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Bills at Patriots: Predict the Score


Giuseppe Tognarelli

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2 hours ago, Giuseppe Tognarelli said:

BUF 13

NE 24

 

I think there's a lot running against the Bills in this game, and unless there is any significant change on the Covid front, I would consider a win to be one of the very most impressive of the McDermott regime. I hope to death I'm wrong about this, but I envision:

 

  • The NE defensive scheme wreaking havoc on the Bills' offensive line, with the rookie Brown at left tackle and several other positions shifted like last week
  • Allen committing a couple of turnovers due to the necessitation of hero mode, which will lead to NE points despite a lackluster NE offensive effort

 

To beat NE, you have to play almost perfectly, and I have a hard time envisioning the Bills doing that with the OL situation being what it is.

 

Of course, the Beasley absence/Covid distraction that we all thought would come at some point is here at the worst of times, and I think this is also at least a mild factor to consider.

 

Other things potentially going against the Bills:

  • Patriots/Belichick coming off of a loss
  • Belichick mad about McDermott not crediting him after MNF game
  • I can't remember the last time the Bills won a big swing game like this, when a win vs. a loss makes such a massive difference to the team's prospects
  • The Bills have struggled mightily in Sunday afternoon games broadcasted to a large, non-regional audience, going 1-6 since 2019 (see below)*
  • Blue pants are still a possibility as of this writing, although they did wear them last year in the big win at NE

 

*Here is how the Bills have fared since 2019 in Sunday afternoon games broadcasted to large, non-regional audiences:

 

2021, Week 14: @ TB, L

2021, Week 1: PIT, L
2020, Week 10: @ ARI, L
2020, Week 4: @ LV, W

2019, Week 14: BAL, L

2019, Week 8: PHI, L
2019, Week 4: NE, L

Have you checked on the pats injury/Covid situation at all? I just don’t think they have the weapons to beat us. 

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2 hours ago, Giuseppe Tognarelli said:

Belichick's record off of losses has been widely discussed, he's known to use bulletin board material, it's true that the Bills have sucked in swing games, the record in national windows has been abysmal, and our record in blue pants is abysmal... all legitimate stuff, as dumb as it may seem.

His record off of losses is quite skewed based on how good the Brady pats were…I mean what are the odds a team winning 11 games or more every single year loses two in a row? Not very likely.  Also if we have a game in a national window we are likely playing an excellent team…so both points are statistically skewed.  Not to take anything away from what they’ve done this season but this pats team just isn’t a top tier team.  I don’t mean that to say we’re better necessarily but using belichicks historical win/loss numbers is kind of irrelevant.  

Just now, State Rt. 21 N. said:

Soft teams don't win in December or in big game so Pats 34 Buffalo 12tower satisfying GIF

Still waiting for someone to explain what is soft about our team 😂 I’m just not on the same page with the whole ‘if you can’t run the ball specifically with a rb you are soft’ there are lots of ways to mimic the run game.  

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479-2.

 

seriously,

 

31-20.  
 

Normal wind conditions, more Gabe Davis, and run to the outside and we’ll be fine.  Nice add of Josh running when needed.  More QB’s get hurt in the pocket than running if they are smart enough to slide, and Josh does now.

 

I have a great feeling about this game.  I didn’t with the wind last minute last game.

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3 hours ago, Giuseppe Tognarelli said:

BUF 13

NE 24

 

I think there's a lot running against the Bills in this game, and unless there is any significant change on the Covid front, I would consider a win to be one of the very most impressive of the McDermott regime. I hope to death I'm wrong about this, but I envision:

 

  • The NE defensive scheme wreaking havoc on the Bills' offensive line, with the rookie Brown at left tackle and several other positions shifted like last week
  • Allen committing a couple of turnovers due to the necessitation of hero mode, which will lead to NE points despite a lackluster NE offensive effort

 

To beat NE, you have to play almost perfectly, and I have a hard time envisioning the Bills doing that with the OL situation being what it is.

 

Of course, the Beasley absence/Covid distraction that we all thought would come at some point is here at the worst of times, and I think this is also at least a mild factor to consider.

 

Other things potentially going against the Bills:

  • Patriots/Belichick coming off of a loss
  • Belichick mad about McDermott not crediting him after MNF game
  • I can't remember the last time the Bills won a big swing game like this, when a win vs. a loss makes such a massive difference to the team's prospects
  • The Bills have struggled mightily in Sunday afternoon games broadcasted to a large, non-regional audience, going 1-6 since 2019 (see below)*
  • Blue pants are still a possibility as of this writing, although they did wear them last year in the big win at NE

 

*Here is how the Bills have fared since 2019 in Sunday afternoon games broadcasted to large, non-regional audiences:

 

2021, Week 14: @ TB, L

2021, Week 1: PIT, L
2020, Week 10: @ ARI, L
2020, Week 4: @ LV, W

2019, Week 14: BAL, L

2019, Week 8: PHI, L
2019, Week 4: NE, L

 

2 hours ago, NewEra said:

24-23 bills if Dawkins plays.

 

23-16 pats if Dawkins doesn’t play.

 

 

 

1 hour ago, Kellyhero68 said:

Bills 20, Patriots 17 + 14 points from referees on BS calls or non-calls = 31 total

 

1 hour ago, RobbRiddick said:

Pats win easy.  Super easy. So easily they'll rename their stadium  The Real Big Easy. 

 

42-17

 

We cannot possibly win this game. If we do I'll tell my wife I love her and stop beating my kids.

 

 

 

46 minutes ago, TBBills said:

5-2 Patriots... 2 safeties in the game.

You're all dead to me

  • Haha (+1) 5
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29 minutes ago, Generic_Bills_Fan said:

Have you checked on the pats injury/Covid situation at all? I just don’t think they have the weapons to beat us. 

Yes. Agholor and Harry should be back; they had head injuries. Harris is back. And Bourne is asymptomatic and should be back. It looks cluttered right now, but they're all actually going to play.

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