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TwistofFate

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Was wondering what it was going to take for the Phins to get into the playoffs.  They are alive but only need this improbable series of events to occur per the Miami Herald.

 

Denver winning or ties Chargers today AND THEN THIS: A Miami win against New England; and a Cincinnati win at Cleveland; and a Chargers win at Las Vegas; and a Cleveland win at Pittsburgh Monday night; and a Pittsburgh win at Baltimore next Sunday.

 

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I feel like it's gonna be New England, and I think that's great.

 

They'll have the worst starting QB in the playoffs, and it's hard to find playoff teams with middling QB talent.

 

We are the bette team, and already beat them in their own building when it mattered and it wasn't a blizzard.  

 

I'm really hoping it's New England.

 

 

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16 minutes ago, GunnerBill said:

If we start from the premise we are almost certainly the #4 then here is how I think it lays out (our slim chance of being the #3 is for a Burrow-less Bengals to lose to the Browns next week).

 

Scenario 1: 

NE beats MIA

IND beats JAX

LAC beats LV

Buffalo plays New England in the wildcard

 

Scenario 2:

NE loses to MIA

IND beats JAX

LAC beats LV

Buffalo plays Indianapolis in the wildcard

 

Scenario 3:

NE beats MIA

IND beats JAX

LV beats LAC

Buffalo plays New England in the wildcard

 

Scenario 4:

NE loses to MIA

IND beats JAX

LV beats LAC

Buffalo plays Las Vegas in the wildcard

 

I would not call the chance at the 3 seed slim. Browns Bengals is close to a pick em.

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18 minutes ago, GunnerBill said:

If we start from the premise we are almost certainly the #4 then here is how I think it lays out (our slim chance of being the #3 is for a Burrow-less Bengals to lose to the Browns next week).

 

Scenario 1: 

NE beats MIA

IND beats JAX

LAC beats LV

Buffalo plays New England in the wildcard

 

Scenario 2:

NE loses to MIA

IND beats JAX

LAC beats LV

Buffalo plays Indianapolis in the wildcard

 

Scenario 3:

NE beats MIA

IND beats JAX

LV beats LAC

Buffalo plays New England in the wildcard

 

Scenario 4:

NE loses to MIA

IND beats JAX

LV beats LAC

Buffalo plays Las Vegas in the wildcard

 

Scenarios 1&3 are identical. As are scenarios 2&4.

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4 minutes ago, GunnerBill said:

 

There is no way the Chiefs are losing to Denver IMO. 

Ok maybe but I still think it needs to be listed at least. Anyway you wrote it quite complicated :) You have Colts beating Jags in all scenarios and you have NE win listed as two scenarios for no reason...

 

It just goes like this.

 

We are very likely 4th seed, provided that Bengals beat Browns and huge favourites win - Bills over Jets, Chiefs over Broncos and Colts over Jags. If that happens we play:

 

Patriots, if they beat Dolphins. If Patriots lose, we play

Raiders, if they beat Chargers or

Colts, if Chargers beat Raiders.

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I don't wanna watch another bills/Pats game this year, BUT, if we're a championship team, we need to beat these kinda teams in the playoffs. I think I'd rather play the Pats than the cheifs at this point. My expectations (right now) are actually pretty low for the bills in the playoffs. Not sure we can get back to the championship game, but even if we do, I'm not sure how confident I am this team can win a super bowl. We'll see 

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Just now, No_Matter_What said:

He's right, 1&3 are. The only difference is a game which is irrelevant.

I hadn’t realized he swapped “beats” and “loses to” in some spots and swapped the teams in others. 
 

All and all confusing.

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28 minutes ago, GunnerBill said:

If we start from the premise we are almost certainly the #4 then here is how I think it lays out (our slim chance of being the #3 is for a Burrow-less Bengals to lose to the Browns next week).

 

Scenario 1: 

NE beats MIA

IND beats JAX

LAC beats LV

Buffalo plays New England in the wildcard

 

Scenario 2:

NE loses to MIA

IND beats JAX

LAC beats LV

Buffalo plays Indianapolis in the wildcard

 

Scenario 3:

NE beats MIA

IND beats JAX

LV beats LAC

Buffalo plays New England in the wildcard

 

Scenario 4:

NE loses to MIA

IND beats JAX

LV beats LAC

Buffalo plays Las Vegas in the wildcard

 

Honestly if I could pick 2 teams to play it would be Raiders and pats.  We can beat them with B game.  Indy not so much. 

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