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Jets game more crucial than I thought


Dr. K

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Playing with the online playoff calculators, it seems there are several scenarios where, even if the Bills beat the Falcons, if they lose their final game to the Jets, they are 100% going to miss the playoffs. 

 

Of course a number of other things must happen for that to occur, but they are not impossible. The Ravens and Chargers have to win both of their remaining games. and the Patriots have to beat the Dolphins. The Colts, Bengals, and Patriots need to at least split their last two, but as long as the Patriots beat the Dolphins, if the Bills lose to the Jets they are out. 

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1 minute ago, Dr. K said:

Playing with the online playoff calculators, it seems there are several scenarios where, even if the Bills beat the Falcons, if they lose their final game to the Jets, they are 100% going to miss the playoffs. 

 

Of course a number of other things must happen for that to occur, but they are not impossible. The Ravens and Chargers have to win both of their remaining games. and the Patriots have to beat the Dolphins. The Colts, Bengals, and Patriots need to at least split their last two, but as long as the Patriots beat the Dolphins, if the Bills lose to the Jets they are out. 

So you're telling us that even if we finish 10-7 we can still miss the postseason? That's why I don't mess with those scenario machines!

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Just now, YattaOkasan said:

Yeah it should align with all the 2-1 scenarios people drew up last week. We need to win out to hold the division.  But we should be able to do that

We could afford to lose to the Falcons but we damn well better beat the Jets. 

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1 minute ago, billsbackto81 said:

So you're telling us that even if we finish 10-7 we can still miss the postseason? That's why I don't mess with those scenario machines!


10-7 is the new 9-7. Some years it’s good enough, most years it’s not. 

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Just now, 17islongenough said:

No. 

 

The Bills can clinch this week. 

 

Bills win and either Ravens lose or Oak and Chargers both lose

You didn't read what I wrote. This scenario depends on the Ravens and Chargers both winning out. If they don't, the Bills are guaranteed the playoffs. 

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4 minutes ago, ColoradoBills said:

 

I was just going to post that if the Bills beat Falcons and Rams beat Ravens and Bills are in.

For pity's sake, the first condition I name is, "The Ravens and Chargers have to win both of their remaining games."

 

Nobody can read anymore. I taught English for more than forty years. Why did I bother? 

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3 minutes ago, Motorin' said:

Our playoffs started last week. 


I would of course prefer the Bills to have more wins but I’m intrigued about how this season will play out.  Past two years there was not a desperate need to win the last two games.

 

I hope this sense of urgency pays dividends in the playoffs. 

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1 minute ago, Dr. K said:

For pity's sake, my first sentence says, "The Ravens and Chargers have to win both of their remaining games."

 

Nobody can read anymore. I taught English for more than forty years. Why did I bother? 

 

I understand but I believe the Bills and Rams win this weekend.

 

Also, yes we all know (if you are on the calculators like I am) there is a 4% chance of the Bills missing the playoffs if they

lose to the Jets and beat the Falcons.

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14 minutes ago, Dr. K said:

Playing with the online playoff calculators, it seems there are several scenarios where, even if the Bills beat the Falcons, if they lose their final game to the Jets, they are 100% going to miss the playoffs. 

 

Of course a number of other things must happen for that to occur, but they are not impossible. The Ravens and Chargers have to win both of their remaining games. and the Patriots have to beat the Dolphins. The Colts, Bengals, and Patriots need to at least split their last two, but as long as the Patriots beat the Dolphins, if the Bills lose to the Jets they are out. 

While that scenario is possible, it's a very slim possibility. A whole lot has to happen for this. imo even considering if (god forbid) Allen can't play against Jets, I feel good about Mitch playing well enough to beat Jets. 

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