Jump to content

Recommended Posts

Posted
35 minutes ago, Hebert19 said:

did anyone see this though?   From KC game.  He's a keeper. 

 

 

 

 

Wonder what he was tweeting after 13 seconds - can't go thru the TL lol

Posted

TwoBillsDrive: “We need a durable and consistent 1T that can take on double teams”

 

Beane: *signs one for less than what we paid Vernon Butler*
 

TwoBillsDrive:”What is Beane doing that’s way too much money!”

  • Like (+1) 3
Posted
5 hours ago, Hapless Bills Fan said:

 

So you're arguing that a highly evaluated player immediately loses value if he actually falls in the draft? Nope, see below.  I'm arguing that player never had the value "analysists" gave him.  

 

Like, if everyone is evaluating Aaron Rodgers as a high 1st round pick but he falls to #24, Green Bay shouldn't pick him because the very fact that he fell means the evaluations were incorrect?  Or Drew Brees falling to 32nd means he was a Bad Draft Pick also?  Rodgers may be an outlier, don't believe Brees' "fell" to 32.  There were concerns about his height going into the NFL.  

 

I don't think you can support that argument very well.  Draft evaluation is an art, and different scouts/teams/pundits weight different factors differently, but the mere fact that a highly evaluated player fell in the draft doesn't intrinsicly change their evaluation on a team's draft board.  

 

That's not how it works.

 

(which sometimes has nothing to do with the player, and everything to do with teams factoring need into the equation which they do)

 

Yes, if a bunch of "analysists" state that a player should go at 24, and he starts falling, there is generally a reason known to most GM's for that fall.  Rodgers is an outlier.  

 

The second part of the argument is that Bean had AJ too high on his board, same with Basham, if he actually took BPA, which I do not believe he did, and rather attacked what he felt were the best "edge" rushers left.  

 

 

 

 

 

4 hours ago, Mikie's Bills said:

Not cheap at all..

 

A lot of money tied up in non pass rushing DTs in Star and Jones

 

Star was such an abysmal contract.  Hopefully Jones can come in and play to his contract.  I'd also be fine drafting the 1T from GA if he is still available (depending on who else is available) and just sitting Star if needed.  

Posted
9 hours ago, BuffBills51 said:

Yikes...I like the signing but that is quite a bit more than I expected.

 

It is $3m more than he played on in Carolina last year. I really hope there is some agent spin in this.

Posted
6 hours ago, BADOLBILZ said:

 

 

Hopefully the majority of those "guaranteed" dollars are actually contingent on being on the roster at the beginning of the league year in 2023..........basically an opt out if he doesn't dominate(which he likely won't).


Would imagine the cap hit is skewed towards next season, with the idea that the Bills either keep him and restructure and convert a roster as a singing bonus, or cut him and leave just that roster bonus as the dead cap hit. 
 

something like 5M this year, and 5M roster + 5M base salary in 2023

  • Like (+1) 1
Posted (edited)

I just don’t understand fan sometimes we complain but players like Edmunds are not consistent enough and then we complain when we spend money to help them be more consistent by putting down Lehman in front of them that can control the line of scrimmage come on people

10 hours ago, Mikie's Bills said:

Not cheap at all..

 

A lot of money tied up in non pass rushing DTs in Star and Jones

Do we even know what stars future plans are before pooping all over this

Edited by John from Riverside
  • Like (+1) 1
Posted
17 hours ago, RyanC883 said:

Your snarky comment adds little.  Falling players are falling for a reason.  The proof is in the results.  Bean messed up these draft boards, plain and simple.  Perhaps we should give Bean a participation trophy for trying?  

It wasn’t a snarky comment at all, it was me genuinely asking you to walk me through your definition of BPA and then your process for putting together a draft board. 
 

You’re using certain terms here and I’m trying to find some common ground so we can have an actual discussion about the topic at hand. 
 

I do the whole BPA thing and putting together draft boards for a living, but my world is slightly different than the football world (although it retains plenty of similarities). I’ve found that it’s easier to figure out HOW we’re using certain terms before debating the terms and then the process itself. 
 

Hopefully that clears things up… I apologize if the original comment came off snarky. 

  • Agree 1
Posted
2 hours ago, JGMcD2 said:

It wasn’t a snarky comment at all, it was me genuinely asking you to walk me through your definition of BPA and then your process for putting together a draft board. 
 

You’re using certain terms here and I’m trying to find some common ground so we can have an actual discussion about the topic at hand. 
 

I do the whole BPA thing and putting together draft boards for a living, but my world is slightly different than the football world (although it retains plenty of similarities). I’ve found that it’s easier to figure out HOW we’re using certain terms before debating the terms and then the process itself. 
 

Hopefully that clears things up… I apologize if the original comment came off snarky. 

 

1) Yeah you did it to be snarky

 

2) Just because you do something for a living doesn't mean you are very good at it..........not every cook is a good one.........Russ Brandon was an NFL GM for a season.......facts.

 

  • Haha (+1) 1
Posted
4 minutes ago, BADOLBILZ said:

 

1) Yeah you did it to be snarky

 

2) Just because you do something for a living doesn't mean you are very good at it..........not every cook is a good one.........Russ Brandon was an NFL GM for a season.......facts.

 

I didn’t do it to be snarky. You don’t know my intentions, my intentions were EXACTLY what I laid out. 
 

YOU come on here to be snarky, you’ve said it so yourself. Don’t throw stones when you live in a glass house. 
 

Never claimed to be good, said I did it, and that my world is slightly different than football. 
 

I asked so we could find some common ground and have discussion - not do whatever the ***** you do on here (which you’ve recently admitted is be an ####### for entertainment with some legitimately good Bills discussion mixed in). 
 

  • Thank you (+1) 1
Posted
4 minutes ago, JGMcD2 said:

I didn’t do it to be snarky. You don’t know my intentions, my intentions were EXACTLY what I laid out. 
 

YOU come on here to be snarky, you’ve said it so yourself. Don’t throw stones when you live in a glass house. 
 

Never claimed to be good, said I did it, and that my world is slightly different than football. 
 

I asked so we could find some common ground and have discussion - not do whatever the ***** you do on here (which you’ve recently admitted is be an ####### for entertainment with some legitimately good Bills discussion mixed in). 
 

 

 

I never said I wasn't snarky........just pointing out your lie.

 

Pro sports is an entertainment business.    This board is here to discuss said entertainment business.

 

Having a focused McClappy photo as your avatar doesn't change the fact that you just come here for entertainment.

 

I do prefer good football discussion...............but do you see me demanding people show me their board when debating a topic/player?  

 

No, you do not.  :beer:

Posted
25 minutes ago, BADOLBILZ said:

I do prefer good football discussion...............but do you see me demanding people show me their board when debating a topic/player?  

 

I'm glad to hear you prefer football discussion.  That's the point here.  If you have more football discussion to add, pray continue.

 

25 minutes ago, BADOLBILZ said:

I never said I wasn't snarky........just pointing out your lie.

 

There is not a lie here.  Someone interpreted the man's comment as snarky.  He said that was not his intent.  You don't know him, you can't know his intent.   Take the man at his word absent conclusive contrary evidence, and derive your entertainment without insulting people gratuitously. 

 

That's not football discussion.

 

25 minutes ago, BADOLBILZ said:

 do you see me demanding people show me their board when debating a topic/player?  

 

No one demanded "show me your board" when debating a topic/player.  The exact quote was "Ryan, can you explain to me your definition of BPA as well as your process for putting together a draft board?"

 

Explain the process.  Not "show me your board".

 

Since the claim @RyanC883 seems to be making (as I understand it, sorry guy don't mean to put words in your mouth!!) is that Beane didn't draft "BPA" because Epenesa and Basham fell, that question is entirely relevant to having a good football discussion about this.  If we don't understand how he thinks BPA is defined, and how draft boards are put together, it can't be discussed because there doesn't seem to be a shared understanding of terms.

 

We get that a lot around here with terms where people go back and forth for days and it turns out they define "Bust" or "Franchise QB" differently and that's the basis of the dispute.

  • Haha (+1) 1
Posted
9 minutes ago, Hapless Bills Fan said:

 

I'm glad to hear you prefer football discussion.  That's the point here.  If you have more football discussion to add, pray continue.

 

 

There is not a lie here.  Someone interpreted the man's comment as snarky.  He said that was not his intent.  You don't know him, you can't know his intent.   Take the man at his word absent conclusive contrary evidence, and derive your entertainment without insulting people gratuitously. 

 

That's not football discussion.

 

 

No one demanded "show me your board" when debating a topic/player.  The exact quote was "Ryan, can you explain to me your definition of BPA as well as your process for putting together a draft board?"

 

Explain the process.  Not "show me your board".

 

Since the claim @RyanC883 seems to be making (as I understand it, sorry guy don't mean to put words in your mouth!!) is that Beane didn't draft "BPA" because Epenesa and Basham fell, that question is entirely relevant to having a good football discussion about this.  If we don't understand how he thinks BPA is defined, and how draft boards are put together, it can't be discussed because there doesn't seem to be a shared understanding of terms.

 

We get that a lot around here with terms where people go back and forth for days and it turns out they define "Bust" or "Franchise QB" differently and that's the basis of the dispute.

 

When it comes to BPA, beauty is truly in the eye of the beholder. Also, the definition of "Best Player Available" really does not truly mean that literally -- but perhaps more along the lines of "Best Player Available at a position that it makes sense for the team to target". For example, the Bills would not be drafting a QB at #25 this year even if the best player on the board is, in fact, a QB. What BPA to me means is being flexible about the position rather than zeroing in on a specific position at the expense of quality. For example, the Bills could logically draft a CB, OL, WR, DL, TE, or RB there and rely on their scouts to direct them on which player is the best player and match for the team.

 

A couple of things about Boogie and Epenesa... For one, both players are still very young and the verdict is still out a bit on both -- even on Epenesa, who needs to take a major step forward in this, his 3rd season. Second, heading into both of the last 2 drafts conventional wisdom was that both of those players were borderline 1st rounders, so taking both at the end of the 2nd round seemed like good "value" at the time.

Posted
1 hour ago, Hapless Bills Fan said:

 

I'm glad to hear you prefer football discussion.  That's the point here.  If you have more football discussion to add, pray continue.

 

 

There is not a lie here.  Someone interpreted the man's comment as snarky.  He said that was not his intent.  You don't know him, you can't know his intent.   Take the man at his word absent conclusive contrary evidence, and derive your entertainment without insulting people gratuitously. 

 

That's not football discussion.

 

 

No one demanded "show me your board" when debating a topic/player.  The exact quote was "Ryan, can you explain to me your definition of BPA as well as your process for putting together a draft board?"

 

Explain the process.  Not "show me your board".

 

Since the claim @RyanC883 seems to be making (as I understand it, sorry guy don't mean to put words in your mouth!!) is that Beane didn't draft "BPA" because Epenesa and Basham fell, that question is entirely relevant to having a good football discussion about this.  If we don't understand how he thinks BPA is defined, and how draft boards are put together, it can't be discussed because there doesn't seem to be a shared understanding of terms.

 

We get that a lot around here with terms where people go back and forth for days and it turns out they define "Bust" or "Franchise QB" differently and that's the basis of the dispute.

 

 

We will have to agree to disagree on his intent.    

 

It is a fact that you don't know his intent any more than I.

 

Is that suitable for print? 

Posted
18 minutes ago, 2003Contenders said:

 

When it comes to BPA, beauty is truly in the eye of the beholder. Also, the definition of "Best Player Available" really does not truly mean that literally -- but perhaps more along the lines of "Best Player Available at a position that it makes sense for the team to target". For example, the Bills would not be drafting a QB at #25 this year even if the best player on the board is, in fact, a QB. What BPA to me means is being flexible about the position rather than zeroing in on a specific position at the expense of quality. For example, the Bills could logically draft a CB, OL, WR, DL, TE, or RB there and rely on their scouts to direct them on which player is the best player and match for the team.

 

A couple of things about Boogie and Epenesa... For one, both players are still very young and the verdict is still out a bit on both -- even on Epenesa, who needs to take a major step forward in this, his 3rd season. Second, heading into both of the last 2 drafts conventional wisdom was that both of those players were borderline 1st rounders, so taking both at the end of the 2nd round seemed like good "value" at the time.

 

I completely agree with your take on BPA and also that Boogie and Epenesa are still "verdict out", especially Boogie going into his 2nd year.

 

Epenesa, well, it seems as though the Bills asked him to undertake a body transformation that he's struggling with.  It may be he simply can't be the player they want him to be.

 

They may be misses - it happens.  Overall, something greater than 50% of players drafted in the first 3 rounds don't make it - and by "make it" I don't mean "become stars" I mean "become solid NFL players".

 

I think this  branch of the discussion started with the contention that Basham and Epenesa were not BPA to the Bills at the time that they were drafted because they fell "for a reason" and therefore Beane "messed up that draft"  For example this and this

 

Not working in the FO of a professional sports franchise myself, my knowledge is anecdotal, but the point I think people are trying to make is: that isn't how the process of evaluating players and building a draft board works.  The team doesn't (and shouldn't) look at the fact that a player is falling in the draft and say "oh, gee, what do those other FOs know that we don't, we better not take him". 

 

Naturally, different teams will rate different players somewhat differently because scouting isn't an exact science, and different teams assign different weights to athleticism vs. statistics vs. game observables vs. perceived character vs. medical concerns.  That's why some teams draft first rounders who do nothing in the league while other teams draft guys in the third to fifth round who light it up, regularly, every year.

 

There's always hindsight, where in retrospect a team is "yeah, we overlooked that" or "we thought we could coach up this aspect, we were wrong".

 

But in the present, at the draft, a player's grade is set and the board is made up well before the draft, and when a player starts 'standing out' as having a grade well above anyone else that is left, he is "BPA" and likely to be drafted (subject, of course, to your well-taken caveat that yes, teams do fudge their choice according to the team's needs)

 

So, yes, it can happen that a team mis-evaluates a player or that a player, due to injury or motivation or some other factor, doesn't live up to his billing.  But that doesn't mean he wasn't the team's "BPA" when he was drafted or that the GM "blew the draft", because no one gets it right 100%.

 

35 minutes ago, BillsMafi$ said:

Got a hunch he’s going to the colts 

 

Do you mean Chandler Jones?  'Cuz we're discussing Daquon Jones (among other guys) here, and he's publicly stated he's taking a contract from the Bills.

 

 

Posted
2 hours ago, BullBuchanan said:

The money we're giving this guy is insane. He's making more than Phillips got.

This is much more than I anticipated. 

 

From 18-20 he had a 3 yr $21 MM contact he played out in Tennessee... last off season he signed in Carolina for 1 yr $4 MM... did he play that well to get this massive raise? 2yr for 14? 

 

Kind of head scratching.  This has a Mario Addisson overpay feel to it but I hope it works out, hard to gauge interior linemen. 

 

This topic is OLD. A NEW topic should be started unless there is a very specific reason to revive this one.

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Restore formatting

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
×
×
  • Create New...