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Posted (edited)
27 minutes ago, Biden is Mentally Fit said:

It just seems a little bit odd seeing that Nevada has gone for the Democrat for president since 2004.
 

I have disseminated the Quinnipiac poll to those I felt would be most interested. 
 

you were also horribly wrong on the state of the Pennsylvania Senate race. Do you care to comment?

 

I was not. I was going off an older YouGov poll that had Casey up by 6.

 

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/senate/2024/pennsylvania/general/

Edited by Roundybout
Posted (edited)
22 minutes ago, Roundybout said:

 

I was not. I was going off an older YouGov poll that had Casey up by 6.

 

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/senate/2024/pennsylvania/general/

Your words:

 

I know Casey is still polling 5-6 points ahead ofMcCormick in the PA Senate race

 

RCP average is 2. You were wildly wrong with your words. There’s no sense in doubling down. Just own it.

Edited by Biden is Mentally Fit
Typo
Posted
1 minute ago, Biden is Mentally Fit said:

Your words:

 

I know Casey is still polling 5-6 points ahead ofMcCormick in the PA Senate race

 

RCP average is 2. You were wildly wrong with your words. There’s no sense in doubling down. Just own it.

 

No, I was going off memory from the last poll I saw. Come on. 

Posted
Just now, Roundybout said:

 

No, I was going off memory from the last poll I saw. Come on. 

If you are going from memory from the last poll you saw don’t use the phrases “I know” and “ is still”. Makes you look like an uninformed doofus. Maybe try something like “the last time I looked at a poll”. 
 

Bottom line:

your claim 5-6

reality 2
 

Posted
12 minutes ago, Biden is Mentally Fit said:

If you are going from memory from the last poll you saw don’t use the phrases “I know” and “ is still”. Makes you look like an uninformed doofus. Maybe try something like “the last time I looked at a poll”. 
 

Bottom line:

your claim 5-6

reality 2
 

 

Well next time I'll word it properly so I pass your purity test. 

Posted
5 minutes ago, Roundybout said:

 

Well next time I'll word it properly so I pass your purity test. 

I guess the urban planning profession does not remotely care about precision with the language. How about accurate data? That doesn’t matter either?

 

 

Posted
13 minutes ago, Biden is Mentally Fit said:

I guess the urban planning profession does not remotely care about precision with the language. How about accurate data? That doesn’t matter either?

 

 

 

Or, it's a simple mistake because I did not see recent polls. Sue me. 

Posted
3 hours ago, Roundybout said:


Interesting! That’s a 7-point shift since September, IIRC. 
 

I know Casey is still polling 5-6 points ahead of McCormick in the PA Senate race. Wonder what the difference is. 

You want to pretend that your claim here is not utterly wrong simply because you are uninformed. Ridiculous. Don’t do this to yourself. 

Posted
5 minutes ago, Biden is Mentally Fit said:

You want to pretend that your claim here is not utterly wrong simply because you are uninformed. Ridiculous. Don’t do this to yourself. 

 

Oh stop. If this is the best you can do to get some kind of high ground, it's sad. 

Posted
8 minutes ago, Roundybout said:

 

Oh stop. If this is the best you can do to get some kind of high ground, it's sad. 

It’s got nothing to do with high ground. It’s about a claim you made that was wildly uninformed and incorrect. Even someone as shrill as L Ron was able to admit he sh*t the bed on his “Walz will own the debate” take. You could learn from him. 

Posted
Just now, Biden is Mentally Fit said:

That’s almost the same as 5-6, isn’t it! Excellent work!

From +1 to +6 so +5-6 isn’t so out of line. Also interesting how rcp doesn't include the +6 poll.

 

all voodoo till the votes are counted.  

Posted
3 minutes ago, Starr-Bills said:

From +1 to +6 so +5-6 isn’t so out of line. Also interesting how rcp doesn't include the +6 poll.

 

all voodoo till the votes are counted.  

 

I imagine roundy will be pleased to have you ride to the rescue. If the two of you want to believe his claim from earlier today:

 

“I know Casey is still polling 5-6 pointsahead ofMcCormick in the PA Senate race”

 

please do. Be advised that he no longer believes it so you will be flying solo. Nevertheless. 

Posted
16 minutes ago, Biden is Mentally Fit said:

 

I imagine roundy will be pleased to have you ride to the rescue. If the two of you want to believe his claim from earlier today:

 

“I know Casey is still polling 5-6 pointsahead ofMcCormick in the PA Senate race”

 

please do. Be advised that he no longer believes it so you will be flying solo. Nevertheless. 

I don’t believe anything. I’m not riding to some rescue. Simply spending two minutes googling to see what came up. This endless need to be right is tiresome. I looked and provide some other data since rcp is sketch (imho) and the felon has been flooding the zone with polls to move the avgs. 
 

as I said polls are voodoo (imho) so being ‘right’ about them seems like tilling at windmills. Just a bit of feedback, but hey you do you.

Posted
4 minutes ago, Starr-Bills said:

I don’t believe anything. I’m not riding to some rescue. Simply spending two minutes googling to see what came up. This endless need to be right is tiresome. I looked and provide some other data since rcp is sketch (imho) and the felon has been flooding the zone with polls to move the avgs. 
 

as I said polls are voodoo (imho) so being ‘right’ about them seems like tilling at windmills. Just a bit of feedback, but hey you do you.

That’s why I provided an average of polls. It’s nowhere near 5-6. YMMV. 

 

I’m very interested in how the felon is flooding the zone. Can you provide anything credible that would confirm this?

  • Eyeroll 1
Posted
28 minutes ago, Biden is Mentally Fit said:

That’s why I provided an average of polls. It’s nowhere near 5-6. YMMV. 

 

I’m very interested in how the felon is flooding the zone. Can you provide anything credible that would confirm this?

If you look at the link to 538 I posted he was up by that for most of the race, it’s tightened in the last month or so. Again I wasn’t trying to prove anything I was saying the range (and most of the race) were in that range. But hey you’re right. Good job. Here are three very serious gold stars for you.  

Posted
Just now, Starr-Bills said:

If you look at the link to 538 I posted he was up by that for most of the race, it’s tightened in the last month or so. Again I wasn’t trying to prove anything I was saying the range (and most of the race) were in that range. But hey you’re right. Good job. Here are three very serious gold stars for you.  

None of that is worth spit but thanks for your effort. My interest now is in how the felon flooded the zone with polls. Surely you can provide some facts to go with that claim. Or you can just use eye roll emoji. Whatever suits you. 

Posted (edited)
1 minute ago, Biden is Mentally Fit said:

None of that is worth spit but thanks for your effort. My interest now is in how the felon flooded the zone with polls. Surely you can provide some facts to go with that claim. Or you can just use eye roll emoji. Whatever suits you. 

Looks like, you know how to use the internet, can’t wait for your book report.

Edited by Starr-Bills
Posted
Just now, Starr-Bills said:

Looks like, you know how to use the internet, can’t wait for your book report.

So you were talking out your @ss again. Kind of like roundy was doing earlier. 
 

Trump flooded the zone with polls to move the averages…true brilliance. Thank you for yet another gem. 

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