Draconator Posted December 29, 2020 Posted December 29, 2020 Disclaimer: I know how to copy and paste like a champ! If the Bills beat Miami in week 17 37.5% chance of playing Miami 25% chance of playing Baltimore 25% chance of playing Cleveland 6.25% chance of playing Tennessee 6.25% chance of playing Indianapolis If the Bills lose to Miami in week 17 50% chance of playing Baltimore 25% chance of playing Cleveland 12.5% chance of playing Tennessee 12.5% chance of playing Indianapolis 0% chance of playing Miami 1
Process Posted December 29, 2020 Posted December 29, 2020 (edited) These are not even close to accurate. These numbers are probably assuming every possible scenario has an equal chance of happening. If buffalo and pittsburgh lose which they most likely will playing backups, we are basically guaranteed to play Cleveland. Edited December 29, 2020 by Process 6
Walking Tall Posted December 29, 2020 Posted December 29, 2020 Could you copy and paste the link you got that from or are you more of a third place guy when it comes to that? 2
Draconator Posted December 29, 2020 Author Posted December 29, 2020 On 12/29/2020 at 11:11 PM, Beast said: Could you copy and paste the link you got that from or are you more of a third place guy when it comes to that? Expand Got it off of a work Slack room named #bills. So yeah. Go bronze team! (I'll look for a link) 3
gobills404 Posted December 29, 2020 Posted December 29, 2020 If we beat miami, we need either the jags to beat the colts, the Bengals to beat the ravens, or mason rudolph to beat the browns if we wanna face miami in the playoffs.
Miyagi-Do Karate Posted December 29, 2020 Posted December 29, 2020 On 12/29/2020 at 11:09 PM, Process said: These are not even close to accurate. These numbers are probably assuming every possible scenario has an equal chance of happening. If buffalo and pittsburgh lose which they most likely will playing backups, we are basically guaranteed to play Cleveland. Expand I agree. The percentages in the OP seem way off. It would be nice to see what it looks like based on a weighted chance of success by each team. 1
Draconator Posted December 29, 2020 Author Posted December 29, 2020 This seems better: http://www.playoffstatus.com/nfl/billsstandings.html 2 1
Process Posted December 29, 2020 Posted December 29, 2020 On 12/29/2020 at 11:15 PM, Miyagi-Do Karate said: I agree. The percentages in the OP seem way off. It would be nice to see what it looks like based on a weighted chance of success by each team. Expand Yea, all I know is Cleveland is definitely the most likely opponent.
Nextmanup Posted December 29, 2020 Posted December 29, 2020 On 12/29/2020 at 11:15 PM, Gene1973 said: Why do ppl insist on playing a division opponent in the playoff's? That is not what you want to hope for, not at all... Expand Worked well for the Bills during the Super Bowl years. We always owned Miami, no matter when we played them. 1
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted December 29, 2020 Posted December 29, 2020 (edited) On 12/29/2020 at 11:06 PM, Draconator said: Disclaimer: I know how to copy and paste like a champ! If the Bills beat Miami in week 17 37.5% chance of playing Miami 25% chance of playing Baltimore 25% chance of playing Cleveland 6.25% chance of playing Tennessee 6.25% chance of playing Indianapolis If the Bills ALLOW Miami to Win in week 17 50% chance of playing Baltimore 25% chance of playing Cleveland 12.5% chance of playing Tennessee 12.5% chance of playing Indianapolis 0% chance of playing Miami Expand FIFY If the Bills ALLOW Miami to Win in week 17 Edited December 29, 2020 by SlimShady'sSpaceForce 1
Miyagi-Do Karate Posted December 29, 2020 Posted December 29, 2020 On 12/29/2020 at 11:16 PM, Process said: Yea, all I know is Cleveland is definitely the most likely opponent. Expand I am not good at math, but if I had the time, I would probably base my predictions like this (chances of winning): 1) Bills/Dolphins: (60/40 bills) 2) Browns/Steelers (50/50) 3) Colts/jags (100/0 colts) 4)titans/Texans (70/30 titans) 5) ravens/Bengals (80/20 ravens)
Playoffs? Posted December 29, 2020 Posted December 29, 2020 Thad Brown posted earlier... Assuming BAL, TEN and IND win (which I think are safe assumptions), here’s who our Wildcard weekend opponent would be: PIT W & BUF W - Dolphins PIT W & BUF L - Ravens PIT L & BUF W - Colts PIT L & BUF L - Browns 3
Generic_Bills_Fan Posted December 29, 2020 Posted December 29, 2020 On 12/29/2020 at 11:15 PM, Miyagi-Do Karate said: I agree. The percentages in the OP seem way off. It would be nice to see what it looks like based on a weighted chance of success by each team. Expand Probably calculated assuming the steelers are trying to win the game. If the browns go down and we beat Miami we probably get miami
machine gun kelly Posted December 29, 2020 Posted December 29, 2020 On 12/29/2020 at 11:20 PM, Warcodered said: Red, you’re killing me. I almost chalked up my 5th time eating turkey xmas dinner watching this one. I love the Fitz but. Expand Keep em coming.
gobills404 Posted December 29, 2020 Posted December 29, 2020 On 12/29/2020 at 11:15 PM, Gene1973 said: Why do ppl insist on playing a division opponent in the playoff's? That is not what you want to hope for, not at all... Expand Cause they're not good on offense and Josh always pops off against their defense.
machine gun kelly Posted December 29, 2020 Posted December 29, 2020 I’m not going to send the link, but this is just like the Austin Powers, omg, my eyes have gone crossed bit. We’ll all know at 4:30pm Sunday. The night game is meaningless.
Warcodered Posted December 29, 2020 Posted December 29, 2020 On 12/29/2020 at 11:28 PM, machine gun kelly said: Keep em coming. Expand Fitz is easily the best journeyman QB on Gridiron Heights since Cutler retired. 1
unclepete Posted December 29, 2020 Posted December 29, 2020 Don’t want to okay the Dolphins. They’re well coached and beating a. Team 3 times in one season is really difficult. Too many opportunities for that staff to make adjustments. 1
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