B-Man Posted October 23, 2022 Posted October 23, 2022 Watching The Red Wave Approach Shore. Some “safe seats” aren’t very safe anymore for suddenly vulnerable Democrats, and that has panicked PACs moving campaign dollars to protect previously invulnerable seats. We’re down to the wire in Election 2022, and stuff just got real. Today’s news takes us to deep blue Oregon, where onetime shoo-in Kurt Schrader just got the rug pulled out from under him by his own Democrat Party as he fights off Republican Amy Ryan Courser. According to AdImpact (as spotted by Josh Kraushaar), party ad spending for Schrader in the 5th district was shifted to the 6th to boost Andrea Salinas against Republican Mike Erickson. Maybe you’re thinking this kind of thing happens all the time, and it does. But it doesn’t often happen that Democrats appear to be writing off a district that Presidentish Joe Biden won in 2020 by nine points, to shore up a district that Biden won by 13 points. If 10-and-up is the Democrats’ new firewall, they’re in bigger trouble than even I imagined. Complicating things even more for Oregon Democrats, gubernatorial candidate Tina Kotek (looking to replace the outgoing and execrable Kate Brown) regularly polls behind Republican Christine Drazan. https://www.battleswarmblog.com/?p=53028 Exit question: Just how bad will the midterms be for the Democrats? https://spectatorworld.com/topic/just-bad-midterms-democrats/ 1
Tiberius Posted October 23, 2022 Posted October 23, 2022 Trump fears a repeat of 2020? What, his stupid side losing again? This guy is trying to rip our country apart. Just look at the Russian army. They suck. Why? Dictatorship. He wants that level of corruption here
Big Blitz Posted October 25, 2022 Author Posted October 25, 2022 (edited) RCP forecasting the GOP to pick up 3 governor’s seats meaning they’ll have 31 to the Democrats 19. One of those is Oregon. But the Ds to hold PA Rs won’t win the People’s Republic of Oregon in 2024 but they will win PA. The electoral math if that holds looks like 2016 but worse for Ds - assuming Ds win CO and NM: Rs: 336 Ds: 202 Edited October 25, 2022 by Big Blitz 1 1
B-Man Posted October 26, 2022 Posted October 26, 2022 “Don’t look at the midterms as an election; it’s more like a restraining order.” 1 1
dpberr Posted October 26, 2022 Posted October 26, 2022 On 10/25/2022 at 11:59 AM, Big Blitz said: RCP forecasting the GOP to pick up 3 governor’s seats meaning they’ll have 31 to the Democrats 19. One of those is Oregon. But the Ds to hold PA Rs won’t win the People’s Republic of Oregon in 2024 but they will win PA. The electoral math if that holds looks like 2016 but worse for Ds - assuming Ds win CO and NM: Rs: 336 Ds: 202 I think the Shapiro/Mastriano race in PA is a lot closer than what's reported. Rasmussen and Trafalgar both have it at a statistical tie.
Tiberius Posted October 26, 2022 Posted October 26, 2022 2 minutes ago, dpberr said: I think the Shapiro/Mastriano race in PA is a lot closer than what's reported. Rasmussen and Trafalgar both have it at a statistical tie. Which is horrible, an antisemite winning is bad enough, but a guy who has basically pledged to ignore the voters in 2024 if his side loses is even worse. The Israeli press has already focused on this clown https://www.haaretz.com/jewish/2022-09-15/ty-article/.premium/far-right-gop-candidate-mastriano-uses-antisemitic-tropes-against-his-jewish-opponent/00000183-416a-d83c-a39b-f56ee8ed0000 1
Doc Posted October 26, 2022 Posted October 26, 2022 This is as dumb as the Trump "anti-Semitism" thing.
Tiberius Posted October 26, 2022 Posted October 26, 2022 5 minutes ago, Doc said: This is as dumb as the Trump "anti-Semitism" thing. Because you don't care if he is? Jewish voters do, as do many right minded people
Doc Posted October 26, 2022 Posted October 26, 2022 Just now, Tiberius said: Because you don't care if he is? Jewish voters do, as do many right minded people He isn't.
Tiberius Posted October 26, 2022 Posted October 26, 2022 Just now, Doc said: He isn't. Ya right! Was Trump U nothing more than a scam?
Doc Posted October 26, 2022 Posted October 26, 2022 Just now, Tiberius said: Ya right! Was Trump U nothing more than a scam? Did someone on one of your left wingnut sites bring up Tump U today? You keep repeating it over and over and over again.
Tiberius Posted October 26, 2022 Posted October 26, 2022 1 minute ago, Doc said: Did someone on one of your left wingnut sites bring up Tump U today? You keep repeating it over and over and over again. Was is a scam?
Doc Posted October 26, 2022 Posted October 26, 2022 6 minutes ago, Tiberius said: Was is a scam? What does that have to do with anything today? That was settled years ago.
Tiberius Posted October 26, 2022 Posted October 26, 2022 1 minute ago, Doc said: What does that have to do with anything today? That was settled years ago. He is a scam artist, ya? I think it's still relevant. His con game has just moved to politics It was a scam, right?
Doc Posted October 26, 2022 Posted October 26, 2022 13 minutes ago, Tiberius said: He is a scam artist, ya? I think it's still relevant. His con game has just moved to politics It was a scam, right? Joke is the biggest scam artist ever.
B-Man Posted October 26, 2022 Posted October 26, 2022 Good Lord Doc ! Back to the 2022 midterms thread. Fetter(my good God), man! Are we a country of representatives or a country of parties? November may well provide the answer FTA: In fact, Fetterman, like Biden before him, is useful precisely because he’s a mere vessel for an agenda, something that those with the capacity for independent and coherent thought — along with what remains of free will — can often problematize. These troublemakers stubbornly refuse to bracket the harm their party’s policies bring upon their constituents in order to vote their conscience, or for the good of those they represent. And that’s akin to treason. For Democrats, it’s party uber alles; and for them, canceling out a Joe Manchin with a great, mentally diseased ape like John Fetterman, who began his debate by saying “good night”, is a feature, not a bug. Nobody believes Joe Biden is running this country save maybe Joe himself. But in his more lucid moments, even he knows he’s the stretched and veneered face of Obama’s third term, a drugged-up puppet run out on occasion to beat his chest and yell at clouds. https://jeffgoldstein.substack.com/p/fettermy-good-god-man
All_Pro_Bills Posted October 26, 2022 Posted October 26, 2022 4 minutes ago, Doc said: Joke is the biggest scam artist ever. The difference is Biden has the political establishment and the media running interference and Trump doesn't. So you're not going to tune into ABC World News tonight and hear any story about Biden's CCP payoffs or incriminating evidence on Hunter's laptop being buried by the FBI but you will hear about Trump investigations by the NY AG. But the problem isn't about the merits or faults of either man. Its about how the system operates around them to benefit who it chooses to benefit and how it harms who it chooses to harm. 1
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