Draft night expectations; Trade up * Stand pat * Trade back

[Inigo Montoya]

This year I will likely watch the Draft from my living room and wait and wait for the Bills to select.  (This drafting at #30 is a new phenomenon) After pick #10 I think anything can happen.  I don't see Beane selling the farm to move up into the top ten, but I could see him go after a "difference maker" in the teens and early twenties if he can swing a deal.   The thing I dread the most is finally getting to pick #30 after waiting three hours only to hear that Beane has traded out of the 1st round.   I hate to think about sitting there all night watching awkward man hugs with the Commish, listening to draftniks blather on about everyone else's draft picks, and not even see my Bills on the clock once.

 

We're nine days out from the Draft and it's time to call your shot.  Does Beane;

 

1.   Trade up

2.  Stand pat

3.  Trade back

 

My prediction is that Beane will trade up and grab a player between picks #20 - #23

 

[PromoTheRobot]

Knowing Beane if an impact player is within reach, he'll make the call to move up. 

[BillsfaninSB]

Stay put.  Unless a current player is thrown into the deal it does not seem the Bills have the assets.  I don’t see Beane giving up a 2022 first either.

 

The Bills have the luxury of not desperately needing help at any position. 

[glazeduck]

15 minutes ago, Inigo Montoya said:

This year I will likely watch the Draft from my living room and wait and wait for the Bills to select.  (This drafting at #30 is a new phenomenon) After pick #10 I think anything can happen.  I don't see Beane selling the farm to move up into the top ten, but I could see him go after a "difference maker" in the teens and early twenties if he can swing a deal.   The thing I dread the most is finally getting to pick #30 after waiting three hours only to hear that Beane has traded out of the 1st round.   I hate to think about sitting there all night watching awkward man hugs with the Commish, listening to draftniks blather on about everyone else's draft picks, and not even see my Bills on the clock once.

 

We're nine days out from the Draft and it's time to call your shot.  Does Beane;

 

1.   Trade up

2.  Stand pat

3.  Trade back

 

My prediction is that Beane will trade up and grab a player between picks #20 - #23

 

Serious suggestion, if you don't like all of the rigmarole of the draft, why watch it live? Why not record it, find out where we end up drafting, fast forward to all the stuff you don't like and just watch that part? Watching every moment of the draft isn't for everyone, and as someone who HAS for probably the last 25 years, I don't judge anyone who's not willing or able to carve out that much time in their weekend to do so. You do you!

 

To answer your question, I think there's a pretty high likelihood we trade up and can see really any of the 20s being our potential landing zone, with any of Paye, Phillips if he drops, Marshall, or Rondale Moore, Farley and Newsome being sensible targets.

 

 

[H2o]

This organization is so tight-lipped now that it's hard to know who or what position they covet in all honesty. I think standing pat is the most likely of the three, but I see a trade up more likely than a trade back knowing how Beane maneuvers if they covet a player on the board. 

[BuffaloBillsGospel]

I think a trade back is very likely depending who falls. 

[Buffalo Barbarian]

Trade back with Philly for Eartz. Just not seeing this happen.

 

Beane likes to trade up so i can see that happening.

 

 

[ChronicAndKnuckles]

52 minutes ago, Inigo Montoya said:

This year I will likely watch the Draft from my living room and wait and wait for the Bills to select.  (This drafting at #30 is a new phenomenon) After pick #10 I think anything can happen.  I don't see Beane selling the farm to move up into the top ten, but I could see him go after a "difference maker" in the teens and early twenties if he can swing a deal.   The thing I dread the most is finally getting to pick #30 after waiting three hours only to hear that Beane has traded out of the 1st round.   I hate to think about sitting there all night watching awkward man hugs with the Commish, listening to draftniks blather on about everyone else's draft picks, and not even see my Bills on the clock once.

 

We're nine days out from the Draft and it's time to call your shot.  Does Beane;

 

1.   Trade up

2.  Stand pat

3.  Trade back

 

My prediction is that Beane will trade up and grab a player between picks #20 - #23

 

 

Lol that's how I felt when KC traded up for Mahomes. Trade backs aren't really exciting or splashy, but sometimes it's the smart thing to do. We know Beane will also trade up to if needed. With a pretty stacked roster I wouldn't count that out.

[billsfan89]

I think the Bills hold at pick 30 and take the best player on the board, they are in a position where they can just let the draft come to them and it is a good spot to be in. I think McBeane would prefer to trade down  into the mid to late 30’s unless tremendous value presented its self at 30. I think given the crunch this team is going to be under when Josh’s contract comes due it makes sense for McBeane to trade down and get more picks and still get a player that can help 5 to 10 spots later.

 

But I don’t see a trade down being available and I think it would make sense for the Bills to just take the best player on the board at pick 30.

[ndirish1978]

Depends what moving up would costs to get the players they've identified as impact players. If they get to 30 and there are no players they have a 1st rd grade on I'd expect a trade back and then moving up and around in later rounds. 

[mannc]

If someone like Farley or Paye is available at 25 or 26, I could see a move up to get him, but I don't think Beane will be willing to give up what it will take to move up more than that.     

[ganesh]

we will trade up get that 

* pass rusher   OR 

* Corner back  OR

* Running back 

1 hour ago, BillsfaninSB said:

Stay put.  Unless a current player is thrown into the deal it does not seem the Bills have the assets.  I don’t see Beane giving up a 2022 first either.

 

The Bills have the luxury of not desperately needing help at any position. 

i don't think you will give you your 2022 1st rounder if you are moving to the 23 to 25 range.  t will be more of next years 2nd or 3rd....which would be ok

 

[JimmyNoodles]

I think most agree that Edge and CB are the two biggest needs.  I personally don't like any edge player in round one.  I just don't see the production or impact.  CB is deep in this draft so there's no need to trade up.  By process of elimination, I'm standing pat or trading back.  I could see Beane trying to get back the missing 4th rounder by moving back somewhere.  This is a good draft for the BPA crowd.  I do think someone will fall and that someone might not be a CB.  Let's see how that plays out.      

[maddenboy]

This should be a poll.

 

But wait until Draft-eve, since things like rumors and the occasional depth signings might impact my vote.

 

Currently, I'd vote Move Up.

[ghostwriter]

Micah Parsons or Jaylen Waddle would be well worth going up for. Picture Waddle in this offense, we would be deadly.

[All I Need is Hope]

I agree that if there's a run on edge rushers or CB's and there's one that Beane likes, he'll trade up.  Someone like Paye, Ojulari, Horn or Surtain get to 20 or so, I could see a trade up.

 

We don't need a lot of developmental players or depth, we need high end contributors this year.

[17islongenough]

Could be trade up twice.   6th and 7th rounders will have a tough time making this team.   So they trade up in the 1st using a a 5th.  Then using their 6th and 7th trade back up into the 5th

[In Summary]

• Rounds 1-3, Stay Put.  I don't see the point unless you're talking about a QB or possibly elite edge rusher.  Recent trade-ups include Cody Ford, Edmunds, Allen, Zay Jones, and Dawkins.  If you've got equal grades on players left from 30 to (say) 38, then consider trading down within that talent band.
• Round 4: N/A  (This is the round where we previously picked Gabe Davis, Taron Johnson, Terrence McGee, Keith Newman, Ken Irvin, Leon Seals as well as some significant underperformers.)
• Rounds 5 - 7:  No real opinion other than don't dismiss these picks.  These are interesting picks to me.  Do you get the high productivity 3-4 year college starter with limited athleticism or the athletic freak that is raw and lacking football skills?
• Do not give up 2022 draft picks - especially if 2022 will be a stronger draft class.  Keep your powder dry for 2022.

 

When you trade up, you are saying you can better assess players without seeing them in your camp and your system (and in a year when tape and games were limited) than once you get them into camp.  Without a 4th, bringing in 7 players is not excessive.

Edited April 20, 2021 by In Summary
Forgot about the 2nd 5th rounder.

[LEBills]

I hope move back. I think we pick at 30.

[1st&ten]

#2----Stand Pat----get a good player.

 

I think Beane might move up in the 2nd round.