Final 3 games for all the AFC North teams

[HappyDays]

The Football Outsiders playoff odds simulator has no AFC North team with over 50% odds to make the playoffs. I've never seen anything like that before, certainly not this late in the season.

 

https://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/nfl/playoff-odds

 

The Bengals and Ravens are just about tied at 49.9% and 49.7% respectively. The Browns have a 34.0% chance and the Steelers 15.8%.

[KCNC]

We don't match up well with Pats*.  We knew they were running 2 weeks ago and still could not stop them?  What makes people think we will magically start stopping big powerful running backs?  I am hoping for a Christmas miracle and hope I am wrong, but this one is really tough for the Bills.

[HappyDays]

6 hours ago, dave mcbride said:

It’s very hard to see how the Bills don’t make the playoffs with a 10-7 record (assuming for a second a loss to NE).

 

If 3 of these 4 things happens, we get in at 10-7 (assuming Las Vegas loses 1 more game which I think is a fair assumption):

 

1) Pittsburgh loses 1 game.

2) Baltimore loses 2 games.

3) Cincinnati loses 2 games.

4) Cleveland loses 2 games (could have 1 of those losses tonight).

 

Personally I'm rooting for Cincy to go undefeated the rest of the way and the rest should take care of itself.

[dave mcbride]

2 minutes ago, HappyDays said:

 

If 3 of these 4 things happens, we get in at 10-7 (assuming Las Vegas loses 1 more game which I think is a fair assumption):

 

1) Pittsburgh loses 1 game.

2) Baltimore loses 2 games.

3) Cincinnati loses 2 games.

4) Cleveland loses 2 games (could have 1 of those losses tonight).

 

Personally I'm rooting for Cincy to go undefeated the rest of the way and the rest should take care of itself.

I have a hard time seeing the Raiders lose tonight, but they're the Raiders.

[Logic]

3 minutes ago, KCNC said:

We don't match up well with Pats*.  We knew they were running 2 weeks ago and still could not stop them?  What makes people think we will magically start stopping big powerful running backs?  I am hoping for a Christmas miracle and hope I am wrong, but this one is really tough for the Bills.

Other than the one long TD run, the Bills limited them to 3.5 ypc.

 

The Pats also actually have a WORSE run defense than the Bills do. 🤷‍♂️

[What a Tuel]

9 minutes ago, KCNC said:

We don't match up well with Pats*.  We knew they were running 2 weeks ago and still could not stop them?  What makes people think we will magically start stopping big powerful running backs?  I am hoping for a Christmas miracle and hope I am wrong, but this one is really tough for the Bills.

 

We did stop them. They punted what 8 out of 11 times? I dont understand this myth that we couldn't. The single touchdown was right after Breida gifted the ball to their offense. The defense put our offense in a position to win the game and the offense fell short.

[Saxum]

 

6 hours ago, ScottLaw said:

Pittsburgh blew it with the tie to the Lions and loss to Vikings a couple weeks ago. 

 

6 hours ago, Big Turk said:

 

They have been pretty lucky with some of their wins tho where their offense has been dreadful

 

I expected Pittsburgh to have an offense like one in Fixboro stadium depending on running game and defense this year.

[eball]

I think you've gotta look at Cinci as the favorite to emerge, right?

[Greg S]

3 minutes ago, eball said:

I think you've gotta look at Cinci as the favorite to emerge, right?

 

Yes I would say the Bengals are the favorite. Maybe the Ravens have a shot as well. I think the Browns are in deep trouble. They lose tonight which is very possible then they go to GB on Christmas. I can't see them winning that one. Pitt has no margin for error and they play at KC this week. The North will be between the Bengals and Ravens IMHO.

[JoshAllin]

Chargers might be in the helping bills if 10-7 list as well with bosa and eckler out and with texans looking good with mills at qb