Jeffbigalls Posted November 29, 2021 Posted November 29, 2021 I've been getting paid with the pats -13.5 at +380 today easy money. Quote
Putin Posted November 29, 2021 Posted November 29, 2021 1 minute ago, Jeffbigalls said: I've been getting paid with the pats -13.5 at +380 today easy money. Don’t forget to tip the refs Quote
78thealltimegreat Posted November 29, 2021 Posted November 29, 2021 13 minutes ago, Sammy Watkins' Rib said: I think of it in terms or paying for a Bills win rather than betting against the Bills. 5K is too rich for me. Thinking more $200 or $300. You got this make that bet Quote
PatsFanNH Posted November 29, 2021 Posted November 29, 2021 28 minutes ago, 97bills said: And I would love to see McDermott disguise the blitz, and bring a extra guy or pull out at the last moment. Do something to confuse the rookie, with the crowd noise and big Monday night game. The rookie will be nervous don’t let him settle in with those 6 yards passes up and down the field. Again with the crowd noise and big game? This isn’t a rookie from west Illinois state, this is a QB who won the national title with Alabama and went to extremely loud stadiums. Now you may be able to confuse him, but the Bills will have to stop the run first. Because if they don’t they will run it down the Bills throat all game. 1 1 Quote
Jeffbigalls Posted November 29, 2021 Posted November 29, 2021 1 hour ago, 78thealltimegreat said: Is there a game you haven’t taken the pats this year? Hey why don’t you show us all how it’s done and lay 5Gs on the Pats More Likely 1500 Seneca Niagara giving you even money to bet the -3.5, go get it in Quote
Miyagi-Do Karate Posted November 29, 2021 Posted November 29, 2021 43 minutes ago, PatsFanNH said: Different year and much different team(s) for one the pats have a pass rush, another is I think they double Diggs all night and out Jackson on your #2 WR. Oh and round 1 was against our former top CB not Jackson.. unless he was out injured already. Both those clips were Diggs against Jackson. if the pats play lots of man again, Diggs will get many opportunities. That’s why I think the pats will end up playing a lot more zone. Does BB ever play that cover 2 shell? I have to think they played that a lot against the chargers, but I could be wrong. Quote
78thealltimegreat Posted November 29, 2021 Posted November 29, 2021 9 minutes ago, Jeffbigalls said: More Likely 1500 Seneca Niagara giving you even money to bet the -3.5, go get it in This post needs to be marked for your betting tips I’m sure we all will remember if you’re telling people to bet 1500 on the Pats Quote
Southern_Bills Posted November 29, 2021 Posted November 29, 2021 2 hours ago, TBBills said: This game will come down to which side the refs want to win. Or whoever scores the most points, very technical. 1 Quote
atlbillsfan1975 Posted November 29, 2021 Posted November 29, 2021 21 minutes ago, PatsFanNH said: Again with the crowd noise and big game? This isn’t a rookie from west Illinois state, this is a QB who won the national title with Alabama and went to extremely loud stadiums. Now you may be able to confuse him, but the Bills will have to stop the run first. Because if they don’t they will run it down the Bills throat all game. Just make sure you show up if the Pats lose. I recall last year you took a hiatus after the losses. Be a blowhard all you want on an opposing teams board. But you get zero respect when you don’t show up right after a loss like you surely would after a win. Quote
Stank_Nasty Posted November 29, 2021 Posted November 29, 2021 46 minutes ago, TheWei44 said: I am a huge Bills fan and am pumped for this game (and think we'll win despite my PTSD) but think your logic about streaks is flawed. It's the classic "gambler's fallacy" to think that if, e.g., I flip 5 heads in a row I'm more likely to flip tails on the 6th flip. If we also assume for ease of discussion that every Pats* game were a coin flip, winning 6 in a row is (1/2)^6 likely = 1/64 or less than 2%. But each of those games, and the 7th game, is still only 50/50 by assumption. It's only when we look back at the streak that we can say, wow, winning 6 in a row is pretty unlikely!! Of course, if the Pats were more than 50/50 to win some of those games, the chances of winning 6 in a row is more than ~2%. Nah man. It ain’t that deep. Comparing a teams win streak to a 50/50 coin toss is silly and extremely flawed. The longer a team win streak goes the more the odds drop that it’ll continue based on a ton of factors. Comparing it to a coin toss is ridiculous. Quote
PatsFanNH Posted November 29, 2021 Posted November 29, 2021 13 minutes ago, Miyagi-Do Karate said: Both those clips were Diggs against Jackson. if the pats play lots of man again, Diggs will get many opportunities. That’s why I think the pats will end up playing a lot more zone. Does BB ever play that cover 2 shell? I have to think they played that a lot against the chargers, but I could be wrong. They change from game to game what they do. I doubt we see much man coverage and when you do they will try disguise it as zone. I know it was Jackson on both clips but game one it should have been Gilmore on him. 1 Quote
Joe Ferguson Posted November 29, 2021 Posted November 29, 2021 This game is frigging HUUUGE! If the Jagwires beat the Tittans in two weeks, this game is for the #1 seed. Quote
Putin Posted November 29, 2021 Posted November 29, 2021 (edited) 32 minutes ago, PatsFanNH said: Again with the crowd noise and big game? This isn’t a rookie from west Illinois state, this is a QB who won the national title with Alabama and went to extremely loud stadiums. Now you may be able to confuse him, but the Bills will have to stop the run first. Because if they don’t they will run it down the Bills throat all game. Has he played on Monday night yet ? In a hostile environment like Orchard Park he’s going to hear and feel the hate in his bones , is there another fan base that hates you FU@£nig patriots***** more then us ?? and BTW F the patriots**** and F U TOO !!!! GO BILLS Edited November 29, 2021 by Putin 1 Quote
JaCrispy Posted November 29, 2021 Posted November 29, 2021 35 minutes ago, PatsFanNH said: Again with the crowd noise and big game? This isn’t a rookie from west Illinois state, this is a QB who won the national title with Alabama and went to extremely loud stadiums. Now you may be able to confuse him, but the Bills will have to stop the run first. Because if they don’t they will run it down the Bills throat all game. This sounds about right... Quote
PatsFanNH Posted November 29, 2021 Posted November 29, 2021 1 minute ago, Putin said: Has he played on Monday night yet ? In a hostile environment like Orchard Park he’s going to hear and feel the hate in his bones , is there another fan base that hates you FU@£nig patriots***** more then us ?? and BTW F the patriots**** and F U TOO !!!! GO BILLS Wow! Such an intelligent post. First yes obviously he played on Monday night since he won the National Title. Hate? Pfft that’s not hate that’s simple fear. Another fears is more? Probably the Jets, I know the Colts have an inferiority complex as well. Word of advise don’t attack posters personally it’s immature and can get you a time out by the mods. I won’t report you but please try to stay civil at least. I mean it is only a game.. I know win or lose my life doesn’t change any. 2 minutes ago, JaCrispy said: This sounds about right... FYI I am not saying they can’t stop the run, it’s they have to do that first. Quote
CincyBillsFan Posted November 29, 2021 Posted November 29, 2021 4 hours ago, Gene1973 said: The Bills haven't looked all that great since comming out of the bye. Not sure where ppl come up with this stuff... Extra 4 days likely means nothing. I don't know but that 15 point win over Miami is looking better and better. Quote
PatsFanNH Posted November 29, 2021 Posted November 29, 2021 4 minutes ago, CincyBillsFan said: I don't know but that 15 point win over Miami is looking better and better. The early growing pains the Pats had coming together as a team very well may be the reason the Bills win the division again. Quote
Boatdrinks Posted November 29, 2021 Posted November 29, 2021 (edited) For the Bills D this game will be about sure tackling and swarming to the football. Their passing game is all YAC. Edited November 29, 2021 by Boatdrinks 1 Quote
sullim4 Posted November 29, 2021 Posted November 29, 2021 13 minutes ago, PatsFanNH said: Word of advise don’t attack posters personally it’s immature and can get you a time out by the mods. I won’t report you but please try to stay civil at least. I mean it is only a game.. I know win or lose my life doesn’t change any. It takes a special personality to come onto an opposing team's message board and advise others how to behave. I'm not excusing his behavior, but I'm not really sure how you expected to be welcomed with open arms after 3k posts here and the history between these two teams. Let me give you a piece of advice - leave the tongue-lashings to the moderators and let Bills fans talk about the game amongst themselves. 1 Quote
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