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Posted
4 minutes ago, Magnum Force said:

So the Bills wouldn’t be a better team with Derrick Henry or Jonathan Taylor? 

 

Why would they be?

 

Giving the football to the best RB in the league gives you less production per play than keeping it in the hands of a top QB and letting him throw it.

 

It's math.

 

Josh Allen had a down year throwing the ball last season and he averaged about 7 yards every time he threw the ball,  he should get back to about 8 this year.  

 

Taylor is the best RB in the NFL and averaged only 5.5 every time he ran it.  

 

And as tremendous as he was as a receiver his 9 ypc would be extremely low for a receiver........like 3 broken ribs, missing tooth, fighting with the league office Cole Beasley low.

 

So if every RB touch is 2.5-3.5 yards less per play than every QB pass attempt...........then if you have a star RB and give him 10 more touches per game because he is a star than you would the 4.7 ypc Devin Singletary.......your net gain on the ground is about 8 yards more and your net loss in the air is 25-35 yards.    

 

Overall.......a net loss of 17-27 yards of offense.

 

And that's assuming that running the ball doesn't kill some of those drives outright...........or that it's still that easy to run the ball in the wratched up intensity of the playoffs(Henry and Taylor and Alvin Kamara have had much lower production per play in the playoffs).

 

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Posted
10 hours ago, BADOLBILZ said:

 

Why would they be?

 

Giving the football to the best RB in the league gives you less production per play than keeping it in the hands of a top QB and letting him throw it.

 

It's math.

 

Josh Allen had a down year throwing the ball last season and he averaged about 7 yards every time he threw the ball,  he should get back to about 8 this year.  

 

Taylor is the best RB in the NFL and averaged only 5.5 every time he ran it.  

 

And as tremendous as he was as a receiver his 9 ypc would be extremely low for a receiver........like 3 broken ribs, missing tooth, fighting with the league office Cole Beasley low.

 

So if every RB touch is 2.5-3.5 yards less per play than every QB pass attempt...........then if you have a star RB and give him 10 more touches per game because he is a star than you would the 4.7 ypc Devin Singletary.......your net gain on the ground is about 8 yards more and your net loss in the air is 25-35 yards.    

 

Overall.......a net loss of 17-27 yards of offense.

 

And that's assuming that running the ball doesn't kill some of those drives outright...........or that it's still that easy to run the ball in the wratched up intensity of the playoffs(Henry and Taylor and Alvin Kamara have had much lower production per play in the playoffs).

 

 

Yep. You only have to run it as much as necessary so that a team can't just sit with 8 in coverage every snap and then sometimes situationally at the end of games. 

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