing to die for each other.   No one else was inside the tribe; in fact, one the biggest problems Jackson had with Rodman was when Rodman brought his girlfriend - Madonna - into the clubhouse after a game.   That was a huge no-no.   There were very clear times when the team, and the team alone, needed to be together.  

 

The key for Jackson was having a star who understood the importance of these concepts and who was willing to give up the ball to let other players contribute.  First Jordan (and Pippin), then Kobe and Shaq.   McDermott has Allen, a fierce competitor in his own right, but a guy who has his ego in check.  Allen came to the Bills already having bought into the notions that by having real personal relationships with his teammates, his teammates can do more.  

 

There are multiple passages in Jackson's book that sound just like things McDermott has said or could have said.  I can imagine Jackson and McDermott talking.  I understand better now how McDermott is creating an environment for the players to get closer and closer, to get more connected with each other, to understand what each other wants to happen on the field, how they become more and more committed to each other.   That's exactly what Jackson tried to build.  

 

What McDermott is building is powerful.  

Real nice Shaw, I just paid $13.50 for Eleven Rings on my Kindle. Don’t you dare start a thread on Titanic. 
 

 

Posted
3 hours ago, Mr. WEO said:

 

 

Nah...everyone dumps on Gruden.  Mostly rightly so.  Dungy wasted the primes of a lot of guys' careers--chief among them Manning's.

 

So I do think Dungy is overrated. He isn't a HOF level coach in my mind. But Manning's playoff collapses both pre and post dated Dungy. 

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Posted
1 hour ago, GunnerBill said:

 

So I do think Dungy is overrated. He isn't a HOF level coach in my mind. But Manning's playoff collapses both pre and post dated Dungy. 

 

 

Dungy's playoff collapses predate Manning, hence Gruden.

Posted
1 minute ago, Mr. WEO said:

 

 

Dungy's playoff collapses predate Manning, hence Gruden.

 

Also fair. But other than that one run with Dungy's team Gruden's record as a coach is really poor. 

Posted (edited)
16 minutes ago, GunnerBill said:

 

Also fair. But other than that one run with Dungy's team Gruden's record as a coach is really poor. 

 

Yeah Gruden is a bum too, but he was never "rated" as highly as Dungy, so he can't be more overrated.

Edited by Mr. WEO
Posted
3 minutes ago, Mr. WEO said:

 

Yeah Gruden is a bum too, but he was never "rated" as highly as Dungy, so he can't be more overrated.

 

Meh. I think he was. Maybe recent events have finally take the lustre off. But I feel like his comeback was a bigger deal than his ability deserved. 

Posted
5 minutes ago, GunnerBill said:

 

Meh. I think he was. Maybe recent events have finally take the lustre off. But I feel like his comeback was a bigger deal than his ability deserved. 

 

 

Everything in the NFL is a "BIG DEAL"!!--it's manufactured as such.

 

The NFL creates/encourages/thrives on bad behavior and controversy like no other pro sports business that has ever existed.   It's all 24hr/365 day free advertising which has really rendered all other sports as  playoff-time attractions only (if that).    MLB is slipping into the same national irrelevancy as the NHL did years ago.  It's because the NFL owns the news cycle year round.

Posted
50 minutes ago, GunnerBill said:

 

Meh. I think he was. Maybe recent events have finally take the lustre off. But I feel like his comeback was a bigger deal than his ability deserved. 

I thought his comeback was laughable.   Frankly, I thought if you listened to him as announcer, you could tell that he didn't think very deeply about football.  He seemed shallow and without any quality understanding of what it took to develop a winning culture.  His work as an announcer cemented an impression that I already had: that he was given a very talented, well-coached team, a team that Dungy had built, and was the right cheerleader to take the team to the championship.   Then he went to the Raiders and proved it.  He chased talent out the door (which in itself isn't bad - McBeane did the same thing with talent that didn't fit their model), but there was no evidence that Gruden had a coherent vision of what he was building.  

 

I mean, compare the impact he had on the Raiders to the impact of McVey, or the impact of Shanahan, or others we can name.   And, of course, McDermott.   When the right coach takes over a team, the impact is almost immediate.  The team doesn't necessarily become an instant winner, but the nature of the team, how it approaches it's business, changes.   And, to bring it back to where I started this thread, that's how we know Phil Jackson was a great coach.   He did it twice.   He took over two different teams (admittedly already with good talent), and changed the personality of the team.   It made all the difference.  Gruden never showed that to me.  (People can say, well, he changed Tampa Bay and won a Super Bowl, but look at his record after that one year.   It's a serious of false starts and unsuccessful seasons.)

Posted
22 hours ago, GunnerBill said:

 

I do think this is a legitimate discussion point right now. Obviously if it was guaranteed 1 win vs 10 years of contention but guaranteed never winning one then I think 99% would take the one.... but in terms of if you offered fans 1 guaranteed but only 2 playoff seasons in the next decade (which I think was basically Tampa post Dungy) or to take their chances the next 10 years and see what will be then I think it would be an interesting poll. 

 

It shouldn’t be.  Give me the current organization and roster and I’ll take my chances over the next 10 years.  Easy decision.

 

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Posted
7 hours ago, Shaw66 said:

I thought his comeback was laughable.   Frankly, I thought if you listened to him as announcer, you could tell that he didn't think very deeply about football.  He seemed shallow and without any quality understanding of what it took to develop a winning culture.  His work as an announcer cemented an impression that I already had: that he was given a very talented, well-coached team, a team that Dungy had built, and was the right cheerleader to take the team to the championship.   Then he went to the Raiders and proved it.  He chased talent out the door (which in itself isn't bad - McBeane did the same thing with talent that didn't fit their model), but there was no evidence that Gruden had a coherent vision of what he was building.  

 

I mean, compare the impact he had on the Raiders to the impact of McVey, or the impact of Shanahan, or others we can name.   And, of course, McDermott.   When the right coach takes over a team, the impact is almost immediate.  The team doesn't necessarily become an instant winner, but the nature of the team, how it approaches it's business, changes.   And, to bring it back to where I started this thread, that's how we know Phil Jackson was a great coach.   He did it twice.   He took over two different teams (admittedly already with good talent), and changed the personality of the team.   It made all the difference.  Gruden never showed that to me.  (People can say, well, he changed Tampa Bay and won a Super Bowl, but look at his record after that one year.   It's a serious of false starts and unsuccessful seasons.)


The pre and post SB Bucs were covered upstream.  The Dungy Bucs were a lopsided team—all D.  He had no idea how to build an Offense, yet with that same team, Gruden went all the way.  Subsequent to that he had a series of awful QBs, one after another.  It was over.

 

Plain and simple, Dungy couldn’t get it done.  He cemented that rep on the Colts.  He was a mediocrity—far more so than Gruden was(he was too).

 

McVay impact?  That team was created by Les Sneed.  Bringing in Miller and Stafford got McVay his (one and only)  ring.  

Posted
On 5/20/2022 at 8:14 PM, Shaw66 said:

I'll take the Patriots.   Go to the playoffs for 20 years running, get to the Super Bowl half the time.  Once you get to the Super Bowl, it's 50-50.   Patriots didn't chase talent.  Once in a while they signed or traded for a Randy Moss, but generally they built a winning culture with a great QB and good, but not great, role playing football players.  

 

The Rams are the flavor of the month.   See how they look a year or two from now. 

 

Hey Shaw, appreciate the reply, but I don't agree with you. I do generally understand and have historically agreed with the build through the draft philosophy. Use low priced rookie contracts to offset the QB contract when you find one, and if I am not mistaken Buffalo is in the last year of that 'window'.

 

Everyone is looking at the Pats, and would like that 20 year model of consistency, but that required the best QB-Head Coach combo in history to pull off. Brady did often take less than market value for that to happen. The next closest example I can think of is the 49ers from the 1980's to 1990s and that spanned 2 excellent QBs (Montana and Young) and 2 excellent HC (Walsh and Seifert). Those teams were not shy about bringing in superstars regardless of picks/ cap (ie. D Sanders). Even the pre-free agency dynasties like the Raiders/ Cowboys/ Steelers could only maintain a similar pace for a decade.

 

Rams prior to McVay and from 2017-2018  did a lot of building through the draft, saw they are in a window after their 2018 SB loss, and have gone for it since 2019. In 2019 the Rams made the Ramsey trade for  a bunch of picks and have been 'all in' since.

 

2017 - 11-5 NFCW Champ, Lost WC

2018 - 13-3 NFCW Champ, Lost SB - realize they are in the window

2019 - 9-7 3rd DNQ (Ramsey)

2020 - 10-6 2nd NFCW, Lost Divisional

2021 - 12-5 1st NFCW, Won Super Bowl - all in (Stafford/ OBJ/ Von Miller)

2022 - ? Lost Von Miller and OBJ, replaced with Bobby Wagner and Allen Robinson

 

The Rams have hit on a bunch of mid level picks which helps, but that is a strength that Bean and Company have. One could argue that Milano/ T Johnson and Gabe Davis have been bigger play makers than Edmunds/ Oliver/ Epenesa. If Buffalo was landing play makers outside of the QB with those 1st and 2nd round picks then yes this would be an easier position to defend, but they aren't. What young studs did Buffalo draft while the Rams were getting playmakers like Ramsey/ OBJ/ Von Miller with their picks?

 

The Rams acknowledge that even when you have the guy you think is the QB, you still need other play makers on the team. Their philosophy since 2019 has been to get the known play maker and draft potential later in the draft. I think it is a wise strategy when you are in the low QB contract window.

 

One of Beane's best moves as a GM was a 'Rams like' move trading away picks, including a 1st for Diggs. I would have liked to see one or two more moves like that a year or so ago, especially after the AFC Championship game loss, and make a more concentrated push for a SB win over that 2-3 yr span, than be competitive for a long time.

 

With voidable years/ salary to bonus moves etc teams can move in and out of cap danger pretty easily right now. Look at the Saints, who went all in a while back. They were $60M over the cap at the start of FA and are now $12M under after losing very few players.

 

As it stands the Bills with the more cautious path have $5.6 M cap space (OTC) or $5.05M (Spotrac).

The Rams are $5.3M (OTC) or $4.6M (Spotrac) and have a Lombardy to show for it.

 

A difference of opinion. I hope it pays off for Buffalo. The slight overpay for Von Miller now is an admission to me, that they missed on a trade for him/ Kalil Mack/ Chandler Jones etc a few years ago that could have made a difference the past two play off pushes. As it stands Buffalo will be doing some pretty significant retooling soon. It will be interesting to see what approach they take.

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