ok, after KC beating the Fins a first round bye for us is going to have only a 1-2% probability - but here are the narrow paths  - let us say we have to win our last 3 games to get to 13-3. Basically we are in Dalton to Boyd Hail Mary territory - but, hey that did happen, no?   a. KC loses their last three and Pitt loses at least one game and Browns lose at least one game - we are tied with Pitt (hold tiebreaker) at worst   b. more realistically, let us say KC beats Atlanta b